{
  "id": "social-exploratory-2026-10-10-v2",
  "protocolVersion": "v2",
  "baseEvidenceRelease": "lens-2026-10-09-cbec43fe76c4",
  "preparedAt": "2026-10-10T13:08:03.459285+00:00",
  "fittedAt": "2026-10-10T13:08:12.565468+00:00",
  "publicationStatus": "Exploratory research; no human actuarial review recorded",
  "studies": [
    {
      "id": "authority",
      "label": "Authority study",
      "areas": 133,
      "rows": 1064,
      "regions": [
        "East Midlands",
        "East of England",
        "London",
        "North East",
        "North West",
        "South East",
        "South West",
        "West Midlands",
        "Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "comparisons": [
        {
          "id": "deprivation",
          "model": "D",
          "comparator": "B",
          "gain": 0.2572080883775255,
          "gainInterval95": [
            0.19739154992799307,
            0.30069661251434615
          ],
          "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
          "modelMetrics": {
            "deviance": 17838.23054418344,
            "observedExpected": 1.1363500775267037,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03510914283560989,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.030896414344447332,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00686738836397685,
            "rows": 399
          },
          "baselineMetrics": {
            "deviance": 24015.111453246085,
            "observedExpected": 1.1956042624025547,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03510914283560989,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029365187077083868,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00788668053650081,
            "rows": 399
          },
          "annual": [
            {
              "year": 2023,
              "model": "D",
              "comparator": "B",
              "gain": 0.2007711289694143,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.1246360880039083,
                0.25502095354383214
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 6707.599266016544,
                "observedExpected": 1.14470544658163,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03664355487097104,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03201133966855635,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007897794448005412,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 8392.588792953966,
                "observedExpected": 1.1891130381088184,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03664355487097104,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.030815871743572375,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.008478068911204248,
                "rows": 133
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2024,
              "model": "D",
              "comparator": "B",
              "gain": 0.3037660327891374,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.2557482534786501,
                0.34627162837553344
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 5561.359868752183,
                "observedExpected": 1.1400531720654614,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0346456239019341,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.030389480728487253,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006418082643565166,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 7987.774413005419,
                "observedExpected": 1.212260673194131,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0346456239019341,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.028579351510799992,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0077195696231347755,
                "rows": 133
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2025,
              "model": "D",
              "comparator": "B",
              "gain": 0.2705363387202754,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.19584236587829534,
                0.3283760506409362
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 5569.271409414716,
                "observedExpected": 1.1241806067820084,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03031627578155311,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0063123893713477475,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 7634.7482472867,
                "observedExpected": 1.1860762689345,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.028734213976048428,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007479084070545911,
                "rows": 133
              }
            }
          ],
          "spatial": {
            "model": "D",
            "comparator": "B",
            "gain": -0.011065014793187,
            "gainInterval95": [
              -0.21338499091812227,
              0.12007308631868485
            ],
            "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
            "modelMetrics": {
              "deviance": 33557.522889229345,
              "observedExpected": 1.2326396010354344,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02764877039067104,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.01362544326101397,
              "rows": 133
            },
            "baselineMetrics": {
              "deviance": 33190.27203813745,
              "observedExpected": 1.3248904333751452,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02572361339847262,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.013110846566182966,
              "rows": 133
            }
          },
          "regions": [
            {
              "region": "East Midlands",
              "model": "D",
              "comparator": "B",
              "gain": 0.17777792184237906,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.17777792184237906,
                0.17777792184237906
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 641.1810285198362,
                "observedExpected": 1.1666471393496307,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.024194238844279643,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00703847121315683,
                "rows": 8
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 779.8149010502744,
                "observedExpected": 1.2322795935500088,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.022905629277772403,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007697201976679158,
                "rows": 8
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "East of England",
              "model": "D",
              "comparator": "B",
              "gain": 0.43819040219766736,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.43819040219766736,
                0.43819040219766736
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 300.4567748787647,
                "observedExpected": 1.1727823841550444,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02156887483787804,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0037910433712672093,
                "rows": 11
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 534.8017834762544,
                "observedExpected": 1.237258857401073,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.020444869967666326,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004850726488242026,
                "rows": 11
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "London",
              "model": "D",
              "comparator": "B",
              "gain": -0.00550349291491492,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.00550349291491492,
                -0.00550349291491492
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 25244.675676259292,
                "observedExpected": 3.2466261535349235,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.032763137827396364,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.07360652231489806,
                "rows": 33
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 25106.502219177753,
                "observedExpected": 3.117002008715701,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03412563092512152,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.07224402921717289,
                "rows": 33
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North East",
              "model": "D",
              "comparator": "B",
              "gain": -1.3569959033774786,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -1.3569959033774786,
                -1.3569959033774786
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1334.9673763181409,
                "observedExpected": 0.5338270749621946,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.022033427289689943,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04127446568956875,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.019241038399878802,
                "rows": 10
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 566.3851067391281,
                "observedExpected": 0.6680755881411586,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.022033427289689943,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0329804406579132,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.011347581844081625,
                "rows": 10
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North West",
              "model": "D",
              "comparator": "B",
              "gain": -0.23298291718066588,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.23298291718066588,
                -0.23298291718066588
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1976.9687307738482,
                "observedExpected": 0.7482808251293226,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03546950010554808,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.011903556576013406,
                "rows": 22
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1603.403180389861,
                "observedExpected": 0.8336517763710892,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.031837210161583904,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.010142360044178586,
                "rows": 22
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South East",
              "model": "D",
              "comparator": "B",
              "gain": 0.09257301667513729,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.09257301667513729,
                0.09257301667513729
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2512.9433920129,
                "observedExpected": 1.3607121200941124,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.029764280084416835,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.021874046423837407,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.009803187719335488,
                "rows": 18
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2769.3064435943224,
                "observedExpected": 1.3430240825859798,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.029764280084416835,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.022162134298519803,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.010221709421219145,
                "rows": 18
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South West",
              "model": "D",
              "comparator": "B",
              "gain": -0.3790519345420953,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.3790519345420953,
                -0.3790519345420953
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 411.46715857343173,
                "observedExpected": 0.9671369905242229,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.024634171004290276,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02547123235451647,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006236252358053506,
                "rows": 7
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 298.36958874943065,
                "observedExpected": 1.0871868968019027,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.024634171004290276,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.022658634938256518,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0033057402535398013,
                "rows": 7
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "West Midlands",
              "model": "D",
              "comparator": "B",
              "gain": 0.14151387732498788,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.14151387732498788,
                0.14151387732498788
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 797.2118855241823,
                "observedExpected": 0.8881578689685449,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03126660404505543,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.008574739398623304,
                "rows": 12
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 928.6252444478642,
                "observedExpected": 1.032504334133222,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02689546135595848,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.008356684681367466,
                "rows": 12
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber",
              "model": "D",
              "comparator": "B",
              "gain": 0.4401073404550583,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.4401073404550583,
                0.4401073404550583
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 337.65086636894563,
                "observedExpected": 1.1372939521678984,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.034994364595697144,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03076985024759099,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0058859159945585235,
                "rows": 12
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 603.0635705125599,
                "observedExpected": 1.2545544469859309,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.034994364595697144,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.027893858795663404,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007283653439814976,
                "rows": 12
              }
            }
          ],
          "stress": [
            {
              "year": 2020,
              "model": "D",
              "comparator": "B",
              "gain": 0.07716612965973435,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.07171600543854732,
                0.17514265624571318
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3492.230472211347,
                "observedExpected": 1.0178455093973797,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03960190926631916,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03890758361724821,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006802756134022458,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3784.2460972132485,
                "observedExpected": 1.041763284192204,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03960190926631916,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03801430696132372,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006537198795384071,
                "rows": 133
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2021,
              "model": "D",
              "comparator": "B",
              "gain": 0.155284442058221,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.012286901626018386,
                0.25363744315156367
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4337.748248612541,
                "observedExpected": 1.0820102905275037,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03967925355747712,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03667178945047982,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007020803678747457,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 5135.158465864926,
                "observedExpected": 1.1109929499682822,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03967925355747712,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03571512632785827,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007265837841218103,
                "rows": 133
              }
            }
          ],
          "supportiveYears": 0,
          "positiveRegions": 5,
          "status": "Not consistently supported"
        },
        {
          "id": "education",
          "model": "DE",
          "comparator": "D",
          "gain": 0.17441682971142136,
          "gainInterval95": [
            0.11718865038636896,
            0.22025588750871355
          ],
          "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
          "modelMetrics": {
            "deviance": 14726.942925005522,
            "observedExpected": 1.1019373684737934,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03510914283560989,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03186128707499665,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006361929103508305,
            "rows": 399
          },
          "baselineMetrics": {
            "deviance": 17838.23054418344,
            "observedExpected": 1.1363500775267037,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03510914283560989,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.030896414344447332,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00686738836397685,
            "rows": 399
          },
          "annual": [
            {
              "year": 2023,
              "model": "DE",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.1548771257361896,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.10716775156826708,
                0.195256389113723
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 5668.745571105726,
                "observedExpected": 1.1120801265874383,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03664355487097104,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.032950462826286206,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007306227931151789,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 6707.599266016544,
                "observedExpected": 1.14470544658163,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03664355487097104,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03201133966855635,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007897794448005412,
                "rows": 133
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2024,
              "model": "DE",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.18953843018818106,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.12750156296474083,
                0.24569253967568794
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4507.268449517345,
                "observedExpected": 1.103435458720246,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0346456239019341,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.031397961365239944,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005895121105639414,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 5561.359868752183,
                "observedExpected": 1.1400531720654614,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0346456239019341,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.030389480728487253,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006418082643565166,
                "rows": 133
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2025,
              "model": "DE",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.18285022046344934,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.11554807343788946,
                0.23318973005864974
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4550.92890438245,
                "observedExpected": 1.0901289929684659,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03126324455482393,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00590732709465585,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 5569.271409414716,
                "observedExpected": 1.1241806067820084,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03031627578155311,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0063123893713477475,
                "rows": 133
              }
            }
          ],
          "spatial": {
            "model": "DE",
            "comparator": "D",
            "gain": 0.07484320195836835,
            "gainInterval95": [
              -0.18165531052932135,
              0.12088638535229122
            ],
            "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
            "modelMetrics": {
              "deviance": 31045.970426408185,
              "observedExpected": 1.1971349662529998,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.028468777760413764,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.013715389100608311,
              "rows": 133
            },
            "baselineMetrics": {
              "deviance": 33557.522889229345,
              "observedExpected": 1.2326396010354344,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02764877039067104,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.01362544326101397,
              "rows": 133
            }
          },
          "regions": [
            {
              "region": "East Midlands",
              "model": "DE",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.005740268837918783,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.005740268837918783,
                0.005740268837918783
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 637.5004770423591,
                "observedExpected": 1.231415376748154,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.022921704624932013,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007238916105590933,
                "rows": 8
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 641.1810285198362,
                "observedExpected": 1.1666471393496307,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.024194238844279643,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00703847121315683,
                "rows": 8
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "East of England",
              "model": "DE",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.15471752468808408,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.15471752468808408,
                -0.15471752468808408
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 346.94270336377207,
                "observedExpected": 1.1942701004446568,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02118080026159088,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004114796194317472,
                "rows": 11
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 300.4567748787647,
                "observedExpected": 1.1727823841550444,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02156887483787804,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0037910433712672093,
                "rows": 11
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "London",
              "model": "DE",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.10716360526316326,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.10716360526316326,
                0.10716360526316326
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 22539.36521709206,
                "observedExpected": 3.0610261287827627,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03474967402012769,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.07161998612216675,
                "rows": 33
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 25244.675676259292,
                "observedExpected": 3.2466261535349235,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.032763137827396364,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.07360652231489806,
                "rows": 33
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North East",
              "model": "DE",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.18789374418884508,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.18789374418884508,
                -0.18789374418884508
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1585.7993950245152,
                "observedExpected": 0.5005534021427456,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.022033427289689943,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04401813511879109,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.021984707829101138,
                "rows": 10
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1334.9673763181409,
                "observedExpected": 0.5338270749621946,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.022033427289689943,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04127446568956875,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.019241038399878802,
                "rows": 10
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North West",
              "model": "DE",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.2190326514692238,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.2190326514692238,
                -0.2190326514692238
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2409.98943374699,
                "observedExpected": 0.6928519237708175,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03830709837890763,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.013628016174099571,
                "rows": 22
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1976.9687307738482,
                "observedExpected": 0.7482808251293226,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03546950010554808,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.011903556576013406,
                "rows": 22
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South East",
              "model": "DE",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.24531898957033893,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.24531898957033893,
                0.24531898957033893
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1896.4706582368353,
                "observedExpected": 1.282924626403366,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.029764280084416835,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02320033419879073,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.008725377600300389,
                "rows": 18
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2512.9433920129,
                "observedExpected": 1.3607121200941124,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.029764280084416835,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.021874046423837407,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.009803187719335488,
                "rows": 18
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South West",
              "model": "DE",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.5521368937781432,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.5521368937781432,
                -0.5521368937781432
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 638.6533573998851,
                "observedExpected": 0.8512515595888653,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.024634171004290276,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.028938767543859777,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.008538877237956303,
                "rows": 7
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 411.46715857343173,
                "observedExpected": 0.9671369905242229,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.024634171004290276,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02547123235451647,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006236252358053506,
                "rows": 7
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "West Midlands",
              "model": "DE",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.20991935273611584,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.20991935273611584,
                0.20991935273611584
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 629.8616825214075,
                "observedExpected": 0.9220473805771043,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03011741153817803,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007012185758180375,
                "rows": 12
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 797.2118855241823,
                "observedExpected": 0.8881578689685449,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03126660404505543,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.008574739398623304,
                "rows": 12
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber",
              "model": "DE",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.07029934756772005,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.07029934756772005,
                -0.07029934756772005
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 361.38750198035797,
                "observedExpected": 1.1851400221591015,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.034994364595697144,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029527620316073717,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006136263574992961,
                "rows": 12
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 337.65086636894563,
                "observedExpected": 1.1372939521678984,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.034994364595697144,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03076985024759099,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0058859159945585235,
                "rows": 12
              }
            }
          ],
          "stress": [
            {
              "year": 2020,
              "model": "DE",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.1568724468496825,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.6341513673052617,
                0.15531568386436417
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4040.0652113501633,
                "observedExpected": 1.1305910631731437,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03960190926631916,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.035027615692601974,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0071941154581980525,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3492.230472211347,
                "observedExpected": 1.0178455093973797,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03960190926631916,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03890758361724821,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006802756134022458,
                "rows": 133
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2021,
              "model": "DE",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.39071981837478087,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.7406456308493155,
                -0.11110708461169505
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 6032.592456465957,
                "observedExpected": 1.2026152019026841,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03967925355747712,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.032994139351223646,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.008191877423439544,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4337.748248612541,
                "observedExpected": 1.0820102905275037,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03967925355747712,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03667178945047982,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007020803678747457,
                "rows": 133
              }
            }
          ],
          "supportiveYears": 1,
          "positiveRegions": 4,
          "status": "Not consistently supported"
        },
        {
          "id": "education-level4",
          "model": "DE4",
          "comparator": "D",
          "gain": 0.19774147216647053,
          "gainInterval95": [
            0.1215970888973556,
            0.27765483237420796
          ],
          "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
          "modelMetrics": {
            "deviance": 14310.872575531706,
            "observedExpected": 1.0906870844625345,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03510914283560989,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03218993177397977,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006297244657425647,
            "rows": 399
          },
          "baselineMetrics": {
            "deviance": 17838.23054418344,
            "observedExpected": 1.1363500775267037,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03510914283560989,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.030896414344447332,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00686738836397685,
            "rows": 399
          },
          "annual": [
            {
              "year": 2023,
              "model": "DE4",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.17683522567114207,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.11039398656768473,
                0.2491961732045367
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 5521.459436098921,
                "observedExpected": 1.1018529655785887,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03664355487097104,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03325630189843825,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007266155549300113,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 6707.599266016544,
                "observedExpected": 1.14470544658163,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03664355487097104,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03201133966855635,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007897794448005412,
                "rows": 133
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2024,
              "model": "DE4",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.21222777116073988,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.12700415170406232,
                0.30070958707364687
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4381.084859184122,
                "observedExpected": 1.0911507846968078,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0346456239019341,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0317514539583646,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005793407855579474,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 5561.359868752183,
                "observedExpected": 1.1400531720654614,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0346456239019341,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.030389480728487253,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006418082643565166,
                "rows": 133
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2025,
              "model": "DE4",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.20845511806149541,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.11828434611841611,
                0.2938941452095561
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4408.32828024866,
                "observedExpected": 1.078868515256925,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03158954851450173,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005855190165610654,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 5569.271409414716,
                "observedExpected": 1.1241806067820084,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03031627578155311,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0063123893713477475,
                "rows": 133
              }
            }
          ],
          "spatial": {
            "model": "DE4",
            "comparator": "D",
            "gain": 0.03351521956120096,
            "gainInterval95": [
              -0.22080432217137336,
              0.10356351462727832
            ],
            "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
            "modelMetrics": {
              "deviance": 32432.835141666797,
              "observedExpected": 1.1788791958932878,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02890963673139762,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.01384261849847712,
              "rows": 133
            },
            "baselineMetrics": {
              "deviance": 33557.522889229345,
              "observedExpected": 1.2326396010354344,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02764877039067104,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.01362544326101397,
              "rows": 133
            }
          },
          "regions": [
            {
              "region": "East Midlands",
              "model": "DE4",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.1713943987115446,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.1713943987115446,
                0.1713943987115446
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 531.2861916714292,
                "observedExpected": 1.1673836825147654,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02417897385340877,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00667522008035278,
                "rows": 8
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 641.1810285198362,
                "observedExpected": 1.1666471393496307,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.024194238844279643,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00703847121315683,
                "rows": 8
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "East of England",
              "model": "DE4",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.3070999553670781,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.3070999553670781,
                -0.3070999553670781
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 392.7270370337696,
                "observedExpected": 1.2021432095537092,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.021042082386589563,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00425351406931879,
                "rows": 11
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 300.4567748787647,
                "observedExpected": 1.1727823841550444,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02156887483787804,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0037910433712672093,
                "rows": 11
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "London",
              "model": "DE4",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.060710252427354616,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.060710252427354616,
                0.060710252427354616
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 23712.065043506893,
                "observedExpected": 3.1463711878508165,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.033807091977266696,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.07256256816502772,
                "rows": 33
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 25244.675676259292,
                "observedExpected": 3.2466261535349235,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.032763137827396364,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.07360652231489806,
                "rows": 33
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North East",
              "model": "DE4",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.23950759149426748,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.23950759149426748,
                -0.23950759149426748
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1654.70219734352,
                "observedExpected": 0.4896818397464109,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.022033427289689943,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.044995393950284714,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.02296196666059477,
                "rows": 10
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1334.9673763181409,
                "observedExpected": 0.5338270749621946,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.022033427289689943,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04127446568956875,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.019241038399878802,
                "rows": 10
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North West",
              "model": "DE4",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.34836842697709436,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.34836842697709436,
                -0.34836842697709436
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2665.6822176964365,
                "observedExpected": 0.6719066467851832,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03950124162767754,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.014415129991189183,
                "rows": 22
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1976.9687307738482,
                "observedExpected": 0.7482808251293226,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03546950010554808,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.011903556576013406,
                "rows": 22
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South East",
              "model": "DE4",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.21391088338962405,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.21391088338962405,
                0.21391088338962405
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1975.397451119302,
                "observedExpected": 1.302779892609405,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.029764280084416835,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02284674506665928,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.009050172171622241,
                "rows": 18
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2512.9433920129,
                "observedExpected": 1.3607121200941124,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.029764280084416835,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.021874046423837407,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.009803187719335488,
                "rows": 18
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South West",
              "model": "DE4",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.4644847679679194,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.4644847679679194,
                -0.4644847679679194
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 602.5873862498313,
                "observedExpected": 0.8979280763875842,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.024634171004290276,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02743445900855996,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.008177694700535736,
                "rows": 7
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 411.46715857343173,
                "observedExpected": 0.9671369905242229,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.024634171004290276,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02547123235451647,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006236252358053506,
                "rows": 7
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "West Midlands",
              "model": "DE4",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.19422104514737415,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.19422104514737415,
                0.19422104514737415
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 642.3765599137669,
                "observedExpected": 0.8496185576490539,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03268487978344082,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006930878969138316,
                "rows": 12
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 797.2118855241823,
                "observedExpected": 0.8881578689685449,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03126660404505543,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.008574739398623304,
                "rows": 12
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber",
              "model": "DE4",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.2417876492219354,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.2417876492219354,
                0.2417876492219354
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 256.0110571318484,
                "observedExpected": 1.1222622175616912,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.034994364595697144,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.031181985856860134,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005023181965694082,
                "rows": 12
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 337.65086636894563,
                "observedExpected": 1.1372939521678984,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.034994364595697144,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03076985024759099,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0058859159945585235,
                "rows": 12
              }
            }
          ],
          "stress": [
            {
              "year": 2020,
              "model": "DE4",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.07145201232841436,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.4104463727986916,
                0.1539857783860036
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3741.7573669654566,
                "observedExpected": 1.1029104279971536,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03960190926631916,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.035906732098122264,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007072863838950332,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3492.230472211347,
                "observedExpected": 1.0178455093973797,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03960190926631916,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03890758361724821,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006802756134022458,
                "rows": 133
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2021,
              "model": "DE4",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.2357723705643624,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.4590594835509303,
                -0.050564646634525756
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 5360.469436099331,
                "observedExpected": 1.1717952571796444,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03967925355747712,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.033861933912396794,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007881715630435993,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4337.748248612541,
                "observedExpected": 1.0820102905275037,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03967925355747712,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03667178945047982,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007020803678747457,
                "rows": 133
              }
            }
          ],
          "supportiveYears": 2,
          "positiveRegions": 5,
          "status": "Not consistently supported"
        },
        {
          "id": "deprivation-history",
          "model": "DH",
          "comparator": "BH",
          "gain": 0.06820024739525876,
          "gainInterval95": [
            0.030014490302054067,
            0.10029049596615111
          ],
          "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
          "modelMetrics": {
            "deviance": 8209.56892814265,
            "observedExpected": 1.033700431238181,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03510914283560989,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03396452373881247,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00478820548974462,
            "rows": 399
          },
          "baselineMetrics": {
            "deviance": 8810.443343855506,
            "observedExpected": 1.0366022516205133,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03510914283560989,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03386944489144607,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0049697597028093,
            "rows": 399
          },
          "annual": [
            {
              "year": 2023,
              "model": "DH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.019870771985061597,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.039016393957295926,
                0.06878569894282144
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2356.5784105808334,
                "observedExpected": 1.0132932308050753,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03664355487097104,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03616283397241017,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0045653212052439015,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2404.354796513543,
                "observedExpected": 1.0132997145105183,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03664355487097104,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03616260258069052,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004606650431579996,
                "rows": 133
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2024,
              "model": "DH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.07971713366392597,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.04585376446860943,
                0.11128038806623956
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2776.207919811154,
                "observedExpected": 1.0210681226597216,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0346456239019341,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.033930766354440395,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004788333897464971,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3016.6897824188363,
                "observedExpected": 1.0257392962243592,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0346456239019341,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03377624707317061,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005022098779426038,
                "rows": 133
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2025,
              "model": "DH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.09223351657754963,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.04116864556715006,
                0.1290040730450809
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3076.782597750662,
                "observedExpected": 1.0692745394361887,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.031872983080142754,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005003497022204013,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3389.3987649231253,
                "observedExpected": 1.0736002703968024,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.031744561028175564,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005269346112050432,
                "rows": 133
              }
            }
          ],
          "spatial": {
            "model": "DH",
            "comparator": "BH",
            "gain": -0.00010373290975218552,
            "gainInterval95": [
              -0.07253689447575834,
              0.08994692459532071
            ],
            "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
            "modelMetrics": {
              "deviance": 5020.454021707834,
              "observedExpected": 1.145802222909968,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029744198974341676,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006374255878494774,
              "rows": 133
            },
            "baselineMetrics": {
              "deviance": 5019.93328942096,
              "observedExpected": 1.1517059119839388,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029591729059347198,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006340797955767863,
              "rows": 133
            }
          },
          "regions": [
            {
              "region": "East Midlands",
              "model": "DH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -0.13235358395097574,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.13235358395097574,
                -0.13235358395097574
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 374.63369214142574,
                "observedExpected": 1.2075284577202043,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.023375134023516996,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00520093686102555,
                "rows": 8
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 330.84515071190447,
                "observedExpected": 1.1986541344520476,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.023548193532343546,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0050239345313966765,
                "rows": 8
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "East of England",
              "model": "DH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.15250491182492543,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.15250491182492543,
                0.15250491182492543
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 733.2699227935605,
                "observedExpected": 1.2904584257006737,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.019602023553896154,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005775054813157546,
                "rows": 11
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 865.2202626596019,
                "observedExpected": 1.313620857737513,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.019256390690595218,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006108528148543789,
                "rows": 11
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "London",
              "model": "DH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -0.05047196949805066,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.05047196949805066,
                -0.05047196949805066
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1976.091291067415,
                "observedExpected": 1.2640695697184334,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.08414858065603767,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.022483794951318643,
                "rows": 33
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1881.1461404454753,
                "observedExpected": 1.243550649897229,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.08553705484459771,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.021508555773908294,
                "rows": 33
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North East",
              "model": "DH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -0.4743481118921533,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.4743481118921533,
                -0.4743481118921533
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 262.27124230545894,
                "observedExpected": 0.7826721036734335,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.022033427289689943,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.028151542882743772,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0068377444266439396,
                "rows": 10
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 177.88963148524297,
                "observedExpected": 0.8321012372815653,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.022033427289689943,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0264792627417213,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005281698897067181,
                "rows": 10
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North West",
              "model": "DH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.04427579845070728,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.04427579845070728,
                0.04427579845070728
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 387.19642718604786,
                "observedExpected": 0.9763008616086425,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02718541778419871,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004987686854991067,
                "rows": 22
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 405.13406122642556,
                "observedExpected": 0.9770211857684205,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02716537490948027,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005179632495693535,
                "rows": 22
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South East",
              "model": "DH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -0.028807537505053604,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.028807537505053604,
                -0.028807537505053604
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 689.4099845303012,
                "observedExpected": 1.1835283437716495,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.029764280084416835,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0251487682919063,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005411426836130766,
                "rows": 18
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 670.1058841405649,
                "observedExpected": 1.17376375196683,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.029764280084416835,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.025357981991301053,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005269013866232001,
                "rows": 18
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South West",
              "model": "DH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.11741761128470762,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.11741761128470762,
                0.11741761128470762
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 236.34880867546275,
                "observedExpected": 1.140464947068597,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.024634171004290276,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.021600112364355353,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.003983008959528608,
                "rows": 7
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 267.7923462981146,
                "observedExpected": 1.1812957838046854,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.024634171004290276,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02085351640293611,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.003997842485376866,
                "rows": 7
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "West Midlands",
              "model": "DH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.15134106613935205,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.15134106613935205,
                0.15134106613935205
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 282.25975929843906,
                "observedExpected": 1.0509392283762196,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.026423678618835045,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00421996473195219,
                "rows": 12
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 332.59504853664436,
                "observedExpected": 1.101736469716331,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.025205374589886906,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004652211154807695,
                "rows": 12
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber",
              "model": "DH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.11470093925459979,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.11470093925459979,
                0.11470093925459979
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 78.97289370972277,
                "observedExpected": 1.0506554145517104,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.034994364595697144,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.033307175798097804,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.002963286736903511,
                "rows": 12
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 89.20476391698588,
                "observedExpected": 1.0520549168061692,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.034994364595697144,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03326286873116198,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0033149626372655423,
                "rows": 12
              }
            }
          ],
          "stress": [
            {
              "year": 2020,
              "model": "DH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.09081030097593035,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.04537931250493288,
                0.1894479257705317
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2042.93279818762,
                "observedExpected": 1.0366345290806624,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03960190926631916,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0382023829569328,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005038289701649551,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2246.981900895399,
                "observedExpected": 1.0614529988706778,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03960190926631916,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03730915010693192,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005349167327388022,
                "rows": 133
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2021,
              "model": "DH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.17599527600238063,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.1366825237325225,
                0.21280510307013262
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3227.3251657714773,
                "observedExpected": 1.1200555581463665,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03967925355747712,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03542614763069808,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005690089769372882,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3916.634300485881,
                "observedExpected": 1.1478607433186034,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03967925355747712,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03456800294673344,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006318134504520425,
                "rows": 133
              }
            }
          ],
          "supportiveYears": 3,
          "positiveRegions": 5,
          "status": "Not consistently supported"
        },
        {
          "id": "education-history",
          "model": "DEH",
          "comparator": "DH",
          "gain": 0.04449173383372562,
          "gainInterval95": [
            0.019377377999863787,
            0.07309963667713959
          ],
          "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
          "modelMetrics": {
            "deviance": 7844.310972502102,
            "observedExpected": 1.0295586540395616,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03510914283560989,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.034101158489471345,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004680368284874588,
            "rows": 399
          },
          "baselineMetrics": {
            "deviance": 8209.56892814265,
            "observedExpected": 1.033700431238181,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03510914283560989,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03396452373881247,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00478820548974462,
            "rows": 399
          },
          "annual": [
            {
              "year": 2023,
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": 0.037869975332150974,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.0010236461783785429,
                0.07883287895110942
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2267.3348443038576,
                "observedExpected": 1.0109625068821901,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03664355487097104,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.036246205592707706,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004465809195665242,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2356.5784105808334,
                "observedExpected": 1.0132932308050753,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03664355487097104,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03616283397241017,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0045653212052439015,
                "rows": 133
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2024,
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": 0.03907807141478081,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.012933543042380887,
                0.07520074492907658
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2667.719068458494,
                "observedExpected": 1.0168940429883069,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0346456239019341,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0340700431287043,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004699851029351346,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2776.207919811154,
                "observedExpected": 1.0210681226597216,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0346456239019341,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.033930766354440395,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004788333897464971,
                "rows": 133
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2025,
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": 0.054448285729834955,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.027840882047790304,
                0.08414802435743733
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2909.25705973975,
                "observedExpected": 1.0630866994453503,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.032058504091207536,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004868621790789285,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3076.782597750662,
                "observedExpected": 1.0692745394361887,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.031872983080142754,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005003497022204013,
                "rows": 133
              }
            }
          ],
          "spatial": {
            "model": "DEH",
            "comparator": "DH",
            "gain": -0.04337557577395712,
            "gainInterval95": [
              -0.09667299547711901,
              0.040476828566436966
            ],
            "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
            "modelMetrics": {
              "deviance": 5238.21910554609,
              "observedExpected": 1.140840931243812,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029873550615264133,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006484740048681294,
              "rows": 133
            },
            "baselineMetrics": {
              "deviance": 5020.454021707834,
              "observedExpected": 1.145802222909968,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029744198974341676,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006374255878494774,
              "rows": 133
            }
          },
          "regions": [
            {
              "region": "East Midlands",
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.05071391824426996,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.05071391824426996,
                -0.05071391824426996
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 393.632834576235,
                "observedExpected": 1.2240394043504748,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.023059829149371627,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005530814375180392,
                "rows": 8
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 374.63369214142574,
                "observedExpected": 1.2075284577202043,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.023375134023516996,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00520093686102555,
                "rows": 8
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "East of England",
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.0070356991741369335,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.0070356991741369335,
                -0.0070356991741369335
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 738.4289893837786,
                "observedExpected": 1.2922031440427664,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.019575557119269147,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0057530296774151845,
                "rows": 11
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 733.2699227935605,
                "observedExpected": 1.2904584257006737,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.019602023553896154,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005775054813157546,
                "rows": 11
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "London",
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.11612381266925809,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.11612381266925809,
                -0.11612381266925809
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2205.56254596868,
                "observedExpected": 1.2871411292316317,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.08264024645517509,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.023880479424401503,
                "rows": 33
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1976.091291067415,
                "observedExpected": 1.2640695697184334,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.08414858065603767,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.022483794951318643,
                "rows": 33
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North East",
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.15888334396777748,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.15888334396777748,
                -0.15888334396777748
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 303.9417743095335,
                "observedExpected": 0.7581825776821774,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.022033427289689943,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029060846210747587,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007346528172219024,
                "rows": 10
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 262.27124230545894,
                "observedExpected": 0.7826721036734335,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.022033427289689943,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.028151542882743772,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0068377444266439396,
                "rows": 10
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North West",
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.10464448780255586,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.10464448780255586,
                -0.10464448780255586
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 427.7143989879114,
                "observedExpected": 0.9355930611848636,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.028368259563930062,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005220890812274371,
                "rows": 22
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 387.19642718604786,
                "observedExpected": 0.9763008616086425,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02718541778419871,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004987686854991067,
                "rows": 22
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South East",
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": 0.09261010983829066,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.09261010983829066,
                0.09261010983829066
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 625.5636501393358,
                "observedExpected": 1.1703208808797985,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.029764280084416835,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02543258056033427,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005166952766881659,
                "rows": 18
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 689.4099845303012,
                "observedExpected": 1.1835283437716495,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.029764280084416835,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0251487682919063,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005411426836130766,
                "rows": 18
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South West",
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": 0.1297219032544309,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.1297219032544309,
                0.1297219032544309
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 205.68919138216438,
                "observedExpected": 1.095252646915821,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.024634171004290276,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02249177034509701,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0039023506614604287,
                "rows": 7
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 236.34880867546275,
                "observedExpected": 1.140464947068597,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.024634171004290276,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.021600112364355353,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.003983008959528608,
                "rows": 7
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "West Midlands",
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": 0.06626571545677362,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.06626571545677362,
                0.06626571545677362
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 263.5556144038713,
                "observedExpected": 1.0549870302712212,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.026322295555994225,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004067400987141279,
                "rows": 12
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 282.25975929843906,
                "observedExpected": 1.0509392283762196,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.026423678618835045,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00421996473195219,
                "rows": 12
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber",
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": 0.061322145962424135,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.061322145962424135,
                0.061322145962424135
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 74.13010639458014,
                "observedExpected": 1.0654050633091523,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.034994364595697144,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03284606559593823,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.002832795436262525,
                "rows": 12
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 78.97289370972277,
                "observedExpected": 1.0506554145517104,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.034994364595697144,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.033307175798097804,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.002963286736903511,
                "rows": 12
              }
            }
          ],
          "stress": [
            {
              "year": 2020,
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.01543752107534635,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.06241898446918769,
                0.025831659821111796
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2074.4706163151577,
                "observedExpected": 1.0525916008582603,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03960190926631916,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03762324270308506,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005100464342231522,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2042.93279818762,
                "observedExpected": 1.0366345290806624,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03960190926631916,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0382023829569328,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005038289701649551,
                "rows": 133
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2021,
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.06754494464285687,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.0828801264343817,
                -0.05630309700359488
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3445.3146654380107,
                "observedExpected": 1.136902386920892,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03967925355747712,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03490119645622494,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005912696845421408,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3227.3251657714773,
                "observedExpected": 1.1200555581463665,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03967925355747712,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03542614763069808,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005690089769372882,
                "rows": 133
              }
            }
          ],
          "supportiveYears": 3,
          "positiveRegions": 4,
          "status": "Not consistently supported"
        },
        {
          "id": "combined-history",
          "model": "DEH",
          "comparator": "BH",
          "gain": 0.10965763397448036,
          "gainInterval95": [
            0.05992130992415709,
            0.150150421471265
          ],
          "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
          "modelMetrics": {
            "deviance": 7844.310972502102,
            "observedExpected": 1.0295586540395616,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03510914283560989,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.034101158489471345,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004680368284874588,
            "rows": 399
          },
          "baselineMetrics": {
            "deviance": 8810.443343855506,
            "observedExpected": 1.0366022516205133,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03510914283560989,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03386944489144607,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0049697597028093,
            "rows": 399
          },
          "annual": [
            {
              "year": 2023,
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.05698824167230743,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.016167949889237608,
                0.12040183923945738
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2267.3348443038576,
                "observedExpected": 1.0109625068821901,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03664355487097104,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.036246205592707706,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004465809195665242,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2404.354796513543,
                "observedExpected": 1.0132997145105183,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03664355487097104,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03616260258069052,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004606650431579996,
                "rows": 133
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2024,
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.1156800132364062,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.07472785813932699,
                0.15697873592010955
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2667.719068458494,
                "observedExpected": 1.0168940429883069,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0346456239019341,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0340700431287043,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004699851029351346,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3016.6897824188363,
                "observedExpected": 1.0257392962243592,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0346456239019341,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03377624707317061,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005022098779426038,
                "rows": 133
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2025,
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.14165984544290278,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.08788911411220754,
                0.18284262740638202
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2909.25705973975,
                "observedExpected": 1.0630866994453503,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.032058504091207536,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004868621790789285,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3389.3987649231253,
                "observedExpected": 1.0736002703968024,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.031744561028175564,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005269346112050432,
                "rows": 133
              }
            }
          ],
          "spatial": {
            "model": "DEH",
            "comparator": "BH",
            "gain": -0.043483808158396586,
            "gainInterval95": [
              -0.15582203372125308,
              0.10585245389542129
            ],
            "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
            "modelMetrics": {
              "deviance": 5238.21910554609,
              "observedExpected": 1.140840931243812,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029873550615264133,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006484740048681294,
              "rows": 133
            },
            "baselineMetrics": {
              "deviance": 5019.93328942096,
              "observedExpected": 1.1517059119839388,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03408096930347708,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029591729059347198,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006340797955767863,
              "rows": 133
            }
          },
          "regions": [
            {
              "region": "East Midlands",
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -0.18977967103107152,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.18977967103107152,
                -0.18977967103107152
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 393.632834576235,
                "observedExpected": 1.2240394043504748,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.023059829149371627,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005530814375180392,
                "rows": 8
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 330.84515071190447,
                "observedExpected": 1.1986541344520476,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.023548193532343546,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0050239345313966765,
                "rows": 8
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "East of England",
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.14654219133296698,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.14654219133296698,
                0.14654219133296698
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 738.4289893837786,
                "observedExpected": 1.2922031440427664,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.019575557119269147,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0057530296774151845,
                "rows": 11
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 865.2202626596019,
                "observedExpected": 1.313620857737513,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.019256390690595218,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006108528148543789,
                "rows": 11
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "London",
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -0.17245677969834872,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.17245677969834872,
                -0.17245677969834872
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2205.56254596868,
                "observedExpected": 1.2871411292316317,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.08264024645517509,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.023880479424401503,
                "rows": 33
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1881.1461404454753,
                "observedExpected": 1.243550649897229,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.08553705484459771,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.021508555773908294,
                "rows": 33
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North East",
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -0.7085974700821578,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.7085974700821578,
                -0.7085974700821578
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 303.9417743095335,
                "observedExpected": 0.7581825776821774,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.022033427289689943,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029060846210747587,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007346528172219024,
                "rows": 10
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 177.88963148524297,
                "observedExpected": 0.8321012372815653,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.022033427289689943,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0264792627417213,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005281698897067181,
                "rows": 10
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North West",
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -0.05573547110092503,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.05573547110092503,
                -0.05573547110092503
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 427.7143989879114,
                "observedExpected": 0.9355930611848636,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.028368259563930062,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005220890812274371,
                "rows": 22
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 405.13406122642556,
                "observedExpected": 0.9770211857684205,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02716537490948027,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005179632495693535,
                "rows": 22
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South East",
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.06647044154575077,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.06647044154575077,
                0.06647044154575077
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 625.5636501393358,
                "observedExpected": 1.1703208808797985,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.029764280084416835,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02543258056033427,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005166952766881659,
                "rows": 18
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 670.1058841405649,
                "observedExpected": 1.17376375196683,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.029764280084416835,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.025357981991301053,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005269013866232001,
                "rows": 18
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South West",
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.23190787852769723,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.23190787852769723,
                0.23190787852769723
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 205.68919138216438,
                "observedExpected": 1.095252646915821,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.024634171004290276,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02249177034509701,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0039023506614604287,
                "rows": 7
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 267.7923462981146,
                "observedExpected": 1.1812957838046854,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.024634171004290276,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02085351640293611,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.003997842485376866,
                "rows": 7
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "West Midlands",
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.2075780575704106,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.2075780575704106,
                0.2075780575704106
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 263.5556144038713,
                "observedExpected": 1.0549870302712212,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.026322295555994225,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004067400987141279,
                "rows": 12
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 332.59504853664436,
                "observedExpected": 1.101736469716331,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.025205374589886906,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004652211154807695,
                "rows": 12
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber",
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.16898937747802623,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.16898937747802623,
                0.16898937747802623
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 74.13010639458014,
                "observedExpected": 1.0654050633091523,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.034994364595697144,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03284606559593823,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.002832795436262525,
                "rows": 12
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 89.20476391698588,
                "observedExpected": 1.0520549168061692,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.034994364595697144,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03326286873116198,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0033149626372655423,
                "rows": 12
              }
            }
          ],
          "stress": [
            {
              "year": 2020,
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.07677466583575843,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.022302643394961807,
                0.1473187905650406
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2074.4706163151577,
                "observedExpected": 1.0525916008582603,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03960190926631916,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03762324270308506,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005100464342231522,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2246.981900895399,
                "observedExpected": 1.0614529988706778,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03960190926631916,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03730915010693192,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005349167327388022,
                "rows": 133
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2021,
              "model": "DEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.12033792253450881,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.07391247926771358,
                0.1598470186691917
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3445.3146654380107,
                "observedExpected": 1.136902386920892,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03967925355747712,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03490119645622494,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005912696845421408,
                "rows": 133
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3916.634300485881,
                "observedExpected": 1.1478607433186034,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03967925355747712,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03456800294673344,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006318134504520425,
                "rows": 133
              }
            }
          ],
          "supportiveYears": 3,
          "positiveRegions": 5,
          "status": "Not consistently supported"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "crime",
      "label": "Police-force burglary extension",
      "areas": 28,
      "rows": 224,
      "regions": [
        "East Midlands",
        "East of England",
        "London",
        "North East",
        "North West",
        "South East",
        "South West",
        "West Midlands",
        "Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "comparisons": [
        {
          "id": "burglary",
          "model": "DC",
          "comparator": "D",
          "gain": 0.008585982941107129,
          "gainInterval95": [
            -0.13350352915208302,
            0.09962002405310368
          ],
          "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
          "modelMetrics": {
            "deviance": 5258.077293236602,
            "observedExpected": 1.014629746207662,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03746344702144092,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03692326896729219,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004771403010838126,
            "rows": 84
          },
          "baselineMetrics": {
            "deviance": 5303.614032848858,
            "observedExpected": 1.0233734221363848,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03746344702144092,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03660779751660208,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004688703517120965,
            "rows": 84
          },
          "annual": [
            {
              "year": 2023,
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.004294540174825556,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.15004064483457277,
                0.0929148819147414
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2160.5542321770804,
                "observedExpected": 1.0852687611179803,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03928295277994277,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.036196520334258755,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0055970215904103575,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2151.315322097614,
                "observedExpected": 1.07574923719242,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03928295277994277,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03651683070904768,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005714200565350345,
                "rows": 28
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2024,
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.03491600402731543,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.16940812744607822,
                0.14469764846392677
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1515.7724087464514,
                "observedExpected": 0.9864090552173,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036850785315082284,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.037358522937488925,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004307059630629588,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1570.6119001784311,
                "observedExpected": 1.0061485523675942,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036850785315082284,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0366255909511252,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0041309795038788535,
                "rows": 28
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2025,
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -4.036307303745268e-05,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.1876650394145559,
                0.09967068663350437
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1581.7506523130708,
                "observedExpected": 0.9759674830728433,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03719896923130034,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004428629050916718,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1581.6868105728133,
                "observedExpected": 0.9898215101670678,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03667831422197379,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004244263437403471,
                "rows": 28
              }
            }
          ],
          "spatial": {
            "model": "DC",
            "comparator": "D",
            "gain": -0.015413914192996536,
            "gainInterval95": [
              -0.09602832161806514,
              0.07959048742002806
            ],
            "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
            "modelMetrics": {
              "deviance": 25944.71973842573,
              "observedExpected": 1.2204836291821883,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029746391926537583,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.015394244350124799,
              "rows": 28
            },
            "baselineMetrics": {
              "deviance": 25550.880656431993,
              "observedExpected": 1.2409265883330038,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029256351435217907,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.015160566832696662,
              "rows": 28
            }
          },
          "regions": [
            {
              "region": "East Midlands",
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.004771922452564414,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.004771922452564414,
                0.004771922452564414
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 509.9768543831851,
                "observedExpected": 1.062327363298076,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02657009553890277,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0069658040508258886,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 512.4220928733575,
                "observedExpected": 1.0687477793459466,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.026410477833876223,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006951986083602193,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "East of England",
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.09047922084827542,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.09047922084827542,
                -0.09047922084827542
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 169.75203172560373,
                "observedExpected": 1.0328916235092331,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02449007802964551,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00223138785610547,
                "rows": 6
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 155.66736942823627,
                "observedExpected": 1.0380225631439584,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.024369023713023304,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0020753619186148855,
                "rows": 6
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "London",
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.03787350508871201,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.03787350508871201,
                -0.03787350508871201
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 15681.775261470437,
                "observedExpected": 2.717279225544669,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0391456494946606,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.06722401064763382,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 15109.524604474838,
                "observedExpected": 2.662748616326701,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03994731590135341,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.06642234424094101,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North East",
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.0637442189163524,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.0637442189163524,
                -0.0637442189163524
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2135.554191069371,
                "observedExpected": 0.319087383036153,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.05207227466688021,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.03545666881468564,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2007.5824179283277,
                "observedExpected": 0.3277934172698624,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.05068926029870652,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.03407365444651194,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North West",
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.13295206135990556,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.13295206135990556,
                -0.13295206135990556
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1966.1528934878916,
                "observedExpected": 0.6476100502173976,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.02849166108905535,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04399508790743894,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.015503426818383589,
                "rows": 3
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1735.4246137545115,
                "observedExpected": 0.6590977240053486,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.02849166108905535,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04322828019479573,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.014736619105740383,
                "rows": 3
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South East",
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.14628220022916016,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.14628220022916016,
                0.14628220022916016
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3611.066141868783,
                "observedExpected": 1.7327424996784637,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.018910484225912457,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.013856515481825251,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4229.812407376404,
                "observedExpected": 1.8311689343968691,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.017894034292652607,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.014872965415085102,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South West",
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.7236388814545995,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.7236388814545995,
                -0.7236388814545995
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 189.76968031449042,
                "observedExpected": 1.0594250123796485,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02262512279459851,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006699581676040601,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 110.0982823933175,
                "observedExpected": 1.0746552687434618,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.022304474461642954,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005012491003761757,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "West Midlands",
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.016603995766224067,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.016603995766224067,
                0.016603995766224067
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1661.7497813433079,
                "observedExpected": 0.9566501987693778,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029028040190931085,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.01231190819779719,
                "rows": 3
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1689.807335182411,
                "observedExpected": 0.9690184523888604,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.028657535210068356,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.012416387103137834,
                "rows": 3
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber",
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -33.94321129645411,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -33.94321129645411,
                -33.94321129645411
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 18.92290276266249,
                "observedExpected": 0.9571479401861903,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03950164504878395,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0019096006994195652,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 0.541533020595125,
                "observedExpected": 1.0034094374995983,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.037680449056395005,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0002755582756403134,
                "rows": 2
              }
            }
          ],
          "stress": [
            {
              "year": 2020,
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.07939700135245986,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.29916420316305087,
                0.04597407840358978
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3616.7990409054146,
                "observedExpected": 1.2178439511494896,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.041959591457611536,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.034453996686527065,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007684018020254326,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3350.758836992921,
                "observedExpected": 1.1968756666888811,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.041959591457611536,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03505760257762732,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007453203621943797,
                "rows": 28
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2021,
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.22339157389311182,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.4484161892470933,
                -0.09002037158595388
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 7234.873012386118,
                "observedExpected": 1.336190445722756,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0420658955137434,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03148196100967451,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.010676570271951394,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 5913.783588817027,
                "observedExpected": 1.2808980922584354,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0420658955137434,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03284093853209997,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.009448561200223983,
                "rows": 28
              }
            }
          ],
          "supportiveYears": 1,
          "positiveRegions": 3,
          "status": "Not consistently supported"
        },
        {
          "id": "burglary-history",
          "model": "DCH",
          "comparator": "DH",
          "gain": -0.053042444638806474,
          "gainInterval95": [
            -0.7338408826364957,
            0.25619329033175336
          ],
          "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
          "modelMetrics": {
            "deviance": 3389.2954054616825,
            "observedExpected": 0.9741785309203165,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03746344702144092,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03845644903100957,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.003951727360076481,
            "rows": 84
          },
          "baselineMetrics": {
            "deviance": 3218.5743535002625,
            "observedExpected": 0.9952077145034838,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03746344702144092,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.037643847083853946,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0034717891977458113,
            "rows": 84
          },
          "annual": [
            {
              "year": 2023,
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": 0.003914703494535932,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.6892150511949086,
                0.2385660852688266
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 663.5116083014389,
                "observedExpected": 1.0162570194007619,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03928295277994277,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.038654545090479234,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0030553678891266397,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 666.1192677265858,
                "observedExpected": 1.0041234583719538,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03928295277994277,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03912163634104775,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0025317048711855374,
                "rows": 28
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2024,
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.09245579776136492,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.9349915070708451,
                0.2952300465775145
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1471.9308113485931,
                "observedExpected": 0.9308228571135547,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036850785315082284,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.039589471867241335,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004580992039006838,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1347.3596042648496,
                "observedExpected": 0.9731943051219581,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036850785315082284,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03786580451728418,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004186268281204188,
                "rows": 28
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2025,
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.04045945325575162,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.6801354644846159,
                0.2955369343558658
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1253.852985811651,
                "observedExpected": 0.9771796590162997,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03715282449710791,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004201054023122292,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1205.095481508827,
                "observedExpected": 1.0085635002085223,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.035996726399547686,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.003679769620711522,
                "rows": 28
              }
            }
          ],
          "spatial": {
            "model": "DCH",
            "comparator": "DH",
            "gain": -0.033722074340855945,
            "gainInterval95": [
              -0.06276404426363191,
              0.23207341391488268
            ],
            "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
            "modelMetrics": {
              "deviance": 42664.08252246354,
              "observedExpected": 0.6827523099403602,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.053174458504208724,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.026911650926450415,
              "rows": 28
            },
            "baselineMetrics": {
              "deviance": 41272.295118267575,
              "observedExpected": 0.7020363153976613,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.05171382673133048,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.026656541393799343,
              "rows": 28
            }
          },
          "regions": [
            {
              "region": "East Midlands",
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": 0.09070897226474317,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.09070897226474317,
                0.09070897226474317
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 511.8253651686946,
                "observedExpected": 1.28518812524439,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02196265198999805,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006263487546422514,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 562.8839937456353,
                "observedExpected": 1.3042316598522417,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.021641967761784238,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00658417177463632,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "East of England",
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.12257505122573664,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.12257505122573664,
                -0.12257505122573664
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1657.859055908325,
                "observedExpected": 1.3792213799706943,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.018340490383382712,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006966296078970919,
                "rows": 6
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1476.8358285694246,
                "observedExpected": 1.365554135680807,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.01852405246702069,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006805752391501938,
                "rows": 6
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "London",
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.05902848118591675,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.05902848118591675,
                -0.05902848118591675
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 37385.246276465354,
                "observedExpected": 0.3368670468159138,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.31576154790949845,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.21087664934581657,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 35301.455003930365,
                "observedExpected": 0.34587077184861137,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.30754162768299115,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.2027432009395274,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North East",
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.08398513741489233,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.08398513741489233,
                -0.08398513741489233
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 507.9986440683674,
                "observedExpected": 0.5418800227340576,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03066288690319395,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.014047281050999375,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 468.63986094851066,
                "observedExpected": 0.5515597282302552,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.030124762562900875,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.013509156710706302,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North West",
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": 0.14831732850824453,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.14831732850824453,
                0.14831732850824453
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 536.1699628138922,
                "observedExpected": 0.8822840642841603,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.02849166108905535,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03229307004674511,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007050271677151891,
                "rows": 3
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 629.5419418065294,
                "observedExpected": 0.8682621461733736,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.02849166108905535,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03281458395327322,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007811802669926244,
                "rows": 3
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South East",
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": 0.3020901266458529,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.3020901266458529,
                0.3020901266458529
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1301.1150598732183,
                "observedExpected": 1.3736880068245394,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02385330551402494,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00891369419371277,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1864.3024114561867,
                "observedExpected": 1.4731082170195335,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.022243443712528836,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.010523555995208872,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South West",
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -1.0289989491995786,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -1.0289989491995786,
                -1.0289989491995786
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 195.16354754234067,
                "observedExpected": 1.1041498946403345,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02170866574648042,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006519728137574032,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 96.18711119556315,
                "observedExpected": 1.1211021230403053,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02138040817526563,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004282304786336843,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "West Midlands",
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": 0.332586456989855,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.332586456989855,
                0.332586456989855
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 560.6219519112785,
                "observedExpected": 1.216504610254303,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.022827435411637797,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006399766119442737,
                "rows": 3
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 839.9918727791785,
                "observedExpected": 1.2790993256150953,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.021710339347717027,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007633058200773207,
                "rows": 3
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber",
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": 0.7509740473726861,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.7509740473726861,
                0.7509740473726861
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 8.082658712073226,
                "observedExpected": 0.966925825991595,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03910219085692125,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0012932726645116725,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 32.4570938361976,
                "observedExpected": 1.0446558921354532,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.036192700847282606,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00265112287538635,
                "rows": 2
              }
            }
          ],
          "stress": [
            {
              "year": 2020,
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.3356762607343826,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.8507289011243985,
                0.11919117926607019
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 957.4774950384434,
                "observedExpected": 1.0845741289373267,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.041959591457611536,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03868761971920152,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.003711556408712792,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 716.8484783221365,
                "observedExpected": 1.0595845325967985,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.041959591457611536,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.039600041494356475,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00348529912575556,
                "rows": 28
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2021,
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.6854781697035004,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -1.265676315757489,
                -0.42392317487096537
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3533.242060905429,
                "observedExpected": 1.1738408285080975,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0420658955137434,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03583611550401377,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006433429670944,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2096.284677200522,
                "observedExpected": 1.1009072225881902,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0420658955137434,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.038210209407880995,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005340603473612523,
                "rows": 28
              }
            }
          ],
          "supportiveYears": 0,
          "positiveRegions": 5,
          "status": "Not consistently supported"
        },
        {
          "id": "education-after-burglary",
          "model": "DCE",
          "comparator": "DC",
          "gain": 0.005210818935559747,
          "gainInterval95": [
            -0.060895776981177506,
            0.07428619081547227
          ],
          "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
          "modelMetrics": {
            "deviance": 5230.678404512368,
            "observedExpected": 1.0098311232050294,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03746344702144092,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03709872488633389,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004818848256550157,
            "rows": 84
          },
          "baselineMetrics": {
            "deviance": 5258.077293236602,
            "observedExpected": 1.014629746207662,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03746344702144092,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03692326896729219,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004771403010838126,
            "rows": 84
          },
          "annual": [
            {
              "year": 2023,
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": 0.03477237678757239,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.0900731081883139,
                0.16193776284960468
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2085.426626345835,
                "observedExpected": 1.077925898432453,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03928295277994277,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03644309208737728,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005503312001997903,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2160.5542321770804,
                "observedExpected": 1.0852687611179803,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03928295277994277,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.036196520334258755,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0055970215904103575,
                "rows": 28
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2024,
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -0.021722636590496558,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.08032653519477703,
                0.03487689519331627
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1548.6989819355522,
                "observedExpected": 0.9817560927761987,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036850785315082284,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03753558097192557,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004454789051884562,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1515.7724087464514,
                "observedExpected": 0.9864090552173,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036850785315082284,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.037358522937488925,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004307059630629588,
                "rows": 28
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2025,
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -0.0093580766957575,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.05470320962714515,
                0.024842187336114506
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1596.552796230981,
                "observedExpected": 0.9732177452053459,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03730407152195534,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004514168958603917,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1581.7506523130708,
                "observedExpected": 0.9759674830728433,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03719896923130034,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004428629050916718,
                "rows": 28
              }
            }
          ],
          "spatial": {
            "model": "DCE",
            "comparator": "DC",
            "gain": -0.12366100619330389,
            "gainInterval95": [
              -0.4185879219543358,
              -0.03758873835231307
            ],
            "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
            "modelMetrics": {
              "deviance": 29153.069886682726,
              "observedExpected": 1.1935924205334987,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03041656745553824,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0171099991309028,
              "rows": 28
            },
            "baselineMetrics": {
              "deviance": 25944.71973842573,
              "observedExpected": 1.2204836291821883,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029746391926537583,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.015394244350124799,
              "rows": 28
            }
          },
          "regions": [
            {
              "region": "East Midlands",
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -0.1935656819556093,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.1935656819556093,
                -0.1935656819556093
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 608.6908719834428,
                "observedExpected": 0.9409859483510675,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029996345413959163,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.008329713822382656,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 509.9768543831851,
                "observedExpected": 1.062327363298076,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02657009553890277,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0069658040508258886,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "East of England",
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -3.5928223363039544,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -3.5928223363039544,
                -3.5928223363039544
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 779.6409229423302,
                "observedExpected": 0.9015366831545812,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.028058310802613305,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00655801503133316,
                "rows": 6
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 169.75203172560373,
                "observedExpected": 1.0328916235092331,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02449007802964551,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00223138785610547,
                "rows": 6
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "London",
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -0.03408225820194688,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.03408225820194688,
                -0.03408225820194688
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 16216.245574996776,
                "observedExpected": 2.7707301993141225,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.038390479220468884,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.06797918092182555,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 15681.775261470437,
                "observedExpected": 2.717279225544669,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0391456494946606,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.06722401064763382,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North East",
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": 0.005674433329147077,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.005674433329147077,
                0.005674433329147077
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2123.436131191367,
                "observedExpected": 0.3201189167746072,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.05190447980896258,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.03528887395676801,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2135.554191069371,
                "observedExpected": 0.319087383036153,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.05207227466688021,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.03545666881468564,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North West",
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -0.06837365538855766,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.06837365538855766,
                -0.06837365538855766
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2100.585953868448,
                "observedExpected": 0.6366889167266779,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.02849166108905535,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04474973623780927,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.016258075148753916,
                "rows": 3
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1966.1528934878916,
                "observedExpected": 0.6476100502173976,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.02849166108905535,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04399508790743894,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.015503426818383589,
                "rows": 3
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South East",
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -0.4676449533812699,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.4676449533812699,
                -0.4676449533812699
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 5299.762999439692,
                "observedExpected": 1.9658493207409462,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.016668113553783222,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.016098886153954484,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3611.066141868783,
                "observedExpected": 1.7327424996784637,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.018910484225912457,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.013856515481825251,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South West",
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -0.07200140091019569,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.07200140091019569,
                -0.07200140091019569
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 203.43336314741373,
                "observedExpected": 1.0472183276385711,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.022888847878368382,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0069921935850095155,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 189.76968031449042,
                "observedExpected": 1.0594250123796485,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02262512279459851,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006699581676040601,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "West Midlands",
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -0.07565178418323937,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.07565178418323937,
                -0.07565178418323937
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1787.4641171680369,
                "observedExpected": 0.978203180127602,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.028388458535697346,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.012831825889176737,
                "rows": 3
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1661.7497813433079,
                "observedExpected": 0.9566501987693778,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029028040190931085,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.01231190819779719,
                "rows": 3
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber",
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -0.7867212218586932,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.7867212218586932,
                -0.7867212218586932
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 33.80995194521756,
                "observedExpected": 0.9381467178481686,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.040301711313484166,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.002492793121074589,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 18.92290276266249,
                "observedExpected": 0.9571479401861903,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03950164504878395,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0019096006994195652,
                "rows": 2
              }
            }
          ],
          "stress": [
            {
              "year": 2020,
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -0.30280903960836536,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.3695101244327469,
                -0.22426917102206073
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4711.99848493844,
                "observedExpected": 1.268987929372063,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.041959591457611536,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03306539840640921,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.009031197144569375,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3616.7990409054146,
                "observedExpected": 1.2178439511494896,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.041959591457611536,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.034453996686527065,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007684018020254326,
                "rows": 28
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2021,
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -0.26281318091055184,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.30550632911444,
                -0.21848289780704536
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 9136.29300225522,
                "observedExpected": 1.397910817851864,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0420658955137434,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03009197366280136,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.012066477509041416,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 7234.873012386118,
                "observedExpected": 1.336190445722756,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0420658955137434,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03148196100967451,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.010676570271951394,
                "rows": 28
              }
            }
          ],
          "supportiveYears": 1,
          "positiveRegions": 1,
          "status": "Not consistently supported"
        },
        {
          "id": "education-after-burglary-history",
          "model": "DCEH",
          "comparator": "DCH",
          "gain": -0.1713457782239436,
          "gainInterval95": [
            -0.3695291154517482,
            0.02793543073960828
          ],
          "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
          "modelMetrics": {
            "deviance": 3970.0368643413512,
            "observedExpected": 0.9610431241096267,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03746344702144092,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03898206654997872,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004397170147731295,
            "rows": 84
          },
          "baselineMetrics": {
            "deviance": 3389.2954054616825,
            "observedExpected": 0.9741785309203165,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03746344702144092,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03845644903100957,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.003951727360076481,
            "rows": 84
          },
          "annual": [
            {
              "year": 2023,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": -0.5680873070196888,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -1.666561787703108,
                -0.06924114097285826
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1040.4441310377058,
                "observedExpected": 0.9955539463679575,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03928295277994277,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0394583868842641,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004044437000717249,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 663.5116083014389,
                "observedExpected": 1.0162570194007619,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03928295277994277,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.038654545090479234,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0030553678891266397,
                "rows": 28
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2024,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": -0.1417677096755683,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.2702239773574903,
                0.041212634574551356
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1680.603071274384,
                "observedExpected": 0.9195724262449666,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036850785315082284,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0400738259035896,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0049121029013707036,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1471.9308113485931,
                "observedExpected": 0.9308228571135547,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036850785315082284,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.039589471867241335,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004580992039006838,
                "rows": 28
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2025,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.0038787033547172944,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.14507950261915603,
                0.13810125344101573
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1248.9896620292611,
                "observedExpected": 0.9694293542509627,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03744985048614261,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004232930760176868,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1253.852985811651,
                "observedExpected": 0.9771796590162997,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03715282449710791,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004201054023122292,
                "rows": 28
              }
            }
          ],
          "spatial": {
            "model": "DCEH",
            "comparator": "DCH",
            "gain": 0.024453730100629567,
            "gainInterval95": [
              -0.23697243560242837,
              0.16895539179543148
            ],
            "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
            "modelMetrics": {
              "deviance": 41620.78656346823,
              "observedExpected": 0.6886617327712365,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.05271816720159812,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0266690599238517,
              "rows": 28
            },
            "baselineMetrics": {
              "deviance": 42664.08252246354,
              "observedExpected": 0.6827523099403602,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.053174458504208724,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.026911650926450415,
              "rows": 28
            }
          },
          "regions": [
            {
              "region": "East Midlands",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.4411359316027792,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.4411359316027792,
                0.4411359316027792
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 286.04080588706984,
                "observedExpected": 1.1437172653215366,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.024679298277870503,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004583527948696783,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 511.8253651686946,
                "observedExpected": 1.28518812524439,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02196265198999805,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006263487546422514,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "East of England",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.14927141827726242,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.14927141827726242,
                0.14927141827726242
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1410.388083329086,
                "observedExpected": 1.3569128737150333,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.018642019650570954,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006653576805337401,
                "rows": 6
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1657.859055908325,
                "observedExpected": 1.3792213799706943,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.018340490383382712,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006966296078970919,
                "rows": 6
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "London",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.03397023371537733,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.03397023371537733,
                0.03397023371537733
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 36115.260722946885,
                "observedExpected": 0.34220967239082395,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.3108318341768373,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.20597319355480329,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 37385.246276465354,
                "observedExpected": 0.3368670468159138,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.31576154790949845,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.21087664934581657,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North East",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.03005107709513588,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.03005107709513588,
                0.03005107709513588
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 492.7327376512444,
                "observedExpected": 0.544643042040933,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.030507331535772775,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.013891725683578207,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 507.9986440683674,
                "observedExpected": 0.5418800227340576,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03066288690319395,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.014047281050999375,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North West",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.06474309566561753,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.06474309566561753,
                0.06474309566561753
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 501.4566596184018,
                "observedExpected": 0.8958436615248061,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.02849166108905535,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03180427826051701,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006794496172670042,
                "rows": 3
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 536.1699628138922,
                "observedExpected": 0.8822840642841603,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.02849166108905535,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03229307004674511,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007050271677151891,
                "rows": 3
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South East",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": -0.6210068908696589,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.6210068908696589,
                -0.6210068908696589
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2109.1164778687757,
                "observedExpected": 1.5271963583975403,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02145565599836784,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.011311343709369868,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1301.1150598732183,
                "observedExpected": 1.3736880068245394,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02385330551402494,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00891369419371277,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South West",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.05345888115808639,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.05345888115808639,
                0.05345888115808639
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 184.73032264788412,
                "observedExpected": 1.1174456535949668,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.021450368453844022,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0062350560058907585,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 195.16354754234067,
                "observedExpected": 1.1041498946403345,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02170866574648042,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006519728137574032,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "West Midlands",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.13558889110220285,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.13558889110220285,
                0.13558889110220285
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 484.60784312407577,
                "observedExpected": 1.20199233943696,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02310304276277472,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006010270857748635,
                "rows": 3
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 560.6219519112785,
                "observedExpected": 1.216504610254303,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.022827435411637797,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006399766119442737,
                "rows": 3
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": -3.510014797526205,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -3.510014797526205,
                -3.510014797526205
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 36.45291039480435,
                "observedExpected": 0.924923647564486,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04087788034392702,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0030689621515174377,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 8.082658712073226,
                "observedExpected": 0.966925825991595,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03910219085692125,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0012932726645116725,
                "rows": 2
              }
            }
          ],
          "stress": [
            {
              "year": 2020,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.3535731797424342,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.3231533449134577,
                0.6522083846370285
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 618.9391325858802,
                "observedExpected": 0.9876400234916025,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.041959591457611536,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04248470136849239,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.003353866758687591,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 957.4774950384434,
                "observedExpected": 1.0845741289373267,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.041959591457611536,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03868761971920152,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.003711556408712792,
                "rows": 28
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2021,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.4523734699486459,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.35725915529863483,
                0.5854117913205604
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1934.897089645135,
                "observedExpected": 1.0598777544606663,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0420658955137434,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03968938430559779,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0050624153436044554,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3533.242060905429,
                "observedExpected": 1.1738408285080975,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0420658955137434,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03583611550401377,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006433429670944,
                "rows": 28
              }
            }
          ],
          "supportiveYears": 0,
          "positiveRegions": 7,
          "status": "Not consistently supported"
        },
        {
          "id": "all-social-history",
          "model": "DCEH",
          "comparator": "BH",
          "gain": 0.16833491773935105,
          "gainInterval95": [
            -0.32606913254715014,
            0.47094465514751127
          ],
          "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
          "modelMetrics": {
            "deviance": 3970.0368643413512,
            "observedExpected": 0.9610431241096267,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03746344702144092,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03898206654997872,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004397170147731295,
            "rows": 84
          },
          "baselineMetrics": {
            "deviance": 4773.600514223726,
            "observedExpected": 1.017385670922351,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.03746344702144092,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03682325011269027,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004472348558531096,
            "rows": 84
          },
          "annual": [
            {
              "year": 2023,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -0.03430956846579658,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.977849397708869,
                0.37447298914704863
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1040.4441310377058,
                "observedExpected": 0.9955539463679575,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03928295277994277,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0394583868842641,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004044437000717249,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1005.9310701156992,
                "observedExpected": 1.0284201305557727,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03928295277994277,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03819737830171967,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0035758449839232696,
                "rows": 28
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2024,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.11124596813853549,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.4885258784653895,
                0.5201122745494405
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1680.603071274384,
                "observedExpected": 0.9195724262449666,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036850785315082284,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0400738259035896,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0049121029013707036,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1890.9653413941978,
                "observedExpected": 1.0021469196143822,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036850785315082284,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03677183913239204,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005062814428090277,
                "rows": 28
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2025,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.33447704397131883,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.0214438794523768,
                0.5612436081394341
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1248.9896620292611,
                "observedExpected": 0.9694293542509627,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03744985048614261,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004232930760176868,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1876.704102713829,
                "observedExpected": 1.0213897799266176,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03554469125017551,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004759894591522299,
                "rows": 28
              }
            }
          ],
          "spatial": {
            "model": "DCEH",
            "comparator": "BH",
            "gain": 0.10722006872903944,
            "gainInterval95": [
              -0.4400162321435259,
              0.31421886783614233
            ],
            "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
            "modelMetrics": {
              "deviance": 41620.78656346823,
              "observedExpected": 0.6886617327712365,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.05271816720159812,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0266690599238517,
              "rows": 28
            },
            "baselineMetrics": {
              "deviance": 46619.31244827258,
              "observedExpected": 0.6873841298397706,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.036304984373576335,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.05281615154839119,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.028392719629009282,
              "rows": 28
            }
          },
          "regions": [
            {
              "region": "East Midlands",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.6767389791459144,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.6767389791459144,
                0.6767389791459144
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 286.04080588706984,
                "observedExpected": 1.1437172653215366,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.024679298277870503,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004583527948696783,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 884.8601824349978,
                "observedExpected": 1.427461140705223,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0197736657983388,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00845247373808176,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "East of England",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.0483695141444328,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.0483695141444328,
                0.0483695141444328
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1410.388083329086,
                "observedExpected": 1.3569128737150333,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.018642019650570954,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006653576805337401,
                "rows": 6
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1482.0753478290167,
                "observedExpected": 1.3808856634637239,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.018318385891890946,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006977210564017402,
                "rows": 6
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "London",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.12505275219159073,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.12505275219159073,
                0.12505275219159073
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 36115.260722946885,
                "observedExpected": 0.34220967239082395,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.3108318341768373,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.20597319355480329,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 41277.072204535,
                "observedExpected": 0.3222363783482607,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.3300982362312122,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.22535912876067404,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North East",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -4.145483477122119,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -4.145483477122119,
                -4.145483477122119
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 492.7327376512444,
                "observedExpected": 0.544643042040933,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.030507331535772775,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.013891725683578207,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 95.76024096511742,
                "observedExpected": 0.7524812833358479,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.022081088553505837,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005465482701311262,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North West",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -0.1686670614099861,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.1686670614099861,
                -0.1686670614099861
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 501.4566596184018,
                "observedExpected": 0.8958436615248061,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.02849166108905535,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03180427826051701,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006794496172670042,
                "rows": 3
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 429.08427573324343,
                "observedExpected": 1.0787192910994643,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.02849166108905535,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.026412488702242238,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006394644595235909,
                "rows": 3
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South East",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -1.2148317319642348,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -1.2148317319642348,
                -1.2148317319642348
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2109.1164778687757,
                "observedExpected": 1.5271963583975403,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02145565599836784,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.011311343709369868,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 952.2693970066498,
                "observedExpected": 1.2658411138333456,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.025885554948132022,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00688144475960569,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South West",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -0.7277337901398611,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.7277337901398611,
                -0.7277337901398611
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 184.73032264788412,
                "observedExpected": 1.1174456535949668,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.021450368453844022,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0062350560058907585,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 106.92059372927474,
                "observedExpected": 1.1096845184918902,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.021600392361366235,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004672809195768067,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "West Midlands",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.6003196070484833,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.6003196070484833,
                0.6003196070484833
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 484.60784312407577,
                "observedExpected": 1.20199233943696,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02310304276277472,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006010270857748635,
                "rows": 3
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1212.4884074132233,
                "observedExpected": 1.409546960591808,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.019701138872932917,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.008391565882748326,
                "rows": 3
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.7961039061305688,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.7961039061305688,
                0.7961039061305688
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 36.45291039480435,
                "observedExpected": 0.924923647564486,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04087788034392702,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0030689621515174377,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 178.78179862605748,
                "observedExpected": 1.1901110773293815,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03176923474845145,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00603968344395813,
                "rows": 2
              }
            }
          ],
          "stress": [
            {
              "year": 2020,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.2501023224587855,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.005591250501692824,
                0.4147838538995341
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 618.9391325858802,
                "observedExpected": 0.9876400234916025,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.041959591457611536,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04248470136849239,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.003353866758687591,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 825.364781252924,
                "observedExpected": 0.9733346456349276,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.041959591457611536,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04310911118368788,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004007670009805827,
                "rows": 28
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2021,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -0.11778663456740457,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.3789333110883382,
                0.17194387130408742
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1934.897089645135,
                "observedExpected": 1.0598777544606663,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0420658955137434,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03968938430559779,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0050624153436044554,
                "rows": 28
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1731.0075374035591,
                "observedExpected": 1.0132349543927308,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0420658955137434,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04151642748937244,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005211017300915605,
                "rows": 28
              }
            }
          ],
          "supportiveYears": 2,
          "positiveRegions": 5,
          "status": "Not consistently supported"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
      "label": "Crime sensitivity: include recording-break force",
      "areas": 29,
      "rows": 232,
      "regions": [
        "East Midlands",
        "East of England",
        "London",
        "North East",
        "North West",
        "South East",
        "South West",
        "West Midlands",
        "Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "comparisons": [
        {
          "id": "burglary",
          "model": "DC",
          "comparator": "D",
          "gain": -0.00709794076549497,
          "gainInterval95": [
            -0.05257665784420242,
            0.01733309460055115
          ],
          "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
          "modelMetrics": {
            "deviance": 6573.00865152554,
            "observedExpected": 0.986802254333319,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.036657664663392736,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03714793364366457,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005082038885994992,
            "rows": 87
          },
          "baselineMetrics": {
            "deviance": 6526.682644718147,
            "observedExpected": 0.9900311462627867,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.036657664663392736,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03702677920969427,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005044794505094498,
            "rows": 87
          },
          "annual": [
            {
              "year": 2023,
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.002355101681103644,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.04225454129119446,
                0.030153849233855806
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2518.1975792816115,
                "observedExpected": 1.032843713221671,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0383283849698747,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03710956893015292,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0056315370756648865,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2512.2809023051877,
                "observedExpected": 1.030406981240955,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0383283849698747,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03719732655898205,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005676104610952253,
                "rows": 29
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2024,
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.014632513820876047,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.09221370659761563,
                0.0293245800350635
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2019.7638362301182,
                "observedExpected": 0.9627219706283896,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03612740639848048,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.037526313412063646,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004850214501844639,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1990.635829936245,
                "observedExpected": 0.9704233661397235,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03612740639848048,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03722850011556583,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004750235406480958,
                "rows": 29
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2025,
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.005574421165780885,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.05960700718624639,
                0.014684956139992027
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2035.047236013811,
                "observedExpected": 0.9660131070054712,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03681352939197891,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004778172254477159,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2023.765912476715,
                "observedExpected": 0.9699591062322506,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0366637641517926,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00472339408935287,
                "rows": 29
              }
            }
          ],
          "spatial": {
            "model": "DC",
            "comparator": "D",
            "gain": -0.03696948245751552,
            "gainInterval95": [
              -0.05663691579660351,
              0.03562035724741484
            ],
            "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
            "modelMetrics": {
              "deviance": 39219.88937023622,
              "observedExpected": 1.1897749581501884,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029889981852596403,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.017477727074688164,
              "rows": 29
            },
            "baselineMetrics": {
              "deviance": 37821.642809862584,
              "observedExpected": 1.1926103347770396,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029818919785255103,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.017387635982711654,
              "rows": 29
            }
          },
          "regions": [
            {
              "region": "East Midlands",
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.022780541139723054,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.022780541139723054,
                -0.022780541139723054
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 409.81774739371167,
                "observedExpected": 1.044941623353264,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.027012168819384976,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006470199787679283,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 400.68981654367053,
                "observedExpected": 1.0339810018864868,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02729850885550342,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006466982168070213,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "East of England",
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.06139750921604237,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.06139750921604237,
                -0.06139750921604237
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 260.0397840643559,
                "observedExpected": 1.0237215808513056,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02470944925755405,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0027248858135791505,
                "rows": 6
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 244.99754503515237,
                "observedExpected": 1.0282736678931186,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.024600062459770818,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0026541082349535875,
                "rows": 6
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "London",
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.05855426676582254,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.05855426676582254,
                -0.05855426676582254
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 25659.39427113713,
                "observedExpected": 3.8176152187507446,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0278628552243414,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.07850680491795303,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 24240.036696024767,
                "observedExpected": 3.664174094243222,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029029641443459694,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.07734001869883474,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North East",
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.02390034473912661,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.02390034473912661,
                -0.02390034473912661
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2230.2694098244833,
                "observedExpected": 0.31189225753694144,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.05327354383020095,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.03665793797800638,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2178.209452984138,
                "observedExpected": 0.31523434987973104,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.05270874147609167,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0360931356238971,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North West",
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.03460235943726864,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.03460235943726864,
                -0.03460235943726864
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4728.322099820987,
                "observedExpected": 0.5567336148739116,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04767297338766786,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.021131826581763744,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4570.182985463876,
                "observedExpected": 0.560395887348926,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04736142324573927,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.020820276439835163,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South East",
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.07940345424838546,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.07940345424838546,
                0.07940345424838546
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3722.631264233505,
                "observedExpected": 1.7466668264039933,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.018759730941474297,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.014007268766263412,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4043.7163070106776,
                "observedExpected": 1.7973169323699418,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.018231063824971118,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.014535935882766589,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South West",
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.39583160226951986,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.39583160226951986,
                -0.39583160226951986
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 171.80792456466315,
                "observedExpected": 1.081434996696192,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02216464333962403,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006254214055308849,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 123.08642696247603,
                "observedExpected": 1.0896045029618329,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.021998459928903407,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0052132325011368785,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "West Midlands",
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.009987397655169206,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.009987397655169206,
                -0.009987397655169206
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2037.5759699229097,
                "observedExpected": 0.9951077047328546,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.027906205817183106,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.013931236772940735,
                "rows": 3
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2017.4271230051336,
                "observedExpected": 0.9865236940288828,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.028149025296220296,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.013903807824460959,
                "rows": 3
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber",
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": 0.9906265193060193,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.9906265193060193,
                0.9906265193060193
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 0.030899274479907035,
                "observedExpected": 1.0023081077138096,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.037721852094610826,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 8.706609779875432e-05,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3.296456832705644,
                "observedExpected": 1.0215295498191888,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03701206509307711,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0007968530993324609,
                "rows": 2
              }
            }
          ],
          "stress": [
            {
              "year": 2020,
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.07308764689954539,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.21167492673618954,
                0.013566560069268102
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4387.859573256393,
                "observedExpected": 1.2350524363453197,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04102758255477094,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.033219304174790236,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00827719071260116,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4089.0039000394454,
                "observedExpected": 1.2154528137149598,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04102758255477094,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0337549776443995,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007896686932120629,
                "rows": 29
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2021,
              "model": "DC",
              "comparator": "D",
              "gain": -0.17739055290202166,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.31953339519046153,
                -0.08255976490945263
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 8349.092851658563,
                "observedExpected": 1.3548127558363625,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04133270554568502,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.030508057565614834,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.010902287507385505,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 7091.18383112536,
                "observedExpected": 1.3081412433544115,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04133270554568502,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03159651586223006,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.009811947831629496,
                "rows": 29
              }
            }
          ],
          "supportiveYears": 0,
          "positiveRegions": 2,
          "status": "Not consistently supported"
        },
        {
          "id": "burglary-history",
          "model": "DCH",
          "comparator": "DH",
          "gain": -0.02704993544301959,
          "gainInterval95": [
            -0.5609672875238341,
            0.19459275556155725
          ],
          "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
          "modelMetrics": {
            "deviance": 3594.4133574866337,
            "observedExpected": 0.9836672633299653,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.036657664663392736,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03726632574850276,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0038191931911254143,
            "rows": 87
          },
          "baselineMetrics": {
            "deviance": 3499.7454684967947,
            "observedExpected": 1.0018144361287857,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.036657664663392736,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.036591272137228716,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00341522244988323,
            "rows": 87
          },
          "annual": [
            {
              "year": 2023,
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.04566659329397482,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.4937026943981744,
                0.09435666541770134
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1002.8612904365488,
                "observedExpected": 1.0151313347417845,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0383283849698747,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.037757070103273054,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0032683408346630095,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 959.0641002285591,
                "observedExpected": 1.007792116861348,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0383283849698747,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.038032034909385906,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.002838334990649527,
                "rows": 29
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2024,
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.017380798416849697,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.7040015203994953,
                0.29336989316909057
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1330.6445071715214,
                "observedExpected": 0.9487777793186737,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03612740639848048,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03807783780984406,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004214177425778257,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1307.9119531665456,
                "observedExpected": 0.9841253630177413,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03612740639848048,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.036710166972730676,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0038467990690408257,
                "rows": 29
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2025,
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.022825148346621305,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.5605443100885702,
                0.25333172428395184
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1260.9075598785632,
                "observedExpected": 0.9879833588827179,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03599488957789656,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.003964171526882416,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1232.7694151016897,
                "observedExpected": 1.013720912310398,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03508100846684881,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0035494541870840723,
                "rows": 29
              }
            }
          ],
          "spatial": {
            "model": "DCH",
            "comparator": "DH",
            "gain": 0.007592448081113701,
            "gainInterval95": [
              -0.025268467437702825,
              0.20905200019026188
            ],
            "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
            "modelMetrics": {
              "deviance": 31886.12519301478,
              "observedExpected": 0.7482221203802247,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.047529137323166847,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.02170398370304239,
              "rows": 29
            },
            "baselineMetrics": {
              "deviance": 32130.0710896051,
              "observedExpected": 0.7598083417408297,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.046804371515985654,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.022030540406656807,
              "rows": 29
            }
          },
          "regions": [
            {
              "region": "East Midlands",
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": 0.07987411466124283,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.07987411466124283,
                0.07987411466124283
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 515.1489299013801,
                "observedExpected": 1.29039015251188,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02187411263289278,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006352026903527776,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 559.8678812429246,
                "observedExpected": 1.3058287029484552,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02161549939336471,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006610640143055853,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "East of England",
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.08393127940135536,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.08393127940135536,
                -0.08393127940135536
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1378.9720937071118,
                "observedExpected": 1.3644587282240135,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.018538923847724754,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006756672608183598,
                "rows": 6
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1272.1951288911089,
                "observedExpected": 1.354162576052701,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.018679881502591388,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006615714953316965,
                "rows": 6
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "London",
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.0196440211696709,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.0196440211696709,
                -0.0196440211696709
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 26568.956862880976,
                "observedExpected": 0.39029018321030734,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.27253993238404683,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.16776763637276643,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 26057.090819208406,
                "observedExpected": 0.39345943351736806,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.27034466855043404,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.16559445109865062,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North East",
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.04385602655652732,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.04385602655652732,
                -0.04385602655652732
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 494.5468509083971,
                "observedExpected": 0.5448600416782484,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.030495181480029408,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.013879575627834838,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 473.7692156070684,
                "observedExpected": 0.5495723356760668,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.030233701322965194,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.01361809547077062,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North West",
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": 0.14535274235054763,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.14535274235054763,
                0.14535274235054763
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 597.1198653123483,
                "observedExpected": 0.8766215284220402,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03027663130025955,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005842741593345514,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 698.6740552524734,
                "observedExpected": 0.8644837279580108,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.030701730926268232,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006423519606699239,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South East",
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": 0.2804666062532021,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.2804666062532021,
                0.2804666062532021
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1447.7248781945023,
                "observedExpected": 1.4013083931015635,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.023383146685658104,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.009383853022079601,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2012.0329240812875,
                "observedExpected": 1.5013361573070496,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.021825225182421474,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.010941774525316231,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South West",
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.8355654503812504,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.8355654503812504,
                -0.8355654503812504
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 191.7831326144269,
                "observedExpected": 1.1241325196662582,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02132277162827288,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006306568421393238,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 104.48177294609309,
                "observedExpected": 1.1363500909161777,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.021093517911749526,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0043389267441017645,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "West Midlands",
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": 0.2534077126634773,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.2534077126634773,
                0.2534077126634773
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 688.4545357277866,
                "observedExpected": 1.2382214119838382,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.022427071725442088,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0069691796612713144,
                "rows": 3
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 922.1291826946897,
                "observedExpected": 1.286434143054809,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.021586554250338005,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007955383720015743,
                "rows": 3
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber",
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": 0.8854163191352218,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.8854163191352218,
                0.8854163191352218
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3.4180437678546696,
                "observedExpected": 0.9815482752924634,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03851967258680576,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0007107543943961883,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 29.83010968104918,
                "observedExpected": 1.0499208949651488,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03601120653348328,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.002426121238661766,
                "rows": 2
              }
            }
          ],
          "stress": [
            {
              "year": 2020,
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.2025759222353387,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -1.0183426660184818,
                0.20826041763571868
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1406.4347066329174,
                "observedExpected": 1.1107021726981583,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04102758255477094,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03693841928399693,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005062233953877478,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1169.5184317499452,
                "observedExpected": 1.0797463734848423,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04102758255477094,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.037997425656875236,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004629380819670515,
                "rows": 29
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2021,
              "model": "DCH",
              "comparator": "DH",
              "gain": -0.6774098769589725,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -1.2009308774135476,
                -0.3416755193647432
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4543.619283109007,
                "observedExpected": 1.2348184293415256,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04133270554568502,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.033472698951963274,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00795967485285588,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2708.7114160471456,
                "observedExpected": 1.1523432564422638,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04133270554568502,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03586839712439097,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005988395254885225,
                "rows": 29
              }
            }
          ],
          "supportiveYears": 0,
          "positiveRegions": 5,
          "status": "Not consistently supported"
        },
        {
          "id": "education-after-burglary",
          "model": "DCE",
          "comparator": "DC",
          "gain": 0.014257178212457311,
          "gainInterval95": [
            -0.009657035035442968,
            0.043148435645444204
          ],
          "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
          "modelMetrics": {
            "deviance": 6479.296095788716,
            "observedExpected": 0.9892439165133152,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.036657664663392736,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03705624472536175,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005002984428034089,
            "rows": 87
          },
          "baselineMetrics": {
            "deviance": 6573.00865152554,
            "observedExpected": 0.986802254333319,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.036657664663392736,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03714793364366457,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005082038885994992,
            "rows": 87
          },
          "annual": [
            {
              "year": 2023,
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": 0.0004373589771398123,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.010283313306719166,
                0.01604486479446987
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2517.096222964101,
                "observedExpected": 1.0318254812934493,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0383283849698747,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.037146189607401424,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005620897723051843,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2518.1975792816115,
                "observedExpected": 1.032843713221671,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0383283849698747,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03710956893015292,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0056315370756648865,
                "rows": 29
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2024,
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": 0.02273714894296619,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.01237767221107447,
                0.057899540902017516
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1973.8401650561373,
                "observedExpected": 0.9662831152585987,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03612740639848048,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.037388013748757255,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004747762961694786,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2019.7638362301182,
                "observedExpected": 0.9627219706283896,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03612740639848048,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.037526313412063646,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004850214501844639,
                "rows": 29
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2025,
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": 0.02294174180289943,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.026756645290700914,
                0.08113940422787355
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1988.359707768478,
                "observedExpected": 0.970495444022951,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.036643502168714745,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004655918056366593,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2035.047236013811,
                "observedExpected": 0.9660131070054712,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03681352939197891,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004778172254477159,
                "rows": 29
              }
            }
          ],
          "spatial": {
            "model": "DCE",
            "comparator": "DC",
            "gain": -0.03298720812729594,
            "gainInterval95": [
              -0.2519164154676209,
              0.005030079881876764
            ],
            "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
            "modelMetrics": {
              "deviance": 40513.644023621724,
              "observedExpected": 1.1662428822836035,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.030493092346380413,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.018747012022892424,
              "rows": 29
            },
            "baselineMetrics": {
              "deviance": 39219.88937023622,
              "observedExpected": 1.1897749581501884,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029889981852596403,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.017477727074688164,
              "rows": 29
            }
          },
          "regions": [
            {
              "region": "East Midlands",
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -0.0834756803394674,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.0834756803394674,
                -0.0834756803394674
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 444.02756267258974,
                "observedExpected": 0.9857739477564463,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.028633480932075055,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00704322125122829,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 409.81774739371167,
                "observedExpected": 1.044941623353264,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.027012168819384976,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006470199787679283,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "East of England",
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -2.7852811466398264,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -2.7852811466398264,
                -2.7852811466398264
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 984.323691995098,
                "observedExpected": 0.8941882925652034,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02828889246955089,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007499525787364269,
                "rows": 6
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 260.0397840643559,
                "observedExpected": 1.0237215808513056,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02470944925755405,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0027248858135791505,
                "rows": 6
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "London",
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": 0.01131378912612202,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.01131378912612202,
                0.01131378912612202
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 25369.08929524946,
                "observedExpected": 3.781004221652093,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.028132647811701373,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.07823701233059303,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 25659.39427113713,
                "observedExpected": 3.8176152187507446,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0278628552243414,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.07850680491795303,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North East",
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": 0.030037682396778953,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.030037682396778953,
                0.030037682396778953
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2163.277285632924,
                "observedExpected": 0.3170359735571652,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.05240921295386876,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.03579360710167419,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2230.2694098244833,
                "observedExpected": 0.31189225753694144,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.05327354383020095,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.03665793797800638,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North West",
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -0.020516934114725993,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.020516934114725993,
                -0.020516934114725993
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4825.332772816218,
                "observedExpected": 0.5521796713051891,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.048066142571255306,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.021524995765351194,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4728.322099820987,
                "observedExpected": 0.5567336148739116,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04767297338766786,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.021131826581763744,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South East",
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -0.14229260845415181,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.14229260845415181,
                -0.14229260845415181
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4252.3341771342675,
                "observedExpected": 1.8201848764845792,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.018002017339591555,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.014764982368146152,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3722.631264233505,
                "observedExpected": 1.7466668264039933,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.018759730941474297,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.014007268766263412,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South West",
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -0.2070176708199074,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.2070176708199074,
                -0.2070176708199074
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 207.37520093644207,
                "observedExpected": 1.0494349524816355,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02284050187205676,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007049196162428961,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 171.80792456466315,
                "observedExpected": 1.081434996696192,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02216464333962403,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006254214055308849,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "West Midlands",
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -0.11055612486631361,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.11055612486631361,
                -0.11055612486631361
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2262.842473278307,
                "observedExpected": 1.0317830922387556,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.026914261948492738,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.014488415335725908,
                "rows": 3
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2037.5759699229097,
                "observedExpected": 0.9951077047328546,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.027906205817183106,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.013931236772940735,
                "rows": 3
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber",
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -162.16123893806673,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -162.16123893806673,
                -162.16123893806673
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 5.041563906429019,
                "observedExpected": 1.0296286071851306,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03672092823428264,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.001087989958126934,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 0.030899274479907035,
                "observedExpected": 1.0023081077138096,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.037721852094610826,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 8.706609779875432e-05,
                "rows": 2
              }
            }
          ],
          "stress": [
            {
              "year": 2020,
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -0.5415777007874729,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.6847301841694139,
                -0.39196642928143943
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 6764.226472318892,
                "observedExpected": 1.3352053806672055,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04102758255477094,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.030727544352966395,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.010425571548607135,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4387.859573256393,
                "observedExpected": 1.2350524363453197,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04102758255477094,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.033219304174790236,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00827719071260116,
                "rows": 29
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2021,
              "model": "DCE",
              "comparator": "DC",
              "gain": -0.4883476708071268,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.5833876616396745,
                -0.39944598452713564
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 12426.352899118454,
                "observedExpected": 1.4774433755205347,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04133270554568502,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.027975830566855146,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.013441710395597219,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 8349.092851658563,
                "observedExpected": 1.3548127558363625,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04133270554568502,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.030508057565614834,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.010902287507385505,
                "rows": 29
              }
            }
          ],
          "supportiveYears": 2,
          "positiveRegions": 2,
          "status": "Not consistently supported"
        },
        {
          "id": "education-after-burglary-history",
          "model": "DCEH",
          "comparator": "DCH",
          "gain": -0.12850734162077782,
          "gainInterval95": [
            -0.28385707744285876,
            0.021618428052880025
          ],
          "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
          "modelMetrics": {
            "deviance": 4056.3218627434553,
            "observedExpected": 0.9713344264137861,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.036657664663392736,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.037739488755417244,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004133856223024487,
            "rows": 87
          },
          "baselineMetrics": {
            "deviance": 3594.4133574866337,
            "observedExpected": 0.9836672633299653,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.036657664663392736,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03726632574850276,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0038191931911254143,
            "rows": 87
          },
          "annual": [
            {
              "year": 2023,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": -0.3205667561223615,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -1.178062953131555,
                -0.07825389270037694
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1324.3452811524787,
                "observedExpected": 0.9932622165438219,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0383283849698747,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03858838515295894,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004005623596466852,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1002.8612904365488,
                "observedExpected": 1.0151313347417845,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0383283849698747,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.037757070103273054,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0032683408346630095,
                "rows": 29
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2024,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": -0.1114174754517454,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.22741270375150258,
                0.04811620271093099
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1478.9015588843042,
                "observedExpected": 0.939039592324998,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03612740639848048,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.038472719035234165,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004406267032150224,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1330.6445071715214,
                "observedExpected": 0.9487777793186737,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03612740639848048,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03807783780984406,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004214177425778257,
                "rows": 29
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2025,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.006211825054523001,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.10352127083870133,
                0.0973778853580374
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1253.0750227066721,
                "observedExpected": 0.982426028243319,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0361985033838853,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.003990418889097562,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1260.9075598785632,
                "observedExpected": 0.9879833588827179,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03599488957789656,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.003964171526882416,
                "rows": 29
              }
            }
          ],
          "spatial": {
            "model": "DCEH",
            "comparator": "DCH",
            "gain": 0.027114759661680532,
            "gainInterval95": [
              -0.15317002822914905,
              0.14275695241234648
            ],
            "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
            "modelMetrics": {
              "deviance": 31021.540571863927,
              "observedExpected": 0.7535548259903413,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04719278635240085,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.021431636005739982,
              "rows": 29
            },
            "baselineMetrics": {
              "deviance": 31886.12519301478,
              "observedExpected": 0.7482221203802247,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.047529137323166847,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.02170398370304239,
              "rows": 29
            }
          },
          "regions": [
            {
              "region": "East Midlands",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.37922776590312335,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.37922776590312335,
                0.37922776590312335
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 319.79015210749503,
                "observedExpected": 1.1749471873419053,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02402332618904926,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004848640409534831,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 515.1489299013801,
                "observedExpected": 1.29039015251188,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02187411263289278,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006352026903527776,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "East of England",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.15459791550577806,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.15459791550577806,
                0.15459791550577806
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1165.7858824793539,
                "observedExpected": 1.3416113779854368,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.018854637692393615,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00644095876351474,
                "rows": 6
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1378.9720937071118,
                "observedExpected": 1.3644587282240135,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.018538923847724754,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006756672608183598,
                "rows": 6
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "London",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.03603398711092387,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.03603398711092387,
                0.03603398711092387
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 25611.57141373323,
                "observedExpected": 0.3961194012367292,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.26852928639747614,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.16376357280373696,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 26568.956862880976,
                "observedExpected": 0.39029018321030734,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.27253993238404683,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.16776763637276643,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North East",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.025158282639099805,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.025158282639099805,
                0.025158282639099805
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 482.1049014549669,
                "observedExpected": 0.5473899286679599,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03035424106656043,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.01373863521436586,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 494.5468509083971,
                "observedExpected": 0.5448600416782484,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.030495181480029408,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.013879575627834838,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North West",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.06387904089076002,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.06387904089076002,
                0.06387904089076002
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 558.9764210193757,
                "observedExpected": 0.8870221067781174,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029921629464577933,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00563887732680419,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 597.1198653123483,
                "observedExpected": 0.8766215284220402,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03027663130025955,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005842741593345514,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South East",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": -0.3908596798405717,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.3908596798405717,
                -0.3908596798405717
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2013.582160582836,
                "observedExpected": 1.5060729891824898,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.021756581482497695,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.011010418225240013,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1447.7248781945023,
                "observedExpected": 1.4013083931015635,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.023383146685658104,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.009383853022079601,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South West",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.02096856148402726,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.02096856148402726,
                0.02096856148402726
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 187.76171620660193,
                "observedExpected": 1.1294548712911252,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02122229192686376,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006190787130231772,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 191.7831326144269,
                "observedExpected": 1.1241325196662582,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02132277162827288,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006306568421393238,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "West Midlands",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.030534124161901155,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.030534124161901155,
                0.030534124161901155
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 667.4331794540503,
                "observedExpected": 1.235014056932286,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02248531525828801,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006870785522687159,
                "rows": 3
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 688.4545357277866,
                "observedExpected": 1.2382214119838382,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.022427071725442088,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0069691796612713144,
                "rows": 3
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": -3.2523577265796,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -3.2523577265796,
                -3.2523577265796
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 14.534744826024053,
                "observedExpected": 0.9524925721317133,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.039694711852494374,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0018857936600848034,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 3.4180437678546696,
                "observedExpected": 0.9815482752924634,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03851967258680576,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0007107543943961883,
                "rows": 2
              }
            }
          ],
          "stress": [
            {
              "year": 2020,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.4138683400224856,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.012935612198464716,
                0.6865993924662412
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 824.3559092487403,
                "observedExpected": 1.0251032965099283,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04102758255477094,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.040022876420799394,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.003172677122773692,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1406.4347066329174,
                "observedExpected": 1.1107021726981583,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04102758255477094,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03693841928399693,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005062233953877478,
                "rows": 29
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2021,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "DCH",
              "gain": 0.4547107374752545,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.360768838315436,
                0.5983061419748285
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2477.586808079723,
                "observedExpected": 1.1314101874462745,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04133270554568502,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.036532025258653344,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005139332771894408,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 4543.619283109007,
                "observedExpected": 1.2348184293415256,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04133270554568502,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.033472698951963274,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00795967485285588,
                "rows": 29
              }
            }
          ],
          "supportiveYears": 0,
          "positiveRegions": 7,
          "status": "Not consistently supported"
        },
        {
          "id": "all-social-history",
          "model": "DCEH",
          "comparator": "BH",
          "gain": 0.19857404597224948,
          "gainInterval95": [
            -0.20615930684387043,
            0.4713950649230408
          ],
          "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
          "modelMetrics": {
            "deviance": 4056.3218627434553,
            "observedExpected": 0.9713344264137861,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.036657664663392736,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.037739488755417244,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004133856223024487,
            "rows": 87
          },
          "baselineMetrics": {
            "deviance": 5061.3807081708255,
            "observedExpected": 1.0298578346259835,
            "observedRatePer100k": 0.036657664663392736,
            "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03559487866274844,
            "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004297048293903283,
            "rows": 87
          },
          "annual": [
            {
              "year": 2023,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -0.06949924777071947,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.5896854298279315,
                0.30703174023835317
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1324.3452811524787,
                "observedExpected": 0.9932622165438219,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0383283849698747,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03858838515295894,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004005623596466852,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1238.2853788003724,
                "observedExpected": 1.0360266085766403,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.0383283849698747,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03699556039640014,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0035991709289781137,
                "rows": 29
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2024,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.21593971950316082,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.373922974861017,
                0.581796389533048
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1478.9015588843042,
                "observedExpected": 0.939039592324998,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03612740639848048,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.038472719035234165,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004406267032150224,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1886.209001618041,
                "observedExpected": 1.0210373373254666,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03612740639848048,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.035383041420516126,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00468432806169734,
                "rows": 29
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2025,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.3530466890327235,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.04643397333943188,
                0.53099906633745
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1253.0750227066721,
                "observedExpected": 0.982426028243319,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.0361985033838853,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.003990418889097562,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1936.8863277524117,
                "observedExpected": 1.0323455050754504,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03444811037868921,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0045917960057080785,
                "rows": 29
              }
            }
          ],
          "spatial": {
            "model": "DCEH",
            "comparator": "BH",
            "gain": 0.18759337397846199,
            "gainInterval95": [
              -0.3921554392068408,
              0.2932820424383198
            ],
            "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
            "modelMetrics": {
              "deviance": 31021.540571863927,
              "observedExpected": 0.7535548259903413,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04719278635240085,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.021431636005739982,
              "rows": 29
            },
            "baselineMetrics": {
              "deviance": 38184.74588738953,
              "observedExpected": 0.7410803674320542,
              "observedRatePer100k": 0.03556235190778278,
              "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04798717314697088,
              "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.02404275596083274,
              "rows": 29
            }
          },
          "regions": [
            {
              "region": "East Midlands",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.6443556327670183,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.6443556327670183,
                0.6443556327670183
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 319.79015210749503,
                "observedExpected": 1.1749471873419053,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02402332618904926,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004848640409534831,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 899.1852017664639,
                "observedExpected": 1.4322070483849936,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.028226139536420558,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.01970814175802956,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.008517997778390995,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "East of England",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.11270743376163528,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.11270743376163528,
                0.11270743376163528
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1165.7858824793539,
                "observedExpected": 1.3416113779854368,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.018854637692393615,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00644095876351474,
                "rows": 6
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1313.868645853361,
                "observedExpected": 1.3655145792625067,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.025295596455908353,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.018524589074376718,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006771007381531636,
                "rows": 6
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "London",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.22145248774926718,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.22145248774926718,
                0.22145248774926718
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 25611.57141373323,
                "observedExpected": 0.3961194012367292,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.26852928639747614,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.16376357280373696,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 32896.6068360963,
                "observedExpected": 0.35712744612819325,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.10636966014229442,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.29784790078585094,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.1931535520577499,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North East",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -4.375684051206317,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -4.375684051206317,
                -4.375684051206317
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 482.1049014549669,
                "observedExpected": 0.5473899286679599,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03035424106656043,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.01373863521436586,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 89.6825216777354,
                "observedExpected": 0.7590706395907586,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.016615605852194574,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.021889406579014337,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005273800726819766,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "North West",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -0.2105000987011607,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.2105000987011607,
                -0.2105000987011607
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 558.9764210193757,
                "observedExpected": 0.8870221067781174,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.029921629464577933,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00563887732680419,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 461.77313130262837,
                "observedExpected": 1.0904559656015838,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.026541146805904112,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02433949434286589,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005000727164538327,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South East",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -1.0428004147119982,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -1.0428004147119982,
                -1.0428004147119982
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2013.582160582836,
                "observedExpected": 1.5060729891824898,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.021756581482497695,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.011010418225240013,
                "rows": 4
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 985.696960937184,
                "observedExpected": 1.283813592406277,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03276699970773771,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.025523175561899043,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.007243824145838666,
                "rows": 4
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "South West",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -0.6594636845490291,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.6594636845490291,
                -0.6594636845490291
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 187.76171620660193,
                "observedExpected": 1.1294548712911252,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02122229192686376,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006190787130231772,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 113.14602299213766,
                "observedExpected": 1.1201387355498247,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.023969620996758593,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.021398796627627566,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.004729539920539241,
                "rows": 2
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "West Midlands",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.45753338607288785,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.45753338607288785,
                0.45753338607288785
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 667.4331794540503,
                "observedExpected": 1.235014056932286,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.02248531525828801,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006870785522687159,
                "rows": 3
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1230.3672932464174,
                "observedExpected": 1.4023211597286802,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.027769680418539715,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.019802653782898465,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.008555053198248345,
                "rows": 3
              }
            },
            {
              "region": "Yorkshire and The Humber",
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.9252402060604826,
              "gainInterval95": [
                0.9252402060604826,
                0.9252402060604826
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 1,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 14.534744826024053,
                "observedExpected": 0.9524925721317133,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.039694711852494374,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0018857936600848034,
                "rows": 2
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 194.41927351730055,
                "observedExpected": 1.1986541293981463,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.03780891819240958,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03154280894305494,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.006266109249354638,
                "rows": 2
              }
            }
          ],
          "stress": [
            {
              "year": 2020,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": 0.08458332613249697,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.38705740247049625,
                0.34227866504454135
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 824.3559092487403,
                "observedExpected": 1.0251032965099283,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04102758255477094,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.040022876420799394,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.003172677122773692,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 900.5253375667235,
                "observedExpected": 0.9922899071337484,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04102758255477094,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.04134636688312191,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.0038198504497422873,
                "rows": 29
              }
            },
            {
              "year": 2021,
              "model": "DCEH",
              "comparator": "BH",
              "gain": -0.5044745835749129,
              "gainInterval95": [
                -0.7878978365983584,
                -0.1900133234549992
              ],
              "independentRegionBlocks": 9,
              "modelMetrics": {
                "deviance": 2477.586808079723,
                "observedExpected": 1.1314101874462745,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04133270554568502,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.036532025258653344,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.005139332771894408,
                "rows": 29
              },
              "baselineMetrics": {
                "deviance": 1646.8120067489033,
                "observedExpected": 1.0622195219246542,
                "observedRatePer100k": 0.04133270554568502,
                "predictedRatePer100k": 0.03891164179584421,
                "exposureWeightedAbsoluteRateError": 0.00388625891471728,
                "rows": 29
              }
            }
          ],
          "supportiveYears": 2,
          "positiveRegions": 5,
          "status": "Not consistently supported"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "coverage": [
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "includedCollisions": 108377,
      "targetCollisions": 123350,
      "includedMotorMiles": 234185100000.0,
      "knownTargetMotorMiles": 264377200000.0
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "includedCollisions": 105054,
      "targetCollisions": 118299,
      "includedMotorMiles": 237264400000.0,
      "knownTargetMotorMiles": 267844800000.0
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "includedCollisions": 99549,
      "targetCollisions": 111978,
      "includedMotorMiles": 238172900000.0,
      "knownTargetMotorMiles": 268906500000.0
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "includedCollisions": 95867,
      "targetCollisions": 107510,
      "includedMotorMiles": 241329600000.0,
      "knownTargetMotorMiles": 276505100000.0
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "includedCollisions": 75509,
      "targetCollisions": 84484,
      "includedMotorMiles": 190670100000.0,
      "knownTargetMotorMiles": 218095100000.0
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "includedCollisions": 84236,
      "targetCollisions": 93873,
      "includedMotorMiles": 212292300000.0,
      "knownTargetMotorMiles": 248409400000.0
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "includedCollisions": 88696,
      "targetCollisions": 98546,
      "includedMotorMiles": 230719500000.0,
      "knownTargetMotorMiles": 269821300000.0
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "includedCollisions": 86404,
      "targetCollisions": 96764,
      "includedMotorMiles": 235795900000.0,
      "knownTargetMotorMiles": 279459500000.0
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "includedCollisions": 82941,
      "targetCollisions": 93847,
      "includedMotorMiles": 239398200000.0,
      "knownTargetMotorMiles": 283944300000.0
    },
    {
      "year": 2025,
      "includedCollisions": 83147,
      "targetCollisions": 94418,
      "includedMotorMiles": 243969000000.0,
      "knownTargetMotorMiles": 289426600000.0
    }
  ],
  "exclusions": [
    {
      "areaId": "E06000021",
      "name": "Stoke-on-Trent",
      "reason": "Incomplete 2016\u20132025 eligible count/mileage/deprivation history"
    },
    {
      "areaId": "E06000022",
      "name": "Bath and North East Somerset",
      "reason": "Incomplete 2016\u20132025 eligible count/mileage/deprivation history"
    },
    {
      "areaId": "E06000023",
      "name": "Bristol, City of",
      "reason": "Incomplete 2016\u20132025 eligible count/mileage/deprivation history"
    },
    {
      "areaId": "E06000024",
      "name": "North Somerset",
      "reason": "Incomplete 2016\u20132025 eligible count/mileage/deprivation history"
    },
    {
      "areaId": "E06000025",
      "name": "South Gloucestershire",
      "reason": "Incomplete 2016\u20132025 eligible count/mileage/deprivation history"
    },
    {
      "areaId": "E06000053",
      "name": "Isles of Scilly",
      "reason": "Incomplete 2016\u20132025 eligible count/mileage/deprivation history"
    },
    {
      "areaId": "E06000057",
      "name": "Northumberland",
      "reason": "No exact-code 2011 Census match"
    },
    {
      "areaId": "E06000058",
      "name": "Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole",
      "reason": "Incomplete 2016\u20132025 eligible count/mileage/deprivation history"
    },
    {
      "areaId": "E06000059",
      "name": "Dorset",
      "reason": "Incomplete 2016\u20132025 eligible count/mileage/deprivation history"
    },
    {
      "areaId": "E06000060",
      "name": "Buckinghamshire",
      "reason": "Incomplete 2016\u20132025 eligible count/mileage/deprivation history"
    },
    {
      "areaId": "E06000061",
      "name": "North Northamptonshire",
      "reason": "Incomplete 2016\u20132025 eligible count/mileage/deprivation history"
    },
    {
      "areaId": "E06000062",
      "name": "West Northamptonshire",
      "reason": "Incomplete 2016\u20132025 eligible count/mileage/deprivation history"
    },
    {
      "areaId": "E06000063",
      "name": "Cumberland",
      "reason": "Incomplete 2016\u20132025 eligible count/mileage/deprivation history"
    },
    {
      "areaId": "E06000064",
      "name": "Westmorland and Furness",
      "reason": "Incomplete 2016\u20132025 eligible count/mileage/deprivation history"
    },
    {
      "areaId": "E06000065",
      "name": "North Yorkshire",
      "reason": "Incomplete 2016\u20132025 eligible count/mileage/deprivation history"
    },
    {
      "areaId": "E06000066",
      "name": "Somerset",
      "reason": "Incomplete 2016\u20132025 eligible count/mileage/deprivation history"
    },
    {
      "areaId": "E08000037",
      "name": "Gateshead",
      "reason": "No exact-code 2011 Census match"
    },
    {
      "areaId": "E08000038",
      "name": "Barnsley",
      "reason": "Incomplete 2016\u20132025 eligible count/mileage/deprivation history"
    },
    {
      "areaId": "E08000039",
      "name": "Sheffield",
      "reason": "Incomplete 2016\u20132025 eligible count/mileage/deprivation history"
    },
    {
      "areaId": "E10000028",
      "name": "Staffordshire",
      "reason": "Incomplete 2016\u20132025 eligible count/mileage/deprivation history"
    }
  ],
  "fitCount": 294,
  "allFitsConverged": true,
  "hashes": {
    "frozenDesign": "dfcde02dc9dd0016bd1b6b7292d2614a82302782716d7868a22d1acb92858ed7",
    "protocol": "157cf726f450e3cc574ef40f311a5b4ec36c62b2f9d73b3696b361ad2e99e444",
    "code": "3f625f9df8e000a192c01a74cc99b2e28c05355f7fa043b125948a6650a4a099"
  },
  "uncertainty": "2,000 paired bootstrap resamples of English-region blocks using frozen out-of-sample predictions. Nine authority-study blocks; intervals are conditional on fitted models, do not include source measurement error or refitting uncertainty, and are not multiplicity-adjusted."
}
