[
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "B",
    "trainingRows": 399,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929138,
        0.3116795160835883,
        0.15265394789134046,
        0.771651042952108,
        13.826996702477931,
        2019.6666666666667
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563752,
        0.0319473435068061,
        0.03763153084119205,
        0.03508704488007897,
        0.3427830174011323,
        1.6996731711976005
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04000326658425112,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9221.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0806853184641043,
      0.6293612422797275,
      -0.0721848400941842,
      -0.10293078934164088,
      -0.12356126322509553,
      -0.3244424954931411,
      -0.16692979548841147,
      0.13873159905656715,
      0.4354214662108833,
      -0.3348610843544766,
      -0.2176447098378903,
      0.18926908488416913,
      -0.03882372119253856,
      -0.17311974808843295,
      0.08983969754202381
    ],
    "alpha": 0.07076956848423337,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0012621159588162548,
    "iterations": 59,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 2560.690460232678
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 399,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929138,
        0.3116795160835883,
        0.15265394789134046,
        0.771651042952108,
        13.826996702477931,
        2019.6666666666667,
        -3.1048229967900762
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563752,
        0.0319473435068061,
        0.03763153084119205,
        0.03508704488007897,
        0.3427830174011323,
        1.6996731711976005,
        0.38216201697897684
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04000326658425112,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9221.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.056068442897098,
      0.21762858260879042,
      -0.0790203011530199,
      -0.049842252456812924,
      -0.05375328875469856,
      -0.1080046077568701,
      -0.019131693368459556,
      0.5293980955384622,
      0.08517031656419397,
      0.135723144657797,
      -0.1820700868925657,
      -0.03956212940004497,
      0.05474126907587278,
      0.08441313353217698,
      -0.054543149250608,
      0.02858192112477769
    ],
    "alpha": 0.028353293565858494,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0015933316970573293,
    "iterations": 59,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 2395.0574766615514
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 399,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929138,
        0.3116795160835883,
        0.15265394789134046,
        0.771651042952108,
        13.826996702477931,
        2019.6666666666667,
        0.15236591478696745,
        0.11907017543859644
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563752,
        0.0319473435068061,
        0.03763153084119205,
        0.03508704488007897,
        0.3427830174011323,
        1.6996731711976005,
        0.050393304654365804,
        0.04033040343614983
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04000326658425112,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9221.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0708707329873883,
      0.4932562479271099,
      -0.20325451266872446,
      -0.08304427038871527,
      -0.04778791283436427,
      -0.2688653069301626,
      -0.1273255407115655,
      0.55417201426331,
      -0.4154381814151656,
      0.12301475448164492,
      0.4111457491915214,
      -0.3863499174970666,
      -0.21568500876607416,
      0.2185797616272042,
      -0.07798321567654365,
      -0.2472853145101327,
      0.10303085983153741
    ],
    "alpha": 0.06130704920910983,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.002169822382276269,
    "iterations": 79,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 2533.0307087096576
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "DE",
    "trainingRows": 399,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929138,
        0.3116795160835883,
        0.15265394789134046,
        0.771651042952108,
        13.826996702477931,
        2019.6666666666667,
        0.15236591478696745,
        0.11907017543859644,
        0.22382032956566433
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563752,
        0.0319473435068061,
        0.03763153084119205,
        0.03508704488007897,
        0.3427830174011323,
        1.6996731711976005,
        0.050393304654365804,
        0.04033040343614983,
        0.0541858402119016
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04000326658425112,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9221.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0371636185163644,
      0.4501558178481372,
      -0.11508048525219228,
      0.023508210347680043,
      -0.0684351916599759,
      -0.2485238245237052,
      -0.08608160305521546,
      0.5418332129865806,
      -0.2238191316706359,
      -0.22717045849278966,
      0.1328091175255005,
      0.3773022771718696,
      -0.48046197290115705,
      -0.28998939537491697,
      0.15994325446084778,
      -0.1664588103760405,
      -0.21530902252264342,
      0.1064514166564555
    ],
    "alpha": 0.055610358721857094,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00414397240724506,
    "iterations": 83,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 2515.2465440342585
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "DE4",
    "trainingRows": 399,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "level4PlusShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929138,
        0.3116795160835883,
        0.15265394789134046,
        0.771651042952108,
        13.826996702477931,
        2019.6666666666667,
        0.15236591478696745,
        0.11907017543859644,
        0.280116260344588
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563752,
        0.0319473435068061,
        0.03763153084119205,
        0.03508704488007897,
        0.3427830174011323,
        1.6996731711976005,
        0.050393304654365804,
        0.04033040343614983,
        0.09475649078443953
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04000326658425112,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9221.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.086639998477923,
      0.4385274421588777,
      -0.051773934753645244,
      0.03510307042489697,
      -0.051758688988333634,
      -0.24875861236998992,
      -0.08478770286857518,
      0.3964530338569504,
      -0.13657134164950852,
      0.22124925213182473,
      0.2112781652119245,
      0.4557594390368325,
      -0.45957271782356673,
      -0.2741184803719015,
      0.25102685509850725,
      -0.04474052825350773,
      -0.23361115315514644,
      0.11932539808314555
    ],
    "alpha": 0.05359665498005941,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0008901331193344116,
    "iterations": 91,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 2507.4664405457393
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "DEH",
    "trainingRows": 399,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929138,
        0.3116795160835883,
        0.15265394789134046,
        0.771651042952108,
        13.826996702477931,
        2019.6666666666667,
        -3.1048229967900762,
        0.15236591478696745,
        0.11907017543859644,
        0.22382032956566433
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563752,
        0.0319473435068061,
        0.03763153084119205,
        0.03508704488007897,
        0.3427830174011323,
        1.6996731711976005,
        0.38216201697897684,
        0.050393304654365804,
        0.04033040343614983,
        0.0541858402119016
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04000326658425112,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9221.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0430164492568945,
      0.20804784781069563,
      -0.10077040576949078,
      -0.0079215782036873,
      -0.041297148268708214,
      -0.10434653489916199,
      -0.015511277429327917,
      0.4892309103285418,
      0.21547649274691744,
      -0.14635274968278705,
      -0.050809129977099,
      0.08035301343468275,
      0.11584741075828478,
      -0.20883673416139353,
      -0.052034620322478166,
      0.05021416505861234,
      0.035452952524965074,
      -0.08620567460440495,
      0.04910611153491561
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02715179790262694,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.004354695290861743,
    "iterations": 94,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 2387.7759800247204
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 399,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929138,
        0.3116795160835883,
        0.15265394789134046,
        0.771651042952108,
        13.826996702477931,
        2019.6666666666667,
        -3.1048229967900762,
        0.15236591478696745,
        0.11907017543859644
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563752,
        0.0319473435068061,
        0.03763153084119205,
        0.03508704488007897,
        0.3427830174011323,
        1.6996731711976005,
        0.38216201697897684,
        0.050393304654365804,
        0.04033040343614983
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04000326658425112,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9221.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.050968734004556,
      0.20824532847651697,
      -0.118667935782639,
      -0.03079514957718675,
      -0.03622770928773528,
      -0.10375513611887748,
      -0.021504939392933964,
      0.5043391069160565,
      0.2100064836040817,
      -0.18415393611397346,
      0.07716952917172511,
      0.11523237946471729,
      -0.18005955625020673,
      -0.02777396471041125,
      0.05929385527375353,
      0.06111395375465523,
      -0.08817820303182085,
      0.0478563801590978
    ],
    "alpha": 0.027457021141305632,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.001639022270036157,
    "iterations": 89,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 2389.391219580533
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "B",
    "trainingRows": 532,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929136,
        0.31167951608358846,
        0.15265394789134062,
        0.7679995491930341,
        13.817219378193252,
        2020.5
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563765,
        0.03194734350680605,
        0.03763153084119203,
        0.03585536732937982,
        0.338282359294853,
        2.0615528128088303
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916585510696996,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9211.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.096459499004079,
      0.6210756710793521,
      -0.07969700805302231,
      -0.1104055979961563,
      -0.10326558107233669,
      -0.31435332910168134,
      -0.1485935304489827,
      0.12422858006435418,
      0.4586963916983262,
      -0.3651155906841728,
      -0.24965838481544464,
      0.15726402219508334,
      -0.03236297188455958,
      -0.18686343729404112,
      0.11132926267045555
    ],
    "alpha": 0.07555296223838219,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.009642547392247408,
    "iterations": 51,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3416.904679204525
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 532,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929136,
        0.31167951608358846,
        0.15265394789134062,
        0.7679995491930341,
        13.817219378193252,
        2020.5,
        -3.126531771555284
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563765,
        0.03194734350680605,
        0.03763153084119203,
        0.03585536732937982,
        0.338282359294853,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.3874494390202888
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916585510696996,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9211.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0639944867878417,
      0.21628954621675847,
      -0.08562056816065637,
      -0.05416336425507777,
      -0.05135425734659153,
      -0.1067811125239562,
      -0.026933703618578855,
      0.5358828504081098,
      0.08640877705682692,
      0.12309429604868911,
      -0.1998407425500876,
      -0.07979143285957346,
      0.03597470770982514,
      0.07715001558293066,
      -0.07444961690393044,
      0.031098386371670807
    ],
    "alpha": 0.030193349910866786,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.007137931456388321,
    "iterations": 72,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3195.3096159108877
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 532,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929136,
        0.31167951608358846,
        0.15265394789134062,
        0.7679995491930341,
        13.817219378193252,
        2020.5,
        0.14920300751879695,
        0.11562781954887211
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563765,
        0.03194734350680605,
        0.03763153084119203,
        0.03585536732937982,
        0.338282359294853,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.049782498268085874,
        0.0397699282875581
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916585510696996,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9211.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.09268105289751,
      0.47010726630291916,
      -0.21531092836204155,
      -0.1031693960251938,
      -0.02949882804343499,
      -0.2556591967358328,
      -0.10940546461463639,
      0.5410448603342435,
      -0.3834234855001941,
      0.11914269570157544,
      0.4596531323757556,
      -0.4406793773568196,
      -0.266196221356774,
      0.21241379209284786,
      -0.06473090761343553,
      -0.25782523499801635,
      0.11333202559468424
    ],
    "alpha": 0.06473188631321056,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0011319591970898185,
    "iterations": 88,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3376.8431512998886
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "DE",
    "trainingRows": 532,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929136,
        0.31167951608358846,
        0.15265394789134062,
        0.7679995491930341,
        13.817219378193252,
        2020.5,
        0.14920300751879695,
        0.11562781954887211,
        0.2238203295656641
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563765,
        0.03194734350680605,
        0.03763153084119203,
        0.03585536732937982,
        0.338282359294853,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.049782498268085874,
        0.0397699282875581,
        0.0541858402119016
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916585510696996,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9211.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0570458649590617,
      0.42891626460853244,
      -0.12515155426710978,
      0.010340393502504769,
      -0.05099948395020237,
      -0.23667154497815146,
      -0.06754980315969308,
      0.5504383855532765,
      -0.20989820512245339,
      -0.23231348269600274,
      0.12936276831361937,
      0.419189349711737,
      -0.5338770483821241,
      -0.340752772217188,
      0.15000019194593495,
      -0.1565894755877479,
      -0.22739914384178223,
      0.11993260264784283
    ],
    "alpha": 0.05861627428757885,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.004172072939198627,
    "iterations": 90,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3352.4406291073
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "DE4",
    "trainingRows": 532,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "level4PlusShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929136,
        0.31167951608358846,
        0.15265394789134062,
        0.7679995491930341,
        13.817219378193252,
        2020.5,
        0.14920300751879695,
        0.11562781954887211,
        0.2801162603445878
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563765,
        0.03194734350680605,
        0.03763153084119203,
        0.03585536732937982,
        0.338282359294853,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.049782498268085874,
        0.0397699282875581,
        0.09475649078443948
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916585510696996,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9211.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1060866695220817,
      0.4185673621462399,
      -0.059356489985007255,
      0.021481065979224005,
      -0.03538929409325292,
      -0.23743581600984806,
      -0.06699186203968789,
      0.3927216744599852,
      -0.1132422883437432,
      0.22560702067206498,
      0.20860296341283205,
      0.4946187364065741,
      -0.5116093280099704,
      -0.32390309228600483,
      0.24151221327760744,
      -0.0341307134443058,
      -0.2462546788795851,
      0.13176525654516477
    ],
    "alpha": 0.056541368863194066,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0016069107399494917,
    "iterations": 80,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3342.3853009475997
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "DEH",
    "trainingRows": 532,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929136,
        0.31167951608358846,
        0.15265394789134062,
        0.7679995491930341,
        13.817219378193252,
        2020.5,
        -3.126531771555284,
        0.14920300751879695,
        0.11562781954887211,
        0.2238203295656641
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563765,
        0.03194734350680605,
        0.03763153084119203,
        0.03585536732937982,
        0.338282359294853,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.3874494390202888,
        0.049782498268085874,
        0.0397699282875581,
        0.0541858402119016
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916585510696996,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9211.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.05330476388195,
      0.2032404361557007,
      -0.10518115270466004,
      -0.015091120413426968,
      -0.03925589789575345,
      -0.10271032796353609,
      -0.0204786394117742,
      0.4924385458437966,
      0.20365363567770442,
      -0.12398330094032632,
      -0.056751800621649084,
      0.08529645208378057,
      0.11836256058647392,
      -0.24067222311116232,
      -0.1022757887104743,
      0.038368036951944226,
      0.029475956214545143,
      -0.10293428095845532,
      0.04913079394676784
    ],
    "alpha": 0.029027958582386958,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0016439438064146774,
    "iterations": 97,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3186.100791163995
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 532,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929136,
        0.31167951608358846,
        0.15265394789134062,
        0.7679995491930341,
        13.817219378193252,
        2020.5,
        -3.126531771555284,
        0.14920300751879695,
        0.11562781954887211
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563765,
        0.03194734350680605,
        0.03763153084119203,
        0.03585536732937982,
        0.338282359294853,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.3874494390202888,
        0.049782498268085874,
        0.0397699282875581
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916585510696996,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9211.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0623078260137464,
      0.20333504355621673,
      -0.12501111280296934,
      -0.04144368938148808,
      -0.034070652476204714,
      -0.10197218460120605,
      -0.028047280239320058,
      0.5093404915308385,
      0.1921847321761731,
      -0.16109626135739522,
      0.0823504045382738,
      0.11796634264267376,
      -0.20841445106076126,
      -0.0754898617604301,
      0.04923320642107545,
      0.058188777778892156,
      -0.10436245629657057,
      0.04649837199776165
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02940786715531816,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0016430773152307028,
    "iterations": 95,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3188.719592587326
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "B",
    "trainingRows": 665,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929147,
        0.3116795160835884,
        0.1526539478913407,
        0.7673111389658688,
        13.827968314848516,
        2021.2
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563763,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.037631530841192015,
        0.03601945389813692,
        0.33537570446913945,
        2.315167380558035
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.038252981379281084,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9347.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.108573743186088,
      0.6089703337688841,
      -0.0799988792590636,
      -0.10542174990588288,
      -0.09047815490139252,
      -0.29922322226742065,
      -0.12213636816224835,
      0.11079509394972668,
      0.45306702093925233,
      -0.3961762221341279,
      -0.27021767714128336,
      0.12976241260752167,
      -0.039169958792336486,
      -0.19522929075017253,
      0.11685457712889104
    ],
    "alpha": 0.07718788977678323,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0009509460682864243,
    "iterations": 55,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 4262.496156877897
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 665,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929147,
        0.3116795160835884,
        0.1526539478913407,
        0.7673111389658688,
        13.827968314848516,
        2021.2,
        -3.148263341184053
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563763,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.037631530841192015,
        0.03601945389813692,
        0.33537570446913945,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.39115560021582974
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.038252981379281084,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9347.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0698494710201043,
      0.22221950751866343,
      -0.08408086727733799,
      -0.05073526311732762,
      -0.05374648857325962,
      -0.10795074437156185,
      -0.029786778286396663,
      0.5286120453442011,
      0.07103290915947337,
      0.10677816987006129,
      -0.2240347405418909,
      -0.10775350537000482,
      0.011180739102068122,
      0.058251183525778356,
      -0.09044681133183968,
      0.013287095582086478
    ],
    "alpha": 0.031252126579137646,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0028969333977313383,
    "iterations": 63,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3988.833714990564
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 665,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929147,
        0.3116795160835884,
        0.1526539478913407,
        0.7673111389658688,
        13.827968314848516,
        2021.2,
        0.1473052631578947,
        0.11356240601503717
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563763,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.037631530841192015,
        0.03601945389813692,
        0.33537570446913945,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.04931511430195569,
        0.039285300397143445
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.038252981379281084,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9347.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.110026873880424,
      0.45366314220042414,
      -0.2185368878763711,
      -0.10021499555300828,
      -0.02168956756973742,
      -0.24267694369244214,
      -0.09409932705607435,
      0.5518641350141851,
      -0.38324679915376336,
      0.11173230416580263,
      0.468969533747363,
      -0.48087363818053447,
      -0.2921771070629805,
      0.20231602605561474,
      -0.06357403964966814,
      -0.26908878091444516,
      0.11199556161865298
    ],
    "alpha": 0.06484448352682563,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0017900971555569855,
    "iterations": 90,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 4206.12024847139
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "DE",
    "trainingRows": 665,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929147,
        0.3116795160835884,
        0.1526539478913407,
        0.7673111389658688,
        13.827968314848516,
        2021.2,
        0.1473052631578947,
        0.11356240601503717,
        0.22382032956566403
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563763,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.037631530841192015,
        0.03601945389813692,
        0.33537570446913945,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.04931511430195569,
        0.039285300397143445,
        0.05418584021190158
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.038252981379281084,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9347.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0738216961534124,
      0.4165729958666109,
      -0.1246532389540542,
      0.019780106972545196,
      -0.04579714665051997,
      -0.22613888007070365,
      -0.055280065892692486,
      0.5712846267862336,
      -0.21962472208548714,
      -0.23625419035317755,
      0.12306204970481328,
      0.42396426320207403,
      -0.570458160406764,
      -0.36510765388372757,
      0.13799090426752725,
      -0.157293667640658,
      -0.23970030161967082,
      0.12099285149327331
    ],
    "alpha": 0.058364338388553295,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.000587084337798537,
    "iterations": 102,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 4173.745648921565
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "DE4",
    "trainingRows": 665,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "level4PlusShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929147,
        0.3116795160835884,
        0.1526539478913407,
        0.7673111389658688,
        13.827968314848516,
        2021.2,
        0.1473052631578947,
        0.11356240601503717,
        0.28011626034458775
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563763,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.037631530841192015,
        0.03601945389813692,
        0.33537570446913945,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.04931511430195569,
        0.039285300397143445,
        0.0947564907844395
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.038252981379281084,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9347.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.122770139009905,
      0.4073874955291452,
      -0.06068439310394524,
      0.027783378507283192,
      -0.029795215090782385,
      -0.22765301014261288,
      -0.05610263189182803,
      0.40927758959424554,
      -0.1224225211586698,
      0.22517133696326935,
      0.20125019216088727,
      0.49847299173558784,
      -0.5464552118304395,
      -0.34656492686344365,
      0.22937729688433117,
      -0.03422720604221241,
      -0.25883561742530137,
      0.13197315049784683
    ],
    "alpha": 0.05650504842374162,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.004427426751454728,
    "iterations": 77,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 4162.3463354452615
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "DEH",
    "trainingRows": 665,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929147,
        0.3116795160835884,
        0.1526539478913407,
        0.7673111389658688,
        13.827968314848516,
        2021.2,
        -3.148263341184053,
        0.1473052631578947,
        0.11356240601503717,
        0.22382032956566403
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563763,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.037631530841192015,
        0.03601945389813692,
        0.33537570446913945,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.39115560021582974,
        0.04931511430195569,
        0.039285300397143445,
        0.05418584021190158
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.038252981379281084,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9347.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0605709431760464,
      0.2103002438576075,
      -0.10528028403758333,
      -0.006710323929852398,
      -0.041959743297332146,
      -0.10457770526680372,
      -0.026153667857550886,
      0.4805949347743497,
      0.2274096956397369,
      -0.1432357324778825,
      -0.06044901945746251,
      0.07126506047985459,
      0.10417363731214731,
      -0.2659612035822911,
      -0.12916616904802783,
      0.017445996206050276,
      0.010395844363883652,
      -0.12216334437071928,
      0.03529343815454295
    ],
    "alpha": 0.029843586965951747,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0019222234904973754,
    "iterations": 105,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3975.4378762611896
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 665,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929147,
        0.3116795160835884,
        0.1526539478913407,
        0.7673111389658688,
        13.827968314848516,
        2021.2,
        -3.148263341184053,
        0.1473052631578947,
        0.11356240601503717
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563763,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.037631530841192015,
        0.03601945389813692,
        0.33537570446913945,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.39115560021582974,
        0.04931511430195569,
        0.039285300397143445
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.038252981379281084,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9347.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.069707129051948,
      0.20951150798728482,
      -0.12678780148939833,
      -0.035730375227314294,
      -0.03619341418733446,
      -0.10329051308793381,
      -0.03394456032973273,
      0.49918858061945853,
      0.2122540816368373,
      -0.17962203626200604,
      0.06758755138274435,
      0.1032304746555805,
      -0.23203570755534575,
      -0.10119900727066602,
      0.028535913381401427,
      0.040818952690295306,
      -0.12310864264504334,
      0.031169945842760196
    ],
    "alpha": 0.030283809911373877,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0038223971631437923,
    "iterations": 97,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3979.1138073373672
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "B",
    "trainingRows": 625,
    "testRows": 8,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.330913877789915,
        0.3112629090802016,
        0.15168644882802446,
        0.7672925105542251,
        13.834344419386523,
        2021.2
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.264741155116267,
        0.03085872741069107,
        0.037579876069340754,
        0.035539532391557285,
        0.33383072096169003,
        2.315167380558035
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.088,
        "London": 0.264,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.176,
        "South East": 0.144,
        "South West": 0.056,
        "West Midlands": 0.096,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.096
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039173112186713294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9017.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -2.984676446319406,
      0.5845476097264681,
      -0.07894630285802634,
      -0.10150488854702565,
      -0.09572520261232939,
      -0.291925110223066,
      -0.12393780499944689,
      0.3598015387634773,
      -0.49437083210335353,
      -0.36868431102486443,
      0.02630856449534132,
      -0.14728826188091146,
      -0.2991379509503541,
      0.00903925868074059
    ],
    "alpha": 0.07429251910818803,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.002449818764253041,
    "iterations": 50,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3986.840611725868
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 625,
    "testRows": 8,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.330913877789915,
        0.3112629090802016,
        0.15168644882802446,
        0.7672925105542251,
        13.834344419386523,
        2021.2,
        -3.1238850362324144
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.264741155116267,
        0.03085872741069107,
        0.037579876069340754,
        0.035539532391557285,
        0.33383072096169003,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.3964053169788015
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.088,
        "London": 0.264,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.176,
        "South East": 0.144,
        "South West": 0.056,
        "West Midlands": 0.096,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.096
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039173112186713294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9017.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -2.982940432217461,
      0.1926690805252049,
      -0.07411900389783059,
      -0.03819209661661171,
      -0.06034399670422634,
      -0.10216148358267482,
      -0.03241684547527576,
      0.5499653478332472,
      0.05009094317715917,
      -0.2810508577916489,
      -0.15996372628198122,
      -0.05277868086635781,
      -0.010711561176833216,
      -0.15379264437200144,
      -0.06136469561948816
    ],
    "alpha": 0.028445423314822887,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.002414974371459781,
    "iterations": 63,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3706.5785229760936
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 625,
    "testRows": 8,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.330913877789915,
        0.3112629090802016,
        0.15168644882802446,
        0.7672925105542251,
        13.834344419386523,
        2021.2,
        0.1480399999999999,
        0.11399999999999966
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.264741155116267,
        0.03085872741069107,
        0.037579876069340754,
        0.035539532391557285,
        0.33383072096169003,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.04907069186388144,
        0.03968927310999788
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.088,
        "London": 0.264,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.176,
        "South East": 0.144,
        "South West": 0.056,
        "West Midlands": 0.096,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.096
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039173112186713294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9017.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -2.9855094747167525,
      0.4463932885559977,
      -0.21929596960249276,
      -0.08174666819083606,
      -0.022587729750964364,
      -0.23843537133178144,
      -0.10305364777618713,
      0.6173306793046724,
      -0.4772093598398381,
      0.3397579100349636,
      -0.5422904958811227,
      -0.359578408451564,
      0.08813327984741133,
      -0.16925893338329986,
      -0.37407417044045876,
      0.027080441384266768
    ],
    "alpha": 0.06181480725239406,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0014367612368365987,
    "iterations": 84,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3930.980204750773
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "DE",
    "trainingRows": 625,
    "testRows": 8,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.330913877789915,
        0.3112629090802016,
        0.15168644882802446,
        0.7672925105542251,
        13.834344419386523,
        2021.2,
        0.1480399999999999,
        0.11399999999999966,
        0.222513410110922
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.264741155116267,
        0.03085872741069107,
        0.037579876069340754,
        0.035539532391557285,
        0.33383072096169003,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.04907069186388144,
        0.03968927310999788,
        0.055104615897743466
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.088,
        "London": 0.264,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.176,
        "South East": 0.144,
        "South West": 0.056,
        "West Midlands": 0.096,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.096
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039173112186713294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9017.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -2.9334534918488333,
      0.4167190530231923,
      -0.11677085647662891,
      0.04734942100326748,
      -0.05124764433229438,
      -0.22113086368593163,
      -0.06470227713667022,
      0.6272716592438344,
      -0.30170316513441864,
      -0.24564121764205343,
      0.2794932354593924,
      -0.643732779042657,
      -0.4462894905610428,
      0.009142293043407744,
      -0.27272641579762025,
      -0.358538600538126,
      0.023549005493452877
    ],
    "alpha": 0.055543769221293296,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0022621016577670985,
    "iterations": 79,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3899.169701960319
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "DE4",
    "trainingRows": 625,
    "testRows": 8,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "level4PlusShare2011",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.330913877789915,
        0.3112629090802016,
        0.15168644882802446,
        0.7672925105542251,
        13.834344419386523,
        2021.2,
        0.1480399999999999,
        0.11399999999999966,
        0.28240732381634476
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.264741155116267,
        0.03085872741069107,
        0.037579876069340754,
        0.035539532391557285,
        0.33383072096169003,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.04907069186388144,
        0.03968927310999788,
        0.09687534337827426
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.088,
        "London": 0.264,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.176,
        "South East": 0.144,
        "South West": 0.056,
        "West Midlands": 0.096,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.096
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039173112186713294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9017.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -2.9075331758954612,
      0.40802079456747026,
      -0.05921765537086232,
      0.04992277920206692,
      -0.0330799989738835,
      -0.2222026312722701,
      -0.06599942378503494,
      0.46738329199918005,
      -0.2081960843881769,
      0.22948864343500422,
      0.2751386813801594,
      -0.6971712262999886,
      -0.5056916556433927,
      0.024023838956313496,
      -0.22500191075317957,
      -0.456180845885338,
      -0.04355282820222981
    ],
    "alpha": 0.05377466500411118,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.003992042962918762,
    "iterations": 85,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3888.4244660900604
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "DEH",
    "trainingRows": 625,
    "testRows": 8,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.330913877789915,
        0.3112629090802016,
        0.15168644882802446,
        0.7672925105542251,
        13.834344419386523,
        2021.2,
        -3.1238850362324144,
        0.1480399999999999,
        0.11399999999999966,
        0.222513410110922
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.264741155116267,
        0.03085872741069107,
        0.037579876069340754,
        0.035539532391557285,
        0.33383072096169003,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.3964053169788015,
        0.04907069186388144,
        0.03968927310999788,
        0.055104615897743466
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.088,
        "London": 0.264,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.176,
        "South East": 0.144,
        "South West": 0.056,
        "West Midlands": 0.096,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.096
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039173112186713294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9017.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -2.9732312566776473,
      0.19566053364543995,
      -0.08744068709632147,
      0.026693741662486538,
      -0.05155870927158531,
      -0.09950752179103146,
      -0.03486283495003721,
      0.5048673131554614,
      0.2613840967898487,
      -0.19712140187949054,
      -0.07074453904743258,
      0.015242235390938027,
      -0.2874081362428563,
      -0.1540172960404526,
      -0.059509972721635704,
      -0.0550082448193511,
      -0.18152072782332607,
      -0.01881498091347789
    ],
    "alpha": 0.026787286586393993,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.002537969889812614,
    "iterations": 88,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3689.7309567799625
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 625,
    "testRows": 8,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.330913877789915,
        0.3112629090802016,
        0.15168644882802446,
        0.7672925105542251,
        13.834344419386523,
        2021.2,
        -3.1238850362324144,
        0.1480399999999999,
        0.11399999999999966
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.264741155116267,
        0.03085872741069107,
        0.037579876069340754,
        0.035539532391557285,
        0.33383072096169003,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.3964053169788015,
        0.04907069186388144,
        0.03968927310999788
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.088,
        "London": 0.264,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.176,
        "South East": 0.144,
        "South West": 0.056,
        "West Midlands": 0.096,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.096
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039173112186713294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9017.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -2.989082683165061,
      0.19319525141543692,
      -0.11390576551936335,
      -0.008282139170576948,
      -0.04402375571864725,
      -0.09865867744290792,
      -0.04383285816970831,
      0.5250350473646945,
      0.24796192047445104,
      -0.24206087587760003,
      0.02051992660620263,
      -0.24537411838028428,
      -0.11765263813133242,
      -0.041571396675045454,
      -0.017431320959978493,
      -0.17836884589669555,
      -0.01891199850165138
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02728616623897869,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.010419881918249307,
    "iterations": 79,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3694.6351365752307
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "B",
    "trainingRows": 610,
    "testRows": 11,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.361849807429271,
        0.3119624036900105,
        0.1517654523010061,
        0.7683338264919277,
        13.832141645601498,
        2021.2
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2793186259217453,
        0.03254729323048932,
        0.03821996728384237,
        0.035950651968133886,
        0.3318559071033463,
        2.315167380558035
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06557377049180328,
        "London": 0.27049180327868855,
        "North East": 0.08196721311475409,
        "North West": 0.18032786885245902,
        "South East": 0.14754098360655737,
        "South West": 0.05737704918032787,
        "West Midlands": 0.09836065573770492,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09836065573770492
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04025269011677413,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9014.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.068506060616113,
      0.6258087079230945,
      -0.07560091997319013,
      -0.08389754701826319,
      -0.1038287107708802,
      -0.299745861656036,
      -0.12448550952617529,
      0.44110758957560775,
      -0.3974456816638984,
      -0.27373850512466535,
      0.1330374227325271,
      -0.03763014497455777,
      -0.20615343679301554,
      0.11082553225222107
    ],
    "alpha": 0.08105141258435077,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0029317505296759805,
    "iterations": 51,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3906.8955249214623
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 610,
    "testRows": 11,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.361849807429271,
        0.3119624036900105,
        0.1517654523010061,
        0.7683338264919277,
        13.832141645601498,
        2021.2,
        -3.1067305994443277
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2793186259217453,
        0.03254729323048932,
        0.03821996728384237,
        0.035950651968133886,
        0.3318559071033463,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.4010720769168476
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06557377049180328,
        "London": 0.27049180327868855,
        "North East": 0.08196721311475409,
        "North West": 0.18032786885245902,
        "South East": 0.14754098360655737,
        "South West": 0.05737704918032787,
        "West Midlands": 0.09836065573770492,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09836065573770492
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04025269011677413,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9014.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.030214913225247,
      0.20867524403473775,
      -0.08049741881320065,
      -0.046245201359836036,
      -0.058553250715774344,
      -0.10193078175404062,
      -0.03373452557561977,
      0.5471157771266301,
      0.10153057980185726,
      -0.23101904538607473,
      -0.10918902529572413,
      0.009022812378216533,
      0.060787790555291626,
      -0.09232990638333413,
      0.006034903898792645
    ],
    "alpha": 0.03377267476084964,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.002954622234612181,
    "iterations": 63,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3663.0638063849565
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 610,
    "testRows": 11,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.361849807429271,
        0.3119624036900105,
        0.1517654523010061,
        0.7683338264919277,
        13.832141645601498,
        2021.2,
        0.1495918032786885,
        0.11528196721311446
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2793186259217453,
        0.03254729323048932,
        0.03821996728384237,
        0.035950651968133886,
        0.3318559071033463,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.05002513071752599,
        0.040024121858652985
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06557377049180328,
        "London": 0.27049180327868855,
        "North East": 0.08196721311475409,
        "North West": 0.18032786885245902,
        "South East": 0.14754098360655737,
        "South West": 0.05737704918032787,
        "West Midlands": 0.09836065573770492,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09836065573770492
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04025269011677413,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9014.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0704961948210214,
      0.46765833192450923,
      -0.22301461702333295,
      -0.07594824715450704,
      -0.029241243747410686,
      -0.24275156261323727,
      -0.0979712778245072,
      0.5900015755215295,
      -0.42248381924459494,
      0.45396180373937933,
      -0.4762924460699742,
      -0.2890524491718694,
      0.20236519874953218,
      -0.06622581356065929,
      -0.281602754757815,
      0.11181794088651824
    ],
    "alpha": 0.06778308573114739,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.007157411144526215,
    "iterations": 79,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3853.7588692235945
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "DE",
    "trainingRows": 610,
    "testRows": 11,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.361849807429271,
        0.3119624036900105,
        0.1517654523010061,
        0.7683338264919277,
        13.832141645601498,
        2021.2,
        0.1495918032786885,
        0.11528196721311446,
        0.22342187015175685
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2793186259217453,
        0.03254729323048932,
        0.03821996728384237,
        0.035950651968133886,
        0.3318559071033463,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.05002513071752599,
        0.040024121858652985,
        0.05588712460895124
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06557377049180328,
        "London": 0.27049180327868855,
        "North East": 0.08196721311475409,
        "North West": 0.18032786885245902,
        "South East": 0.14754098360655737,
        "South West": 0.05737704918032787,
        "West Midlands": 0.09836065573770492,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09836065573770492
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04025269011677413,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9014.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0359433441199926,
      0.423580612309851,
      -0.13465921855519303,
      0.027501944230994557,
      -0.0478327028933708,
      -0.22747345369070257,
      -0.05899338381660107,
      0.5941058183580844,
      -0.24988144515980668,
      -0.22745793783188792,
      0.42515172098473725,
      -0.564232953456257,
      -0.35915952011070273,
      0.1447307943962107,
      -0.15402859659569437,
      -0.2489260473247626,
      0.12003648529813926
    ],
    "alpha": 0.062091702212232404,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0017946090319148197,
    "iterations": 90,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3829.072135365049
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "DE4",
    "trainingRows": 610,
    "testRows": 11,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "level4PlusShare2011",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.361849807429271,
        0.3119624036900105,
        0.1517654523010061,
        0.7683338264919277,
        13.832141645601498,
        2021.2,
        0.1495918032786885,
        0.11528196721311446,
        0.28318492771202264
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2793186259217453,
        0.03254729323048932,
        0.03821996728384237,
        0.035950651968133886,
        0.3318559071033463,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.05002513071752599,
        0.040024121858652985,
        0.09735077808775423
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06557377049180328,
        "London": 0.27049180327868855,
        "North East": 0.08196721311475409,
        "North West": 0.18032786885245902,
        "South East": 0.14754098360655737,
        "South West": 0.05737704918032787,
        "West Midlands": 0.09836065573770492,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09836065573770492
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04025269011677413,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9014.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.082659638953314,
      0.41017576281949425,
      -0.06159492919719865,
      0.04452862880551371,
      -0.033439494800410835,
      -0.2304313086699558,
      -0.057453020361855484,
      0.42730077127424876,
      -0.13598522924948672,
      0.2311163603077447,
      0.5059572050214887,
      -0.5462929692112068,
      -0.34418366690740526,
      0.23397573548556141,
      -0.03850435189981543,
      -0.2641707228321672,
      0.13163908508410263
    ],
    "alpha": 0.05961924943062659,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.003093202074202686,
    "iterations": 70,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3816.378954763301
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "DEH",
    "trainingRows": 610,
    "testRows": 11,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.361849807429271,
        0.3119624036900105,
        0.1517654523010061,
        0.7683338264919277,
        13.832141645601498,
        2021.2,
        -3.1067305994443277,
        0.1495918032786885,
        0.11528196721311446,
        0.22342187015175685
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2793186259217453,
        0.03254729323048932,
        0.03821996728384237,
        0.035950651968133886,
        0.3318559071033463,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.4010720769168476,
        0.05002513071752599,
        0.040024121858652985,
        0.05588712460895124
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06557377049180328,
        "London": 0.27049180327868855,
        "North East": 0.08196721311475409,
        "North West": 0.18032786885245902,
        "South East": 0.14754098360655737,
        "South West": 0.05737704918032787,
        "West Midlands": 0.09836065573770492,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09836065573770492
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04025269011677413,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9014.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0238588822484265,
      0.19651128665786663,
      -0.11348999830589795,
      -0.00877059213506465,
      -0.042235880316659924,
      -0.09881724227153572,
      -0.031817030563144784,
      0.498881940032509,
      0.24489073637732026,
      -0.16999712525196023,
      -0.04502789536199388,
      0.10320913862261713,
      -0.2667703725546841,
      -0.1243037680891341,
      0.021519335406013355,
      0.018171092131612658,
      -0.1274120473674023,
      0.02900934730150393
    ],
    "alpha": 0.03227662070465743,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0015361313169559364,
    "iterations": 93,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3650.7127826865762
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 610,
    "testRows": 11,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.361849807429271,
        0.3119624036900105,
        0.1517654523010061,
        0.7683338264919277,
        13.832141645601498,
        2021.2,
        -3.1067305994443277,
        0.1495918032786885,
        0.11528196721311446
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2793186259217453,
        0.03254729323048932,
        0.03821996728384237,
        0.035950651968133886,
        0.3318559071033463,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.4010720769168476,
        0.05002513071752599,
        0.040024121858652985
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06557377049180328,
        "London": 0.27049180327868855,
        "North East": 0.08196721311475409,
        "North West": 0.18032786885245902,
        "South East": 0.14754098360655737,
        "South West": 0.05737704918032787,
        "West Midlands": 0.09836065573770492,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09836065573770492
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04025269011677413,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9014.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0307701521045463,
      0.19695527985551967,
      -0.12926797854285085,
      -0.028723967603177417,
      -0.038577878086508116,
      -0.09774160446446352,
      -0.0379647037135738,
      0.5124634043052861,
      0.23648143628772514,
      -0.1996407683976664,
      0.10069432522237913,
      -0.24206671957373233,
      -0.10400041277324192,
      0.02934962596736628,
      0.04030775024037485,
      -0.128955927860401,
      0.02598009605129277
    ],
    "alpha": 0.032518159340642394,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0025606130256902015,
    "iterations": 89,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3652.371664484124
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "B",
    "trainingRows": 500,
    "testRows": 33,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.8108658139975295,
        0.31020863020816175,
        0.16601286741957882,
        0.7725803956451374,
        13.763212873426319,
        2021.2
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.1208045537049214,
        0.0297593984836122,
        0.030042824561883997,
        0.03365955088671737,
        0.33838345817527965,
        2.3151673805580355
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.08,
        "East of England": 0.11,
        "North East": 0.1,
        "North West": 0.22,
        "South East": 0.18,
        "South West": 0.07,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.12
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.030811251816651286,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 10889.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.4325116915922083,
      0.38249036128746094,
      0.21694138623090975,
      0.16585285269710104,
      0.029664641384125383,
      -0.2611347844658496,
      -0.08747211339565117,
      0.26202001448967066,
      -0.32237342178632505,
      -0.13677048306978282,
      0.25263351792666455,
      0.001607982506031838,
      -0.13592141081690598,
      0.274360652152672
    ],
    "alpha": 0.06255944882013158,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0006776434695193276,
    "iterations": 50,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3110.538957056786
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 500,
    "testRows": 33,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.8108658139975295,
        0.31020863020816175,
        0.16601286741957882,
        0.7725803956451374,
        13.763212873426319,
        2021.2,
        -3.4092445592737284
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.1208045537049214,
        0.0297593984836122,
        0.030042824561883997,
        0.03365955088671737,
        0.33838345817527965,
        2.3151673805580355,
        0.24918317181354396
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.08,
        "East of England": 0.11,
        "North East": 0.1,
        "North West": 0.22,
        "South East": 0.18,
        "South West": 0.07,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.12
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.030811251816651286,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 10889.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.4319454273377885,
      0.1730622262563412,
      0.010465412743151463,
      0.018926218195928747,
      -0.0068727579649349195,
      -0.11629933473182237,
      -0.008567220826908879,
      0.33962106292648936,
      0.12898325055186693,
      -0.15347224339997648,
      -0.03976338353896221,
      0.06327768320943707,
      0.07750428621198115,
      -0.05373145116851401,
      0.086409204650658
    ],
    "alpha": 0.024070825218660153,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.002216673539177467,
    "iterations": 51,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 2895.8512320173554
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 500,
    "testRows": 33,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.8108658139975295,
        0.31020863020816175,
        0.16601286741957882,
        0.7725803956451374,
        13.763212873426319,
        2021.2,
        0.14794600000000005,
        0.12002399999999998
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.1208045537049214,
        0.0297593984836122,
        0.030042824561883997,
        0.03365955088671737,
        0.33838345817527965,
        2.3151673805580355,
        0.05116853607442762,
        0.04110974852756949
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.08,
        "East of England": 0.11,
        "North East": 0.1,
        "North West": 0.22,
        "South East": 0.18,
        "South West": 0.07,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.12
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.030811251816651286,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 10889.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.413306518126948,
      0.2913034387917599,
      0.12892442944456994,
      0.1154218467991534,
      0.04874160757011509,
      -0.22749425760378997,
      -0.06313931215218369,
      0.21312857918856684,
      -0.06813288299316135,
      0.2672680459571609,
      -0.43318225090049733,
      -0.20261805429756627,
      0.32558899307029004,
      0.002247876810979618,
      -0.16799755463699909,
      0.22428719587058457
    ],
    "alpha": 0.05703759766223172,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0014556319695464036,
    "iterations": 65,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3088.1611591540136
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "DE",
    "trainingRows": 500,
    "testRows": 33,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.8108658139975295,
        0.31020863020816175,
        0.16601286741957882,
        0.7725803956451374,
        13.763212873426319,
        2021.2,
        0.14794600000000005,
        0.12002399999999998,
        0.240898572840412
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.1208045537049214,
        0.0297593984836122,
        0.030042824561883997,
        0.03365955088671737,
        0.33838345817527965,
        2.3151673805580355,
        0.05116853607442762,
        0.04110974852756949,
        0.04554536292249845
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.08,
        "East of England": 0.11,
        "North East": 0.1,
        "North West": 0.22,
        "South East": 0.18,
        "South West": 0.07,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.12
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.030811251816651286,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 10889.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.390356220046666,
      0.29130836724076115,
      0.11946993381327663,
      0.12299451316786818,
      0.035211171304099606,
      -0.22498848485491568,
      -0.05685348010992683,
      0.269858259820525,
      -0.05933448529493543,
      -0.0624333990428004,
      0.2530955189274684,
      -0.4682365801676237,
      -0.23714834101156573,
      0.2908775155441703,
      -0.03371245469353372,
      -0.17144935448103776,
      0.21381024557522815
    ],
    "alpha": 0.05657817269566585,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00438259587157716,
    "iterations": 82,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3086.511769863214
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "DE4",
    "trainingRows": 500,
    "testRows": 33,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "level4PlusShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.8108658139975295,
        0.31020863020816175,
        0.16601286741957882,
        0.7725803956451374,
        13.763212873426319,
        2021.2,
        0.14794600000000005,
        0.12002399999999998,
        0.2442631525535922
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.1208045537049214,
        0.0297593984836122,
        0.030042824561883997,
        0.03365955088671737,
        0.33838345817527965,
        2.3151673805580355,
        0.05116853607442762,
        0.04110974852756949,
        0.055351513885212734
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.08,
        "East of England": 0.11,
        "North East": 0.1,
        "North West": 0.22,
        "South East": 0.18,
        "South West": 0.07,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.12
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.030811251816651286,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 10889.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.406974755880519,
      0.29173307819519895,
      0.12718148403261512,
      0.11552632794309155,
      0.043926937843537725,
      -0.22741722745669077,
      -0.06055022838401522,
      0.21936035923514818,
      -0.05392689736625518,
      0.019268291873515097,
      0.26948373736551323,
      -0.4460617570892114,
      -0.21686762947572527,
      0.31974274305760414,
      0.002128177547230368,
      -0.17334234232787313,
      0.21998528753557353
    ],
    "alpha": 0.05693008051987472,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0015558695428874423,
    "iterations": 82,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3087.780065289353
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "DEH",
    "trainingRows": 500,
    "testRows": 33,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.8108658139975295,
        0.31020863020816175,
        0.16601286741957882,
        0.7725803956451374,
        13.763212873426319,
        2021.2,
        -3.4092445592737284,
        0.14794600000000005,
        0.12002399999999998,
        0.240898572840412
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.1208045537049214,
        0.0297593984836122,
        0.030042824561883997,
        0.03365955088671737,
        0.33838345817527965,
        2.3151673805580355,
        0.24918317181354396,
        0.05116853607442762,
        0.04110974852756949,
        0.04554536292249845
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.08,
        "East of England": 0.11,
        "North East": 0.1,
        "North West": 0.22,
        "South East": 0.18,
        "South West": 0.07,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.12
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.030811251816651286,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 10889.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.434915621459723,
      0.16005378548945565,
      -0.005741967548778134,
      0.011224406039865442,
      0.0014185525243442599,
      -0.11284954216666414,
      -0.009464897935894289,
      0.3330677713480768,
      0.05471735692536477,
      -0.04578151086085801,
      0.01807294561789716,
      0.13353346601544827,
      -0.1640692359035348,
      -0.040594778840862905,
      0.08854299030870312,
      0.08532745484727877,
      -0.06434042112348017,
      0.08512547983040927
    ],
    "alpha": 0.023887272119136518,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0014054777425646626,
    "iterations": 80,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 2893.485156461191
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 500,
    "testRows": 33,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.8108658139975295,
        0.31020863020816175,
        0.16601286741957882,
        0.7725803956451374,
        13.763212873426319,
        2021.2,
        -3.4092445592737284,
        0.14794600000000005,
        0.12002399999999998
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.1208045537049214,
        0.0297593984836122,
        0.030042824561883997,
        0.03365955088671737,
        0.33838345817527965,
        2.3151673805580355,
        0.24918317181354396,
        0.05116853607442762,
        0.04110974852756949
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.08,
        "East of England": 0.11,
        "North East": 0.1,
        "North West": 0.22,
        "South East": 0.18,
        "South West": 0.07,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.12
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.030811251816651286,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 10889.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.427958434645132,
      0.16103278171149343,
      -0.007862515511089305,
      0.013803714517958877,
      -0.0024065099163101894,
      -0.1127987749294487,
      -0.007887216709265003,
      0.3315480351661991,
      0.07086005672130531,
      -0.04247710673123115,
      0.13007882176657476,
      -0.17594823273209942,
      -0.05177547097212713,
      0.07976844508036719,
      0.07414758636964389,
      -0.06606258386511289,
      0.08248327593016061
    ],
    "alpha": 0.023891271240993408,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0031955313638352034,
    "iterations": 74,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 2893.7815461275018
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "B",
    "trainingRows": 615,
    "testRows": 10,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.295530247653981,
        0.31189633177301207,
        0.15133161216492752,
        0.7654171079759141,
        13.838406719420714,
        2021.2
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.3265885095785175,
        0.0323110193209546,
        0.03857313103913412,
        0.03621554028848958,
        0.34265250897174593,
        2.315167380558035
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06504065040650407,
        "East of England": 0.08943089430894309,
        "London": 0.2682926829268293,
        "North West": 0.17886178861788618,
        "South East": 0.14634146341463414,
        "South West": 0.056910569105691054,
        "West Midlands": 0.0975609756097561,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.0975609756097561
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0387093735661039,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9641.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0914650630563165,
      0.6362739074035791,
      -0.09363222575483748,
      -0.10952659758272928,
      -0.08691729120945699,
      -0.3071239352848468,
      -0.11834318459239267,
      0.11064431792257126,
      0.4313366120143151,
      -0.28145596097651865,
      0.12218973135408208,
      -0.047143838069802387,
      -0.19985360109689446,
      0.114799979417367
    ],
    "alpha": 0.07936345888331905,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00133860507842886,
    "iterations": 51,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3992.718361721183
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 615,
    "testRows": 10,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.295530247653981,
        0.31189633177301207,
        0.15133161216492752,
        0.7654171079759141,
        13.838406719420714,
        2021.2,
        -3.1300233774655597
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.3265885095785175,
        0.0323110193209546,
        0.03857313103913412,
        0.03621554028848958,
        0.34265250897174593,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.3952789390166457
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06504065040650407,
        "East of England": 0.08943089430894309,
        "London": 0.2682926829268293,
        "North West": 0.17886178861788618,
        "South East": 0.14634146341463414,
        "South West": 0.056910569105691054,
        "West Midlands": 0.0975609756097561,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.0975609756097561
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0387093735661039,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9641.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.040278360108977,
      0.2350909007060454,
      -0.09374921985579981,
      -0.05431602119202149,
      -0.05185442523732603,
      -0.11234607369833323,
      -0.028546962984458288,
      0.5357231708491766,
      0.07058169422832418,
      0.10305722552326003,
      -0.11771829717623927,
      0.0074682911561592315,
      0.05174843045059927,
      -0.09500975626410602,
      0.011726510845269511
    ],
    "alpha": 0.032535327811453886,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0025946179176228983,
    "iterations": 65,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3741.857392931877
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 615,
    "testRows": 10,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.295530247653981,
        0.31189633177301207,
        0.15133161216492752,
        0.7654171079759141,
        13.838406719420714,
        2021.2,
        0.14359186991869924,
        0.1096048780487803
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.3265885095785175,
        0.0323110193209546,
        0.03857313103913412,
        0.03621554028848958,
        0.34265250897174593,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.04856283431793508,
        0.03743362658050741
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06504065040650407,
        "East of England": 0.08943089430894309,
        "London": 0.2682926829268293,
        "North West": 0.17886178861788618,
        "South East": 0.14634146341463414,
        "South West": 0.056910569105691054,
        "West Midlands": 0.0975609756097561,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.0975609756097561
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0387093735661039,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9641.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.103953666251247,
      0.45550547032314714,
      -0.24949157680050774,
      -0.10900971273216108,
      -0.008603719911010983,
      -0.23976457517486974,
      -0.07944875547977995,
      0.5725827695092718,
      -0.367156149043923,
      0.11508213831323237,
      0.4660886225362451,
      -0.3205552379877369,
      0.2079901825884003,
      -0.07509471033231914,
      -0.2798172709002337,
      0.10344122971791414
    ],
    "alpha": 0.06387856648275216,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.001511996714851351,
    "iterations": 81,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3927.3358228888205
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "DE",
    "trainingRows": 615,
    "testRows": 10,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.295530247653981,
        0.31189633177301207,
        0.15133161216492752,
        0.7654171079759141,
        13.838406719420714,
        2021.2,
        0.14359186991869924,
        0.1096048780487803,
        0.22011146989594008
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.3265885095785175,
        0.0323110193209546,
        0.03857313103913412,
        0.03621554028848958,
        0.34265250897174593,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.04856283431793508,
        0.03743362658050741,
        0.05420195986020208
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06504065040650407,
        "East of England": 0.08943089430894309,
        "London": 0.2682926829268293,
        "North West": 0.17886178861788618,
        "South East": 0.14634146341463414,
        "South West": 0.056910569105691054,
        "West Midlands": 0.0975609756097561,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.0975609756097561
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0387093735661039,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9641.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0765274617192486,
      0.4159664297814255,
      -0.15123961237899708,
      0.013861063493336821,
      -0.03403905668689626,
      -0.22185791883090153,
      -0.042250748547280934,
      0.5919425265706937,
      -0.21527737442314887,
      -0.2308554139000545,
      0.12771376543780352,
      0.42971009013320927,
      -0.3877623842136894,
      0.14907302464154712,
      -0.16155662214777713,
      -0.250511953726252,
      0.11300138878776747
    ],
    "alpha": 0.05753803654705791,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0031690174066174065,
    "iterations": 71,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3897.667494791561
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "DE4",
    "trainingRows": 615,
    "testRows": 10,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "level4PlusShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.295530247653981,
        0.31189633177301207,
        0.15133161216492752,
        0.7654171079759141,
        13.838406719420714,
        2021.2,
        0.14359186991869924,
        0.1096048780487803,
        0.2855786876641385
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.3265885095785175,
        0.0323110193209546,
        0.03857313103913412,
        0.03621554028848958,
        0.34265250897174593,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.04856283431793508,
        0.03743362658050741,
        0.09607936420238712
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06504065040650407,
        "East of England": 0.08943089430894309,
        "London": 0.2682926829268293,
        "North West": 0.17886178861788618,
        "South East": 0.14634146341463414,
        "South West": 0.056910569105691054,
        "West Midlands": 0.0975609756097561,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.0975609756097561
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0387093735661039,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9641.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1278778616644973,
      0.4065314322870318,
      -0.08654784180350018,
      0.020581736650758665,
      -0.020338008896333453,
      -0.22386061989796918,
      -0.04482707436732068,
      0.4353053899996601,
      -0.12665643502599838,
      0.21884445705795502,
      0.20269178092767162,
      0.5064862051281719,
      -0.3661955078944949,
      0.23950883075511367,
      -0.03980606870688446,
      -0.2677218972111057,
      0.1232000707953495
    ],
    "alpha": 0.05629553206696596,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00443839838537539,
    "iterations": 77,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3890.154753127253
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "DEH",
    "trainingRows": 615,
    "testRows": 10,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.295530247653981,
        0.31189633177301207,
        0.15133161216492752,
        0.7654171079759141,
        13.838406719420714,
        2021.2,
        -3.1300233774655597,
        0.14359186991869924,
        0.1096048780487803,
        0.22011146989594008
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.3265885095785175,
        0.0323110193209546,
        0.03857313103913412,
        0.03621554028848958,
        0.34265250897174593,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.3952789390166457,
        0.04856283431793508,
        0.03743362658050741,
        0.05420195986020208
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06504065040650407,
        "East of England": 0.08943089430894309,
        "London": 0.2682926829268293,
        "North West": 0.17886178861788618,
        "South East": 0.14634146341463414,
        "South West": 0.056910569105691054,
        "West Midlands": 0.0975609756097561,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.0975609756097561
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0387093735661039,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9641.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0381701829146777,
      0.21653687827732157,
      -0.12636268311930177,
      -0.013068801424245192,
      -0.03418050880017713,
      -0.10699916898644898,
      -0.02066289549886872,
      0.4739575186865601,
      0.2548898154089756,
      -0.14773784951280164,
      -0.05984401110696272,
      0.07501623736062646,
      0.11982306468952914,
      -0.152269248081467,
      0.02757039915504254,
      0.001050692007734704,
      -0.13392605224989332,
      0.03242624795770777
    ],
    "alpha": 0.030600997113026437,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.006201062111726259,
    "iterations": 86,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3724.903950154918
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 615,
    "testRows": 10,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.295530247653981,
        0.31189633177301207,
        0.15133161216492752,
        0.7654171079759141,
        13.838406719420714,
        2021.2,
        -3.1300233774655597,
        0.14359186991869924,
        0.1096048780487803
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.3265885095785175,
        0.0323110193209546,
        0.03857313103913412,
        0.03621554028848958,
        0.34265250897174593,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.3952789390166457,
        0.04856283431793508,
        0.03743362658050741
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06504065040650407,
        "East of England": 0.08943089430894309,
        "London": 0.2682926829268293,
        "North West": 0.17886178861788618,
        "South East": 0.14634146341463414,
        "South West": 0.056910569105691054,
        "West Midlands": 0.0975609756097561,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.0975609756097561
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0387093735661039,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9641.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0442772923051806,
      0.2164194056802837,
      -0.14880402508853902,
      -0.04303484070002171,
      -0.028251943316557906,
      -0.10618089997328592,
      -0.02845125934388948,
      0.4930751321454018,
      0.239326725020523,
      -0.18199873011003037,
      0.07084627340395959,
      0.11687060976022054,
      -0.12496873958392841,
      0.03732670903543699,
      0.030052281814569825,
      -0.13490930241852103,
      0.02818907416450655
    ],
    "alpha": 0.03104783659235263,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.007013195504921419,
    "iterations": 89,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3728.2219860722907
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "B",
    "trainingRows": 555,
    "testRows": 22,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.263374960002054,
        0.31163431290274807,
        0.15081648257521152,
        0.7642115139054774,
        13.822642609181475,
        2021.2
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.384377798739998,
        0.032840948047843654,
        0.0394109747420459,
        0.03648382521550002,
        0.347486500861929,
        2.3151673805580355
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.07207207207207207,
        "East of England": 0.0990990990990991,
        "London": 0.2972972972972973,
        "North East": 0.09009009009009009,
        "South East": 0.16216216216216217,
        "South West": 0.06306306306306306,
        "West Midlands": 0.10810810810810811,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.10810810810810811
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039465136871989215,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 8957.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0699655057156017,
      0.6999986777374784,
      -0.07867114420166225,
      -0.0673243924508721,
      -0.13197242775312426,
      -0.27581695987355537,
      -0.12315226689603304,
      0.1026272738552927,
      0.37748408263370686,
      -0.3926914799118872,
      0.12444237067271353,
      -0.0163014205502778,
      -0.2271331904236048,
      0.09387730046380052
    ],
    "alpha": 0.0668650779228984,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.011388055637735662,
    "iterations": 50,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3560.240846033525
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 555,
    "testRows": 22,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.263374960002054,
        0.31163431290274807,
        0.15081648257521152,
        0.7642115139054774,
        13.822642609181475,
        2021.2,
        -3.0938057931504552
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.384377798739998,
        0.032840948047843654,
        0.0394109747420459,
        0.03648382521550002,
        0.347486500861929,
        2.3151673805580355,
        0.4109063375119193
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.07207207207207207,
        "East of England": 0.0990990990990991,
        "London": 0.2972972972972973,
        "North East": 0.09009009009009009,
        "South East": 0.16216216216216217,
        "South West": 0.06306306306306306,
        "West Midlands": 0.10810810810810811,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.10810810810810811
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039465136871989215,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 8957.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.006219170776907,
      0.2886382761448005,
      -0.08478542988487138,
      -0.03359287326547392,
      -0.07640059168942127,
      -0.10738915565414162,
      -0.03180622763146609,
      0.5057374833146936,
      0.06812035683758885,
      0.10283003926755406,
      -0.23981433148389417,
      0.018223204592811352,
      0.060828047792454064,
      -0.11443053203294051,
      0.008324836268163898
    ],
    "alpha": 0.028909703569094107,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0038697204782463935,
    "iterations": 63,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3353.3562794190157
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 555,
    "testRows": 22,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.263374960002054,
        0.31163431290274807,
        0.15081648257521152,
        0.7642115139054774,
        13.822642609181475,
        2021.2,
        0.14150990990991,
        0.10667927927927925
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.384377798739998,
        0.032840948047843654,
        0.0394109747420459,
        0.03648382521550002,
        0.347486500861929,
        2.3151673805580355,
        0.04750015069668831,
        0.03602313850275497
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.07207207207207207,
        "East of England": 0.0990990990990991,
        "London": 0.2972972972972973,
        "North East": 0.09009009009009009,
        "South East": 0.16216216216216217,
        "South West": 0.06306306306306306,
        "West Midlands": 0.10810810810810811,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.10810810810810811
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039465136871989215,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 8957.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.073601579082097,
      0.5401299028515772,
      -0.2163138957290256,
      -0.0687936465302046,
      -0.055190200520384765,
      -0.22566116858261126,
      -0.09001010782718788,
      0.5265097456555452,
      -0.3560779710820482,
      0.10484125890361255,
      0.3869006396848516,
      -0.46908610260833594,
      0.1901217307353503,
      -0.04053929956732615,
      -0.29377970751482324,
      0.0969214859156626
    ],
    "alpha": 0.0559340898459962,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0056213146909672084,
    "iterations": 85,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3512.8856616029734
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "DE",
    "trainingRows": 555,
    "testRows": 22,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.263374960002054,
        0.31163431290274807,
        0.15081648257521152,
        0.7642115139054774,
        13.822642609181475,
        2021.2,
        0.14150990990991,
        0.10667927927927925,
        0.21740025449960623
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.384377798739998,
        0.032840948047843654,
        0.0394109747420459,
        0.03648382521550002,
        0.347486500861929,
        2.3151673805580355,
        0.04750015069668831,
        0.03602313850275497,
        0.054277228362302164
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.07207207207207207,
        "East of England": 0.0990990990990991,
        "London": 0.2972972972972973,
        "North East": 0.09009009009009009,
        "South East": 0.16216216216216217,
        "South West": 0.06306306306306306,
        "West Midlands": 0.10810810810810811,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.10810810810810811
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039465136871989215,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 8957.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0386520800522394,
      0.506043880289364,
      -0.11997472389095079,
      0.06867398727648251,
      -0.07822008838584091,
      -0.20717693407920904,
      -0.05086520668794121,
      0.5600680517835936,
      -0.22018153757065154,
      -0.2415391363429549,
      0.11269047355677796,
      0.33236230500618563,
      -0.5585675811445118,
      0.1186435399140301,
      -0.14109490759044255,
      -0.271744794841493,
      0.10674094876033013
    ],
    "alpha": 0.04889825960177949,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0015280139018080975,
    "iterations": 89,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3478.927188314223
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "DE4",
    "trainingRows": 555,
    "testRows": 22,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "level4PlusShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.263374960002054,
        0.31163431290274807,
        0.15081648257521152,
        0.7642115139054774,
        13.822642609181475,
        2021.2,
        0.14150990990991,
        0.10667927927927925,
        0.28946058017146525
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.384377798739998,
        0.032840948047843654,
        0.0394109747420459,
        0.03648382521550002,
        0.347486500861929,
        2.3151673805580355,
        0.04750015069668831,
        0.03602313850275497,
        0.0985064473748712
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.07207207207207207,
        "East of England": 0.0990990990990991,
        "London": 0.2972972972972973,
        "North East": 0.09009009009009009,
        "South East": 0.16216216216216217,
        "South West": 0.06306306306306306,
        "West Midlands": 0.10810810810810811,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.10810810810810811
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039465136871989215,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 8957.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.097154114627181,
      0.48595948241909004,
      -0.06887112888720681,
      0.055481508056905805,
      -0.05679895771036044,
      -0.21076521690664315,
      -0.05390587314078034,
      0.419484446696108,
      -0.1477978240820736,
      0.21860549449235664,
      0.18586703401225427,
      0.4183425506792324,
      -0.5352290732752889,
      0.2165486037940989,
      -0.017574855328523663,
      -0.28722047636666753,
      0.11570713340722759
    ],
    "alpha": 0.048021120139180466,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0029681819829743272,
    "iterations": 90,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3473.276416501212
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "DEH",
    "trainingRows": 555,
    "testRows": 22,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.263374960002054,
        0.31163431290274807,
        0.15081648257521152,
        0.7642115139054774,
        13.822642609181475,
        2021.2,
        -3.0938057931504552,
        0.14150990990991,
        0.10667927927927925,
        0.21740025449960623
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.384377798739998,
        0.032840948047843654,
        0.0394109747420459,
        0.03648382521550002,
        0.347486500861929,
        2.3151673805580355,
        0.4109063375119193,
        0.04750015069668831,
        0.03602313850275497,
        0.054277228362302164
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.07207207207207207,
        "East of England": 0.0990990990990991,
        "London": 0.2972972972972973,
        "North East": 0.09009009009009009,
        "South East": 0.16216216216216217,
        "South West": 0.06306306306306306,
        "West Midlands": 0.10810810810810811,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.10810810810810811
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039465136871989215,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 8957.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -2.9925411745126542,
      0.28482229011330934,
      -0.09709476501606769,
      0.029464386500940687,
      -0.06635248635229085,
      -0.10513317860541553,
      -0.02624370495097726,
      0.44800362506274205,
      0.24008497440217547,
      -0.1426792716561713,
      -0.08289475030661698,
      0.06676457295660747,
      0.08458483762637582,
      -0.28107024761600524,
      0.012819624612329907,
      0.0021853707106770062,
      -0.1480158031254248,
      0.037745524645114194
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02715674547801895,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0032335554430162053,
    "iterations": 89,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3339.031376354127
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 555,
    "testRows": 22,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.263374960002054,
        0.31163431290274807,
        0.15081648257521152,
        0.7642115139054774,
        13.822642609181475,
        2021.2,
        -3.0938057931504552,
        0.14150990990991,
        0.10667927927927925
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.384377798739998,
        0.032840948047843654,
        0.0394109747420459,
        0.03648382521550002,
        0.347486500861929,
        2.3151673805580355,
        0.4109063375119193,
        0.04750015069668831,
        0.03602313850275497
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.07207207207207207,
        "East of England": 0.0990990990990991,
        "London": 0.2972972972972973,
        "North East": 0.09009009009009009,
        "South East": 0.16216216216216217,
        "South West": 0.06306306306306306,
        "West Midlands": 0.10810810810810811,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.10810810810810811
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039465136871989215,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 8957.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0012203559539588,
      0.2796314987655097,
      -0.12578226919630395,
      -0.015129353188803417,
      -0.05871821990861296,
      -0.10352913017897895,
      -0.03643206913709653,
      0.47708510575952284,
      0.21128554279914485,
      -0.18007448371177845,
      0.06215029558996973,
      0.08607385695459249,
      -0.23444611551506442,
      0.02845211127825317,
      0.044764284630696365,
      -0.14601620356457,
      0.03113391904215919
    ],
    "alpha": 0.027983681277201335,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.005094231479491953,
    "iterations": 88,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3345.3838540738416
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "B",
    "trainingRows": 575,
    "testRows": 18,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.347866499553707,
        0.31163822159564236,
        0.15205532914164052,
        0.7651982006350138,
        13.827208795971192,
        2021.2
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.3158424521270986,
        0.03228362123148292,
        0.0374050693594472,
        0.037020283470417206,
        0.3391891874370569,
        2.3151673805580355
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06956521739130435,
        "East of England": 0.09565217391304348,
        "London": 0.28695652173913044,
        "North East": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North West": 0.19130434782608696,
        "South West": 0.06086956521739131,
        "West Midlands": 0.10434782608695652,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.10434782608695652
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03949322162930325,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9281.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.043633750104304,
      0.5403374721186477,
      -0.14036306283457212,
      -0.2726084904956444,
      -0.04680110118771752,
      -0.30461057102012673,
      -0.10852922323604622,
      0.07426910770610644,
      0.353511755459037,
      -0.40035357829957535,
      -0.2730319157428905,
      -0.02400879530380902,
      -0.14980117205993665,
      0.1252907534851569
    ],
    "alpha": 0.06538817497530523,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.004813794230701163,
    "iterations": 48,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3633.337349100163
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 575,
    "testRows": 18,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.347866499553707,
        0.31163822159564236,
        0.15205532914164052,
        0.7651982006350138,
        13.827208795971192,
        2021.2,
        -3.1202862988175415
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.3158424521270986,
        0.03228362123148292,
        0.0374050693594472,
        0.037020283470417206,
        0.3391891874370569,
        2.3151673805580355,
        0.40338331869007626
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06956521739130435,
        "East of England": 0.09565217391304348,
        "London": 0.28695652173913044,
        "North East": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North West": 0.19130434782608696,
        "South West": 0.06086956521739131,
        "West Midlands": 0.10434782608695652,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.10434782608695652
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03949322162930325,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9281.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0304456852387136,
      0.21254073234338053,
      -0.11439971135387447,
      -0.12658091445929776,
      -0.03366929052207367,
      -0.11909288032748265,
      -0.031015709358525653,
      0.5012976734597935,
      0.05987184805846398,
      0.10610256243402287,
      -0.24543499214858225,
      -0.12474733723389289,
      0.052767596798733794,
      -0.07810547148083813,
      0.026909014021091804
    ],
    "alpha": 0.030998285294129214,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.002481961184624963,
    "iterations": 59,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3440.945043806978
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 575,
    "testRows": 18,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.347866499553707,
        0.31163822159564236,
        0.15205532914164052,
        0.7651982006350138,
        13.827208795971192,
        2021.2,
        0.15397739130434765,
        0.11857913043478242
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.3158424521270986,
        0.03228362123148292,
        0.0374050693594472,
        0.037020283470417206,
        0.3391891874370569,
        2.3151673805580355,
        0.04799845479554447,
        0.038666110306059744
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06956521739130435,
        "East of England": 0.09565217391304348,
        "London": 0.28695652173913044,
        "North East": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North West": 0.19130434782608696,
        "South West": 0.06086956521739131,
        "West Midlands": 0.10434782608695652,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.10434782608695652
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03949322162930325,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9281.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0459971082806305,
      0.40029275291523236,
      -0.25473884331533186,
      -0.24388882411526322,
      0.013754602468154653,
      -0.2539172098612927,
      -0.08479719365241777,
      0.4468687219812946,
      -0.3075660500202042,
      0.0786680741776,
      0.41749784767763704,
      -0.4786613493189239,
      -0.29294125857918646,
      -0.06313963254659613,
      -0.21476504022589057,
      0.11844557198575086
    ],
    "alpha": 0.05669182381258981,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.002175724035181655,
    "iterations": 79,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3593.7361151512046
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "DE",
    "trainingRows": 575,
    "testRows": 18,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.347866499553707,
        0.31163822159564236,
        0.15205532914164052,
        0.7651982006350138,
        13.827208795971192,
        2021.2,
        0.15397739130434765,
        0.11857913043478242,
        0.22934018754552643
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.3158424521270986,
        0.03228362123148292,
        0.0374050693594472,
        0.037020283470417206,
        0.3391891874370569,
        2.3151673805580355,
        0.04799845479554447,
        0.038666110306059744,
        0.05504719389672641
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06956521739130435,
        "East of England": 0.09565217391304348,
        "London": 0.28695652173913044,
        "North East": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North West": 0.19130434782608696,
        "South West": 0.06086956521739131,
        "West Midlands": 0.10434782608695652,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.10434782608695652
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03949322162930325,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9281.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.025596347906754,
      0.3725017153724276,
      -0.1752197152659121,
      -0.1288171719644227,
      -0.010486890479826837,
      -0.23806592484275685,
      -0.05231180323846546,
      0.4720127230072054,
      -0.1835822266734716,
      -0.19102162396904043,
      0.09497932469991607,
      0.40201412581275997,
      -0.551369635293459,
      -0.3510386667426372,
      -0.14219256998345245,
      -0.19443261479628227,
      0.1251555665415978
    ],
    "alpha": 0.0522496998845904,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0017525601641049967,
    "iterations": 85,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3572.7858565084202
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "DE4",
    "trainingRows": 575,
    "testRows": 18,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "level4PlusShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.347866499553707,
        0.31163822159564236,
        0.15205532914164052,
        0.7651982006350138,
        13.827208795971192,
        2021.2,
        0.15397739130434765,
        0.11857913043478242,
        0.2772685671278133
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.3158424521270986,
        0.03228362123148292,
        0.0374050693594472,
        0.037020283470417206,
        0.3391891874370569,
        2.3151673805580355,
        0.04799845479554447,
        0.038666110306059744,
        0.0988979961930566
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06956521739130435,
        "East of England": 0.09565217391304348,
        "London": 0.28695652173913044,
        "North East": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North West": 0.19130434782608696,
        "South West": 0.06086956521739131,
        "West Midlands": 0.10434782608695652,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.10434782608695652
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03949322162930325,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9281.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.061762588393375,
      0.35714609985720963,
      -0.10109348579588964,
      -0.09130929659658835,
      0.00265626035242924,
      -0.23336422743995797,
      -0.047891528635663205,
      0.343427878466663,
      -0.0876455764207007,
      0.22457942551532142,
      0.16896852960514122,
      0.46834341842485144,
      -0.5383685664595987,
      -0.3405402296079745,
      -0.04627115927948512,
      -0.21384117653253834,
      0.14030499372873012
    ],
    "alpha": 0.04920445569778342,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.006142427819796033,
    "iterations": 78,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3555.587512945702
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "DEH",
    "trainingRows": 575,
    "testRows": 18,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.347866499553707,
        0.31163822159564236,
        0.15205532914164052,
        0.7651982006350138,
        13.827208795971192,
        2021.2,
        -3.1202862988175415,
        0.15397739130434765,
        0.11857913043478242,
        0.22934018754552643
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.3158424521270986,
        0.03228362123148292,
        0.0374050693594472,
        0.037020283470417206,
        0.3391891874370569,
        2.3151673805580355,
        0.40338331869007626,
        0.04799845479554447,
        0.038666110306059744,
        0.05504719389672641
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06956521739130435,
        "East of England": 0.09565217391304348,
        "London": 0.28695652173913044,
        "North East": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North West": 0.19130434782608696,
        "South West": 0.06086956521739131,
        "West Midlands": 0.10434782608695652,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.10434782608695652
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03949322162930325,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9281.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0241500898838507,
      0.19153429289886875,
      -0.14096960902633662,
      -0.0847821213971737,
      -0.018416943890618247,
      -0.1131075747337818,
      -0.025948302198661972,
      0.45541782152358073,
      0.21474004083230633,
      -0.13477729902775662,
      -0.05124669925324452,
      0.06145303423172399,
      0.1254164297770048,
      -0.29045271436932346,
      -0.1464817692133184,
      0.004293882665858333,
      -0.11002331501345881,
      0.04483382377108702
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02964276120423342,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00436115996342841,
    "iterations": 96,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3429.6937639965786
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 575,
    "testRows": 18,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.347866499553707,
        0.31163822159564236,
        0.15205532914164052,
        0.7651982006350138,
        13.827208795971192,
        2021.2,
        -3.1202862988175415,
        0.15397739130434765,
        0.11857913043478242
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.3158424521270986,
        0.03228362123148292,
        0.0374050693594472,
        0.037020283470417206,
        0.3391891874370569,
        2.3151673805580355,
        0.40338331869007626,
        0.04799845479554447,
        0.038666110306059744
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06956521739130435,
        "East of England": 0.09565217391304348,
        "London": 0.28695652173913044,
        "North East": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North West": 0.19130434782608696,
        "South West": 0.06086956521739131,
        "West Midlands": 0.10434782608695652,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.10434782608695652
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03949322162930325,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9281.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.03055220214587,
      0.19097847361289635,
      -0.15971768759992752,
      -0.11177196918355298,
      -0.012708336409508298,
      -0.11230611191376978,
      -0.03299086812184874,
      0.47110749539372265,
      0.2014758996815199,
      -0.1646761007502979,
      0.05755662225905399,
      0.12112140291890724,
      -0.2621046016265254,
      -0.12342521342380042,
      0.030532209028896043,
      -0.11055032683542089,
      0.041738900963131834
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02999656519132488,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0034256984933473357,
    "iterations": 84,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3432.072591979742
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "B",
    "trainingRows": 630,
    "testRows": 7,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.343338909006233,
        0.31296148504368465,
        0.15044854339369115,
        0.7666777899401106,
        13.847007856649647,
        2021.2
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2643938029910577,
        0.03194660269889251,
        0.036639533382802125,
        0.036345193939114215,
        0.3206383481238181,
        2.315167380558035
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06349206349206349,
        "East of England": 0.0873015873015873,
        "London": 0.2619047619047619,
        "North East": 0.07936507936507936,
        "North West": 0.1746031746031746,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "West Midlands": 0.09523809523809523,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09523809523809523
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03936967215283914,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9092.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0889878677021523,
      0.614184242950456,
      -0.0747157761750598,
      -0.08228551118842384,
      -0.09664429397657033,
      -0.29117479393568,
      -0.1262335556519752,
      0.11842950824282186,
      0.4526400703200232,
      -0.40058855756595185,
      -0.27465462761222187,
      0.1318373679528253,
      -0.20327695213625485,
      0.11507804820782895
    ],
    "alpha": 0.07941631540084737,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0021022401084192645,
    "iterations": 50,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 4039.655684712788
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 630,
    "testRows": 7,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.343338909006233,
        0.31296148504368465,
        0.15044854339369115,
        0.7666777899401106,
        13.847007856649647,
        2021.2,
        -3.1192231277801103
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2643938029910577,
        0.03194660269889251,
        0.036639533382802125,
        0.036345193939114215,
        0.3206383481238181,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.39569337904920654
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06349206349206349,
        "East of England": 0.0873015873015873,
        "London": 0.2619047619047619,
        "North East": 0.07936507936507936,
        "North West": 0.1746031746031746,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "West Midlands": 0.09523809523809523,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09523809523809523
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03936967215283914,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9092.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0347320419898245,
      0.2270736063342978,
      -0.08064564675457737,
      -0.031045740145454092,
      -0.0567595920055904,
      -0.09919580256731894,
      -0.030717282004646653,
      0.5407591068664357,
      0.0735612431340875,
      0.0892893766599413,
      -0.2349924645502188,
      -0.11720539737038144,
      0.007610775646974875,
      -0.09854029589734149,
      0.0071762342854694424
    ],
    "alpha": 0.031711684128567286,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.002287018877500428,
    "iterations": 59,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3776.316513917802
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 630,
    "testRows": 7,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.343338909006233,
        0.31296148504368465,
        0.15044854339369115,
        0.7666777899401106,
        13.847007856649647,
        2021.2,
        0.14860952380952375,
        0.11403015873015848
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2643938029910577,
        0.03194660269889251,
        0.036639533382802125,
        0.036345193939114215,
        0.3206383481238181,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.04974318080180614,
        0.039631645744521514
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06349206349206349,
        "East of England": 0.0873015873015873,
        "London": 0.2619047619047619,
        "North East": 0.07936507936507936,
        "North West": 0.1746031746031746,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "West Midlands": 0.09523809523809523,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09523809523809523
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03936967215283914,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9092.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0935723355321225,
      0.4563756372181963,
      -0.22240062829185364,
      -0.06867166084278159,
      -0.02371852229157915,
      -0.2374358549016496,
      -0.09913352644729059,
      0.6064032241955037,
      -0.4315575691871513,
      0.11763600457215809,
      0.4682757635750293,
      -0.48212317104888897,
      -0.2895329868460718,
      0.20694743086806278,
      -0.28352214658053326,
      0.11361520899043609
    ],
    "alpha": 0.06570373028672025,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.007861251826741834,
    "iterations": 86,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3981.5895990020927
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "DE",
    "trainingRows": 630,
    "testRows": 7,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.343338909006233,
        0.31296148504368465,
        0.15044854339369115,
        0.7666777899401106,
        13.847007856649647,
        2021.2,
        0.14860952380952375,
        0.11403015873015848,
        0.2243202509117816
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2643938029910577,
        0.03194660269889251,
        0.036639533382802125,
        0.036345193939114215,
        0.3206383481238181,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.04974318080180614,
        0.039631645744521514,
        0.055391450223820714
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06349206349206349,
        "East of England": 0.0873015873015873,
        "London": 0.2619047619047619,
        "North East": 0.07936507936507936,
        "North West": 0.1746031746031746,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "West Midlands": 0.09523809523809523,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09523809523809523
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03936967215283914,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9092.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0590361467310636,
      0.424772060754561,
      -0.11536064779193252,
      0.06923384154480274,
      -0.05330332035098107,
      -0.22298513264774522,
      -0.05654027342289262,
      0.6198819606398114,
      -0.24122146867638652,
      -0.26400093080144477,
      0.1341669800912247,
      0.4272453970056242,
      -0.5855758239829156,
      -0.3732224351690765,
      0.14128400777958217,
      -0.2555328993920017,
      0.12083839218711427
    ],
    "alpha": 0.0579126751366017,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0019578009187514057,
    "iterations": 85,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3944.9600696438238
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "DE4",
    "trainingRows": 630,
    "testRows": 7,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "level4PlusShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.343338909006233,
        0.31296148504368465,
        0.15044854339369115,
        0.7666777899401106,
        13.847007856649647,
        2021.2,
        0.14860952380952375,
        0.11403015873015848,
        0.28163122702085175
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2643938029910577,
        0.03194660269889251,
        0.036639533382802125,
        0.036345193939114215,
        0.3206383481238181,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.04974318080180614,
        0.039631645744521514,
        0.09676731200921591
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06349206349206349,
        "East of England": 0.0873015873015873,
        "London": 0.2619047619047619,
        "North East": 0.07936507936507936,
        "North West": 0.1746031746031746,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "West Midlands": 0.09523809523809523,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09523809523809523
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03936967215283914,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9092.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1124144096223265,
      0.41212301606131235,
      -0.03665067763453427,
      0.08743530063406317,
      -0.03731226448617419,
      -0.22639740483577175,
      -0.057215761566100205,
      0.44148371036106454,
      -0.1303763754218714,
      0.26066146695902853,
      0.22494032003302214,
      0.5171674544549381,
      -0.5577533809289129,
      -0.3500066092838443,
      0.24516607592263262,
      -0.27531465177941217,
      0.1345801447709425
    ],
    "alpha": 0.05527739537248506,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0017486239823137975,
    "iterations": 89,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3929.7810185249627
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "DEH",
    "trainingRows": 630,
    "testRows": 7,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.343338909006233,
        0.31296148504368465,
        0.15044854339369115,
        0.7666777899401106,
        13.847007856649647,
        2021.2,
        -3.1192231277801103,
        0.14860952380952375,
        0.11403015873015848,
        0.2243202509117816
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2643938029910577,
        0.03194660269889251,
        0.036639533382802125,
        0.036345193939114215,
        0.3206383481238181,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.39569337904920654,
        0.04974318080180614,
        0.039631645744521514,
        0.055391450223820714
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06349206349206349,
        "East of England": 0.0873015873015873,
        "London": 0.2619047619047619,
        "North East": 0.07936507936507936,
        "North West": 0.1746031746031746,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "West Midlands": 0.09523809523809523,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09523809523809523
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03936967215283914,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9092.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.029013907690672,
      0.21734753038688312,
      -0.09950251785452403,
      0.020130368953596163,
      -0.045931110603962,
      -0.09946703451116243,
      -0.025878919308185394,
      0.4835385937085701,
      0.24065756466908808,
      -0.14127128218785728,
      -0.07319545574568127,
      0.07636372940461723,
      0.09871230540427861,
      -0.288347638381147,
      -0.14637017996009388,
      0.0174171158854451,
      -0.13354830158740302,
      0.029712259763759578
    ],
    "alpha": 0.030069592524969036,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0025180656483715694,
    "iterations": 98,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3761.868965120547
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 630,
    "testRows": 7,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.343338909006233,
        0.31296148504368465,
        0.15044854339369115,
        0.7666777899401106,
        13.847007856649647,
        2021.2,
        -3.1192231277801103,
        0.14860952380952375,
        0.11403015873015848
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2643938029910577,
        0.03194660269889251,
        0.036639533382802125,
        0.036345193939114215,
        0.3206383481238181,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.39569337904920654,
        0.04974318080180614,
        0.039631645744521514
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06349206349206349,
        "East of England": 0.0873015873015873,
        "London": 0.2619047619047619,
        "North East": 0.07936507936507936,
        "North West": 0.1746031746031746,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "West Midlands": 0.09523809523809523,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09523809523809523
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03936967215283914,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9092.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.037791121826216,
      0.21344394536570338,
      -0.125652402783774,
      -0.01639425909381596,
      -0.03834328452931814,
      -0.09663567347148637,
      -0.03490606311849856,
      0.50732157704391,
      0.221854639518146,
      -0.18508381385766745,
      0.07094291855823745,
      0.09425705206093889,
      -0.24626486918466606,
      -0.11186659192979713,
      0.02875402101080656,
      -0.13275386742712267,
      0.0252679251799596
    ],
    "alpha": 0.03067987123310529,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.013890527511423311,
    "iterations": 80,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3766.6389637898596
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "B",
    "trainingRows": 605,
    "testRows": 12,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.317693696680124,
        0.31155506390329357,
        0.150636556556159,
        0.7676262889936742,
        13.836654019921756,
        2021.2
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.277605925273038,
        0.03191988232411349,
        0.0380460120872054,
        0.03643139893846358,
        0.31648293081592066,
        2.315167380558035
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06611570247933884,
        "East of England": 0.09090909090909091,
        "London": 0.2727272727272727,
        "North East": 0.08264462809917356,
        "North West": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South East": 0.1487603305785124,
        "South West": 0.05785123966942149,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09917355371900827
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916673230343111,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 8763.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0962729418120345,
      0.5876793270854354,
      -0.09125116584183063,
      -0.12125865633575228,
      -0.09221967710339014,
      -0.3018353589565594,
      -0.12392111860477174,
      0.10519114599391995,
      0.4681998055293641,
      -0.3961252965637981,
      -0.2624283220598599,
      0.13179726778705894,
      -0.06052225633079153,
      0.11315665866907584
    ],
    "alpha": 0.0768550379802195,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0025145537126043394,
    "iterations": 50,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3878.643181999766
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 605,
    "testRows": 12,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.317693696680124,
        0.31155506390329357,
        0.150636556556159,
        0.7676262889936742,
        13.836654019921756,
        2021.2,
        -3.114763154552281
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.277605925273038,
        0.03191988232411349,
        0.0380460120872054,
        0.03643139893846358,
        0.31648293081592066,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.4027510988258257
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06611570247933884,
        "East of England": 0.09090909090909091,
        "London": 0.2727272727272727,
        "North East": 0.08264462809917356,
        "North West": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South East": 0.1487603305785124,
        "South West": 0.05785123966942149,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09917355371900827
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916673230343111,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 8763.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0372669592373835,
      0.21373574019146357,
      -0.08085018140393796,
      -0.055275417026550165,
      -0.05536417966320458,
      -0.11387921351422384,
      -0.03261892720915661,
      0.5364992102778758,
      0.07020773112735508,
      0.1070651744409373,
      -0.22736957311567646,
      -0.1037882859359281,
      0.012624226793856502,
      0.05069338425724697,
      0.01083757117462399
    ],
    "alpha": 0.03100009494084883,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.002329533485838742,
    "iterations": 60,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3630.5177035170873
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 605,
    "testRows": 12,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.317693696680124,
        0.31155506390329357,
        0.150636556556159,
        0.7676262889936742,
        13.836654019921756,
        2021.2,
        0.14624462809917352,
        0.11277355371900807
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.277605925273038,
        0.03191988232411349,
        0.0380460120872054,
        0.03643139893846358,
        0.31648293081592066,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.04894060821342239,
        0.03965800028423816
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06611570247933884,
        "East of England": 0.09090909090909091,
        "London": 0.2727272727272727,
        "North East": 0.08264462809917356,
        "North West": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South East": 0.1487603305785124,
        "South West": 0.05785123966942149,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09917355371900827
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916673230343111,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 8763.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1018866318938283,
      0.4485622536670922,
      -0.22051623655634414,
      -0.11331578561511604,
      -0.027796178550924946,
      -0.24900108914767882,
      -0.09636877271700867,
      0.5192899685504228,
      -0.36547784813909046,
      0.10853379448746672,
      0.4752728974398178,
      -0.47853550656352833,
      -0.28699319450987903,
      0.20220982529767917,
      -0.07745662395612889,
      0.1077939223858043
    ],
    "alpha": 0.06509566269334399,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.003373571756899036,
    "iterations": 74,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3829.8699863496095
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "DE",
    "trainingRows": 605,
    "testRows": 12,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.317693696680124,
        0.31155506390329357,
        0.150636556556159,
        0.7676262889936742,
        13.836654019921756,
        2021.2,
        0.14624462809917352,
        0.11277355371900807,
        0.2196033276309972
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.277605925273038,
        0.03191988232411349,
        0.0380460120872054,
        0.03643139893846358,
        0.31648293081592066,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.04894060821342239,
        0.03965800028423816,
        0.05310798858800704
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06611570247933884,
        "East of England": 0.09090909090909091,
        "London": 0.2727272727272727,
        "North East": 0.08264462809917356,
        "North West": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South East": 0.1487603305785124,
        "South West": 0.05785123966942149,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09917355371900827
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916673230343111,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 8763.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0646285245129823,
      0.3935744830424422,
      -0.12225214171592745,
      -0.00440089563237099,
      -0.04584333008669109,
      -0.2337643990522126,
      -0.053975435331255095,
      0.5199593050947867,
      -0.1771495222517129,
      -0.23927917934248105,
      0.12017262036626873,
      0.45027357934501305,
      -0.5690743347068811,
      -0.3579084252411305,
      0.1363514342465035,
      -0.17478260000972604,
      0.12172460343636513
    ],
    "alpha": 0.05879303101571798,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0014437547579607569,
    "iterations": 89,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3801.401574476683
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "DE4",
    "trainingRows": 605,
    "testRows": 12,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "level4PlusShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.317693696680124,
        0.31155506390329357,
        0.150636556556159,
        0.7676262889936742,
        13.836654019921756,
        2021.2,
        0.14624462809917352,
        0.11277355371900807,
        0.28496844633828816
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.277605925273038,
        0.03191988232411349,
        0.0380460120872054,
        0.03643139893846358,
        0.31648293081592066,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.04894060821342239,
        0.03965800028423816,
        0.09696523410705923
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06611570247933884,
        "East of England": 0.09090909090909091,
        "London": 0.2727272727272727,
        "North East": 0.08264462809917356,
        "North West": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South East": 0.1487603305785124,
        "South West": 0.05785123966942149,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09917355371900827
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916673230343111,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 8763.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.116213302017321,
      0.4011233814068411,
      -0.07494458008563888,
      0.0010686435642684664,
      -0.031915041642175644,
      -0.2322930155037887,
      -0.05980571123040238,
      0.3853699351569522,
      -0.11752940013848803,
      0.21038389097545165,
      0.1933415794317737,
      0.5108469585596241,
      -0.5404661891162879,
      -0.3377369810725868,
      0.22941927319128433,
      -0.04572290977976872,
      0.12813560424770323
    ],
    "alpha": 0.05810038726922959,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.007868617364091,
    "iterations": 80,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3796.88891984766
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "DEH",
    "trainingRows": 605,
    "testRows": 12,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.317693696680124,
        0.31155506390329357,
        0.150636556556159,
        0.7676262889936742,
        13.836654019921756,
        2021.2,
        -3.114763154552281,
        0.14624462809917352,
        0.11277355371900807,
        0.2196033276309972
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.277605925273038,
        0.03191988232411349,
        0.0380460120872054,
        0.03643139893846358,
        0.31648293081592066,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.4027510988258257,
        0.04894060821342239,
        0.03965800028423816,
        0.05310798858800704
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06611570247933884,
        "East of England": 0.09090909090909091,
        "London": 0.2727272727272727,
        "North East": 0.08264462809917356,
        "North West": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South East": 0.1487603305785124,
        "South West": 0.05785123966942149,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09917355371900827
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916673230343111,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 8763.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.032060563818412,
      0.19899610172428922,
      -0.10089888800710084,
      -0.01766719508011251,
      -0.04304932786194638,
      -0.11124373330965127,
      -0.027576300448538604,
      0.48983790950001593,
      0.2055227013653664,
      -0.12668101429829573,
      -0.05670350402101035,
      0.07099821141398067,
      0.11157945092521446,
      -0.26963239037472236,
      -0.12579445757797494,
      0.01969145111808306,
      0.005113845842993591,
      0.03125331683869774
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02969902429503414,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.007927398322096815,
    "iterations": 97,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3619.167568241922
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 605,
    "testRows": 12,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.317693696680124,
        0.31155506390329357,
        0.150636556556159,
        0.7676262889936742,
        13.836654019921756,
        2021.2,
        -3.114763154552281,
        0.14624462809917352,
        0.11277355371900807
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.277605925273038,
        0.03191988232411349,
        0.0380460120872054,
        0.03643139893846358,
        0.31648293081592066,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.4027510988258257,
        0.04894060821342239,
        0.03965800028423816
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06611570247933884,
        "East of England": 0.09090909090909091,
        "London": 0.2727272727272727,
        "North East": 0.08264462809917356,
        "North West": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South East": 0.1487603305785124,
        "South West": 0.05785123966942149,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09917355371900827
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916673230343111,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 8763.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.040290279660361,
      0.20250240321464671,
      -0.1215843901354569,
      -0.04168846139583368,
      -0.03902405700839298,
      -0.10969928093027906,
      -0.03564183771814373,
      0.5072330400593309,
      0.1965978366811213,
      -0.1664332160127695,
      0.06792282447034044,
      0.10624442903401944,
      -0.23831824577288702,
      -0.10056199431764462,
      0.0309895167759785,
      0.03479514644407726,
      0.026478966113637877
    ],
    "alpha": 0.03007849497907602,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.003389215461900828,
    "iterations": 82,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3621.983828356874
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "B",
    "trainingRows": 605,
    "testRows": 12,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.343047034903406,
        0.31169010194486324,
        0.15142150418081998,
        0.7690658160794752,
        13.837174979144875,
        2021.2
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.315352794319488,
        0.03262534765657441,
        0.03869437524972366,
        0.03550093798156727,
        0.34259887342963546,
        2.315167380558035
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06611570247933884,
        "East of England": 0.09090909090909091,
        "London": 0.2727272727272727,
        "North East": 0.08264462809917356,
        "North West": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South East": 0.1487603305785124,
        "South West": 0.05785123966942149,
        "West Midlands": 0.09917355371900827
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03826549270151057,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9012.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0852686860801555,
      0.6237416407864345,
      -0.07656796472418241,
      -0.0992843292544567,
      -0.10815434557348708,
      -0.3003427229997205,
      -0.13150640441266812,
      0.10596252921986105,
      0.4399103956029095,
      -0.38714919268105313,
      -0.2652516993147809,
      0.13398189311941122,
      -0.030954744427555615,
      -0.20121095427437524
    ],
    "alpha": 0.07930350187819335,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0025664635007645632,
    "iterations": 48,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3880.7507657753054
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 605,
    "testRows": 12,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.343047034903406,
        0.31169010194486324,
        0.15142150418081998,
        0.7690658160794752,
        13.837174979144875,
        2021.2,
        -3.1386333361083247
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.315352794319488,
        0.03262534765657441,
        0.03869437524972366,
        0.03550093798156727,
        0.34259887342963546,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.40970631606353625
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06611570247933884,
        "East of England": 0.09090909090909091,
        "London": 0.2727272727272727,
        "North East": 0.08264462809917356,
        "North West": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South East": 0.1487603305785124,
        "South West": 0.05785123966942149,
        "West Midlands": 0.09917355371900827
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03826549270151057,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9012.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.053725954490391,
      0.2229988401485637,
      -0.08390529277242183,
      -0.04934666120368856,
      -0.05876438316976061,
      -0.10597142650779548,
      -0.03607012367119834,
      0.5483382834485063,
      0.06833822921325945,
      0.10282223810581542,
      -0.21748260769623784,
      -0.10357659724012284,
      0.012799175322998225,
      0.06146690612183933,
      -0.09040559026747957
    ],
    "alpha": 0.03205788171271695,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0024783297013135663,
    "iterations": 67,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3631.7974553899485
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 605,
    "testRows": 12,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.343047034903406,
        0.31169010194486324,
        0.15142150418081998,
        0.7690658160794752,
        13.837174979144875,
        2021.2,
        0.1461636363636364,
        0.11190743801652878
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.315352794319488,
        0.03262534765657441,
        0.03869437524972366,
        0.03550093798156727,
        0.34259887342963546,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.04984721781571107,
        0.039538093704259654
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06611570247933884,
        "East of England": 0.09090909090909091,
        "London": 0.2727272727272727,
        "North East": 0.08264462809917356,
        "North West": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South East": 0.1487603305785124,
        "South West": 0.05785123966942149,
        "West Midlands": 0.09917355371900827
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03826549270151057,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9012.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.093924043445314,
      0.45751941553446274,
      -0.21271938256800385,
      -0.11673983637665998,
      -0.04129479234917125,
      -0.2428054742212414,
      -0.09130568074200644,
      0.46389705740652365,
      -0.27016415565636465,
      0.11903575626342189,
      0.49957688064530653,
      -0.5118756465540679,
      -0.3225122766079205,
      0.22453129200325378,
      -0.05101723888979982,
      -0.2638774145736388
    ],
    "alpha": 0.06722167387014098,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.005328838310236132,
    "iterations": 83,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3831.7767837119495
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "DE",
    "trainingRows": 605,
    "testRows": 12,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.343047034903406,
        0.31169010194486324,
        0.15142150418081998,
        0.7690658160794752,
        13.837174979144875,
        2021.2,
        0.1461636363636364,
        0.11190743801652878,
        0.21956788494890844
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.315352794319488,
        0.03262534765657441,
        0.03869437524972366,
        0.03550093798156727,
        0.34259887342963546,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.04984721781571107,
        0.039538093704259654,
        0.05360660096481396
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06611570247933884,
        "East of England": 0.09090909090909091,
        "London": 0.2727272727272727,
        "North East": 0.08264462809917356,
        "North West": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South East": 0.1487603305785124,
        "South West": 0.05785123966942149,
        "West Midlands": 0.09917355371900827
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03826549270151057,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9012.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0528568677432517,
      0.4212450516242005,
      -0.11931832303783256,
      0.007949962465998996,
      -0.06098226767204837,
      -0.22813426424441774,
      -0.05608268127610304,
      0.5051019517049659,
      -0.1384944415963454,
      -0.23035290791851565,
      0.12717287623072793,
      0.4468407568824052,
      -0.5878851688435605,
      -0.38341170375543443,
      0.15449098022974111,
      -0.14582173262370832,
      -0.23517690304278566
    ],
    "alpha": 0.06081432938259457,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.004486595420975973,
    "iterations": 74,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3803.8707740071072
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "DE4",
    "trainingRows": 605,
    "testRows": 12,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "level4PlusShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.343047034903406,
        0.31169010194486324,
        0.15142150418081998,
        0.7690658160794752,
        13.837174979144875,
        2021.2,
        0.1461636363636364,
        0.11190743801652878,
        0.28643805190406657
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.315352794319488,
        0.03262534765657441,
        0.03869437524972366,
        0.03550093798156727,
        0.34259887342963546,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.04984721781571107,
        0.039538093704259654,
        0.09579012875160729
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06611570247933884,
        "East of England": 0.09090909090909091,
        "London": 0.2727272727272727,
        "North East": 0.08264462809917356,
        "North West": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South East": 0.1487603305785124,
        "South West": 0.05785123966942149,
        "West Midlands": 0.09917355371900827
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03826549270151057,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9012.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1043939438784816,
      0.4142260712087473,
      -0.047602042631771674,
      0.013713280189490985,
      -0.04487745971177658,
      -0.22952249160430938,
      -0.054888638207973815,
      0.31097438163453345,
      -0.008640326339941598,
      0.22945865084643946,
      0.2077333444674225,
      0.5236358152968377,
      -0.5709332021887883,
      -0.37310058750427105,
      0.24294556433710493,
      -0.022970627939170346,
      -0.24998146900638815
    ],
    "alpha": 0.05844208380838271,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0028288549302493264,
    "iterations": 83,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3791.398924754911
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "DEH",
    "trainingRows": 605,
    "testRows": 12,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.343047034903406,
        0.31169010194486324,
        0.15142150418081998,
        0.7690658160794752,
        13.837174979144875,
        2021.2,
        -3.1386333361083247,
        0.1461636363636364,
        0.11190743801652878,
        0.21956788494890844
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.315352794319488,
        0.03262534765657441,
        0.03869437524972366,
        0.03550093798156727,
        0.34259887342963546,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.40970631606353625,
        0.04984721781571107,
        0.039538093704259654,
        0.05360660096481396
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06611570247933884,
        "East of England": 0.09090909090909091,
        "London": 0.2727272727272727,
        "North East": 0.08264462809917356,
        "North West": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South East": 0.1487603305785124,
        "South West": 0.05785123966942149,
        "West Midlands": 0.09917355371900827
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03826549270151057,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9012.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0437208989725515,
      0.20757910133768684,
      -0.09955231802992583,
      -0.012702895734384082,
      -0.04805622071373367,
      -0.10343903105724034,
      -0.027915865092953667,
      0.5022440446350792,
      0.18276468988204228,
      -0.09355201021067007,
      -0.0606375138255327,
      0.07243753273914257,
      0.11421888668560619,
      -0.27084476540632674,
      -0.13541437558837108,
      0.021864763510646607,
      0.015783128980103988,
      -0.11501303398662384
    ],
    "alpha": 0.030935183651641125,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00610321359102517,
    "iterations": 87,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3622.292179159532
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 605,
    "testRows": 12,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.343047034903406,
        0.31169010194486324,
        0.15142150418081998,
        0.7690658160794752,
        13.837174979144875,
        2021.2,
        -3.1386333361083247,
        0.1461636363636364,
        0.11190743801652878
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.315352794319488,
        0.03262534765657441,
        0.03869437524972366,
        0.03550093798156727,
        0.34259887342963546,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.40970631606353625,
        0.04984721781571107,
        0.039538093704259654
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06611570247933884,
        "East of England": 0.09090909090909091,
        "London": 0.2727272727272727,
        "North East": 0.08264462809917356,
        "North West": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South East": 0.1487603305785124,
        "South West": 0.05785123966942149,
        "West Midlands": 0.09917355371900827
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03826549270151057,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9012.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.05441962586575,
      0.20696950045909784,
      -0.12185547872176869,
      -0.043703963582910815,
      -0.04272507415255484,
      -0.1019558836754903,
      -0.03525966585624194,
      0.5211162234413588,
      0.16338252386985483,
      -0.1250715868534122,
      0.0693212174010305,
      0.1152310135080508,
      -0.23928127950116776,
      -0.10955726897965484,
      0.03448715454468267,
      0.04688659297698727,
      -0.11612883891141032
    ],
    "alpha": 0.03140944132408066,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0013706857627558957,
    "iterations": 77,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 3625.6846927548527
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "B",
    "trainingRows": 266,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.27762811292913,
        0.311679516083588,
        0.15265394789134054,
        0.7807953242499739,
        13.896522592254522,
        2018.5
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563754,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.03763153084119204,
        0.030889834048778073,
        0.3283417955129267,
        0.5
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04075390639256313,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9916.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0417855538228276,
      0.6370927639918076,
      -0.05658477359102505,
      -0.08158610408289033,
      -0.15593378164399427,
      -0.30385888385513843,
      -0.021080489747689057,
      0.13904932108450013,
      0.3662458062291176,
      -0.3107790274338593,
      -0.20165659376658684,
      0.20044543261058145,
      -0.03878177664489824,
      -0.19168288214806042,
      0.017819118479584596
    ],
    "alpha": 0.0669642270736569,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0015217351775082594,
    "iterations": 59,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1709.1969697842094
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 266,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.27762811292913,
        0.311679516083588,
        0.15265394789134054,
        0.7807953242499739,
        13.896522592254522,
        2018.5,
        -3.071838513372977
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563754,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.03763153084119204,
        0.030889834048778073,
        0.3283417955129267,
        0.5,
        0.3697439963714181
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04075390639256313,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9916.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0319130696525454,
      0.21950456222710502,
      -0.06346615738665569,
      -0.023516714311647615,
      -0.06625701991331516,
      -0.09835093115582291,
      -0.010209162100889334,
      0.5215473862479305,
      0.06938347767109816,
      0.14444899688684937,
      -0.1641338809141574,
      -0.028381623908218613,
      0.05394677597432601,
      0.08988344653891432,
      -0.0721280426436866,
      -0.0515352864646197
    ],
    "alpha": 0.024776671141897154,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0014803044553086135,
    "iterations": 68,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1588.0470078698208
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 266,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.27762811292913,
        0.311679516083588,
        0.15265394789134054,
        0.7807953242499739,
        13.896522592254522,
        2018.5,
        0.15869172932330824,
        0.12595488721804532
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563754,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.03763153084119204,
        0.030889834048778073,
        0.3283417955129267,
        0.5,
        0.05100820816316684,
        0.04056144779890964
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04075390639256313,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9916.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0134308191009502,
      0.5364739947011002,
      -0.18205232116437975,
      -0.033791148245923316,
      -0.08330541748480554,
      -0.26228896321246015,
      -0.02160610571310657,
      0.6007787524235237,
      -0.49731151214952685,
      0.09918361309196526,
      0.2659260228277267,
      -0.3109307313543738,
      -0.16100796803311074,
      0.1744724292170927,
      -0.09988886185341489,
      -0.27719709301213225,
      0.05990039576624019
    ],
    "alpha": 0.0594797727037474,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0004972578908351127,
    "iterations": 77,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1694.2477125406847
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "DE",
    "trainingRows": 266,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.27762811292913,
        0.311679516083588,
        0.15265394789134054,
        0.7807953242499739,
        13.896522592254522,
        2018.5,
        0.15869172932330824,
        0.12595488721804532,
        0.2238203295656642
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563754,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.03763153084119204,
        0.030889834048778073,
        0.3283417955129267,
        0.5,
        0.05100820816316684,
        0.04056144779890964,
        0.0541858402119016
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04075390639256313,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9916.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -2.9818537534707055,
      0.483718291099338,
      -0.08761477280869351,
      0.06759444692454314,
      -0.10182671816688081,
      -0.24029124925526787,
      -0.022048020818915225,
      0.5316073447674544,
      -0.23644192366481181,
      -0.24446361317281237,
      0.1112674837073617,
      0.2514562146515699,
      -0.4233508217655183,
      -0.2488773268640084,
      0.12134701684732299,
      -0.19288747845795756,
      -0.23540730271833651,
      0.05490521608865114
    ],
    "alpha": 0.05356213178184759,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0015697836835346223,
    "iterations": 93,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1681.6074909133254
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "DE4",
    "trainingRows": 266,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "level4PlusShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.27762811292913,
        0.311679516083588,
        0.15265394789134054,
        0.7807953242499739,
        13.896522592254522,
        2018.5,
        0.15869172932330824,
        0.12595488721804532,
        0.2801162603445879
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563754,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.03763153084119204,
        0.030889834048778073,
        0.3283417955129267,
        0.5,
        0.05100820816316684,
        0.04056144779890964,
        0.09475649078443953
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04075390639256313,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9916.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.036463636117963,
      0.47362073107965075,
      -0.029114387997925057,
      0.0742298169642773,
      -0.08340964415881841,
      -0.24188830804916278,
      -0.02184851566079756,
      0.39828305579537066,
      -0.17116762456521623,
      0.2259233727020594,
      0.19225537701791118,
      0.341520620523066,
      -0.3977682414356955,
      -0.23083406400289372,
      0.21965824624888824,
      -0.06185424388268192,
      -0.2554146361110332,
      0.07048573363316703
    ],
    "alpha": 0.05201417283377402,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0025408754214677463,
    "iterations": 76,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1677.1967088871468
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "DEH",
    "trainingRows": 266,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.27762811292913,
        0.311679516083588,
        0.15265394789134054,
        0.7807953242499739,
        13.896522592254522,
        2018.5,
        -3.071838513372977,
        0.15869172932330824,
        0.12595488721804532,
        0.2238203295656642
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563754,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.03763153084119204,
        0.030889834048778073,
        0.3283417955129267,
        0.5,
        0.3697439963714181,
        0.05100820816316684,
        0.04056144779890964,
        0.0541858402119016
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04075390639256313,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9916.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.014151076602443,
      0.22337792105125298,
      -0.08208047239529039,
      0.022581466565701685,
      -0.05786410587614101,
      -0.09799690504543591,
      -0.010818941690727816,
      0.4928768763572384,
      0.20991135603286337,
      -0.17188861989681162,
      -0.036578462926452913,
      0.05597019659209693,
      0.08722259302128181,
      -0.15712256285159482,
      -0.01541742961234929,
      0.03153486573555661,
      0.0436717543269657,
      -0.10487500363438035,
      -0.021243377278387907
    ],
    "alpha": 0.023732879462666567,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0016164493481736959,
    "iterations": 94,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1583.6216862329695
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 266,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.27762811292913,
        0.311679516083588,
        0.15265394789134054,
        0.7807953242499739,
        13.896522592254522,
        2018.5,
        -3.071838513372977,
        0.15869172932330824,
        0.12595488721804532
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563754,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.03763153084119204,
        0.030889834048778073,
        0.3283417955129267,
        0.5,
        0.3697439963714181,
        0.05100820816316684,
        0.04056144779890964
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04075390639256313,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9916.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0196241817999883,
      0.2239098042581055,
      -0.09492698582366586,
      0.007807282888960716,
      -0.054262647314726395,
      -0.09763492306014979,
      -0.01058936793686794,
      0.5036819955891702,
      0.2133168457877555,
      -0.20583503832404695,
      0.05304991696694789,
      0.0860150510283892,
      -0.1357055401367325,
      0.0026716996836446496,
      0.03688060276175453,
      0.062067519020315084,
      -0.1073704854666899,
      -0.021357966911021133
    ],
    "alpha": 0.023913147530052588,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0009149758239161309,
    "iterations": 95,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1584.1725739264698
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "B",
    "trainingRows": 266,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.27762811292913,
        0.311679516083588,
        0.15265394789134054,
        0.7807953242499739,
        13.896522592254522,
        2018.5
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563754,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.03763153084119204,
        0.030889834048778073,
        0.3283417955129267,
        0.5
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04075390639256313,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9916.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0417855538228276,
      0.6370927639918076,
      -0.05658477359102505,
      -0.08158610408289033,
      -0.15593378164399427,
      -0.30385888385513843,
      -0.021080489747689057,
      0.13904932108450013,
      0.3662458062291176,
      -0.3107790274338593,
      -0.20165659376658684,
      0.20044543261058145,
      -0.03878177664489824,
      -0.19168288214806042,
      0.017819118479584596
    ],
    "alpha": 0.0669642270736569,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0015217351775082594,
    "iterations": 59,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1709.1969697842094
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 266,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.27762811292913,
        0.311679516083588,
        0.15265394789134054,
        0.7807953242499739,
        13.896522592254522,
        2018.5,
        -3.071838513372977
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563754,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.03763153084119204,
        0.030889834048778073,
        0.3283417955129267,
        0.5,
        0.3697439963714181
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04075390639256313,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9916.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0319130696525454,
      0.21950456222710502,
      -0.06346615738665569,
      -0.023516714311647615,
      -0.06625701991331516,
      -0.09835093115582291,
      -0.010209162100889334,
      0.5215473862479305,
      0.06938347767109816,
      0.14444899688684937,
      -0.1641338809141574,
      -0.028381623908218613,
      0.05394677597432601,
      0.08988344653891432,
      -0.0721280426436866,
      -0.0515352864646197
    ],
    "alpha": 0.024776671141897154,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0014803044553086135,
    "iterations": 68,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1588.0470078698208
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 266,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.27762811292913,
        0.311679516083588,
        0.15265394789134054,
        0.7807953242499739,
        13.896522592254522,
        2018.5,
        0.15869172932330824,
        0.12595488721804532
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563754,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.03763153084119204,
        0.030889834048778073,
        0.3283417955129267,
        0.5,
        0.05100820816316684,
        0.04056144779890964
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04075390639256313,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9916.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0134308191009502,
      0.5364739947011002,
      -0.18205232116437975,
      -0.033791148245923316,
      -0.08330541748480554,
      -0.26228896321246015,
      -0.02160610571310657,
      0.6007787524235237,
      -0.49731151214952685,
      0.09918361309196526,
      0.2659260228277267,
      -0.3109307313543738,
      -0.16100796803311074,
      0.1744724292170927,
      -0.09988886185341489,
      -0.27719709301213225,
      0.05990039576624019
    ],
    "alpha": 0.0594797727037474,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0004972578908351127,
    "iterations": 77,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1694.2477125406847
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "DE",
    "trainingRows": 266,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.27762811292913,
        0.311679516083588,
        0.15265394789134054,
        0.7807953242499739,
        13.896522592254522,
        2018.5,
        0.15869172932330824,
        0.12595488721804532,
        0.2238203295656642
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563754,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.03763153084119204,
        0.030889834048778073,
        0.3283417955129267,
        0.5,
        0.05100820816316684,
        0.04056144779890964,
        0.0541858402119016
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04075390639256313,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9916.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -2.9818537534707055,
      0.483718291099338,
      -0.08761477280869351,
      0.06759444692454314,
      -0.10182671816688081,
      -0.24029124925526787,
      -0.022048020818915225,
      0.5316073447674544,
      -0.23644192366481181,
      -0.24446361317281237,
      0.1112674837073617,
      0.2514562146515699,
      -0.4233508217655183,
      -0.2488773268640084,
      0.12134701684732299,
      -0.19288747845795756,
      -0.23540730271833651,
      0.05490521608865114
    ],
    "alpha": 0.05356213178184759,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0015697836835346223,
    "iterations": 93,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1681.6074909133254
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "DE4",
    "trainingRows": 266,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "level4PlusShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.27762811292913,
        0.311679516083588,
        0.15265394789134054,
        0.7807953242499739,
        13.896522592254522,
        2018.5,
        0.15869172932330824,
        0.12595488721804532,
        0.2801162603445879
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563754,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.03763153084119204,
        0.030889834048778073,
        0.3283417955129267,
        0.5,
        0.05100820816316684,
        0.04056144779890964,
        0.09475649078443953
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04075390639256313,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9916.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.036463636117963,
      0.47362073107965075,
      -0.029114387997925057,
      0.0742298169642773,
      -0.08340964415881841,
      -0.24188830804916278,
      -0.02184851566079756,
      0.39828305579537066,
      -0.17116762456521623,
      0.2259233727020594,
      0.19225537701791118,
      0.341520620523066,
      -0.3977682414356955,
      -0.23083406400289372,
      0.21965824624888824,
      -0.06185424388268192,
      -0.2554146361110332,
      0.07048573363316703
    ],
    "alpha": 0.05201417283377402,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0025408754214677463,
    "iterations": 76,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1677.1967088871468
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "DEH",
    "trainingRows": 266,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.27762811292913,
        0.311679516083588,
        0.15265394789134054,
        0.7807953242499739,
        13.896522592254522,
        2018.5,
        -3.071838513372977,
        0.15869172932330824,
        0.12595488721804532,
        0.2238203295656642
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563754,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.03763153084119204,
        0.030889834048778073,
        0.3283417955129267,
        0.5,
        0.3697439963714181,
        0.05100820816316684,
        0.04056144779890964,
        0.0541858402119016
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04075390639256313,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9916.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.014151076602443,
      0.22337792105125298,
      -0.08208047239529039,
      0.022581466565701685,
      -0.05786410587614101,
      -0.09799690504543591,
      -0.010818941690727816,
      0.4928768763572384,
      0.20991135603286337,
      -0.17188861989681162,
      -0.036578462926452913,
      0.05597019659209693,
      0.08722259302128181,
      -0.15712256285159482,
      -0.01541742961234929,
      0.03153486573555661,
      0.0436717543269657,
      -0.10487500363438035,
      -0.021243377278387907
    ],
    "alpha": 0.023732879462666567,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0016164493481736959,
    "iterations": 94,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1583.6216862329695
  },
  {
    "study": "authority",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 266,
    "testRows": 133,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.27762811292913,
        0.311679516083588,
        0.15265394789134054,
        0.7807953242499739,
        13.896522592254522,
        2018.5,
        -3.071838513372977,
        0.15869172932330824,
        0.12595488721804532
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563754,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.03763153084119204,
        0.030889834048778073,
        0.3283417955129267,
        0.5,
        0.3697439963714181,
        0.05100820816316684,
        0.04056144779890964
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04075390639256313,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9916.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0196241817999883,
      0.2239098042581055,
      -0.09492698582366586,
      0.007807282888960716,
      -0.054262647314726395,
      -0.09763492306014979,
      -0.01058936793686794,
      0.5036819955891702,
      0.2133168457877555,
      -0.20583503832404695,
      0.05304991696694789,
      0.0860150510283892,
      -0.1357055401367325,
      0.0026716996836446496,
      0.03688060276175453,
      0.062067519020315084,
      -0.1073704854666899,
      -0.021357966911021133
    ],
    "alpha": 0.023913147530052588,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0009149758239161309,
    "iterations": 95,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1584.1725739264698
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 84,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402845,
        0.29816999049757414,
        0.17170360839296034,
        0.7616765963077303,
        13.730287757134896,
        2019.6666666666667,
        -3.2047245481690307
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712381,
        0.028146160614258574,
        0.021603833137539982,
        0.029603451422503226,
        0.3326876978248748,
        1.6996731711975943,
        0.2230174876902632
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04235513915888229,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60461.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.141078477232442,
      0.29491646981902647,
      -0.6152952581309038,
      -0.3804853968458063,
      -0.01516467309583223,
      -0.20360074166995376,
      -0.03645941075456757,
      0.4422648469464089,
      -0.05178493767289683,
      -1.8797782823758804,
      -0.3584183062569876,
      -0.164764352608629,
      0.036204624245366517,
      -0.15608435206797083,
      -0.06252875198903261,
      -0.010083423435661877
    ],
    "alpha": 0.015673815038627484,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0005771722833226679,
    "iterations": 81,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 583.5728723067434
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 84,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402845,
        0.29816999049757414,
        0.17170360839296034,
        0.7616765963077303,
        13.730287757134896,
        2019.6666666666667,
        0.13114244919267248,
        0.10828804176212944
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712381,
        0.028146160614258574,
        0.021603833137539982,
        0.029603451422503226,
        0.3326876978248748,
        1.6996731711975943,
        0.03922727944675056,
        0.03380870925848781
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04235513915888229,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60461.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.361398382844913,
      0.13950979675836603,
      -0.41868759535833616,
      -0.3025466079059254,
      -0.003495420177321092,
      -0.18264233070951175,
      -0.04623366830989263,
      0.3568504184639089,
      -0.06090445894465942,
      0.08573696467595254,
      0.40147057676010495,
      -0.733790533462752,
      -0.1646385780628379,
      0.5270001460490955,
      -0.12868796501288338,
      -0.15484738898167563,
      -0.018558887572071074
    ],
    "alpha": 0.028432653696076934,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00033151997738452337,
    "iterations": 104,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 608.0509792422932
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 84,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402845,
        0.29816999049757414,
        0.17170360839296034,
        0.7616765963077303,
        13.730287757134896,
        2019.6666666666667,
        0.13114244919267248,
        0.10828804176212944,
        2.0414545994494153
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712381,
        0.028146160614258574,
        0.021603833137539982,
        0.029603451422503226,
        0.3326876978248748,
        1.6996731711975943,
        0.03922727944675056,
        0.03380870925848781,
        0.38084135559304444
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04235513915888229,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60461.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3737802631690763,
      0.14914387729583733,
      -0.3582897805750151,
      -0.2585868303471197,
      -0.0014050645219620627,
      -0.1868289639320448,
      -0.031327915197489266,
      0.2826021133842011,
      -0.022681779416900104,
      0.05001933118049944,
      0.09887842727721613,
      0.4846739613510852,
      -0.7109875458179714,
      -0.14847030270486572,
      0.5246335269212844,
      -0.11303598853749681,
      -0.15427131512349265,
      -0.028284605864413385
    ],
    "alpha": 0.028076463453022622,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0008544898312637285,
    "iterations": 130,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 607.5443776818656
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 84,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402845,
        0.29816999049757414,
        0.17170360839296034,
        0.7616765963077303,
        13.730287757134896,
        2019.6666666666667,
        0.13114244919267248,
        0.10828804176212944,
        2.0414545994494153,
        0.2254296450090662
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712381,
        0.028146160614258574,
        0.021603833137539982,
        0.029603451422503226,
        0.3326876978248748,
        1.6996731711975943,
        0.03922727944675056,
        0.03380870925848781,
        0.38084135559304444,
        0.045645345527178784
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04235513915888229,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60461.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.412726441341522,
      0.14705141249022824,
      -0.42245989574914317,
      -0.33322061341309817,
      0.022550170898183796,
      -0.193973878644807,
      -0.03520840603482604,
      0.23331247729554647,
      -0.05020918186740542,
      0.05093044050476702,
      0.12910737268429653,
      0.12728698628357285,
      0.5426750983132758,
      -0.6786073211651781,
      -0.09102661473755935,
      0.6154694938177803,
      -0.05897665585482144,
      -0.128496187207635,
      -0.021203450782829536
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02785489595708568,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0020933859168824395,
    "iterations": 145,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 607.1611382672924
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 84,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402845,
        0.29816999049757414,
        0.17170360839296034,
        0.7616765963077303,
        13.730287757134896,
        2019.6666666666667,
        -3.2047245481690307,
        0.13114244919267248,
        0.10828804176212944,
        2.0414545994494153,
        0.2254296450090662
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712381,
        0.028146160614258574,
        0.021603833137539982,
        0.029603451422503226,
        0.3326876978248748,
        1.6996731711975943,
        0.2230174876902632,
        0.03922727944675056,
        0.03380870925848781,
        0.38084135559304444,
        0.045645345527178784
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04235513915888229,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60461.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2712148345993097,
      0.15933695799696465,
      -0.7515974769860458,
      -0.5247205625413685,
      0.07149173842035847,
      -0.1620853693404434,
      0.037927001012291364,
      0.4398981945545039,
      0.03547437510967842,
      -0.12406648491241087,
      0.10375497693791474,
      0.300723651156445,
      0.08661663449854223,
      -1.5439516440060324,
      -0.3954345663288063,
      -0.013592375505630049,
      0.3629784681514219,
      0.035356845042165824,
      -0.011968438874944035,
      -0.08350383234784182
    ],
    "alpha": 0.01023219896588004,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0023142502800822997,
    "iterations": 197,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 566.3727228970315
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 84,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402845,
        0.29816999049757414,
        0.17170360839296034,
        0.7616765963077303,
        13.730287757134896,
        2019.6666666666667,
        -3.2047245481690307,
        0.13114244919267248,
        0.10828804176212944,
        2.0414545994494153
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712381,
        0.028146160614258574,
        0.021603833137539982,
        0.029603451422503226,
        0.3326876978248748,
        1.6996731711975943,
        0.2230174876902632,
        0.03922727944675056,
        0.03380870925848781,
        0.38084135559304444
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04235513915888229,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60461.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.187430438979442,
      0.1615138225929895,
      -0.5925427841195756,
      -0.3456568514194896,
      0.01541550791040549,
      -0.1451422856053684,
      0.04476873886270746,
      0.41903781688326525,
      0.15995344256618452,
      -0.058048690570624235,
      0.09861461045264201,
      0.024105306241183143,
      -1.5770973245971787,
      -0.49236823626012205,
      -0.1539404098273019,
      0.17064458777726824,
      -0.0961876882332748,
      -0.08040763392102697,
      -0.09760576428903564
    ],
    "alpha": 0.011535952526674307,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0018087653523483624,
    "iterations": 179,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 571.4443239295658
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 84,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402845,
        0.29816999049757414,
        0.17170360839296034,
        0.7616765963077303,
        13.730287757134896,
        2019.6666666666667,
        -3.2047245481690307,
        0.13114244919267248,
        0.10828804176212944
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712381,
        0.028146160614258574,
        0.021603833137539982,
        0.029603451422503226,
        0.3326876978248748,
        1.6996731711975943,
        0.2230174876902632,
        0.03922727944675056,
        0.03380870925848781
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04235513915888229,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60461.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.171758148095697,
      0.1421771935574158,
      -0.7002444810643788,
      -0.42594046294562815,
      0.010548113333211956,
      -0.13734947806836537,
      0.012516159408438728,
      0.4016449270400492,
      0.3155427413157949,
      -0.13742655593065736,
      0.001878272037376445,
      -1.6579061933754364,
      -0.5416895857601634,
      -0.18597880467297365,
      0.19154874463160732,
      -0.12261516949054416,
      -0.08637059533300447,
      -0.07300632911823192
    ],
    "alpha": 0.012880768663606509,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0004377185005334522,
    "iterations": 172,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 575.7666328998574
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 112,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.1853796704028445,
        0.2981699904975742,
        0.17170360839296037,
        0.7565507069497892,
        13.720589414937765,
        2020.5,
        -3.227980577970364
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712383,
        0.028146160614258578,
        0.02160383313753999,
        0.030100543826742744,
        0.3254391191892213,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.22766715815610444
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04158975227806172,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 59460.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.146830927608168,
      0.2797835623181818,
      -0.6119101807513635,
      -0.373969450795263,
      -0.020440216286091602,
      -0.1762514686707724,
      -0.023210231680005695,
      0.4624901800848633,
      -0.06979899568662487,
      -1.929374063943073,
      -0.3793742711614102,
      -0.17525025982937423,
      0.012003295553925345,
      -0.1324043474488025,
      -0.09009379750990457,
      -0.02758932693763414
    ],
    "alpha": 0.015353056345264631,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.001173554572056176,
    "iterations": 91,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 774.5729660562756
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 112,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.1853796704028445,
        0.2981699904975742,
        0.17170360839296037,
        0.7565507069497892,
        13.720589414937765,
        2020.5,
        0.12872592816818182,
        0.1053640442893254
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712383,
        0.028146160614258578,
        0.02160383313753999,
        0.030100543826742744,
        0.3254391191892213,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.03882848818201353,
        0.033220765446037796
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04158975227806172,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 59460.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3707562413087215,
      0.11383277767404221,
      -0.4223871873107705,
      -0.30025795754225504,
      0.019888937048444574,
      -0.1552675857573841,
      -0.02069975698539367,
      0.38185402112328876,
      -0.06461769647386689,
      0.07336589292497077,
      0.4506048599177055,
      -0.8146358690990964,
      -0.20769090842104074,
      0.5122584149267969,
      -0.08935832304964185,
      -0.18798357146330097,
      -0.014719491263389449
    ],
    "alpha": 0.028409029787415257,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.000752488451469473,
    "iterations": 105,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 808.1693716595385
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 112,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.1853796704028445,
        0.2981699904975742,
        0.17170360839296037,
        0.7565507069497892,
        13.720589414937765,
        2020.5,
        0.12872592816818182,
        0.1053640442893254,
        1.9477096265384446
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712383,
        0.028146160614258578,
        0.02160383313753999,
        0.030100543826742744,
        0.3254391191892213,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.03882848818201353,
        0.033220765446037796,
        0.41493834232838
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04158975227806172,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 59460.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3826631355049464,
      0.11524807906260566,
      -0.3660012124946946,
      -0.2579043585929754,
      0.022131645965338603,
      -0.15187608915487774,
      0.003681231644498918,
      0.3092398146626339,
      -0.019943855029556642,
      0.05000358405132024,
      0.08769306505369434,
      0.5420420143089342,
      -0.8024817147395852,
      -0.1983758852184276,
      0.5102534230201687,
      -0.07351057040706582,
      -0.18871378563449276,
      -0.020721872204001537
    ],
    "alpha": 0.028092678589418992,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0026464135319391735,
    "iterations": 101,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 807.5797681773204
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 112,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.1853796704028445,
        0.2981699904975742,
        0.17170360839296037,
        0.7565507069497892,
        13.720589414937765,
        2020.5,
        0.12872592816818182,
        0.1053640442893254,
        1.9477096265384446,
        0.2254296450090662
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712383,
        0.028146160614258578,
        0.02160383313753999,
        0.030100543826742744,
        0.3254391191892213,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.03882848818201353,
        0.033220765446037796,
        0.41493834232838,
        0.045645345527178784
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04158975227806172,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 59460.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.4030574547490864,
      0.11398009598201342,
      -0.3993835982229122,
      -0.2969857581437241,
      0.03406757575041269,
      -0.15481445510159916,
      0.0017260654770180422,
      0.2788124573302421,
      -0.02927862662679709,
      0.050341388420017966,
      0.06729802732262527,
      0.10262476373147368,
      0.5720522685161648,
      -0.7864074976443497,
      -0.1686456132886279,
      0.5579280695775739,
      -0.04471051873804913,
      -0.17419679464461743,
      -0.017221704367960458
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02803962054678864,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.000508209731785157,
    "iterations": 147,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 807.4365408244224
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 112,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.1853796704028445,
        0.2981699904975742,
        0.17170360839296037,
        0.7565507069497892,
        13.720589414937765,
        2020.5,
        -3.227980577970364,
        0.12872592816818182,
        0.1053640442893254,
        1.9477096265384446,
        0.2254296450090662
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712383,
        0.028146160614258578,
        0.02160383313753999,
        0.030100543826742744,
        0.3254391191892213,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.22766715815610444,
        0.03882848818201353,
        0.033220765446037796,
        0.41493834232838,
        0.045645345527178784
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04158975227806172,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 59460.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2483422441316527,
      0.13866090896895086,
      -0.661046147108757,
      -0.4300809780854796,
      0.03207458637000278,
      -0.11938126607542318,
      0.06336309705417086,
      0.4376018117595713,
      0.07578095261188593,
      -0.06943297138579815,
      0.10975462816431707,
      0.16676839982007022,
      0.04919105477459336,
      -1.5296682408370572,
      -0.4833997582782023,
      -0.09542910788916797,
      0.2701771666582966,
      0.015944175170000022,
      -0.07038841322798073,
      -0.10009335821569343
    ],
    "alpha": 0.01057689312772037,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0022796197031670156,
    "iterations": 191,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 754.8268109038822
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 112,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.1853796704028445,
        0.2981699904975742,
        0.17170360839296037,
        0.7565507069497892,
        13.720589414937765,
        2020.5,
        -3.227980577970364,
        0.12872592816818182,
        0.1053640442893254,
        1.9477096265384446
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712383,
        0.028146160614258578,
        0.02160383313753999,
        0.030100543826742744,
        0.3254391191892213,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.22766715815610444,
        0.03882848818201353,
        0.033220765446037796,
        0.41493834232838
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04158975227806172,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 59460.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.199771587444356,
      0.14076876110739595,
      -0.5749432226123423,
      -0.3311907756449384,
      0.0031526118704257554,
      -0.11217538408353782,
      0.06800822962239965,
      0.4301676280562996,
      0.1536959787128976,
      -0.04461970649926681,
      0.10830228481221862,
      0.013553954277354804,
      -1.5679016603161893,
      -0.5334299543974876,
      -0.1727770885811427,
      0.1588501696625941,
      -0.05814682452710436,
      -0.1101246506152335,
      -0.10810151538234067
    ],
    "alpha": 0.010982426968498419,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0046979155379784435,
    "iterations": 134,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 757.0316961323284
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 112,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.1853796704028445,
        0.2981699904975742,
        0.17170360839296037,
        0.7565507069497892,
        13.720589414937765,
        2020.5,
        -3.227980577970364,
        0.12872592816818182,
        0.1053640442893254
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712383,
        0.028146160614258578,
        0.02160383313753999,
        0.030100543826742744,
        0.3254391191892213,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.22766715815610444,
        0.03882848818201353,
        0.033220765446037796
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04158975227806172,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 59460.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1841119117274532,
      0.1363659467836527,
      -0.6854470027616397,
      -0.41720239540364856,
      -0.00044320461927070253,
      -0.11987613684163725,
      0.013769080321256063,
      0.41092701728836845,
      0.3162209932186338,
      -0.1396553317681296,
      -0.011936620389195102,
      -1.6697556101351512,
      -0.5683387120546045,
      -0.19481572509222975,
      0.18201873166726357,
      -0.08699782471889209,
      -0.11286944716464836,
      -0.08802646958613128
    ],
    "alpha": 0.012419179075894186,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0006224124885865365,
    "iterations": 156,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 763.3442395367285
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 140,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402844,
        0.2981699904975743,
        0.1717036083929604,
        0.7553315763547941,
        13.734702918385366,
        2021.2,
        -3.2499821249153222
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712382,
        0.028146160614258578,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.029674985027118666,
        0.3223479910477469,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.23203908033043918
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04063343029969485,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1665274804175434,
      0.2602767882324071,
      -0.5746853537278397,
      -0.33505191283633995,
      -0.020747680019863414,
      -0.15114740609273827,
      -0.011805320374906624,
      0.44390312974660934,
      -0.08360447448553138,
      -1.7312813472144364,
      -0.4124876814868083,
      -0.18947786379306764,
      -0.02342056850565291,
      -0.155810360609585,
      -0.10252867377720676,
      -0.035906514634693756
    ],
    "alpha": 0.0171397233020132,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0018937887894878713,
    "iterations": 107,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 973.0261822504226
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 140,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402844,
        0.2981699904975743,
        0.1717036083929604,
        0.7553315763547941,
        13.734702918385366,
        2021.2,
        0.12727601555348747,
        0.10360964580564294
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712382,
        0.028146160614258578,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.029674985027118666,
        0.3223479910477469,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.03851452620269156,
        0.03273783357380193
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04063343029969485,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3873794541401345,
      0.10972250495688161,
      -0.4057479492739292,
      -0.27608597055018075,
      0.018889061512203095,
      -0.13992177496839903,
      -0.016402666024101578,
      0.36941674087944226,
      -0.049460375223498894,
      0.07123252598263022,
      0.5085631595420509,
      -0.8674960099382387,
      -0.23446216312600002,
      0.486717271349152,
      -0.06359618310654024,
      -0.19631547783423764,
      -0.011076018979148998
    ],
    "alpha": 0.028142624294971223,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0013644624968928,
    "iterations": 110,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1006.8296196799777
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 140,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402844,
        0.2981699904975743,
        0.1717036083929604,
        0.7553315763547941,
        13.734702918385366,
        2021.2,
        0.12727601555348747,
        0.10360964580564294,
        1.9085388002274657
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712382,
        0.028146160614258578,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.029674985027118666,
        0.3223479910477469,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.03851452620269156,
        0.03273783357380193,
        0.4297095376201557
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04063343029969485,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3991339861363086,
      0.11756377371042051,
      -0.348982417938839,
      -0.23553233390465542,
      0.017944120965561042,
      -0.14181939646107344,
      0.0017422966513615968,
      0.296880395489235,
      -0.009379269759347436,
      0.04842235706418631,
      0.0850285337298584,
      0.5819627126586784,
      -0.8479436639077627,
      -0.21852742751491674,
      0.48347275969347714,
      -0.04882663202368487,
      -0.19696865560357263,
      -0.013393786299577534
    ],
    "alpha": 0.027812219345586118,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0006747814369385947,
    "iterations": 118,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1006.0753847233784
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 140,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402844,
        0.2981699904975743,
        0.1717036083929604,
        0.7553315763547941,
        13.734702918385366,
        2021.2,
        0.12727601555348747,
        0.10360964580564294,
        1.9085388002274657,
        0.2254296450090661
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712382,
        0.028146160614258578,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.029674985027118666,
        0.3223479910477469,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.03851452620269156,
        0.03273783357380193,
        0.4297095376201557,
        0.045645345527178756
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04063343029969485,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.4132499466186497,
      0.11745836888393033,
      -0.37051823813108825,
      -0.26144222985819143,
      0.02541370131767719,
      -0.14409124672327572,
      0.00013135377225667578,
      0.27302217252147126,
      -0.013436435223799184,
      0.049610421270847894,
      0.045684137426980805,
      0.09530252008268181,
      0.6025760960849795,
      -0.8363079909058535,
      -0.1975368580463229,
      0.5160143506304649,
      -0.028508159413540318,
      -0.186901788965681,
      -0.011131680834650735
    ],
    "alpha": 0.027793643379001535,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0024727696696361296,
    "iterations": 139,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1005.9915989539885
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 140,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402844,
        0.2981699904975743,
        0.1717036083929604,
        0.7553315763547941,
        13.734702918385366,
        2021.2,
        -3.2499821249153222,
        0.12727601555348747,
        0.10360964580564294,
        1.9085388002274657,
        0.2254296450090661
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712382,
        0.028146160614258578,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.029674985027118666,
        0.3223479910477469,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.23203908033043918,
        0.03851452620269156,
        0.03273783357380193,
        0.4297095376201557,
        0.045645345527178756
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04063343029969485,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2679738905043356,
      0.14378529012137709,
      -0.595141835452864,
      -0.3721033576283161,
      0.002635110742646912,
      -0.11061429337456895,
      0.046276523380216414,
      0.41509471257734043,
      0.08071581826229429,
      -0.06650610876919942,
      0.11343310141238512,
      0.14062783284116825,
      0.0365380313216108,
      -1.3700823705994172,
      -0.5096551811109853,
      -0.09949505288502669,
      0.236680128401215,
      0.008730122836400872,
      -0.08935795829898495,
      -0.10903938071054843
    ],
    "alpha": 0.011817468887581279,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0013560482296171017,
    "iterations": 176,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 948.6179128715919
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 140,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402844,
        0.2981699904975743,
        0.1717036083929604,
        0.7553315763547941,
        13.734702918385366,
        2021.2,
        -3.2499821249153222,
        0.12727601555348747,
        0.10360964580564294,
        1.9085388002274657
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712382,
        0.028146160614258578,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.029674985027118666,
        0.3223479910477469,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.23203908033043918,
        0.03851452620269156,
        0.03273783357380193,
        0.4297095376201557
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04063343029969485,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2263589561185544,
      0.143475206995034,
      -0.5260081460666279,
      -0.2907431417094953,
      -0.01981514024564407,
      -0.10387217640349847,
      0.05104475978737651,
      0.4088714702597666,
      0.15597754016227497,
      -0.05244700707452854,
      0.10922671926186017,
      0.006177383969923902,
      -1.403493103768672,
      -0.5538722547216344,
      -0.16705212569925634,
      0.14248902063620852,
      -0.05516030643971535,
      -0.12338027394969955,
      -0.11517815194641275
    ],
    "alpha": 0.012092616213053927,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0018854035266425667,
    "iterations": 188,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 950.398669706862
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 140,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402844,
        0.2981699904975743,
        0.1717036083929604,
        0.7553315763547941,
        13.734702918385366,
        2021.2,
        -3.2499821249153222,
        0.12727601555348747,
        0.10360964580564294
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712382,
        0.028146160614258578,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.029674985027118666,
        0.3223479910477469,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.23203908033043918,
        0.03851452620269156,
        0.03273783357380193
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04063343029969485,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.211381148225304,
      0.12429886116218475,
      -0.6410703007145231,
      -0.37649177229087255,
      -0.015126779239939938,
      -0.10084275277141413,
      0.008605694408421294,
      0.3863691434468872,
      0.32623267443872356,
      -0.1419606227214968,
      -0.018968596679486027,
      -1.4579644448894649,
      -0.6087653135734307,
      -0.20450882657599073,
      0.17124816101473248,
      -0.08335842622470861,
      -0.1266705934721563,
      -0.10098322098555221
    ],
    "alpha": 0.01370819758951005,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0011598477007653482,
    "iterations": 159,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 958.1573547067334
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 120,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.259088494054628,
        0.29729064081261414,
        0.17093516327029878,
        0.7560181142668635,
        13.75853980408957,
        2021.2,
        -3.2193015267124445
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9459043684718189,
        0.029362751583977904,
        0.02188469100842943,
        0.030898779021573102,
        0.3101112588370513,
        2.315167380558043,
        0.23834815431089446
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.25,
        "London": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North East": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North West": 0.125,
        "South East": 0.16666666666666666,
        "South West": 0.08333333333333333,
        "West Midlands": 0.125,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08333333333333333
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04209931986011261,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62210.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.187187637367987,
      0.2731316216461055,
      -0.6141011917995375,
      -0.35400061711921027,
      -0.00427323866363923,
      -0.1578154095595231,
      -0.012166821206695702,
      0.4591654157827516,
      -1.6706143205990773,
      -0.3607173512323371,
      -0.11458940352787508,
      0.06989983678153174,
      -0.09926050448392171,
      -0.016259658647743803,
      0.05364469109326643
    ],
    "alpha": 0.016990038124089116,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0006104784830940464,
    "iterations": 97,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 835.4772638769085
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 120,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.259088494054628,
        0.29729064081261414,
        0.17093516327029878,
        0.7560181142668635,
        13.75853980408957,
        2021.2,
        0.12677505822387763,
        0.10297687982655618
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9459043684718189,
        0.029362751583977904,
        0.02188469100842943,
        0.030898779021573102,
        0.3101112588370513,
        2.315167380558043,
        0.04130667153612559,
        0.03479552453616689
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.25,
        "London": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North East": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North West": 0.125,
        "South East": 0.16666666666666666,
        "South West": 0.08333333333333333,
        "West Midlands": 0.125,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08333333333333333
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04209931986011261,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62210.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3165414024422843,
      0.10492524057407585,
      -0.4602634571098553,
      -0.2692920309410093,
      0.03126838571597265,
      -0.1037143344297052,
      -0.04348514495474554,
      0.7322473775823106,
      -0.43209053569603545,
      0.2510670682546108,
      -0.75031293620995,
      -0.18317308781490674,
      0.4011645956163811,
      -0.1230528097377846,
      -0.2893155728400397,
      -0.016931451563005687
    ],
    "alpha": 0.022034516182144737,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00041574775657780404,
    "iterations": 123,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 850.7338411212669
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 120,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.259088494054628,
        0.29729064081261414,
        0.17093516327029878,
        0.7560181142668635,
        13.75853980408957,
        2021.2,
        0.12677505822387763,
        0.10297687982655618,
        1.9159821207238465
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9459043684718189,
        0.029362751583977904,
        0.02188469100842943,
        0.030898779021573102,
        0.3101112588370513,
        2.315167380558043,
        0.04130667153612559,
        0.03479552453616689,
        0.45357483919525843
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.25,
        "London": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North East": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North West": 0.125,
        "South East": 0.16666666666666666,
        "South West": 0.08333333333333333,
        "West Midlands": 0.125,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08333333333333333
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04209931986011261,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62210.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3177027094111264,
      0.10774696959496041,
      -0.43883319199859094,
      -0.2532799048901711,
      0.029889500941512298,
      -0.10467395928091329,
      -0.03829711152685364,
      0.7128087267254241,
      -0.42621767920111375,
      0.018408871585561048,
      0.2715622435289223,
      -0.7432508949053733,
      -0.17819049494919906,
      0.3960765679474191,
      -0.12169800425023451,
      -0.2943813129548293,
      -0.021529615652439833
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02198701994863452,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0005491874496514221,
    "iterations": 122,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 850.6302870252873
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 120,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.259088494054628,
        0.29729064081261414,
        0.17093516327029878,
        0.7560181142668635,
        13.75853980408957,
        2021.2,
        0.12677505822387763,
        0.10297687982655618,
        1.9159821207238465,
        0.22095199416182998
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9459043684718189,
        0.029362751583977904,
        0.02188469100842943,
        0.030898779021573102,
        0.3101112588370513,
        2.315167380558043,
        0.04130667153612559,
        0.03479552453616689,
        0.45357483919525843,
        0.0477490326558519
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.25,
        "London": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North East": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North West": 0.125,
        "South East": 0.16666666666666666,
        "South West": 0.08333333333333333,
        "West Midlands": 0.125,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08333333333333333
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04209931986011261,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62210.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.347905530436595,
      0.10268922646246557,
      -0.5981997222125858,
      -0.4297046328591985,
      0.08701217184291528,
      -0.11447448468881515,
      -0.04511129523091924,
      0.5630258611174149,
      -0.4392504317885906,
      0.011240055317430766,
      0.2832195318626934,
      0.3030039150469677,
      -0.7567685597245714,
      -0.1332698036366943,
      0.5263130324612046,
      -0.07008930786624004,
      -0.2920573536426818,
      -0.0673945886461499
    ],
    "alpha": 0.020953007816020143,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0010579692927206903,
    "iterations": 149,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 847.5588735829269
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 120,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.259088494054628,
        0.29729064081261414,
        0.17093516327029878,
        0.7560181142668635,
        13.75853980408957,
        2021.2,
        -3.2193015267124445,
        0.12677505822387763,
        0.10297687982655618,
        1.9159821207238465,
        0.22095199416182998
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9459043684718189,
        0.029362751583977904,
        0.02188469100842943,
        0.030898779021573102,
        0.3101112588370513,
        2.315167380558043,
        0.23834815431089446,
        0.04130667153612559,
        0.03479552453616689,
        0.45357483919525843,
        0.0477490326558519
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.25,
        "London": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North East": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North West": 0.125,
        "South East": 0.16666666666666666,
        "South West": 0.08333333333333333,
        "West Midlands": 0.125,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08333333333333333
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04209931986011261,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62210.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2201515051895684,
      0.14277756236370798,
      -0.7459570813254556,
      -0.48217003526270674,
      0.05559042138579518,
      -0.12000589239195442,
      0.0187937326884328,
      0.4053171124673139,
      0.21660228781053745,
      -0.2768019087740251,
      0.08986684147293224,
      0.28595357853367465,
      -1.3950966412096948,
      -0.5126066893781337,
      -0.06736859583351368,
      0.29039594381058087,
      -0.029777753361496413,
      -0.12803082669024493,
      -0.12011874641075967
    ],
    "alpha": 0.0107369191978807,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0010385509113912364,
    "iterations": 200,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 809.5540204434537
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 120,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.259088494054628,
        0.29729064081261414,
        0.17093516327029878,
        0.7560181142668635,
        13.75853980408957,
        2021.2,
        -3.2193015267124445,
        0.12677505822387763,
        0.10297687982655618,
        1.9159821207238465
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9459043684718189,
        0.029362751583977904,
        0.02188469100842943,
        0.030898779021573102,
        0.3101112588370513,
        2.315167380558043,
        0.23834815431089446,
        0.04130667153612559,
        0.03479552453616689,
        0.45357483919525843
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.25,
        "London": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North East": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North West": 0.125,
        "South East": 0.16666666666666666,
        "South West": 0.08333333333333333,
        "West Midlands": 0.125,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08333333333333333
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04209931986011261,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62210.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1892185159207624,
      0.14766189221652296,
      -0.5831598230671684,
      -0.3008236095707057,
      -0.002666067198284727,
      -0.1088177954944368,
      0.026158714592156403,
      0.40262675611057586,
      0.3723901416096922,
      -0.26643879365561396,
      0.09804492590351563,
      -1.417054375853373,
      -0.5056983580772274,
      -0.11528660772535683,
      0.16146601438440145,
      -0.0827450203605038,
      -0.1350717436411938,
      -0.07446352916560986
    ],
    "alpha": 0.011821897728694995,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0006521856595125801,
    "iterations": 187,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 815.433329530864
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 120,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.259088494054628,
        0.29729064081261414,
        0.17093516327029878,
        0.7560181142668635,
        13.75853980408957,
        2021.2,
        -3.2193015267124445,
        0.12677505822387763,
        0.10297687982655618
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9459043684718189,
        0.029362751583977904,
        0.02188469100842943,
        0.030898779021573102,
        0.3101112588370513,
        2.315167380558043,
        0.23834815431089446,
        0.04130667153612559,
        0.03479552453616689
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.25,
        "London": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North East": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North West": 0.125,
        "South East": 0.16666666666666666,
        "South West": 0.08333333333333333,
        "West Midlands": 0.125,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08333333333333333
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04209931986011261,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62210.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1940824048767054,
      0.12970864806479124,
      -0.6796386698005086,
      -0.3777441623495216,
      0.008195895121833628,
      -0.10382733161844925,
      -0.004344210923598162,
      0.3696477235056212,
      0.49880921869028827,
      -0.3101856634463206,
      -1.3848401793775544,
      -0.5599130405679911,
      -0.1466991757214859,
      0.20813270561609082,
      -0.09164331568138677,
      -0.12293417707387452,
      -0.046033333109254476
    ],
    "alpha": 0.012939891511983352,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0011386384108018417,
    "iterations": 164,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 820.0903441677242
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 110,
    "testRows": 6,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.29579521941264,
        0.2977284876580246,
        0.17089426145912864,
        0.7578004713813719,
        13.748357742885245,
        2021.2,
        -3.1866952844796534
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.968571996844124,
        0.030623734770753926,
        0.020262223646968208,
        0.031036585799749772,
        0.2995677896475202,
        2.315167380558044,
        0.24201495034440265
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.18181818181818182,
        "London": 0.09090909090909091,
        "North East": 0.09090909090909091,
        "North West": 0.13636363636363635,
        "South East": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South West": 0.09090909090909091,
        "West Midlands": 0.13636363636363635,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09090909090909091
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04373392531788852,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62726.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0577859971482377,
      0.2499130566623504,
      -0.678089175966411,
      -0.4097447796964153,
      -0.02262661871044797,
      -0.1519689672298804,
      -0.011358065518775015,
      0.522245918136194,
      -2.096831801411763,
      -0.44246092408266624,
      -0.1629411812774969,
      0.01849231470961479,
      -0.1834839937011817,
      -0.06665936514942415,
      -0.06471686911732727
    ],
    "alpha": 0.019320133279832837,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0005525564771102984,
    "iterations": 100,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 774.5835423063058
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 110,
    "testRows": 6,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.29579521941264,
        0.2977284876580246,
        0.17089426145912864,
        0.7578004713813719,
        13.748357742885245,
        2021.2,
        0.13209866631356096,
        0.10792777316515238
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.968571996844124,
        0.030623734770753926,
        0.020262223646968208,
        0.031036585799749772,
        0.2995677896475202,
        2.315167380558044,
        0.04152852962761081,
        0.03496600256237535
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.18181818181818182,
        "London": 0.09090909090909091,
        "North East": 0.09090909090909091,
        "North West": 0.13636363636363635,
        "South East": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South West": 0.09090909090909091,
        "West Midlands": 0.13636363636363635,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09090909090909091
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04373392531788852,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62726.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.351652647458794,
      0.20384094376102782,
      -0.29253555647256785,
      -0.03833134526966387,
      -0.049684864263690426,
      -0.06687799744765195,
      -0.030250785746856256,
      0.2517730112832285,
      0.06716823882402888,
      0.9245205132451247,
      -0.813232167219751,
      -0.2737426811867081,
      0.3926194732890114,
      0.05001186085323939,
      -0.24640752553642434,
      0.042968325402258645
    ],
    "alpha": 0.03090815058511584,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0008166208024078552,
    "iterations": 126,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 799.9451313271214
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 110,
    "testRows": 6,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.29579521941264,
        0.2977284876580246,
        0.17089426145912864,
        0.7578004713813719,
        13.748357742885245,
        2021.2,
        0.13209866631356096,
        0.10792777316515238,
        1.961457794981647
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.968571996844124,
        0.030623734770753926,
        0.020262223646968208,
        0.031036585799749772,
        0.2995677896475202,
        2.315167380558044,
        0.04152852962761081,
        0.03496600256237535,
        0.4440437795587017
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.18181818181818182,
        "London": 0.09090909090909091,
        "North East": 0.09090909090909091,
        "North West": 0.13636363636363635,
        "South East": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South West": 0.09090909090909091,
        "West Midlands": 0.13636363636363635,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09090909090909091
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04373392531788852,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62726.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3651636555801203,
      0.21304492614587886,
      -0.2221636784223685,
      0.005987164577797534,
      -0.05200976717648257,
      -0.06916370942145361,
      -0.010995270096913836,
      0.16553329770227962,
      0.11469319557104159,
      0.056618076166553954,
      1.0113776640108822,
      -0.7918772623322696,
      -0.255522560088156,
      0.3902167977989859,
      0.07050281474753511,
      -0.24705805163773004,
      0.03959952328694112
    ],
    "alpha": 0.030413843044595126,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0005994250760790688,
    "iterations": 131,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 799.144017942345
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 110,
    "testRows": 6,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.29579521941264,
        0.2977284876580246,
        0.17089426145912864,
        0.7578004713813719,
        13.748357742885245,
        2021.2,
        0.13209866631356096,
        0.10792777316515238,
        1.961457794981647,
        0.22588340910052943
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.968571996844124,
        0.030623734770753926,
        0.020262223646968208,
        0.031036585799749772,
        0.2995677896475202,
        2.315167380558044,
        0.04152852962761081,
        0.03496600256237535,
        0.4440437795587017,
        0.0493993310046206
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.18181818181818182,
        "London": 0.09090909090909091,
        "North East": 0.09090909090909091,
        "North West": 0.13636363636363635,
        "South East": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South West": 0.09090909090909091,
        "West Midlands": 0.13636363636363635,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09090909090909091
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04373392531788852,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62726.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.561165276327415,
      0.28428081765085766,
      -0.3801603952555178,
      -0.08769119471344385,
      -0.007510398805844073,
      -0.056275140619381346,
      -0.040494230347820404,
      -0.17656651878917196,
      0.09234258009386291,
      0.08142256859652894,
      0.5633686325698773,
      1.5637656790264103,
      -0.6106882968125651,
      -0.03921425935289121,
      0.6892816705087201,
      0.3877056389375993,
      -0.17772768896327945,
      0.1028790676095997
    ],
    "alpha": 0.027945278542643004,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0010112456114540005,
    "iterations": 180,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 794.3346494658282
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 110,
    "testRows": 6,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.29579521941264,
        0.2977284876580246,
        0.17089426145912864,
        0.7578004713813719,
        13.748357742885245,
        2021.2,
        -3.1866952844796534,
        0.13209866631356096,
        0.10792777316515238,
        1.961457794981647,
        0.22588340910052943
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.968571996844124,
        0.030623734770753926,
        0.020262223646968208,
        0.031036585799749772,
        0.2995677896475202,
        2.315167380558044,
        0.24201495034440265,
        0.04152852962761081,
        0.03496600256237535,
        0.4440437795587017,
        0.0493993310046206
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.18181818181818182,
        "London": 0.09090909090909091,
        "North East": 0.09090909090909091,
        "North West": 0.13636363636363635,
        "South East": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South West": 0.09090909090909091,
        "West Midlands": 0.13636363636363635,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09090909090909091
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04373392531788852,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62726.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1284756411751724,
      0.09174754094848316,
      -0.6943589673336643,
      -0.4380156569059255,
      -0.002365700307287293,
      -0.11069087336027991,
      0.05195619796977035,
      0.5154926623540682,
      0.2017660391562716,
      -0.15557542240930203,
      0.13619735526061594,
      0.09207000936661154,
      -1.905382049214856,
      -0.5295430654731266,
      -0.06115737667713119,
      0.2461590684911521,
      -0.0564296334893673,
      -0.06244912717909312,
      -0.15883512728056745
    ],
    "alpha": 0.013155519184294745,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0004877999587646108,
    "iterations": 210,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 754.8078068805108
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 110,
    "testRows": 6,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.29579521941264,
        0.2977284876580246,
        0.17089426145912864,
        0.7578004713813719,
        13.748357742885245,
        2021.2,
        -3.1866952844796534,
        0.13209866631356096,
        0.10792777316515238,
        1.961457794981647
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.968571996844124,
        0.030623734770753926,
        0.020262223646968208,
        0.031036585799749772,
        0.2995677896475202,
        2.315167380558044,
        0.24201495034440265,
        0.04152852962761081,
        0.03496600256237535,
        0.4440437795587017
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.18181818181818182,
        "London": 0.09090909090909091,
        "North East": 0.09090909090909091,
        "North West": 0.13636363636363635,
        "South East": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South West": 0.09090909090909091,
        "West Midlands": 0.13636363636363635,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09090909090909091
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04373392531788852,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62726.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0903475212841998,
      0.07729517994745201,
      -0.6779861298996951,
      -0.43210824272614584,
      -0.008698703757275333,
      -0.11359783792312524,
      0.05849586418383059,
      0.5262299813374558,
      0.2573123822715849,
      -0.15475343287116178,
      0.13351574398459387,
      -2.058393671978092,
      -0.5564770994444418,
      -0.09464594442427747,
      0.1934553222923135,
      -0.1121148098018176,
      -0.07070680897070128,
      -0.17387511310759188
    ],
    "alpha": 0.013191695073592746,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00034232737551168464,
    "iterations": 208,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 755.0565954934737
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 110,
    "testRows": 6,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.29579521941264,
        0.2977284876580246,
        0.17089426145912864,
        0.7578004713813719,
        13.748357742885245,
        2021.2,
        -3.1866952844796534,
        0.13209866631356096,
        0.10792777316515238
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.968571996844124,
        0.030623734770753926,
        0.020262223646968208,
        0.031036585799749772,
        0.2995677896475202,
        2.315167380558044,
        0.24201495034440265,
        0.04152852962761081,
        0.03496600256237535
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.18181818181818182,
        "London": 0.09090909090909091,
        "North East": 0.09090909090909091,
        "North West": 0.13636363636363635,
        "South East": 0.18181818181818182,
        "South West": 0.09090909090909091,
        "West Midlands": 0.13636363636363635,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09090909090909091
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04373392531788852,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62726.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0832470412684025,
      0.06625126592961912,
      -0.8017562640821959,
      -0.5000812709386953,
      -0.006202909354834367,
      -0.10535992434120493,
      0.010088433049711793,
      0.48425793383440424,
      0.4456806420959153,
      -0.2420421170812626,
      -2.016997862430713,
      -0.6198821929473806,
      -0.14997751986490657,
      0.2182865881578804,
      -0.13418648435742686,
      -0.08275538127812108,
      -0.14675911745044196
    ],
    "alpha": 0.01572276153968092,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.001147134519560536,
    "iterations": 151,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 763.7806682514693
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.030443359506651,
        0.30178197820810904,
        0.17525776272125326,
        0.7586658990798816,
        13.702264112241602,
        2021.2,
        -3.4252914406810597
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.7503963821311505,
        0.016810953515802477,
        0.017573854918317477,
        0.024471628311352196,
        0.3093474412932355,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.15159359088702118
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03169090247695333,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.4658010317475734,
      0.06139018595085474,
      -0.08243161772926536,
      -0.08383150870968013,
      0.008688587382422243,
      -0.08248477944826917,
      0.024675420246330786,
      0.2823202476640035,
      -0.013755837320865022,
      -0.24124417983518814,
      -0.06978952725225442,
      -0.034249448172887005,
      -0.039771059410643524,
      -0.10345995860579604,
      -0.004066570459588599
    ],
    "alpha": 0.008504733128254154,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0009285249092089878,
    "iterations": 70,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 858.5143121267507
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.030443359506651,
        0.30178197820810904,
        0.17525776272125326,
        0.7586658990798816,
        13.702264112241602,
        2021.2,
        0.1289055977947547,
        0.10595999949171449
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.7503963821311505,
        0.016810953515802477,
        0.017573854918317477,
        0.024471628311352196,
        0.3093474412932355,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.03750002923257911,
        0.032103152053130635
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03169090247695333,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.50520745950271,
      0.05376956188432227,
      -0.05063609880283444,
      -0.09163230627852115,
      0.027288092550020904,
      -0.11794074341902348,
      -0.003363342084212259,
      0.1559859302694435,
      0.09945142531072035,
      0.10314352488123518,
      -0.7860805041810176,
      -0.17407404959339354,
      0.47490299573267153,
      -0.035612530762715325,
      -0.17241796060554263,
      0.06031248621899039
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02713198685944011,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0031300751724548125,
    "iterations": 91,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 930.7989202992827
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.030443359506651,
        0.30178197820810904,
        0.17525776272125326,
        0.7586658990798816,
        13.702264112241602,
        2021.2,
        0.1289055977947547,
        0.10595999949171449,
        1.8390501749712218
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.7503963821311505,
        0.016810953515802477,
        0.017573854918317477,
        0.024471628311352196,
        0.3093474412932355,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.03750002923257911,
        0.032103152053130635,
        0.3093430232864465
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03169090247695333,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.5044121376381763,
      0.04848917961836931,
      -0.04819958081366592,
      -0.0924360753464249,
      0.028918065971496845,
      -0.11564885682457231,
      -0.011014859306966022,
      0.1742998077204736,
      0.08709988539111174,
      -0.013815620095067049,
      0.09880744057529886,
      -0.783065002394992,
      -0.1737233966122501,
      0.47267944571722137,
      -0.0404538380840778,
      -0.1720647871298485,
      0.06795539898286723
    ],
    "alpha": 0.027099982091168665,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0006024363186947886,
    "iterations": 93,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 930.7227948689147
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.030443359506651,
        0.30178197820810904,
        0.17525776272125326,
        0.7586658990798816,
        13.702264112241602,
        2021.2,
        0.1289055977947547,
        0.10595999949171449,
        1.8390501749712218,
        0.23341266419591616
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.7503963821311505,
        0.016810953515802477,
        0.017573854918317477,
        0.024471628311352196,
        0.3093474412932355,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.03750002923257911,
        0.032103152053130635,
        0.3093430232864465,
        0.0335198537180827
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03169090247695333,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.475375299789189,
      0.04497788549718922,
      -0.011782172736946456,
      -0.04052491588321966,
      0.015510913771949618,
      -0.10824595914319252,
      -0.009283672283699649,
      0.22579302485343195,
      0.09647302619538213,
      -0.019451034462671293,
      -0.07371561152146451,
      0.07645763464424288,
      -0.8058158437826957,
      -0.21791301512753822,
      0.4009949505047438,
      -0.08411080277273411,
      -0.19442264023656008,
      0.06636598527944386
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02693435272647202,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.002355529967083822,
    "iterations": 131,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 930.3610167935194
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.030443359506651,
        0.30178197820810904,
        0.17525776272125326,
        0.7586658990798816,
        13.702264112241602,
        2021.2,
        -3.4252914406810597,
        0.1289055977947547,
        0.10595999949171449,
        1.8390501749712218,
        0.23341266419591616
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.7503963821311505,
        0.016810953515802477,
        0.017573854918317477,
        0.024471628311352196,
        0.3093474412932355,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.15159359088702118,
        0.03750002923257911,
        0.032103152053130635,
        0.3093430232864465,
        0.0335198537180827
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03169090247695333,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.452333130513908,
      0.05098845366235203,
      -0.08195460878856471,
      -0.07353269203310578,
      -0.00506041753501457,
      -0.07426996337027687,
      0.0415610782215163,
      0.2721002366969811,
      0.014203016787699405,
      0.0657304441353779,
      0.01011749605238806,
      -0.045944601313237986,
      -0.004085589985916172,
      -0.33772691073496847,
      -0.12689783212450692,
      -0.022291865154519287,
      -0.04440676996031022,
      -0.11227680973265794,
      -0.03292024328247069
    ],
    "alpha": 0.008243172918914847,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0009414053480831571,
    "iterations": 137,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 856.5599162964745
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.030443359506651,
        0.30178197820810904,
        0.17525776272125326,
        0.7586658990798816,
        13.702264112241602,
        2021.2,
        -3.4252914406810597,
        0.1289055977947547,
        0.10595999949171449,
        1.8390501749712218
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.7503963821311505,
        0.016810953515802477,
        0.017573854918317477,
        0.024471628311352196,
        0.3093474412932355,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.15159359088702118,
        0.03750002923257911,
        0.032103152053130635,
        0.3093430232864465
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03169090247695333,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.4709248369467414,
      0.05318073323341769,
      -0.1040094928673109,
      -0.10558254707384071,
      0.0031379799377479816,
      -0.07879888994925768,
      0.04045503724056716,
      0.27275694417666135,
      -0.019487827323460053,
      0.060549555291924344,
      0.0135847980440089,
      0.009832656197260238,
      -0.32032165412777125,
      -0.09801023831040581,
      0.02103147463138095,
      -0.01609690828978196,
      -0.09725974301410074,
      -0.031498483757876804
    ],
    "alpha": 0.008302700483017724,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.009366858685961404,
    "iterations": 116,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 857.0004959167012
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.030443359506651,
        0.30178197820810904,
        0.17525776272125326,
        0.7586658990798816,
        13.702264112241602,
        2021.2,
        -3.4252914406810597,
        0.1289055977947547,
        0.10595999949171449
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.7503963821311505,
        0.016810953515802477,
        0.017573854918317477,
        0.024471628311352196,
        0.3093474412932355,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.15159359088702118,
        0.03750002923257911,
        0.032103152053130635
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03169090247695333,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.4707891510797877,
      0.04801424360276263,
      -0.10174601561508836,
      -0.1067001305987246,
      0.004822719882667228,
      -0.07658199424566027,
      0.03287833654876442,
      0.27176171595768067,
      -0.0011790321300580138,
      0.04919096270514253,
      0.006531516896155746,
      -0.31902098510298166,
      -0.09788524065146403,
      0.021445338159208748,
      -0.019511469151129692,
      -0.09653395119823946,
      -0.023242002075888543
    ],
    "alpha": 0.00833564474608021,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0018382213668081337,
    "iterations": 109,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 857.2220942822215
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.184943140384767,
        0.29763099541426663,
        0.17164177598606598,
        0.7541030628265809,
        13.743790330300849,
        2021.2,
        -3.2356772390430235
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9362991280448929,
        0.028971227653149474,
        0.02234508447206904,
        0.02962563490702039,
        0.3286866766919724,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.23580257442045685
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0412190458488686,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62274.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.147735924583057,
      0.2606793654752543,
      -0.5958246587673326,
      -0.35116334434519314,
      -0.022464904197213118,
      -0.15361297961926082,
      -0.005919722315417903,
      0.464776438265587,
      -0.08389237113493933,
      -1.761853855646424,
      -0.18319730300587617,
      -0.017322719720376106,
      -0.16066680579341228,
      -0.09717183998447539,
      -0.0340857322056644
    ],
    "alpha": 0.017482124210803206,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0006303415850673739,
    "iterations": 91,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 915.2391754443076
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.184943140384767,
        0.29763099541426663,
        0.17164177598606598,
        0.7541030628265809,
        13.743790330300849,
        2021.2,
        0.12261428892166078,
        0.09912540514958756
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9362991280448929,
        0.028971227653149474,
        0.02234508447206904,
        0.02962563490702039,
        0.3286866766919724,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.03549685360638683,
        0.029186918142580287
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0412190458488686,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62274.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.396866508560315,
      0.10280170137334632,
      -0.4600749430944256,
      -0.276688359230056,
      0.03868609815756379,
      -0.1302041287534145,
      -0.013032788562126653,
      0.5302315902886706,
      -0.22738012077904693,
      0.050357622573305165,
      0.3902541623619501,
      -0.22216680199432798,
      0.45757995292913106,
      -0.08844578506965663,
      -0.24405867380991858,
      -0.017685325078385057
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02791441154751695,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.003182009410871088,
    "iterations": 101,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 944.898343838697
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.184943140384767,
        0.29763099541426663,
        0.17164177598606598,
        0.7541030628265809,
        13.743790330300849,
        2021.2,
        0.12261428892166078,
        0.09912540514958756,
        1.8948238062459224
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9362991280448929,
        0.028971227653149474,
        0.02234508447206904,
        0.02962563490702039,
        0.3286866766919724,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.03549685360638683,
        0.029186918142580287,
        0.4379797317011585
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0412190458488686,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62274.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.410183001181462,
      0.11334517563405119,
      -0.3836631376378903,
      -0.2190775991616368,
      0.04002731404828264,
      -0.1316746856107528,
      0.012704003489893007,
      0.4498045003864821,
      -0.18843271211938714,
      0.0674731676328899,
      0.06830158891357484,
      0.4827491892445073,
      -0.20193119461811415,
      0.4504482419288097,
      -0.06996889345521957,
      -0.24817498816547956,
      -0.02206903137061111
    ],
    "alpha": 0.027308671543938238,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0009657112512850024,
    "iterations": 101,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 943.557152008106
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.184943140384767,
        0.29763099541426663,
        0.17164177598606598,
        0.7541030628265809,
        13.743790330300849,
        2021.2,
        0.12261428892166078,
        0.09912540514958756,
        1.8948238062459224,
        0.2217681335138925
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9362991280448929,
        0.028971227653149474,
        0.02234508447206904,
        0.02962563490702039,
        0.3286866766919724,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.03549685360638683,
        0.029186918142580287,
        0.4379797317011585,
        0.04533856493345816
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0412190458488686,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62274.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.396940760500315,
      0.11381305239595829,
      -0.3641366600185084,
      -0.19421383700819542,
      0.03415863241795563,
      -0.12926363363438972,
      0.014474558740945876,
      0.47241676401770644,
      -0.18868093108570425,
      0.0672639269010377,
      -0.04012736474957018,
      0.0590303832945528,
      0.4625451537959205,
      -0.22074913662973267,
      0.4205622798885883,
      -0.08804040357848017,
      -0.2587197149744943,
      -0.024443401053522502
    ],
    "alpha": 0.027271837354510668,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0012752708562453743,
    "iterations": 127,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 943.4990948668093
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.184943140384767,
        0.29763099541426663,
        0.17164177598606598,
        0.7541030628265809,
        13.743790330300849,
        2021.2,
        -3.2356772390430235,
        0.12261428892166078,
        0.09912540514958756,
        1.8948238062459224,
        0.2217681335138925
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9362991280448929,
        0.028971227653149474,
        0.02234508447206904,
        0.02962563490702039,
        0.3286866766919724,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.23580257442045685,
        0.03549685360638683,
        0.029186918142580287,
        0.4379797317011585,
        0.04533856493345816
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0412190458488686,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62274.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.260018281490421,
      0.13580812627020525,
      -0.6454066675207133,
      -0.39447704158937774,
      0.015659709584421456,
      -0.10934045716484891,
      0.05261587550592572,
      0.4349612534484524,
      0.1694895790930965,
      -0.1678069854939883,
      0.12289547088449469,
      0.16027831565279918,
      0.030980089733648502,
      -1.4534642713330406,
      -0.06770303249587975,
      0.24330487008888507,
      -0.0008738136999632216,
      -0.10245976055487775,
      -0.1079154824435343
    ],
    "alpha": 0.011199490651427701,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0010120899060316743,
    "iterations": 171,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 887.7214977250791
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.184943140384767,
        0.29763099541426663,
        0.17164177598606598,
        0.7541030628265809,
        13.743790330300849,
        2021.2,
        -3.2356772390430235,
        0.12261428892166078,
        0.09912540514958756,
        1.8948238062459224
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9362991280448929,
        0.028971227653149474,
        0.02234508447206904,
        0.02962563490702039,
        0.3286866766919724,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.23580257442045685,
        0.03549685360638683,
        0.029186918142580287,
        0.4379797317011585
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0412190458488686,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62274.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2133374526173943,
      0.13663066389141668,
      -0.5615288790010077,
      -0.29246340324968334,
      -0.006423026988015009,
      -0.1005136422909343,
      0.05897978346227104,
      0.42152171177683156,
      0.2635193920807569,
      -0.1665049449819349,
      0.12068363107103917,
      -0.003086417995611786,
      -1.47122124848243,
      -0.1469759951371724,
      0.13555996412963042,
      -0.07446045293600709,
      -0.14833390962184623,
      -0.1149098205556184
    ],
    "alpha": 0.011516395083977001,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0013162610476656182,
    "iterations": 169,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 889.8123370773378
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.184943140384767,
        0.29763099541426663,
        0.17164177598606598,
        0.7541030628265809,
        13.743790330300849,
        2021.2,
        -3.2356772390430235,
        0.12261428892166078,
        0.09912540514958756
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9362991280448929,
        0.028971227653149474,
        0.02234508447206904,
        0.02962563490702039,
        0.3286866766919724,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.23580257442045685,
        0.03549685360638683,
        0.029186918142580287
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0412190458488686,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62274.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.201114458886756,
      0.11617795454013191,
      -0.6867412271758452,
      -0.3890793927897974,
      -0.0054560444795242625,
      -0.09829662799111677,
      0.011504950083826175,
      0.39909239073964514,
      0.42015746945672666,
      -0.24218511914808727,
      -0.030435981153352082,
      -1.5338992452106803,
      -0.18490643136300633,
      0.16698020318438941,
      -0.10280346803281738,
      -0.1478735664905707,
      -0.09882207386080696
    ],
    "alpha": 0.01343437921907784,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.001391281917787257,
    "iterations": 154,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 898.7715441621882
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.13096100267525,
        0.2978295749238679,
        0.1712401415005677,
        0.7529360878769937,
        13.728520162938535,
        2021.2,
        -3.235506456991149
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9240579711305885,
        0.029598991089463983,
        0.02280296398672819,
        0.029605005048120407,
        0.33881212162701607,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.24043150765683366
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041622909046689985,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58631.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1481032205457615,
      0.321178074960514,
      -0.6102096110815866,
      -0.34392473502443355,
      -0.024476987251133547,
      -0.17907659588456548,
      -0.019494926281654473,
      0.44165887551157074,
      -0.0822884595532432,
      -1.8066015120741954,
      -0.4439557638023289,
      -0.025975986179817355,
      -0.1403317623106459,
      -0.12480060026497755,
      -0.04862735401556028
    ],
    "alpha": 0.01365806354413833,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0009683143772111045,
    "iterations": 90,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 853.1153740333341
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.13096100267525,
        0.2978295749238679,
        0.1712401415005677,
        0.7529360878769937,
        13.728520162938535,
        2021.2,
        0.12346010110439493,
        0.09956083421091556
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9240579711305885,
        0.029598991089463983,
        0.02280296398672819,
        0.029605005048120407,
        0.33881212162701607,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.0366187774829692,
        0.03041640413656725
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041622909046689985,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58631.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.40129809140022,
      0.1936152650815454,
      -0.45153917236806623,
      -0.3168976104875974,
      0.016092880599542114,
      -0.18338498435084707,
      -0.0003026294156990312,
      0.19458311741251505,
      0.13290932798253627,
      0.10213545158333993,
      0.34946346484307866,
      -0.9777332498089758,
      0.4973530796114688,
      -0.01674005736530463,
      -0.19266895217366672,
      -0.053189378923059284
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02411609250656589,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0003897356163490928,
    "iterations": 123,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 887.6079585256072
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.13096100267525,
        0.2978295749238679,
        0.1712401415005677,
        0.7529360878769937,
        13.728520162938535,
        2021.2,
        0.12346010110439493,
        0.09956083421091556,
        1.9144387541376802
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9240579711305885,
        0.029598991089463983,
        0.02280296398672819,
        0.029605005048120407,
        0.33881212162701607,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.0366187774829692,
        0.03041640413656725,
        0.44340479597186766
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041622909046689985,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58631.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3868376956961335,
      0.19403073033823975,
      -0.5161217950067015,
      -0.3623740479899801,
      0.016510881660124113,
      -0.1842744482921665,
      -0.019591502763610553,
      0.2571989403591837,
      0.10207306329745933,
      -0.053164237726172126,
      0.08685604713235376,
      0.25274823677658126,
      -1.0015028538576378,
      0.4967186644127705,
      -0.03113990326982315,
      -0.19369815686059885,
      -0.05300820926125232
    ],
    "alpha": 0.023835403504909324,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.000390041267600606,
    "iterations": 116,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 886.8483174617858
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.13096100267525,
        0.2978295749238679,
        0.1712401415005677,
        0.7529360878769937,
        13.728520162938535,
        2021.2,
        0.12346010110439493,
        0.09956083421091556,
        1.9144387541376802,
        0.22317509971402488
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9240579711305885,
        0.029598991089463983,
        0.02280296398672819,
        0.029605005048120407,
        0.33881212162701607,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.0366187774829692,
        0.03041640413656725,
        0.44340479597186766,
        0.04700562409540109
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041622909046689985,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58631.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3638927322062924,
      0.19606727075934577,
      -0.4801859375005142,
      -0.31771151550540444,
      0.0034277652545549016,
      -0.18076603217088705,
      -0.017256582286839593,
      0.2947301104971248,
      0.1116091599988214,
      -0.057321905929069696,
      -0.08014909557031077,
      0.06991442903203281,
      0.21185536527333912,
      -1.0245649453123475,
      0.4423307712558207,
      -0.06458790498117911,
      -0.21070520323631187,
      -0.05781379843902506
    ],
    "alpha": 0.023695237272548627,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.002430108011202621,
    "iterations": 146,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 886.5823162955754
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.13096100267525,
        0.2978295749238679,
        0.1712401415005677,
        0.7529360878769937,
        13.728520162938535,
        2021.2,
        -3.235506456991149,
        0.12346010110439493,
        0.09956083421091556,
        1.9144387541376802,
        0.22317509971402488
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9240579711305885,
        0.029598991089463983,
        0.02280296398672819,
        0.029605005048120407,
        0.33881212162701607,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.24043150765683366,
        0.0366187774829692,
        0.03041640413656725,
        0.44340479597186766,
        0.04700562409540109
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041622909046689985,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58631.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2322296133466533,
      0.19477838489933808,
      -0.6660631542523255,
      -0.4156673212965262,
      -0.005704732736664927,
      -0.14001341869249034,
      0.032666496996745224,
      0.3895589438904083,
      0.1074706579380236,
      0.03967288907478301,
      0.03730575039457359,
      0.054910773507144336,
      0.030373895711225167,
      -1.438192030164217,
      -0.6884713032479393,
      0.22719091661314877,
      -0.014014398623211018,
      -0.10911123190674721,
      -0.13439919691332902
    ],
    "alpha": 0.009383249324428473,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.001034191778550225,
    "iterations": 188,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 831.9699143249084
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.13096100267525,
        0.2978295749238679,
        0.1712401415005677,
        0.7529360878769937,
        13.728520162938535,
        2021.2,
        -3.235506456991149,
        0.12346010110439493,
        0.09956083421091556,
        1.9144387541376802
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9240579711305885,
        0.029598991089463983,
        0.02280296398672819,
        0.029605005048120407,
        0.33881212162701607,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.24043150765683366,
        0.0366187774829692,
        0.03041640413656725,
        0.44340479597186766
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041622909046689985,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58631.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2179208411233495,
      0.19604732651207873,
      -0.640111723451344,
      -0.38458289338860735,
      -0.014374935512753767,
      -0.13795855404933258,
      0.03411601614348427,
      0.38588459768705546,
      0.13403556508705247,
      0.04735206574752623,
      0.03395939457660622,
      0.01954343582759343,
      -1.45007799891402,
      -0.7087800370462592,
      0.19323521788881182,
      -0.03712145287574626,
      -0.1220822828825156,
      -0.1373911956853847
    ],
    "alpha": 0.009401971927585816,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0019219920984377727,
    "iterations": 159,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 832.2678311265456
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.13096100267525,
        0.2978295749238679,
        0.1712401415005677,
        0.7529360878769937,
        13.728520162938535,
        2021.2,
        -3.235506456991149,
        0.12346010110439493,
        0.09956083421091556
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9240579711305885,
        0.029598991089463983,
        0.02280296398672819,
        0.029605005048120407,
        0.33881212162701607,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.24043150765683366,
        0.0366187774829692,
        0.03041640413656725
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041622909046689985,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58631.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2132402669077194,
      0.19605757393893067,
      -0.6765195704333331,
      -0.41155270013469064,
      -0.013395928324522096,
      -0.1392239495706857,
      0.021214971575596195,
      0.3776720098291354,
      0.17567977908393703,
      0.028516638989004136,
      0.011898240649262948,
      -1.4729738993852677,
      -0.7279174429905486,
      0.20027638440308465,
      -0.044669756265470394,
      -0.12422960059629233,
      -0.13449614954176933
    ],
    "alpha": 0.00954962380494582,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.002049725078562693,
    "iterations": 169,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 832.974473388391
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 120,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.181364517914838,
        0.2982241537721927,
        0.17025323352768432,
        0.7531815123527502,
        13.715125960930107,
        2021.2,
        -3.2516439102836125
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9894348007181442,
        0.03008625901599492,
        0.02251971568392339,
        0.03014920812738881,
        0.33345949247930645,
        2.315167380558043,
        0.2537803735244126
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16666666666666666,
        "East of England": 0.25,
        "London": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North East": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North West": 0.125,
        "South West": 0.08333333333333333,
        "West Midlands": 0.125,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08333333333333333
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04151415954980903,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 53001.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1390326113830818,
      0.2645881439025463,
      -0.6272104394582567,
      -0.33407095686475496,
      -0.01642162791192875,
      -0.12080842283709352,
      0.0007613364825482552,
      0.506299440607434,
      -0.08968900745600267,
      -1.8234812726739469,
      -0.40810065281808516,
      -0.2074827007007785,
      -0.1469959173067966,
      -0.10227292119740479,
      -0.043570943916257855
    ],
    "alpha": 0.017159834836269615,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0004438116638720178,
    "iterations": 86,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 821.8999863039621
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 120,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.181364517914838,
        0.2982241537721927,
        0.17025323352768432,
        0.7531815123527502,
        13.715125960930107,
        2021.2,
        0.13206167099201263,
        0.10742370525215826
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9894348007181442,
        0.03008625901599492,
        0.02251971568392339,
        0.03014920812738881,
        0.33345949247930645,
        2.315167380558043,
        0.038555700352578944,
        0.03303470719283779
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16666666666666666,
        "East of England": 0.25,
        "London": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North East": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North West": 0.125,
        "South West": 0.08333333333333333,
        "West Midlands": 0.125,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08333333333333333
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04151415954980903,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 53001.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.344539520688631,
      0.0595441569766342,
      -0.41770183712338155,
      -0.3357728955504293,
      -0.025462173957859564,
      -0.1403535190091941,
      -0.010777864112533819,
      0.33157621840081114,
      0.06679960827441651,
      0.1156421379778318,
      0.6113245640557528,
      -0.9560420996116616,
      -0.22349303873444792,
      0.012774229379100234,
      -0.15378620304083557,
      -0.06117707733463228
    ],
    "alpha": 0.028947266009137645,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0010652946031981378,
    "iterations": 108,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 852.6347603761174
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 120,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.181364517914838,
        0.2982241537721927,
        0.17025323352768432,
        0.7531815123527502,
        13.715125960930107,
        2021.2,
        0.13206167099201263,
        0.10742370525215826,
        1.9448239246747805
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9894348007181442,
        0.03008625901599492,
        0.02251971568392339,
        0.03014920812738881,
        0.33345949247930645,
        2.315167380558043,
        0.038555700352578944,
        0.03303470719283779,
        0.44462911026714763
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16666666666666666,
        "East of England": 0.25,
        "London": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North East": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North West": 0.125,
        "South West": 0.08333333333333333,
        "West Midlands": 0.125,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08333333333333333
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04151415954980903,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 53001.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3702752085855625,
      0.07545017935071464,
      -0.306383587646536,
      -0.26737394595090314,
      -0.025206092241979998,
      -0.1488533259458786,
      0.024033325751318592,
      0.18108209967942696,
      0.15481963840543203,
      0.09192288082823734,
      0.1403400693094003,
      0.7381931948757884,
      -0.9211020941643165,
      -0.19309635997720712,
      0.03356557662871014,
      -0.14998002851555495,
      -0.06551194081232437
    ],
    "alpha": 0.027812039109725094,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0038853320354429698,
    "iterations": 124,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 850.4335032669787
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 120,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.181364517914838,
        0.2982241537721927,
        0.17025323352768432,
        0.7531815123527502,
        13.715125960930107,
        2021.2,
        0.13206167099201263,
        0.10742370525215826,
        1.9448239246747805,
        0.2304322992472045
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9894348007181442,
        0.03008625901599492,
        0.02251971568392339,
        0.03014920812738881,
        0.33345949247930645,
        2.315167380558043,
        0.038555700352578944,
        0.03303470719283779,
        0.44462911026714763,
        0.046492923306070966
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16666666666666666,
        "East of England": 0.25,
        "London": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North East": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North West": 0.125,
        "South West": 0.08333333333333333,
        "West Midlands": 0.125,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08333333333333333
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04151415954980903,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 53001.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.443882336467088,
      0.07206618221512154,
      -0.4173014244030955,
      -0.42575641614859655,
      0.005699106150754973,
      -0.16303650442000767,
      0.01592851764196226,
      -0.00413845276088407,
      0.1765326581937656,
      0.10933728230108605,
      0.2744999171429826,
      0.21031205838686093,
      0.8940015242169873,
      -0.8561529487601187,
      -0.061351619447230235,
      0.1734370952753611,
      -0.08131042383700722,
      -0.06060077861527298
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02676721476440958,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0009735478466020122,
    "iterations": 141,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 848.023231598873
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 120,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.181364517914838,
        0.2982241537721927,
        0.17025323352768432,
        0.7531815123527502,
        13.715125960930107,
        2021.2,
        -3.2516439102836125,
        0.13206167099201263,
        0.10742370525215826,
        1.9448239246747805,
        0.2304322992472045
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9894348007181442,
        0.03008625901599492,
        0.02251971568392339,
        0.03014920812738881,
        0.33345949247930645,
        2.315167380558043,
        0.2537803735244126,
        0.038555700352578944,
        0.03303470719283779,
        0.44462911026714763,
        0.046492923306070966
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16666666666666666,
        "East of England": 0.25,
        "London": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North East": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North West": 0.125,
        "South West": 0.08333333333333333,
        "West Midlands": 0.125,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08333333333333333
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04151415954980903,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 53001.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.256550467418422,
      0.15200998934932125,
      -0.6081088130497317,
      -0.3990273575167346,
      -0.007889897620135576,
      -0.10509573318265915,
      0.046332005386799074,
      0.4386638299133162,
      -0.03422374217418088,
      0.010042189940061178,
      0.12541701170858965,
      0.1998691271605909,
      0.05756908531505786,
      -1.2142590498250703,
      -0.49217721794038816,
      -0.06733996061371073,
      0.06584254514275832,
      -0.060131506240373056,
      -0.10783381811236059
    ],
    "alpha": 0.012677648867572772,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0016389063704631112,
    "iterations": 171,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 805.0100426028399
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 120,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.181364517914838,
        0.2982241537721927,
        0.17025323352768432,
        0.7531815123527502,
        13.715125960930107,
        2021.2,
        -3.2516439102836125,
        0.13206167099201263,
        0.10742370525215826,
        1.9448239246747805
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9894348007181442,
        0.03008625901599492,
        0.02251971568392339,
        0.03014920812738881,
        0.33345949247930645,
        2.315167380558043,
        0.2537803735244126,
        0.038555700352578944,
        0.03303470719283779,
        0.44462911026714763
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16666666666666666,
        "East of England": 0.25,
        "London": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North East": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North West": 0.125,
        "South West": 0.08333333333333333,
        "West Midlands": 0.125,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08333333333333333
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04151415954980903,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 53001.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.19826634385961,
      0.15732047111692307,
      -0.5301220965023321,
      -0.28176842114431144,
      -0.02992914658868875,
      -0.0937095462252389,
      0.05281291189070437,
      0.4455497009638471,
      0.09939024637348279,
      -0.010378324477043115,
      0.11367950712432359,
      0.0029732069393579538,
      -1.3645186751452327,
      -0.5348466965790397,
      -0.16540824727155853,
      -0.04096253797016616,
      -0.11350566767148083,
      -0.11186856038662221
    ],
    "alpha": 0.013225036890586076,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00178341094362246,
    "iterations": 175,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 807.5970233600486
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 120,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.181364517914838,
        0.2982241537721927,
        0.17025323352768432,
        0.7531815123527502,
        13.715125960930107,
        2021.2,
        -3.2516439102836125,
        0.13206167099201263,
        0.10742370525215826
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9894348007181442,
        0.03008625901599492,
        0.02251971568392339,
        0.03014920812738881,
        0.33345949247930645,
        2.315167380558043,
        0.2537803735244126,
        0.038555700352578944,
        0.03303470719283779
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16666666666666666,
        "East of England": 0.25,
        "London": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North East": 0.08333333333333333,
        "North West": 0.125,
        "South West": 0.08333333333333333,
        "West Midlands": 0.125,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08333333333333333
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04151415954980903,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 53001.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1699797707325037,
      0.1367846832691282,
      -0.6629743576629941,
      -0.36562384552899746,
      -0.02951977721461494,
      -0.08361363579214268,
      0.008873986982809381,
      0.43623071399944213,
      0.2877504972894266,
      -0.11894739470891638,
      -0.025860955165389457,
      -1.4840937962393992,
      -0.5813230891463854,
      -0.20331412913392596,
      -0.06381172609600419,
      -0.120553747314527,
      -0.10180781236379659
    ],
    "alpha": 0.014960704192258796,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0012402420687907866,
    "iterations": 163,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 814.124896561334
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.250031806028923,
        0.2985836799072017,
        0.1712713699323586,
        0.7543301050904954,
        13.74840188787333,
        2021.2,
        -3.226107173425513
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9220083695876724,
        0.029128593271579285,
        0.02221467691832904,
        0.03025699650563674,
        0.3288247809549777,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.23229787477345373
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04147931949685481,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62274.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.140200340669845,
      0.27491360044341423,
      -0.5735516353339873,
      -0.3193933930292333,
      -0.027841990478847778,
      -0.1518090160505119,
      -0.020910385578583275,
      0.4385519320925313,
      -0.08232911829574004,
      -1.6552024635986191,
      -0.4212771435600979,
      -0.19009736162623916,
      -0.01619284178664828,
      -0.11218920705722445,
      -0.026261965180911423
    ],
    "alpha": 0.01782427180152676,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.004663177543453578,
    "iterations": 83,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 911.2466830846329
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.250031806028923,
        0.2985836799072017,
        0.1712713699323586,
        0.7543301050904954,
        13.74840188787333,
        2021.2,
        0.12974835593270548,
        0.10551643057777343
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9220083695876724,
        0.029128593271579285,
        0.02221467691832904,
        0.03025699650563674,
        0.3288247809549777,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.03883164009654774,
        0.03314757737200872
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04147931949685481,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62274.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3598624949201503,
      0.1303833137300756,
      -0.40473772348613013,
      -0.23894968084598583,
      0.006263618813409519,
      -0.13030780961867394,
      -0.036208709311392535,
      0.4180831654761411,
      -0.10744362210431713,
      0.06093980444588149,
      0.5143696486718026,
      -0.8363254881964364,
      -0.2303429232500477,
      0.45828783154853575,
      -0.2236494788419924,
      -0.005206922524966305
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02746137150911682,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00036400886389756826,
    "iterations": 86,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 938.582982852466
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.250031806028923,
        0.2985836799072017,
        0.1712713699323586,
        0.7543301050904954,
        13.74840188787333,
        2021.2,
        0.12974835593270548,
        0.10551643057777343,
        1.9243075037319077
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9220083695876724,
        0.029128593271579285,
        0.02221467691832904,
        0.03025699650563674,
        0.3288247809549777,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.03883164009654774,
        0.03314757737200872,
        0.4342952280767591
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04147931949685481,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62274.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.383438704840236,
      0.15479148838669704,
      -0.27119069112039396,
      -0.13335044983022226,
      -0.0006868966671689028,
      -0.12936563090405467,
      -0.0002594981800763253,
      0.26216857764936885,
      -0.0238727368568222,
      0.1045740382230003,
      0.08873289824614568,
      0.6845820808077102,
      -0.7883203589966729,
      -0.19854045927380387,
      0.4416941041130656,
      -0.23247792466050973,
      -0.008148942688486639
    ],
    "alpha": 0.026169359005297856,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0005765621314405225,
    "iterations": 124,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 935.6239595407113
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.250031806028923,
        0.2985836799072017,
        0.1712713699323586,
        0.7543301050904954,
        13.74840188787333,
        2021.2,
        0.12974835593270548,
        0.10551643057777343,
        1.9243075037319077,
        0.22784966510112117
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9220083695876724,
        0.029128593271579285,
        0.02221467691832904,
        0.03025699650563674,
        0.3288247809549777,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.03883164009654774,
        0.03314757737200872,
        0.4342952280767591,
        0.04649187187520651
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04147931949685481,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62274.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.361536631952444,
      0.15797804366366341,
      -0.228506113738393,
      -0.08291353236642715,
      -0.014666483734389115,
      -0.12484236381791361,
      0.003038670310732176,
      0.2952173361377516,
      -0.014132745051268979,
      0.10596723594660963,
      -0.07594525364547106,
      0.07220079982915385,
      0.6587383648250078,
      -0.8041952037122683,
      -0.23259058373908487,
      0.3858824965899764,
      -0.2508850005040865,
      -0.011712753619096348
    ],
    "alpha": 0.026052739871678304,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0007012947224113896,
    "iterations": 143,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 935.4143374672511
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.250031806028923,
        0.2985836799072017,
        0.1712713699323586,
        0.7543301050904954,
        13.74840188787333,
        2021.2,
        -3.226107173425513,
        0.12974835593270548,
        0.10551643057777343,
        1.9243075037319077,
        0.22784966510112117
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9220083695876724,
        0.029128593271579285,
        0.02221467691832904,
        0.03025699650563674,
        0.3288247809549777,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.23229787477345373,
        0.03883164009654774,
        0.03314757737200872,
        0.4342952280767591,
        0.04649187187520651
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04147931949685481,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62274.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2253500446358583,
      0.16593936020522662,
      -0.5160326787388813,
      -0.27335943034253046,
      -0.017061336763358022,
      -0.10162623253007383,
      0.04813634813324045,
      0.40381702896719746,
      0.08607309289403767,
      -0.05292662579786906,
      0.1461776975323985,
      0.07625243184714413,
      0.029952679628558673,
      -1.2365982731572507,
      -0.5198725284387551,
      -0.12126800698214511,
      0.18825840527544843,
      -0.1251160704699721,
      -0.1017770322251108
    ],
    "alpha": 0.011450939735239533,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0021545161265087718,
    "iterations": 164,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 884.3774838264393
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.250031806028923,
        0.2985836799072017,
        0.1712713699323586,
        0.7543301050904954,
        13.74840188787333,
        2021.2,
        -3.226107173425513,
        0.12974835593270548,
        0.10551643057777343,
        1.9243075037319077
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9220083695876724,
        0.029128593271579285,
        0.02221467691832904,
        0.03025699650563674,
        0.3288247809549777,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.23229787477345373,
        0.03883164009654774,
        0.03314757737200872,
        0.4342952280767591
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04147931949685481,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62274.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2053861283392764,
      0.1689430283817513,
      -0.470209779108751,
      -0.22085210133941122,
      -0.030844603813769026,
      -0.09731827570527811,
      0.051064894464550224,
      0.3987145841109787,
      0.12056497242924369,
      -0.04225499276319429,
      0.1473694933376703,
      0.014356882302368312,
      -1.23731198659094,
      -0.5409257862687987,
      -0.15683185248269374,
      0.13650967999660962,
      -0.14542199766452218,
      -0.10445913458050592
    ],
    "alpha": 0.011502874998860926,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0007307046077084463,
    "iterations": 164,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 884.8300809852356
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.250031806028923,
        0.2985836799072017,
        0.1712713699323586,
        0.7543301050904954,
        13.74840188787333,
        2021.2,
        -3.226107173425513,
        0.12974835593270548,
        0.10551643057777343
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9220083695876724,
        0.029128593271579285,
        0.02221467691832904,
        0.03025699650563674,
        0.3288247809549777,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.23229787477345373,
        0.03883164009654774,
        0.03314757737200872
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04147931949685481,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62274.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.18262526205651,
      0.13367421003527294,
      -0.6466237847399845,
      -0.36294382024592164,
      -0.019013997545841946,
      -0.09871621381115231,
      -0.0015586239359088806,
      0.37857589224642096,
      0.34997224790544423,
      -0.16343605004884615,
      -0.0191476620355852,
      -1.3814969834443758,
      -0.6150609360725562,
      -0.2030631345396226,
      0.1777929744273174,
      -0.13960340377642705,
      -0.0913667787359288
    ],
    "alpha": 0.014081778428874973,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0007525233517109532,
    "iterations": 137,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 896.5903695615967
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.177823250945977,
        0.2972637113365985,
        0.17124853165538573,
        0.7552579150997626,
        13.72823960718032,
        2021.2,
        -3.2195653533773316
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.866971278276904,
        0.02804914438736104,
        0.02202253317506492,
        0.030069188458787397,
        0.31362141346971395,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.2300838978133236
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.12,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04212565036288835,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58016.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.181090644061971,
      0.1538169910030831,
      -0.5539412773441119,
      -0.3735285938159058,
      0.017723284560369586,
      -0.16648142675331729,
      -0.007504938982782761,
      0.3792338601228792,
      -0.07323442089046296,
      -1.2677809957116166,
      -0.4077470770946956,
      -0.10496981960392232,
      0.06117576449803015,
      -0.24162007157287904,
      0.04052624934060296
    ],
    "alpha": 0.01438875789168521,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.006838597736777974,
    "iterations": 98,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 857.0499191236556
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.177823250945977,
        0.2972637113365985,
        0.17124853165538573,
        0.7552579150997626,
        13.72823960718032,
        2021.2,
        0.12611657851097438,
        0.10319564801752105
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.866971278276904,
        0.02804914438736104,
        0.02202253317506492,
        0.030069188458787397,
        0.31362141346971395,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.03712619791500339,
        0.03289720423117828
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.12,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04212565036288835,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58016.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.4193866523672933,
      -0.0011975390573725764,
      -0.4404034046154748,
      -0.43979286138490065,
      0.11049780116041996,
      -0.22961402329124958,
      0.02591022428735805,
      0.03052528142283143,
      0.2284833835790198,
      0.09438903474660645,
      0.7466051674368134,
      -0.8470633347878378,
      -0.1527695880560914,
      0.5472068506390131,
      -0.24695776599519756,
      0.10009855098803273
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02152293639225697,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0006059311505589241,
    "iterations": 124,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 881.3903131117669
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.177823250945977,
        0.2972637113365985,
        0.17124853165538573,
        0.7552579150997626,
        13.72823960718032,
        2021.2,
        0.12611657851097438,
        0.10319564801752105,
        1.9054621551904387
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.866971278276904,
        0.02804914438736104,
        0.02202253317506492,
        0.030069188458787397,
        0.31362141346971395,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.03712619791500339,
        0.03289720423117828,
        0.4438680949484495
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.12,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04212565036288835,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58016.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.423514299040751,
      0.0020296070403466315,
      -0.4208605050771062,
      -0.4246847972243211,
      0.11038743192364785,
      -0.230089655909632,
      0.03254432192644582,
      0.009308472531735175,
      0.2395690230349002,
      0.018025043293264934,
      0.09925626702336023,
      0.7696008745265408,
      -0.8412835806127484,
      -0.14772837330927555,
      0.545879636217126,
      -0.24155125469836358,
      0.09814865853214036
    ],
    "alpha": 0.021475269328440856,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0007828525582308016,
    "iterations": 137,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 881.273253689705
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.177823250945977,
        0.2972637113365985,
        0.17124853165538573,
        0.7552579150997626,
        13.72823960718032,
        2021.2,
        0.12611657851097438,
        0.10319564801752105,
        1.9054621551904387,
        0.2229761046133051
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.866971278276904,
        0.02804914438736104,
        0.02202253317506492,
        0.030069188458787397,
        0.31362141346971395,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.03712619791500339,
        0.03289720423117828,
        0.4438680949484495,
        0.04637648672418158
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.12,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04212565036288835,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58016.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.390878430744724,
      -0.0020275760833692404,
      -0.36701140696350715,
      -0.3611883906947869,
      0.09059575342324043,
      -0.22235238569238525,
      0.03627735318628424,
      0.051893172773124774,
      0.26321017502327304,
      0.012985152973702936,
      -0.11162347979020917,
      0.07549528104116923,
      0.7401953803950669,
      -0.8700329644444725,
      -0.19691086423204768,
      0.4689464355848653,
      -0.29211301360486436,
      0.09686701561758039
    ],
    "alpha": 0.021228521418082364,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00513260139117173,
    "iterations": 151,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 880.6938071130337
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.177823250945977,
        0.2972637113365985,
        0.17124853165538573,
        0.7552579150997626,
        13.72823960718032,
        2021.2,
        -3.2195653533773316,
        0.12611657851097438,
        0.10319564801752105,
        1.9054621551904387,
        0.2229761046133051
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.866971278276904,
        0.02804914438736104,
        0.02202253317506492,
        0.030069188458787397,
        0.31362141346971395,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.2300838978133236,
        0.03712619791500339,
        0.03289720423117828,
        0.4438680949484495,
        0.04637648672418158
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.12,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04212565036288835,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58016.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2524896346149275,
      0.08376239790993331,
      -0.5315061709681446,
      -0.3755155314645897,
      0.020792543324278892,
      -0.13002241755929253,
      0.05255706848959626,
      0.36096521518058455,
      -0.0190760597933502,
      0.08086507230910243,
      0.09323535493754566,
      0.0636289990433024,
      0.030562496201522484,
      -0.9835260260213672,
      -0.5556094377247903,
      -0.10441022207502536,
      0.2438686170969198,
      -0.09921603767348744,
      -0.03910678245576887
    ],
    "alpha": 0.010703242817313904,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00380554862300286,
    "iterations": 175,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 840.1405048120557
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.177823250945977,
        0.2972637113365985,
        0.17124853165538573,
        0.7552579150997626,
        13.72823960718032,
        2021.2,
        -3.2195653533773316,
        0.12611657851097438,
        0.10319564801752105,
        1.9054621551904387
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.866971278276904,
        0.02804914438736104,
        0.02202253317506492,
        0.030069188458787397,
        0.31362141346971395,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.2300838978133236,
        0.03712619791500339,
        0.03289720423117828,
        0.4438680949484495
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.12,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04212565036288835,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58016.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.23685053464831,
      0.08006164228552422,
      -0.4997254783617797,
      -0.34125007484448727,
      0.011766869734991026,
      -0.12794093382783336,
      0.05464731081826637,
      0.35457799020289,
      0.004768331499035707,
      0.09750429359270628,
      0.08925460493511193,
      0.01823128114986709,
      -0.9699510457252724,
      -0.5779643511875007,
      -0.13357914198549337,
      0.20642596215683304,
      -0.1308351777681185,
      -0.03767521623902915
    ],
    "alpha": 0.010743021215070944,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.002299641833911262,
    "iterations": 156,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 840.4851088149474
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.177823250945977,
        0.2972637113365985,
        0.17124853165538573,
        0.7552579150997626,
        13.72823960718032,
        2021.2,
        -3.2195653533773316,
        0.12611657851097438,
        0.10319564801752105
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.866971278276904,
        0.02804914438736104,
        0.02202253317506492,
        0.030069188458787397,
        0.31362141346971395,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.2300838978133236,
        0.03712619791500339,
        0.03289720423117828
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.12,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04212565036288835,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58016.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2317827813479596,
      0.05929381956161672,
      -0.5858238631147655,
      -0.4182770850778223,
      0.019801477442156986,
      -0.1331397309479207,
      0.021970657873962844,
      0.3288265334216904,
      0.10752355651227327,
      0.052544422136677996,
      0.0016349197975639538,
      -0.9541829935628242,
      -0.6226734068828751,
      -0.15773034061117258,
      0.23954970540417603,
      -0.16275412536842876,
      -0.01722401011692227
    ],
    "alpha": 0.01177903474025629,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0005537692687039166,
    "iterations": 142,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 845.4839696294522
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.177930644670481,
        0.29701734325630924,
        0.17225971350924008,
        0.755863302995121,
        13.741028698868943,
        2021.2,
        -3.255947537130825
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9319684493231442,
        0.028535787595029973,
        0.021883146878868318,
        0.030296529274969727,
        0.32950834225141,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.23923674044169946
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04062156697818623,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.161993681940454,
      0.26294399495770626,
      -0.5918850617607782,
      -0.345874516483851,
      -0.016615691876048562,
      -0.15230668852631465,
      -0.010963468393310239,
      0.4653328271603036,
      -0.08454155757667105,
      -1.778232081434902,
      -0.41559252161097976,
      -0.19566151652450894,
      -0.03080843779315277,
      -0.15901579969537075,
      -0.10297045459173049
    ],
    "alpha": 0.01726617347557142,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0022181423290957274,
    "iterations": 93,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 899.7396530902018
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.177930644670481,
        0.29701734325630924,
        0.17225971350924008,
        0.755863302995121,
        13.741028698868943,
        2021.2,
        0.12458400094769592,
        0.10153753221287086
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9319684493231442,
        0.028535787595029973,
        0.021883146878868318,
        0.030296529274969727,
        0.32950834225141,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.03860499695384714,
        0.032919826011975226
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04062156697818623,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.4051526248096824,
      0.1223112503329344,
      -0.4000030449907282,
      -0.284055179685145,
      0.02006207542886064,
      -0.14865932402159343,
      -0.0160216256085346,
      0.2912982433863903,
      0.026172427922350177,
      0.07689377145981657,
      0.5308606983081421,
      -0.8830895857717346,
      -0.2502976064091495,
      0.4852790277477191,
      -0.060988562155689756,
      -0.18516812284748002
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02962890581955228,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0015802643176853375,
    "iterations": 109,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 933.8833261815126
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.177930644670481,
        0.29701734325630924,
        0.17225971350924008,
        0.755863302995121,
        13.741028698868943,
        2021.2,
        0.12458400094769592,
        0.10153753221287086,
        1.8881166665350275
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9319684493231442,
        0.028535787595029973,
        0.021883146878868318,
        0.030296529274969727,
        0.32950834225141,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.03860499695384714,
        0.032919826011975226,
        0.4331517733935686
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04062156697818623,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.4220339345398005,
      0.14303236566164815,
      -0.31392844224613203,
      -0.229430901406412,
      0.020169420695047045,
      -0.15716612911864483,
      0.010097528756052954,
      0.15013345119928717,
      0.11576974085763723,
      0.06860407655977964,
      0.09694677208376414,
      0.632943315008624,
      -0.858328738785835,
      -0.23469030885241385,
      0.4760971240435055,
      -0.04222745874590563,
      -0.18139043201091656
    ],
    "alpha": 0.028989875080907196,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00043244998939537125,
    "iterations": 111,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 932.5739260735648
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.177930644670481,
        0.29701734325630924,
        0.17225971350924008,
        0.755863302995121,
        13.741028698868943,
        2021.2,
        0.12458400094769592,
        0.10153753221287086,
        1.8881166665350275,
        0.22234654995134287
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9319684493231442,
        0.028535787595029973,
        0.021883146878868318,
        0.030296529274969727,
        0.32950834225141,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.03860499695384714,
        0.032919826011975226,
        0.4331517733935686,
        0.04590366332224847
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04062156697818623,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.439751622025175,
      0.14507686751428606,
      -0.33884081516966147,
      -0.26113847722308287,
      0.02978733878386139,
      -0.1613934948933196,
      0.008551592621398837,
      0.11500860328830868,
      0.11509960945265096,
      0.07064811953828941,
      0.05527382382856553,
      0.1091318718799895,
      0.6563807137594114,
      -0.8435392142329547,
      -0.2099731154128594,
      0.5138548141185103,
      -0.018668108269985013,
      -0.1687330531259301
    ],
    "alpha": 0.028957959779533197,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0006815511174172717,
    "iterations": 158,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 932.4614757402308
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.177930644670481,
        0.29701734325630924,
        0.17225971350924008,
        0.755863302995121,
        13.741028698868943,
        2021.2,
        -3.255947537130825,
        0.12458400094769592,
        0.10153753221287086,
        1.8881166665350275,
        0.22234654995134287
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9319684493231442,
        0.028535787595029973,
        0.021883146878868318,
        0.030296529274969727,
        0.32950834225141,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.23923674044169946,
        0.03860499695384714,
        0.032919826011975226,
        0.4331517733935686,
        0.04590366332224847
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04062156697818623,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.27855523799193,
      0.1281282407001911,
      -0.595345466763993,
      -0.3628658804515798,
      -0.0013050706825557732,
      -0.09646421961036551,
      0.05524479725147572,
      0.44781622006168526,
      0.06314607616437966,
      -0.03416484678630301,
      0.12446481901185441,
      0.12694680002012845,
      0.04073722101721916,
      -1.4004154920629261,
      -0.5228778347877701,
      -0.11019207778983747,
      0.22403697250733529,
      0.013603322687882847,
      -0.08520258941091603
    ],
    "alpha": 0.011157033116052413,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0018164281881211059,
    "iterations": 202,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 873.4267030527111
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.177930644670481,
        0.29701734325630924,
        0.17225971350924008,
        0.755863302995121,
        13.741028698868943,
        2021.2,
        -3.255947537130825,
        0.12458400094769592,
        0.10153753221287086,
        1.8881166665350275
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9319684493231442,
        0.028535787595029973,
        0.021883146878868318,
        0.030296529274969727,
        0.32950834225141,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.23923674044169946,
        0.03860499695384714,
        0.032919826011975226,
        0.4331517733935686
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04062156697818623,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2388459818070463,
      0.12256126217287655,
      -0.5366416439684331,
      -0.2890179232708791,
      -0.02285367271579737,
      -0.08687993165821391,
      0.05884295627210013,
      0.4436240920272185,
      0.14626832896596131,
      -0.0324701894464659,
      0.11943580458835577,
      0.013353069735584122,
      -1.4348062263129047,
      -0.5635289249918837,
      -0.16934647119242258,
      0.1417655618948656,
      -0.04217791089096282,
      -0.11676302961679352
    ],
    "alpha": 0.011383346141861206,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0013299517985886254,
    "iterations": 150,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 874.8879143673004
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.177930644670481,
        0.29701734325630924,
        0.17225971350924008,
        0.755863302995121,
        13.741028698868943,
        2021.2,
        -3.255947537130825,
        0.12458400094769592,
        0.10153753221287086
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9319684493231442,
        0.028535787595029973,
        0.021883146878868318,
        0.030296529274969727,
        0.32950834225141,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.23923674044169946,
        0.03860499695384714,
        0.032919826011975226
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.11538461538461539,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "West Midlands": 0.11538461538461539
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04062156697818623,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60188.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2190315720616045,
      0.08690456436126794,
      -0.6758108080882295,
      -0.3802850531783387,
      -0.02014184409647291,
      -0.0744716358324522,
      0.012243658403319499,
      0.4245420926226521,
      0.39405208877640796,
      -0.18564111068968517,
      -0.01664180315033153,
      -1.5242497538101152,
      -0.6142871453627039,
      -0.19876941303663664,
      0.17585019017410367,
      -0.07023564667730965,
      -0.1267368675540268
    ],
    "alpha": 0.013305734084389792,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0012404820368895999,
    "iterations": 146,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 883.6806666365517
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 56,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402847,
        0.29816999049757387,
        0.17170360839296026,
        0.7733293373651582,
        13.802949603433943,
        2018.5,
        -3.174863268141764
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712379,
        0.02814616061425858,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.023862715496554842,
        0.3197611407020714,
        0.5,
        0.21955040114973207
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.042953332255445294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62791.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1151737457291135,
      0.2709924309746907,
      -0.5769108423005032,
      -0.3233244604093414,
      -0.08423611333070358,
      -0.14857730256730875,
      0.015947935231830766,
      0.47289454658703706,
      -0.07187019651540254,
      -1.9110597891758816,
      -0.28631875600223805,
      -0.1457332661126287,
      0.026441196126183977,
      -0.12423938323189475,
      -0.05715362175914005,
      -0.1249732787879039
    ],
    "alpha": 0.011514173019190152,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0007192960087556082,
    "iterations": 107,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 382.54773467991726
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 56,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402847,
        0.29816999049757387,
        0.17170360839296026,
        0.7733293373651582,
        13.802949603433943,
        2018.5,
        0.1359754912416539,
        0.11413603670773766
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712379,
        0.02814616061425858,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.023862715496554842,
        0.3197611407020714,
        0.5,
        0.03957269167251599,
        0.03421329250755867
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.042953332255445294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62791.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.364706730027166,
      0.13568780255645826,
      -0.33704477774251523,
      -0.25675309938306623,
      -0.08981928646258663,
      -0.1339611470041385,
      -0.027090646344096348,
      0.17864817418240045,
      0.11792851383468253,
      0.09733775139000175,
      0.5395234023494779,
      -0.6999799011137574,
      -0.13182228656076425,
      0.5646119786276435,
      -0.11319296068236771,
      -0.11251965892381185,
      -0.08181390762555958
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02739955086753279,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00020680814988324544,
    "iterations": 129,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 406.2023931799135
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 56,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402847,
        0.29816999049757387,
        0.17170360839296026,
        0.7733293373651582,
        13.802949603433943,
        2018.5,
        0.1359754912416539,
        0.11413603670773766,
        2.1493485956799048
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712379,
        0.02814616061425858,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.023862715496554842,
        0.3197611407020714,
        0.5,
        0.03957269167251599,
        0.03421329250755867,
        0.3415589459457918
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.042953332255445294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62791.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.392523902706851,
      0.126204514762408,
      -0.24516642210403797,
      -0.19257014905369396,
      -0.07042041142969109,
      -0.12842437717549365,
      -0.03485038056360578,
      0.027307065398904675,
      0.23647902944241692,
      0.07293767944185423,
      0.1358557413188287,
      0.784350992692647,
      -0.7103661728649616,
      -0.13329072719801519,
      0.5784188221121768,
      -0.09986991859758519,
      -0.09961889964554814,
      -0.10399049461521684
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02673469655638737,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.000258834451569862,
    "iterations": 140,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 405.53388459026263
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 56,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402847,
        0.29816999049757387,
        0.17170360839296026,
        0.7733293373651582,
        13.802949603433943,
        2018.5,
        0.1359754912416539,
        0.11413603670773766,
        2.1493485956799048,
        0.22542964500906607
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712379,
        0.02814616061425858,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.023862715496554842,
        0.3197611407020714,
        0.5,
        0.03957269167251599,
        0.03421329250755867,
        0.3415589459457918,
        0.04564534552717879
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.042953332255445294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62791.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.366896994706746,
      0.12665185816504856,
      -0.17777324401031352,
      -0.12455092245731994,
      -0.08984412003043436,
      -0.11894762437058358,
      -0.036139139552655096,
      0.019113836257056396,
      0.30870091261052013,
      0.07796273620511576,
      -0.10853766881029552,
      0.12166018829806662,
      0.7758762766741503,
      -0.7472531544230889,
      -0.1834884757274473,
      0.5118601851351612,
      -0.13346690554078172,
      -0.11196842368328656,
      -0.11509775505128575
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02658259895045893,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0002822023221666452,
    "iterations": 177,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 405.39294009807276
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 56,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402847,
        0.29816999049757387,
        0.17170360839296026,
        0.7733293373651582,
        13.802949603433943,
        2018.5,
        -3.174863268141764,
        0.1359754912416539,
        0.11413603670773766,
        2.1493485956799048,
        0.22542964500906607
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712379,
        0.02814616061425858,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.023862715496554842,
        0.3197611407020714,
        0.5,
        0.21955040114973207,
        0.03957269167251599,
        0.03421329250755867,
        0.3415589459457918,
        0.04564534552717879
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.042953332255445294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62791.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.209763608095293,
      0.08575259828138632,
      -0.7159460253749836,
      -0.43512229725067725,
      0.040824598910489916,
      -0.09247350026101513,
      0.00534012924427613,
      0.49131832569596184,
      0.09829152600073102,
      -0.1269781312364745,
      0.12119302970267137,
      0.23087765592996914,
      0.05447761805652972,
      -1.5746368748023847,
      -0.3823422499187782,
      -0.063537160284918,
      0.27674675703827084,
      -0.03275622766390349,
      -0.02655455620535528,
      -0.2123690997569766
    ],
    "alpha": 0.006559177511689397,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0025961041945641783,
    "iterations": 203,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 367.695318616831
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 56,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402847,
        0.29816999049757387,
        0.17170360839296026,
        0.7733293373651582,
        13.802949603433943,
        2018.5,
        -3.174863268141764,
        0.1359754912416539,
        0.11413603670773766,
        2.1493485956799048
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712379,
        0.02814616061425858,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.023862715496554842,
        0.3197611407020714,
        0.5,
        0.21955040114973207,
        0.03957269167251599,
        0.03421329250755867,
        0.3415589459457918
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.042953332255445294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62791.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.163093246885596,
      0.08675528052559853,
      -0.5597109620703534,
      -0.28448047966975304,
      -0.0027783343176570334,
      -0.07287326826944404,
      0.0011342376162339777,
      0.4687521856959262,
      0.08729279118060881,
      0.028909155697359766,
      0.12882269049264872,
      0.027262535649052903,
      -1.4860974183621125,
      -0.4761862938570099,
      -0.17274087438710817,
      0.15333003506997528,
      -0.11203395951200573,
      -0.06086025025885053,
      -0.23101922094863162
    ],
    "alpha": 0.007111796064792104,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0007993973261775611,
    "iterations": 199,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 369.93569154007224
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 56,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402847,
        0.29816999049757387,
        0.17170360839296026,
        0.7733293373651582,
        13.802949603433943,
        2018.5,
        -3.174863268141764,
        0.1359754912416539,
        0.11413603670773766
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712379,
        0.02814616061425858,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.023862715496554842,
        0.3197611407020714,
        0.5,
        0.21955040114973207,
        0.03957269167251599,
        0.03421329250755867
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.042953332255445294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62791.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.126298073358927,
      0.1075404948255157,
      -0.7041987274735891,
      -0.3894439161525171,
      -0.03977166861547365,
      -0.08501767143969771,
      0.012900573145287735,
      0.4477196459948977,
      0.3495254469964254,
      -0.17073619384912397,
      -0.032957301186912626,
      -1.8114349981742868,
      -0.46366288831486346,
      -0.17438279717950267,
      0.15096171995457425,
      -0.12930819760948228,
      -0.08676189261775065,
      -0.1802103085990349
    ],
    "alpha": 0.009149338058782366,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.001633113760685386,
    "iterations": 179,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 376.3939616031605
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 56,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402847,
        0.29816999049757387,
        0.17170360839296026,
        0.7733293373651582,
        13.802949603433943,
        2018.5,
        -3.174863268141764
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712379,
        0.02814616061425858,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.023862715496554842,
        0.3197611407020714,
        0.5,
        0.21955040114973207
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.042953332255445294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62791.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1151737457291135,
      0.2709924309746907,
      -0.5769108423005032,
      -0.3233244604093414,
      -0.08423611333070358,
      -0.14857730256730875,
      0.015947935231830766,
      0.47289454658703706,
      -0.07187019651540254,
      -1.9110597891758816,
      -0.28631875600223805,
      -0.1457332661126287,
      0.026441196126183977,
      -0.12423938323189475,
      -0.05715362175914005,
      -0.1249732787879039
    ],
    "alpha": 0.011514173019190152,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0007192960087556082,
    "iterations": 107,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 382.54773467991726
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 56,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402847,
        0.29816999049757387,
        0.17170360839296026,
        0.7733293373651582,
        13.802949603433943,
        2018.5,
        0.1359754912416539,
        0.11413603670773766
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712379,
        0.02814616061425858,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.023862715496554842,
        0.3197611407020714,
        0.5,
        0.03957269167251599,
        0.03421329250755867
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.042953332255445294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62791.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.364706730027166,
      0.13568780255645826,
      -0.33704477774251523,
      -0.25675309938306623,
      -0.08981928646258663,
      -0.1339611470041385,
      -0.027090646344096348,
      0.17864817418240045,
      0.11792851383468253,
      0.09733775139000175,
      0.5395234023494779,
      -0.6999799011137574,
      -0.13182228656076425,
      0.5646119786276435,
      -0.11319296068236771,
      -0.11251965892381185,
      -0.08181390762555958
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02739955086753279,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00020680814988324544,
    "iterations": 129,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 406.2023931799135
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 56,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402847,
        0.29816999049757387,
        0.17170360839296026,
        0.7733293373651582,
        13.802949603433943,
        2018.5,
        0.1359754912416539,
        0.11413603670773766,
        2.1493485956799048
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712379,
        0.02814616061425858,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.023862715496554842,
        0.3197611407020714,
        0.5,
        0.03957269167251599,
        0.03421329250755867,
        0.3415589459457918
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.042953332255445294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62791.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.392523902706851,
      0.126204514762408,
      -0.24516642210403797,
      -0.19257014905369396,
      -0.07042041142969109,
      -0.12842437717549365,
      -0.03485038056360578,
      0.027307065398904675,
      0.23647902944241692,
      0.07293767944185423,
      0.1358557413188287,
      0.784350992692647,
      -0.7103661728649616,
      -0.13329072719801519,
      0.5784188221121768,
      -0.09986991859758519,
      -0.09961889964554814,
      -0.10399049461521684
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02673469655638737,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.000258834451569862,
    "iterations": 140,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 405.53388459026263
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 56,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402847,
        0.29816999049757387,
        0.17170360839296026,
        0.7733293373651582,
        13.802949603433943,
        2018.5,
        0.1359754912416539,
        0.11413603670773766,
        2.1493485956799048,
        0.22542964500906607
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712379,
        0.02814616061425858,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.023862715496554842,
        0.3197611407020714,
        0.5,
        0.03957269167251599,
        0.03421329250755867,
        0.3415589459457918,
        0.04564534552717879
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.042953332255445294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62791.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.366896994706746,
      0.12665185816504856,
      -0.17777324401031352,
      -0.12455092245731994,
      -0.08984412003043436,
      -0.11894762437058358,
      -0.036139139552655096,
      0.019113836257056396,
      0.30870091261052013,
      0.07796273620511576,
      -0.10853766881029552,
      0.12166018829806662,
      0.7758762766741503,
      -0.7472531544230889,
      -0.1834884757274473,
      0.5118601851351612,
      -0.13346690554078172,
      -0.11196842368328656,
      -0.11509775505128575
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02658259895045893,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0002822023221666452,
    "iterations": 177,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 405.39294009807276
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 56,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402847,
        0.29816999049757387,
        0.17170360839296026,
        0.7733293373651582,
        13.802949603433943,
        2018.5,
        -3.174863268141764,
        0.1359754912416539,
        0.11413603670773766,
        2.1493485956799048,
        0.22542964500906607
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712379,
        0.02814616061425858,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.023862715496554842,
        0.3197611407020714,
        0.5,
        0.21955040114973207,
        0.03957269167251599,
        0.03421329250755867,
        0.3415589459457918,
        0.04564534552717879
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.042953332255445294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62791.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.209763608095293,
      0.08575259828138632,
      -0.7159460253749836,
      -0.43512229725067725,
      0.040824598910489916,
      -0.09247350026101513,
      0.00534012924427613,
      0.49131832569596184,
      0.09829152600073102,
      -0.1269781312364745,
      0.12119302970267137,
      0.23087765592996914,
      0.05447761805652972,
      -1.5746368748023847,
      -0.3823422499187782,
      -0.063537160284918,
      0.27674675703827084,
      -0.03275622766390349,
      -0.02655455620535528,
      -0.2123690997569766
    ],
    "alpha": 0.006559177511689397,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0025961041945641783,
    "iterations": 203,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 367.695318616831
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 56,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402847,
        0.29816999049757387,
        0.17170360839296026,
        0.7733293373651582,
        13.802949603433943,
        2018.5,
        -3.174863268141764,
        0.1359754912416539,
        0.11413603670773766,
        2.1493485956799048
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712379,
        0.02814616061425858,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.023862715496554842,
        0.3197611407020714,
        0.5,
        0.21955040114973207,
        0.03957269167251599,
        0.03421329250755867,
        0.3415589459457918
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.042953332255445294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62791.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.163093246885596,
      0.08675528052559853,
      -0.5597109620703534,
      -0.28448047966975304,
      -0.0027783343176570334,
      -0.07287326826944404,
      0.0011342376162339777,
      0.4687521856959262,
      0.08729279118060881,
      0.028909155697359766,
      0.12882269049264872,
      0.027262535649052903,
      -1.4860974183621125,
      -0.4761862938570099,
      -0.17274087438710817,
      0.15333003506997528,
      -0.11203395951200573,
      -0.06086025025885053,
      -0.23101922094863162
    ],
    "alpha": 0.007111796064792104,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0007993973261775611,
    "iterations": 199,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 369.93569154007224
  },
  {
    "study": "crime",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 56,
    "testRows": 28,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.185379670402847,
        0.29816999049757387,
        0.17170360839296026,
        0.7733293373651582,
        13.802949603433943,
        2018.5,
        -3.174863268141764,
        0.1359754912416539,
        0.11413603670773766
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9187376472712379,
        0.02814616061425858,
        0.021603833137539986,
        0.023862715496554842,
        0.3197611407020714,
        0.5,
        0.21955040114973207,
        0.03957269167251599,
        0.03421329250755867
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14285714285714285,
        "East of England": 0.21428571428571427,
        "London": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North East": 0.07142857142857142,
        "North West": 0.10714285714285714,
        "South East": 0.14285714285714285,
        "South West": 0.07142857142857142,
        "West Midlands": 0.10714285714285714,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07142857142857142
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.042953332255445294,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 62791.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.126298073358927,
      0.1075404948255157,
      -0.7041987274735891,
      -0.3894439161525171,
      -0.03977166861547365,
      -0.08501767143969771,
      0.012900573145287735,
      0.4477196459948977,
      0.3495254469964254,
      -0.17073619384912397,
      -0.032957301186912626,
      -1.8114349981742868,
      -0.46366288831486346,
      -0.17438279717950267,
      0.15096171995457425,
      -0.12930819760948228,
      -0.08676189261775065,
      -0.1802103085990349
    ],
    "alpha": 0.009149338058782366,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.001633113760685386,
    "iterations": 179,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 376.3939616031605
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 87,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044689,
        0.29920391808932556,
        0.17079285224447355,
        0.7625708708131262,
        13.737883699822437,
        2019.6666666666667,
        -3.219290813523541
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516748,
        0.028192571222679368,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02958088499169459,
        0.32971620879420865,
        1.699673171197594,
        0.22317186825363872
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04168797553357214,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.156624797806697,
      0.3126690298392531,
      -0.5994337273758916,
      -0.37492584129497264,
      -0.02420812681876881,
      -0.20923199498438577,
      -0.050043138004078794,
      0.419469125713058,
      -0.05025949355781884,
      -1.793105498318829,
      -0.3528446570252654,
      -0.15905025996811006,
      0.048977927932725006,
      -0.1497025669412268,
      -0.06920039256229495,
      -0.008421297972978874
    ],
    "alpha": 0.016286044511583355,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0027612383884786746,
    "iterations": 79,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 607.5788929809612
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 87,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044689,
        0.29920391808932556,
        0.17079285224447355,
        0.7625708708131262,
        13.737883699822437,
        2019.6666666666667,
        0.13289504288674325,
        0.10963876572378037
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516748,
        0.028192571222679368,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02958088499169459,
        0.32971620879420865,
        1.699673171197594,
        0.03966434554983625,
        0.03403665743862103
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04168797553357214,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3741622384229664,
      0.10549780041657116,
      -0.3718179435442144,
      -0.25040796135852006,
      -0.010358871896956385,
      -0.12933038292043783,
      -0.021626356967250026,
      0.24151204475760904,
      0.0852939789886731,
      0.11060444104824686,
      0.6989008252836909,
      -0.7754827618815069,
      -0.2620183535156461,
      0.530165682383622,
      -0.09719619866235234,
      -0.13890886515585377,
      -0.0005022604482393661
    ],
    "alpha": 0.030660457197229814,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0005294825640025767,
    "iterations": 107,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 634.5973537172057
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 87,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044689,
        0.29920391808932556,
        0.17079285224447355,
        0.7625708708131262,
        13.737883699822437,
        2019.6666666666667,
        0.13289504288674325,
        0.10963876572378037,
        2.054625122029708
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516748,
        0.028192571222679368,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02958088499169459,
        0.32971620879420865,
        1.699673171197594,
        0.03966434554983625,
        0.03403665743862103,
        0.38174259228500673
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04168797553357214,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.379180298205184,
      0.10865022245646995,
      -0.3477396457761113,
      -0.2321095096725243,
      -0.009885427389260681,
      -0.1297235988194829,
      -0.015513044360138546,
      0.21081620337514792,
      0.10251462064786696,
      0.019004756312346365,
      0.11607791242450034,
      0.7366054182395378,
      -0.7672496453444193,
      -0.25792636487755755,
      0.5291072157477424,
      -0.09042763347170513,
      -0.13842431016920723,
      -0.0037522325364788235
    ],
    "alpha": 0.030607560581896294,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0003664025686924099,
    "iterations": 122,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 634.5255690954043
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 87,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044689,
        0.29920391808932556,
        0.17079285224447355,
        0.7625708708131262,
        13.737883699822437,
        2019.6666666666667,
        0.13289504288674325,
        0.10963876572378037,
        2.054625122029708,
        0.2262711327917866
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516748,
        0.028192571222679368,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02958088499169459,
        0.32971620879420865,
        1.699673171197594,
        0.03966434554983625,
        0.03403665743862103,
        0.38174259228500673,
        0.04507193885155494
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04168797553357214,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.38342235685119,
      0.10811332527737348,
      -0.3545986367791104,
      -0.24000733903042273,
      -0.007362446592322591,
      -0.13011779662689404,
      -0.015808888027202227,
      0.20502276402413722,
      0.10038583630223219,
      0.0188759724840506,
      0.013635857552719226,
      0.11923502009115003,
      0.7443670861050848,
      -0.7642157723818694,
      -0.2525434422645274,
      0.5388228284421543,
      -0.08453077246900767,
      -0.13560082115959027,
      -0.0028848879503566805
    ],
    "alpha": 0.030608383047120952,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0007818303365563725,
    "iterations": 142,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 634.5213468332905
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 87,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044689,
        0.29920391808932556,
        0.17079285224447355,
        0.7625708708131262,
        13.737883699822437,
        2019.6666666666667,
        -3.219290813523541,
        0.13289504288674325,
        0.10963876572378037,
        2.054625122029708,
        0.2262711327917866
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516748,
        0.028192571222679368,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02958088499169459,
        0.32971620879420865,
        1.699673171197594,
        0.22317186825363872,
        0.03966434554983625,
        0.03403665743862103,
        0.38174259228500673,
        0.04507193885155494
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04168797553357214,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.27201860371432,
      0.16537011149529135,
      -0.727371334136626,
      -0.5018491083605996,
      0.05143861643013788,
      -0.15320305121701205,
      0.026252100776592884,
      0.42247017360680156,
      0.03525893598234894,
      -0.08500628332795766,
      0.08705122301625273,
      0.2588650628833937,
      0.07969851823590379,
      -1.461795768917605,
      -0.4164396233809442,
      -0.05524966156985433,
      0.34738037186232135,
      0.029509421560096838,
      -0.02166535943181355,
      -0.077925642958185
    ],
    "alpha": 0.011663631372956966,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0007976353992938359,
    "iterations": 173,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 593.4832737774229
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 87,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044689,
        0.29920391808932556,
        0.17079285224447355,
        0.7625708708131262,
        13.737883699822437,
        2019.6666666666667,
        -3.219290813523541,
        0.13289504288674325,
        0.10963876572378037,
        2.054625122029708
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516748,
        0.028192571222679368,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02958088499169459,
        0.32971620879420865,
        1.699673171197594,
        0.22317186825363872,
        0.03966434554983625,
        0.03403665743862103,
        0.38174259228500673
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04168797553357214,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1995709104277497,
      0.17099851294602486,
      -0.5859575799238705,
      -0.345906704539212,
      0.0035230778825249107,
      -0.14425808197762044,
      0.030079687482336838,
      0.39880796234019217,
      0.15322929507086647,
      -0.037928692406252205,
      0.08519364556430131,
      0.025298189415755283,
      -1.4848748348825238,
      -0.4992130680890993,
      -0.1665228406556506,
      0.1842034772405412,
      -0.08737461799193802,
      -0.08310749806132349,
      -0.09167358404751112
    ],
    "alpha": 0.012639762180096445,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.001270461532614622,
    "iterations": 169,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 597.0807858414069
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 87,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044689,
        0.29920391808932556,
        0.17079285224447355,
        0.7625708708131262,
        13.737883699822437,
        2019.6666666666667,
        -3.219290813523541,
        0.13289504288674325,
        0.10963876572378037
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516748,
        0.028192571222679368,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02958088499169459,
        0.32971620879420865,
        1.699673171197594,
        0.22317186825363872,
        0.03966434554983625,
        0.03403665743862103
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04168797553357214,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.186504856122016,
      0.15569159680360506,
      -0.6800751789744699,
      -0.41930149205689216,
      0.0003363927204758559,
      -0.1412871435393312,
      0.0008567849366711804,
      0.3810405625964323,
      0.2934785168410894,
      -0.11149490489601764,
      0.006290043961849829,
      -1.5564860329225656,
      -0.5428502899467175,
      -0.18763650508878205,
      0.20542134683730004,
      -0.11224271759901508,
      -0.08853499270046297,
      -0.07175425218664945
    ],
    "alpha": 0.013631671364651935,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00036119960620706814,
    "iterations": 173,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 600.1939121518221
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 116,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044691,
        0.29920391808932545,
        0.17079285224447355,
        0.7574807155567824,
        13.728333395003345,
        2020.5,
        -3.2428813370785075
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516745,
        0.028192571222679375,
        0.021768255996955,
        0.030093459997353102,
        0.3226689067447044,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.22685555265454768
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04085030979841587,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60461.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1592772304670396,
      0.2931441783522487,
      -0.6018750687883031,
      -0.36602683122932644,
      -0.028509467737012146,
      -0.1759757043609101,
      -0.034891845007571864,
      0.4479726512620826,
      -0.07016825257543799,
      -1.87089930830868,
      -0.37105268725551765,
      -0.18051229911745761,
      0.015210385718761831,
      -0.12486981155878159,
      -0.09721822995052634,
      -0.025129115918739616
    ],
    "alpha": 0.01647432138104305,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0004267440358855148,
    "iterations": 90,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 808.0136332023493
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 116,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044691,
        0.29920391808932545,
        0.17079285224447355,
        0.7574807155567824,
        13.728333395003345,
        2020.5,
        0.1304804336951205,
        0.1066876937696386
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516745,
        0.028192571222679375,
        0.021768255996955,
        0.030093459997353102,
        0.3226689067447044,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.03928849319805145,
        0.033449819732207085
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04085030979841587,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60461.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3845869855626467,
      0.08646674897755796,
      -0.3701855432495699,
      -0.24805351281349583,
      0.010489843496506043,
      -0.10918660615619287,
      -0.0016270514191038267,
      0.2408554305570479,
      0.10290939855396969,
      0.09948919672341001,
      0.7519520052184526,
      -0.8539058075064947,
      -0.31291015960487745,
      0.5160102139649111,
      -0.05655911316655029,
      -0.1660508835292917,
      0.008103278570051754
    ],
    "alpha": 0.03156366455933132,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0005173543443761685,
    "iterations": 105,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 844.9608719200826
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 116,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044691,
        0.29920391808932545,
        0.17079285224447355,
        0.7574807155567824,
        13.728333395003345,
        2020.5,
        0.1304804336951205,
        0.1066876937696386,
        1.962276029304246
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516745,
        0.028192571222679375,
        0.021768255996955,
        0.030093459997353102,
        0.3226689067447044,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.03928849319805145,
        0.033449819732207085,
        0.4160470029962997
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04085030979841587,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60461.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3892652418860294,
      0.08691436915689549,
      -0.3476961702891131,
      -0.2307432336164631,
      0.01102858245348193,
      -0.1072928445158354,
      0.007821792435667135,
      0.21047511882122352,
      0.12253451452219735,
      0.019142572126501646,
      0.10529336168132558,
      0.7909139915891722,
      -0.8495649876879551,
      -0.31085405375143466,
      0.5150773704719097,
      -0.04985049897813632,
      -0.166052837275381,
      0.006179242908867768
    ],
    "alpha": 0.03151600888926972,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.002047281655513557,
    "iterations": 107,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 844.87978456676
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 116,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044691,
        0.29920391808932545,
        0.17079285224447355,
        0.7574807155567824,
        13.728333395003345,
        2020.5,
        0.1304804336951205,
        0.1066876937696386,
        1.962276029304246,
        0.2262711327917865
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516745,
        0.028192571222679375,
        0.021768255996955,
        0.030093459997353102,
        0.3226689067447044,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.03928849319805145,
        0.033449819732207085,
        0.4160470029962997,
        0.04507193885155493
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04085030979841587,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60461.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3752781001080705,
      0.08842358248596366,
      -0.3255147319770862,
      -0.2047979225720463,
      0.0031435845741474245,
      -0.10613324668313885,
      0.008958028192428065,
      0.23297559305677573,
      0.12623281439772324,
      0.019463746555413157,
      -0.04462039499359707,
      0.09488164566387239,
      0.7662993022845493,
      -0.8594573707070078,
      -0.3287117038946824,
      0.4830605203826607,
      -0.0695325619989865,
      -0.17609253265716432,
      0.0034420461111897747
    ],
    "alpha": 0.031469461404800635,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0008031781922865739,
    "iterations": 142,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 844.8195733930247
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 116,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044691,
        0.29920391808932545,
        0.17079285224447355,
        0.7574807155567824,
        13.728333395003345,
        2020.5,
        -3.2428813370785075,
        0.1304804336951205,
        0.1066876937696386,
        1.962276029304246,
        0.2262711327917865
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516745,
        0.028192571222679375,
        0.021768255996955,
        0.030093459997353102,
        0.3226689067447044,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.22685555265454768,
        0.03928849319805145,
        0.033449819732207085,
        0.4160470029962997,
        0.04507193885155493
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04085030979841587,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60461.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.245937359186017,
      0.14614821497514535,
      -0.6383466050674749,
      -0.4082616115321697,
      0.01154980047188826,
      -0.11183713737528707,
      0.04884392787413187,
      0.425212835246123,
      0.055746794916220276,
      -0.006380327323336606,
      0.0890876284073273,
      0.12317316728632437,
      0.042219566421012475,
      -1.463498151074008,
      -0.5095573891532852,
      -0.15010759851956404,
      0.24938775975243066,
      0.010643952155692154,
      -0.07600386164990226,
      -0.09454207742223326
    ],
    "alpha": 0.012541177446796078,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0006428533314531325,
    "iterations": 174,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 792.8071214728383
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 116,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044691,
        0.29920391808932545,
        0.17079285224447355,
        0.7574807155567824,
        13.728333395003345,
        2020.5,
        -3.2428813370785075,
        0.1304804336951205,
        0.1066876937696386,
        1.962276029304246
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516745,
        0.028192571222679375,
        0.021768255996955,
        0.030093459997353102,
        0.3226689067447044,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.22685555265454768,
        0.03928849319805145,
        0.033449819732207085,
        0.4160470029962997
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04085030979841587,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60461.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.20997436634108,
      0.14895781483343856,
      -0.5731739953187404,
      -0.3345357671362836,
      -0.009452207873174683,
      -0.10866436528270602,
      0.051651198955655155,
      0.41688265643790906,
      0.12008276078858514,
      0.006433166061694596,
      0.08893607694323839,
      0.015620195478338246,
      -1.488422308392993,
      -0.5469615450357034,
      -0.2028471613213138,
      0.16838887396132055,
      -0.04572107520860364,
      -0.10676975581140269,
      -0.10104539551552552
    ],
    "alpha": 0.012759325278305957,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0008473437239342784,
    "iterations": 177,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 793.9054902080752
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 116,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044691,
        0.29920391808932545,
        0.17079285224447355,
        0.7574807155567824,
        13.728333395003345,
        2020.5,
        -3.2428813370785075,
        0.1304804336951205,
        0.1066876937696386
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516745,
        0.028192571222679375,
        0.021768255996955,
        0.030093459997353102,
        0.3226689067447044,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.22685555265454768,
        0.03928849319805145,
        0.033449819732207085
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04085030979841587,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60461.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1970667851480483,
      0.14516408760640234,
      -0.666049548467112,
      -0.4081796118843709,
      -0.011032016802722063,
      -0.11646188334691639,
      0.007299075830399599,
      0.4003855953029769,
      0.2615585239643082,
      -0.07846552978021729,
      -0.005504817357091346,
      -1.5779107235837857,
      -0.5759025618245521,
      -0.21647070206789296,
      0.1885666985514522,
      -0.07124181587489425,
      -0.10945540242297185,
      -0.08566164316908069
    ],
    "alpha": 0.013702578401281109,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0004452942586142035,
    "iterations": 167,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 797.7919571414578
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 145,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044688,
        0.2992039180893256,
        0.17079285224447363,
        0.7562919538476495,
        13.7423944594035,
        2021.2,
        -3.26541219399138
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516743,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996954998,
        0.029687690927132842,
        0.31960221584217874,
        2.3151673805580413,
        0.23154282984102043
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039896358772382526,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1775408276953687,
      0.2696137392369766,
      -0.5693467434250312,
      -0.33061064496741177,
      -0.02225551420410564,
      -0.14991612885458064,
      -0.017844922450059243,
      0.4314261414583194,
      -0.08382806783221275,
      -1.6810245343307748,
      -0.40732448069374644,
      -0.19443634280619526,
      -0.024242581932259574,
      -0.15358038018407816,
      -0.10848128631137768,
      -0.032235395102707315
    ],
    "alpha": 0.017928550281401834,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0011558367828040786,
    "iterations": 83,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1013.2372851959155
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 145,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044688,
        0.2992039180893256,
        0.17079285224447363,
        0.7562919538476495,
        13.7423944594035,
        2021.2,
        0.12903166818014686,
        0.10491705059715356
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516743,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996954998,
        0.029687690927132842,
        0.31960221584217874,
        2.3151673805580413,
        0.03898953459138629,
        0.03296616146565502
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039896358772382526,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.4010042886201193,
      0.09272140353447789,
      -0.34853525677121805,
      -0.2213650225590046,
      0.0017681238112985849,
      -0.0998417687937048,
      -0.0071691386033840045,
      0.22898062997833465,
      0.11099542208546444,
      0.09392863048792541,
      0.7896092933370156,
      -0.8941877433256968,
      -0.33127112008538256,
      0.4902872377688494,
      -0.02589387344063833,
      -0.1758204478149534,
      0.012268948592186303
    ],
    "alpha": 0.030998952193791885,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.000678557778566304,
    "iterations": 119,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1052.0499162197123
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 145,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044688,
        0.2992039180893256,
        0.17079285224447363,
        0.7562919538476495,
        13.7423944594035,
        2021.2,
        0.12903166818014686,
        0.10491705059715356,
        1.9234843205227925
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516743,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996954998,
        0.029687690927132842,
        0.31960221584217874,
        2.3151673805580413,
        0.03898953459138629,
        0.03296616146565502,
        0.4305585604275871
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039896358772382526,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.404671668679868,
      0.095010492883735,
      -0.3309021344290125,
      -0.20838001683234286,
      0.001138880469785217,
      -0.0998640900332023,
      -0.0017447480168952371,
      0.20518231015342625,
      0.12518513154062927,
      0.014269908951933157,
      0.09830175249482662,
      0.8150228186682942,
      -0.8886748824275421,
      -0.3280317000908802,
      0.48924657841805186,
      -0.020881552091706012,
      -0.17577847663950905,
      0.011940337222210202
    ],
    "alpha": 0.03096697444310178,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0017691914334277859,
    "iterations": 126,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1051.987309739731
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 145,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044688,
        0.2992039180893256,
        0.17079285224447363,
        0.7562919538476495,
        13.7423944594035,
        2021.2,
        0.12903166818014686,
        0.10491705059715356,
        1.9234843205227925,
        0.2262711327917865
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516743,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996954998,
        0.029687690927132842,
        0.31960221584217874,
        2.3151673805580413,
        0.03898953459138629,
        0.03296616146565502,
        0.4305585604275871,
        0.045071938851554895
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039896358772382526,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3825011544669707,
      0.09599992591273869,
      -0.2982143203246402,
      -0.16908707646302465,
      -0.009829255185007477,
      -0.09764750417653921,
      0.0007693106761086115,
      0.24523147687300656,
      0.1272265747770715,
      0.013556079754796094,
      -0.06931733044393466,
      0.08202537013123469,
      0.7763641761956238,
      -0.9053192249257008,
      -0.35677916759202105,
      0.4391477822155302,
      -0.05292250227515251,
      -0.19174658052692428,
      0.007825467025520736
    ],
    "alpha": 0.030863529574463994,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0005010555581144044,
    "iterations": 140,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 1051.799642921934
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 145,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044688,
        0.2992039180893256,
        0.17079285224447363,
        0.7562919538476495,
        13.7423944594035,
        2021.2,
        -3.26541219399138,
        0.12903166818014686,
        0.10491705059715356,
        1.9234843205227925,
        0.2262711327917865
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516743,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996954998,
        0.029687690927132842,
        0.31960221584217874,
        2.3151673805580413,
        0.23154282984102043,
        0.03898953459138629,
        0.03296616146565502,
        0.4305585604275871,
        0.045071938851554895
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039896358772382526,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2634780538003643,
      0.14335560936108774,
      -0.5750520574264502,
      -0.34830256387388087,
      -0.012719688053741381,
      -0.09730553811804052,
      0.041146695879112426,
      0.41062335448815485,
      0.0622305716971193,
      -0.005425921454533732,
      0.09747401502831929,
      0.09786938636838527,
      0.02999107567816667,
      -1.3207472008771093,
      -0.5361761121219928,
      -0.15754132359479603,
      0.20968214758183884,
      0.002277425113749208,
      -0.09385801172102652,
      -0.10618835577307169
    ],
    "alpha": 0.013197449009025725,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.002594073072541159,
    "iterations": 163,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 992.1767722647925
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 145,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044688,
        0.2992039180893256,
        0.17079285224447363,
        0.7562919538476495,
        13.7423944594035,
        2021.2,
        -3.26541219399138,
        0.12903166818014686,
        0.10491705059715356,
        1.9234843205227925
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516743,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996954998,
        0.029687690927132842,
        0.31960221584217874,
        2.3151673805580413,
        0.23154282984102043,
        0.03898953459138629,
        0.03296616146565502,
        0.4305585604275871
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039896358772382526,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.234556474795852,
      0.14389542985003187,
      -0.525730870841543,
      -0.2912895650339269,
      -0.027600198067154004,
      -0.09438603039959191,
      0.04437893153826671,
      0.40374012890015704,
      0.12024352486218742,
      -6.571248058669512e-05,
      0.09552879100538458,
      0.008939930848486263,
      -1.3402728937156172,
      -0.5678898504857557,
      -0.20092593095829983,
      0.14541745347774607,
      -0.0436276514599939,
      -0.11872040185169086,
      -0.11077189065852375
    ],
    "alpha": 0.013324803709124571,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0015135974355421807,
    "iterations": 166,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 993.0128941367888
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 145,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044688,
        0.2992039180893256,
        0.17079285224447363,
        0.7562919538476495,
        13.7423944594035,
        2021.2,
        -3.26541219399138,
        0.12903166818014686,
        0.10491705059715356
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516743,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996954998,
        0.029687690927132842,
        0.31960221584217874,
        2.3151673805580413,
        0.23154282984102043,
        0.03898953459138629,
        0.03296616146565502
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.039896358772382526,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.221829977304969,
      0.12684517625460076,
      -0.6281891041028211,
      -0.3700543970896559,
      -0.02135377429828357,
      -0.0943017274833079,
      0.007243711190485622,
      0.3807213351031497,
      0.27979319463367014,
      -0.0867716119471735,
      -0.012778778818306323,
      -1.3856849844007793,
      -0.6181918259143105,
      -0.22777465127375007,
      0.17401677358141424,
      -0.07062089854958423,
      -0.12271546470890633,
      -0.0991900242765177
    ],
    "alpha": 0.014538754242693455,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0020008381113588653,
    "iterations": 144,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 998.6909516650084
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.314755387293098,
        0.2985251708064442,
        0.16990942394296063,
        0.7571046906420932,
        13.766508516242435,
        2021.2,
        -3.2379624935416706
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.966083300440528,
        0.029398331188948166,
        0.022023476122915137,
        0.03083865647969782,
        0.30665352708453447,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.2374796483729253
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.16,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04117756155225748,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2017469610182268,
      0.28161801773592665,
      -0.609407274253552,
      -0.34917136339209426,
      -0.006124653855124473,
      -0.15513834243964136,
      -0.018610268217059765,
      0.4465495040830223,
      -1.623689853526067,
      -0.3532604827391177,
      -0.12149154908291021,
      0.06805738652604759,
      -0.09621258723079368,
      -0.022592064988550632,
      0.057989430044925676
    ],
    "alpha": 0.017865011767151124,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.001127643355326166,
    "iterations": 73,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 875.557751495087
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.314755387293098,
        0.2985251708064442,
        0.16990942394296063,
        0.7571046906420932,
        13.766508516242435,
        2021.2,
        0.1288316535639869,
        0.10451878002387195
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.966083300440528,
        0.029398331188948166,
        0.022023476122915137,
        0.03083865647969782,
        0.30665352708453447,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.04173042183717252,
        0.03498732696911941
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.16,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04117756155225748,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3036227841362744,
      0.08265483965631625,
      -0.3882299509981413,
      -0.214647650104655,
      0.015128158485461998,
      -0.06051408458703509,
      -0.022842148234609953,
      0.47360049956670414,
      -0.13750364351515773,
      0.5777500340832227,
      -0.8620578664628793,
      -0.3566782515550208,
      0.37798881037016807,
      -0.11176241518604474,
      -0.28925704246341416,
      -0.032869775130300455
    ],
    "alpha": 0.027041597285593414,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0007246295975672724,
    "iterations": 99,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 900.8487757081206
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.314755387293098,
        0.2985251708064442,
        0.16990942394296063,
        0.7571046906420932,
        13.766508516242435,
        2021.2,
        0.1288316535639869,
        0.10451878002387195,
        1.9330211914465694
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.966083300440528,
        0.029398331188948166,
        0.022023476122915137,
        0.03083865647969782,
        0.30665352708453447,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.04173042183717252,
        0.03498732696911941,
        0.4532627240264847
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.16,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04117756155225748,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.302000571594814,
      0.07813561602208415,
      -0.4258295864043505,
      -0.2430806084490299,
      0.018001232469027868,
      -0.06001241892675842,
      -0.031911847680969,
      0.5135993298565507,
      -0.1553831156755189,
      -0.030455959601468928,
      0.5354483754579193,
      -0.8709390886865637,
      -0.3600782453147251,
      0.38730591686786225,
      -0.11449833505193377,
      -0.2807499208540935,
      -0.02496115663039828
    ],
    "alpha": 0.026938159653548836,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0010739496169049206,
    "iterations": 135,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 900.5979002624962
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.314755387293098,
        0.2985251708064442,
        0.16990942394296063,
        0.7571046906420932,
        13.766508516242435,
        2021.2,
        0.1288316535639869,
        0.10451878002387195,
        1.9330211914465694,
        0.22210722602367503
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.966083300440528,
        0.029398331188948166,
        0.022023476122915137,
        0.03083865647969782,
        0.30665352708453447,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.04173042183717252,
        0.03498732696911941,
        0.4532627240264847,
        0.04712537289505256
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.16,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04117756155225748,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3153415448090127,
      0.07427762580627428,
      -0.49914607994593674,
      -0.3249791521799994,
      0.043886235381509556,
      -0.06272015677747397,
      -0.03461500247444553,
      0.43367713540442554,
      -0.14921044225625962,
      -0.035765453766613164,
      0.1300643070322067,
      0.5619753627971095,
      -0.8824691578029773,
      -0.3471417128784317,
      0.44723470260686554,
      -0.09026894886505214,
      -0.2795043433312605,
      -0.04685321132245201
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02673382532665345,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0012522374430837032,
    "iterations": 142,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 900.0358969105437
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.314755387293098,
        0.2985251708064442,
        0.16990942394296063,
        0.7571046906420932,
        13.766508516242435,
        2021.2,
        -3.2379624935416706,
        0.1288316535639869,
        0.10451878002387195,
        1.9330211914465694,
        0.22210722602367503
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.966083300440528,
        0.029398331188948166,
        0.022023476122915137,
        0.03083865647969782,
        0.30665352708453447,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.2374796483729253,
        0.04173042183717252,
        0.03498732696911941,
        0.4532627240264847,
        0.04712537289505256
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.16,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04117756155225748,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.209829848496202,
      0.14134070595436526,
      -0.7281004304192159,
      -0.46103803331140275,
      0.03655601859574902,
      -0.10390951343404341,
      0.02141608202529132,
      0.42301868479269766,
      0.12716504892231648,
      -0.13377129064585022,
      0.0714037108911711,
      0.22974956373994326,
      -1.4052938983577936,
      -0.5542122531139368,
      -0.15095361002902974,
      0.25167480710393036,
      -0.031475954791697104,
      -0.11549201580025724,
      -0.12002238558510332
    ],
    "alpha": 0.012670864169525783,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.007278639638103728,
    "iterations": 164,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 854.9878584022829
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.314755387293098,
        0.2985251708064442,
        0.16990942394296063,
        0.7571046906420932,
        13.766508516242435,
        2021.2,
        -3.2379624935416706,
        0.1288316535639869,
        0.10451878002387195,
        1.9330211914465694
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.966083300440528,
        0.029398331188948166,
        0.022023476122915137,
        0.03083865647969782,
        0.30665352708453447,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.2374796483729253,
        0.04173042183717252,
        0.03498732696911941,
        0.4532627240264847
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.16,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04117756155225748,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1882183338003895,
      0.14636304901661035,
      -0.5926945369367989,
      -0.31211135806273127,
      -0.009016873433276784,
      -0.09756241226021933,
      0.025448926115557623,
      0.41102982470939037,
      0.2778670617611858,
      -0.14761792567160725,
      0.07957404620813815,
      -1.399464087594299,
      -0.5475031335555692,
      -0.1791738549224518,
      0.15289564176595083,
      -0.07648411985947146,
      -0.1259816270933534,
      -0.08183421705648963
    ],
    "alpha": 0.013372689744566452,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0009248717330552108,
    "iterations": 156,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 858.53543331246
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-East Midlands",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.314755387293098,
        0.2985251708064442,
        0.16990942394296063,
        0.7571046906420932,
        13.766508516242435,
        2021.2,
        -3.2379624935416706,
        0.1288316535639869,
        0.10451878002387195
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.966083300440528,
        0.029398331188948166,
        0.022023476122915137,
        0.03083865647969782,
        0.30665352708453447,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.2374796483729253,
        0.04173042183717252,
        0.03498732696911941
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East of England",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.16,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04117756155225748,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.191923111467252,
      0.1310932396707272,
      -0.6720224506652758,
      -0.37606731270151705,
      0.0009148675945473694,
      -0.094296826005189,
      0.0005839846028379472,
      0.382573193910529,
      0.3902866343523211,
      -0.19173734636268946,
      -1.372203163728807,
      -0.5910457115681235,
      -0.2007098351329134,
      0.19255042920242693,
      -0.08476648334295281,
      -0.11686205909640947,
      -0.05859803097417642
    ],
    "alpha": 0.014091848872101347,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.001373413689864293,
    "iterations": 137,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 861.4097889074652
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 115,
    "testRows": 6,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.354706767482365,
        0.299051331266735,
        0.16978110574729022,
        0.758904038871208,
        13.757462084842896,
        2021.2,
        -3.208907606123696
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9867603197489727,
        0.030586545768161475,
        0.020493118749501365,
        0.03090076724288378,
        0.2964275978614493,
        2.3151673805580435,
        0.24214010212124082
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.17391304347826086,
        "London": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North East": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North West": 0.17391304347826086,
        "South East": 0.17391304347826086,
        "South West": 0.08695652173913043,
        "West Midlands": 0.13043478260869565,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08695652173913043
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04262293102395047,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63752.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.0840473609511396,
      0.2710864018615631,
      -0.6465245822979807,
      -0.36824051530512864,
      -0.03156681294267034,
      -0.14131486629086346,
      -0.021558611577297708,
      0.4962416657899815,
      -1.9339160686085646,
      -0.4295763209210244,
      -0.17845517343041417,
      0.005146265914874167,
      -0.1664564346341632,
      -0.08868909659088459,
      -0.05101595092356367
    ],
    "alpha": 0.020352127126111053,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0012683934284771121,
    "iterations": 100,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 814.8598004449904
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 115,
    "testRows": 6,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.354706767482365,
        0.299051331266735,
        0.16978110574729022,
        0.758904038871208,
        13.757462084842896,
        2021.2,
        0.13410263480978046,
        0.10938849540838276
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9867603197489727,
        0.030586545768161475,
        0.020493118749501365,
        0.03090076724288378,
        0.2964275978614493,
        2.3151673805580435,
        0.04171425495194537,
        0.0349510180115933
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.17391304347826086,
        "London": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North East": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North West": 0.17391304347826086,
        "South East": 0.17391304347826086,
        "South West": 0.08695652173913043,
        "West Midlands": 0.13043478260869565,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08695652173913043
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04262293102395047,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63752.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.366029319541866,
      0.22661897558665736,
      -0.21143403439210645,
      0.05878414595655218,
      -0.07283107335992065,
      -0.03293710945878978,
      -0.027223033370673427,
      0.09656414358295749,
      0.22030520766580966,
      1.2276408611029381,
      -0.8169502372759484,
      -0.3486724170496609,
      0.36345325671442386,
      0.1002698002366599,
      -0.24274919734911116,
      0.0776572363447636
    ],
    "alpha": 0.0316437123888878,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.001803110153690202,
    "iterations": 105,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 839.8839520106093
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 115,
    "testRows": 6,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.354706767482365,
        0.299051331266735,
        0.16978110574729022,
        0.758904038871208,
        13.757462084842896,
        2021.2,
        0.13410263480978046,
        0.10938849540838276,
        1.9780013207994849
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9867603197489727,
        0.030586545768161475,
        0.020493118749501365,
        0.03090076724288378,
        0.2964275978614493,
        2.3151673805580435,
        0.04171425495194537,
        0.0349510180115933,
        0.44236468353335434
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.17391304347826086,
        "London": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North East": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North West": 0.17391304347826086,
        "South East": 0.17391304347826086,
        "South West": 0.08695652173913043,
        "West Midlands": 0.13043478260869565,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08695652173913043
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04262293102395047,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63752.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3750459958849928,
      0.2341572015895113,
      -0.16421459632024255,
      0.09184166454203936,
      -0.07585559981739452,
      -0.032688354094534744,
      -0.015586447352899014,
      0.036284560458238364,
      0.256108910679975,
      0.03419492451350323,
      1.295516479424607,
      -0.8032328841196283,
      -0.34141133066293045,
      0.3596594285872978,
      0.1159411321677332,
      -0.24339658936129002,
      0.07755839868069048
    ],
    "alpha": 0.031453831899366166,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0006109770347272357,
    "iterations": 131,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 839.5834428489529
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 115,
    "testRows": 6,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.354706767482365,
        0.299051331266735,
        0.16978110574729022,
        0.758904038871208,
        13.757462084842896,
        2021.2,
        0.13410263480978046,
        0.10938849540838276,
        1.9780013207994849,
        0.22692468656172182
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9867603197489727,
        0.030586545768161475,
        0.020493118749501365,
        0.03090076724288378,
        0.2964275978614493,
        2.3151673805580435,
        0.04171425495194537,
        0.0349510180115933,
        0.44236468353335434,
        0.048559734979574776
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.17391304347826086,
        "London": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North East": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North West": 0.17391304347826086,
        "South East": 0.17391304347826086,
        "South West": 0.08695652173913043,
        "West Midlands": 0.13043478260869565,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08695652173913043
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04262293102395047,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63752.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.559130181407354,
      0.3025962833870346,
      -0.3084883583031421,
      0.007203500799601663,
      -0.035601801687156966,
      -0.019063743082580284,
      -0.04334152360761556,
      -0.29462277290732497,
      0.24502020947969433,
      0.056113487795948866,
      0.5178942710959712,
      1.8271424084718138,
      -0.6344463980508375,
      -0.14449850845997642,
      0.6367474398711174,
      0.4134792994834235,
      -0.17894444596065398,
      0.1381161889343571
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02937656424839273,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0006587248251890511,
    "iterations": 177,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 835.512687305658
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 115,
    "testRows": 6,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.354706767482365,
        0.299051331266735,
        0.16978110574729022,
        0.758904038871208,
        13.757462084842896,
        2021.2,
        -3.208907606123696,
        0.13410263480978046,
        0.10938849540838276,
        1.9780013207994849,
        0.22692468656172182
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9867603197489727,
        0.030586545768161475,
        0.020493118749501365,
        0.03090076724288378,
        0.2964275978614493,
        2.3151673805580435,
        0.24214010212124082,
        0.04171425495194537,
        0.0349510180115933,
        0.44236468353335434,
        0.048559734979574776
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.17391304347826086,
        "London": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North East": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North West": 0.17391304347826086,
        "South East": 0.17391304347826086,
        "South West": 0.08695652173913043,
        "West Midlands": 0.13043478260869565,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08695652173913043
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04262293102395047,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63752.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.158958852350601,
      0.1147946990202649,
      -0.6477541078076912,
      -0.3789204406231872,
      -0.022951276624645533,
      -0.08928617265795907,
      0.039684900499562914,
      0.48729857978909524,
      0.1261145145578727,
      -0.058718659140384995,
      0.11513120702125282,
      0.08736130251601278,
      -1.6290068514090226,
      -0.5439471081842039,
      -0.12218012825884524,
      0.23176533729790255,
      -0.0218579124439576,
      -0.07597849176074414,
      -0.13339422138242463
    ],
    "alpha": 0.015139282793008784,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0016414667248703066,
    "iterations": 175,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 798.6998375591296
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 115,
    "testRows": 6,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.354706767482365,
        0.299051331266735,
        0.16978110574729022,
        0.758904038871208,
        13.757462084842896,
        2021.2,
        -3.208907606123696,
        0.13410263480978046,
        0.10938849540838276,
        1.9780013207994849
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9867603197489727,
        0.030586545768161475,
        0.020493118749501365,
        0.03090076724288378,
        0.2964275978614493,
        2.3151673805580435,
        0.24214010212124082,
        0.04171425495194537,
        0.0349510180115933,
        0.44236468353335434
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.17391304347826086,
        "London": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North East": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North West": 0.17391304347826086,
        "South East": 0.17391304347826086,
        "South West": 0.08695652173913043,
        "West Midlands": 0.13043478260869565,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08695652173913043
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04262293102395047,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63752.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1227359260208716,
      0.10065671659284012,
      -0.6323243610688662,
      -0.37389950238705416,
      -0.02876129657151903,
      -0.09266064141888465,
      0.04576523911901056,
      0.4964638625752432,
      0.18291611407294908,
      -0.06062729616197777,
      0.11275949418331327,
      -1.77612465775485,
      -0.5700008364734477,
      -0.1529279669255275,
      0.18189884484779179,
      -0.07584754561651949,
      -0.08439977983986653,
      -0.14821774129305704
    ],
    "alpha": 0.015175119168157308,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0008498069734411433,
    "iterations": 183,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 798.9075060746804
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-East of England",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 115,
    "testRows": 6,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.354706767482365,
        0.299051331266735,
        0.16978110574729022,
        0.758904038871208,
        13.757462084842896,
        2021.2,
        -3.208907606123696,
        0.13410263480978046,
        0.10938849540838276
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9867603197489727,
        0.030586545768161475,
        0.020493118749501365,
        0.03090076724288378,
        0.2964275978614493,
        2.3151673805580435,
        0.24214010212124082,
        0.04171425495194537,
        0.0349510180115933
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.17391304347826086,
        "London": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North East": 0.08695652173913043,
        "North West": 0.17391304347826086,
        "South East": 0.17391304347826086,
        "South West": 0.08695652173913043,
        "West Midlands": 0.13043478260869565,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08695652173913043
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04262293102395047,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63752.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1140451340658015,
      0.08672499870905444,
      -0.7471141468027728,
      -0.44535381832767656,
      -0.022391799068679188,
      -0.08942973311715562,
      0.005227432741016013,
      0.4601193289724357,
      0.3618332136165594,
      -0.15092709762816714,
      -1.7706849505146562,
      -0.6268776920194269,
      -0.1903225663533562,
      0.20902968718635706,
      -0.10134501848531786,
      -0.09360819314602027,
      -0.12947805537927873
    ],
    "alpha": 0.016968970623244997,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0020854425584510314,
    "iterations": 145,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 804.8093023465492
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.09045511748849,
        0.3027587157062666,
        0.17414790780886769,
        0.7595739222120195,
        13.711726834303438,
        2021.2,
        -3.4332419657735787
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.7974183710144324,
        0.017232109822640753,
        0.018150153451424948,
        0.024572439348992968,
        0.3076617115841679,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.1507776824918273
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.031420645902019144,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.4699437228910837,
      0.07204307838008267,
      -0.07567375130124707,
      -0.0799927727435832,
      0.008011911804141484,
      -0.08652762999304268,
      0.014760605929264078,
      0.2681486776907911,
      -0.012541114255198703,
      -0.24736460462488205,
      -0.06553268558984474,
      -0.022486638630212052,
      -0.041170906889591255,
      -0.1098165724535943,
      0.004212991873700857
    ],
    "alpha": 0.00982650654253242,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0021493704648862916,
    "iterations": 73,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 902.8095188285919
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.09045511748849,
        0.3027587157062666,
        0.17414790780886769,
        0.7595739222120195,
        13.711726834303438,
        2021.2,
        0.1307309438663049,
        0.10727719894607511
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.7974183710144324,
        0.017232109822640753,
        0.018150153451424948,
        0.024572439348992968,
        0.3076617115841679,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.03798133454213993,
        0.0322793189095239
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.031420645902019144,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.5032220036565667,
      0.03846237944710693,
      0.01650850690145501,
      -0.02776313640606983,
      0.01839573067302147,
      -0.0838887186024907,
      0.007614555541569239,
      -0.015020731262892361,
      0.27400262390446967,
      0.1300236913785503,
      -0.7945282216449102,
      -0.2483875824982563,
      0.4734248539163131,
      0.0010668483499731922,
      -0.14972148118378617,
      0.09504211401931839
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02927652636161811,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0005764997361330515,
    "iterations": 101,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 974.0949440290765
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.09045511748849,
        0.3027587157062666,
        0.17414790780886769,
        0.7595739222120195,
        13.711726834303438,
        2021.2,
        0.1307309438663049,
        0.10727719894607511,
        1.8576764236312473
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.7974183710144324,
        0.017232109822640753,
        0.018150153451424948,
        0.024572439348992968,
        0.3076617115841679,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.03798133454213993,
        0.0322793189095239,
        0.31949189181464327
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.031420645902019144,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.500488345776429,
      0.01858089229771417,
      0.01818847305344129,
      -0.03973636006258118,
      0.02641392060928213,
      -0.07949340304789031,
      -0.02349117559057956,
      0.07658341522383502,
      0.2066216014075296,
      -0.056008075625162,
      0.11052659336458623,
      -0.7829271794649797,
      -0.23781282941075862,
      0.46558389538450223,
      -0.02241613481084107,
      -0.1505868826686794,
      0.12058337342143222
    ],
    "alpha": 0.028731700663371697,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0012611247682706682,
    "iterations": 115,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 972.8556566602844
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.09045511748849,
        0.3027587157062666,
        0.17414790780886769,
        0.7595739222120195,
        13.711726834303438,
        2021.2,
        0.1307309438663049,
        0.10727719894607511,
        1.8576764236312473,
        0.23402081702969538
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.7974183710144324,
        0.017232109822640753,
        0.018150153451424948,
        0.024572439348992968,
        0.3076617115841679,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.03798133454213993,
        0.0322793189095239,
        0.31949189181464327,
        0.03303910703748321
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.031420645902019144,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.4386213179835092,
      0.01615351206344145,
      0.08590922257454986,
      0.06382381217436686,
      -0.001424331519056487,
      -0.0694462425989499,
      -0.01804552673351556,
      0.19962166359682926,
      0.2095061173804878,
      -0.061598353044216604,
      -0.15203208144039498,
      0.061883301775903204,
      -0.8313954134440719,
      -0.3209729574209592,
      0.31668323120091113,
      -0.11663588241949291,
      -0.20059411927199342,
      0.10890127232998521
    ],
    "alpha": 0.027997290740587443,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0018568440799085575,
    "iterations": 138,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 971.1905784980908
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.09045511748849,
        0.3027587157062666,
        0.17414790780886769,
        0.7595739222120195,
        13.711726834303438,
        2021.2,
        -3.4332419657735787,
        0.1307309438663049,
        0.10727719894607511,
        1.8576764236312473,
        0.23402081702969538
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.7974183710144324,
        0.017232109822640753,
        0.018150153451424948,
        0.024572439348992968,
        0.3076617115841679,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.1507776824918273,
        0.03798133454213993,
        0.0322793189095239,
        0.31949189181464327,
        0.03303910703748321
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.031420645902019144,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.4547529935671593,
      0.055081427532532375,
      -0.07455026863214372,
      -0.07342250247368655,
      -0.006799818279095431,
      -0.07618886214860665,
      0.031075659266641093,
      0.25446067567490327,
      0.010745757650284975,
      0.08967647953495635,
      0.0023960252787650076,
      -0.04928459890073266,
      0.001243493935456087,
      -0.3684703472455806,
      -0.13398591557625167,
      0.001878012147398354,
      -0.043544393035342625,
      -0.11476329586001043,
      -0.02480061925627185
    ],
    "alpha": 0.009471777942631978,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.004858113898931689,
    "iterations": 139,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 900.3919138268698
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.09045511748849,
        0.3027587157062666,
        0.17414790780886769,
        0.7595739222120195,
        13.711726834303438,
        2021.2,
        -3.4332419657735787,
        0.1307309438663049,
        0.10727719894607511,
        1.8576764236312473
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.7974183710144324,
        0.017232109822640753,
        0.018150153451424948,
        0.024572439348992968,
        0.3076617115841679,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.1507776824918273,
        0.03798133454213993,
        0.0322793189095239,
        0.31949189181464327
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.031420645902019144,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.475012067142176,
      0.0561304634725862,
      -0.09658330558876418,
      -0.10701915388310636,
      0.0018550327695265633,
      -0.07919024785023934,
      0.02953891280487049,
      0.2567539158616542,
      -0.031422103711325866,
      0.08869809845738061,
      0.004422785167206373,
      0.016104596065043913,
      -0.34674776214975367,
      -0.10534904902091732,
      0.04601731741609074,
      -0.011808854810352178,
      -0.09723945861382567,
      -0.021411481786142536
    ],
    "alpha": 0.009548575300631912,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00474159727261795,
    "iterations": 102,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 900.8913736315393
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-London",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.09045511748849,
        0.3027587157062666,
        0.17414790780886769,
        0.7595739222120195,
        13.711726834303438,
        2021.2,
        -3.4332419657735787,
        0.1307309438663049,
        0.10727719894607511
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.7974183710144324,
        0.017232109822640753,
        0.018150153451424948,
        0.024572439348992968,
        0.3076617115841679,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.1507776824918273,
        0.03798133454213993,
        0.0322793189095239
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.031420645902019144,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.475027762116991,
      0.054528641015076096,
      -0.09635152435657296,
      -0.10794584633683815,
      0.002529252941090294,
      -0.07882625571527048,
      0.027043256733650857,
      0.2561284129112638,
      -0.02398285322156937,
      0.08375296383267532,
      0.015005697671856381,
      -0.3468579292363778,
      -0.10471823749000173,
      0.04670826559300528,
      -0.013228999528542134,
      -0.09724238030902692,
      -0.019001861854011447
    ],
    "alpha": 0.009551678270113908,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0008678986679934948,
    "iterations": 111,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 900.9128344155338
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.239232684260009,
        0.29876147301589995,
        0.17066584650831704,
        0.7551800798940262,
        13.751715044286415,
        2021.2,
        -3.251887480388385
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9595928997486024,
        0.02900815626660355,
        0.022484961657722763,
        0.029681944022319252,
        0.32533448160915757,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.23465919518804834
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04042678965170775,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1601784467275076,
      0.27166759521461725,
      -0.5907707235847329,
      -0.3475093007452169,
      -0.023903217941384943,
      -0.15371320949160563,
      -0.012975643785290132,
      0.45005893673258224,
      -0.08408538321668658,
      -1.7129542059153582,
      -0.18677209411256449,
      -0.017171574460141868,
      -0.15906867281738143,
      -0.10385222625756199,
      -0.030536471858242254
    ],
    "alpha": 0.01840578537139377,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.004987040698174131,
    "iterations": 74,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 955.7323396789831
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.239232684260009,
        0.29876147301589995,
        0.17066584650831704,
        0.7551800798940262,
        13.751715044286415,
        2021.2,
        0.12467264643295521,
        0.10069573772773063
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9595928997486024,
        0.02900815626660355,
        0.022484961657722763,
        0.029681944022319252,
        0.32533448160915757,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.03640467814239018,
        0.029813458149388662
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04042678965170775,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.4204049392570357,
      0.08490349259436845,
      -0.38858200613981264,
      -0.21923561783478082,
      0.017038811213558977,
      -0.08884022295524525,
      -0.0032294455336422108,
      0.35383281651913456,
      -0.03191177346434685,
      0.0803496216972765,
      0.7175346957179286,
      -0.32751091917945147,
      0.46896630746561885,
      -0.042320245993871936,
      -0.21153672552238129,
      0.008307760690615434
    ],
    "alpha": 0.03147987504516234,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.000989254936875054,
    "iterations": 102,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 991.2311889567625
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.239232684260009,
        0.29876147301589995,
        0.17066584650831704,
        0.7551800798940262,
        13.751715044286415,
        2021.2,
        0.12467264643295521,
        0.10069573772773063,
        1.9113843648587368
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9595928997486024,
        0.02900815626660355,
        0.022484961657722763,
        0.029681944022319252,
        0.32533448160915757,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.03640467814239018,
        0.029813458149388662,
        0.43904203744249753
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04042678965170775,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.426074380813794,
      0.08888383460093496,
      -0.3575311221718727,
      -0.19539042862501313,
      0.016830791302532726,
      -0.08843515319688475,
      0.006720926093262047,
      0.317550564627539,
      -0.011818875487332008,
      0.025718803610685882,
      0.08790214204343944,
      0.7605992010760895,
      -0.32255902873230585,
      0.4662509067438054,
      -0.033948548890191166,
      -0.2124616257558282,
      0.007415578191350305
    ],
    "alpha": 0.03138650862219289,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0014736088977410076,
    "iterations": 127,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 991.0484274319344
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.239232684260009,
        0.29876147301589995,
        0.17066584650831704,
        0.7551800798940262,
        13.751715044286415,
        2021.2,
        0.12467264643295521,
        0.10069573772773063,
        1.9113843648587368,
        0.22280756526182088
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9595928997486024,
        0.02900815626660355,
        0.022484961657722763,
        0.029681944022319252,
        0.32533448160915757,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.03640467814239018,
        0.029813458149388662,
        0.43904203744249753,
        0.044805619651506895
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04042678965170775,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3733635961171546,
      0.09244602502106872,
      -0.2830502248051209,
      -0.09987102735252865,
      -0.004734932072124656,
      -0.0815029796331839,
      0.013603275474085592,
      0.41452357584332666,
      -0.02233314533200886,
      0.02721896644687542,
      -0.15334937971335091,
      0.05084414192225567,
      0.6679417437947728,
      -0.3885036574049128,
      0.3499496117687578,
      -0.10564583571032946,
      -0.2548515646316831,
      -0.002954901877819708
    ],
    "alpha": 0.030969896193813084,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0009283845950941294,
    "iterations": 131,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 990.2549530585462
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.239232684260009,
        0.29876147301589995,
        0.17066584650831704,
        0.7551800798940262,
        13.751715044286415,
        2021.2,
        -3.251887480388385,
        0.12467264643295521,
        0.10069573772773063,
        1.9113843648587368,
        0.22280756526182088
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9595928997486024,
        0.02900815626660355,
        0.022484961657722763,
        0.029681944022319252,
        0.32533448160915757,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.23465919518804834,
        0.03640467814239018,
        0.029813458149388662,
        0.43904203744249753,
        0.044805619651506895
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04042678965170775,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2605346509036806,
      0.13583705297571833,
      -0.6235664744374645,
      -0.3729817566961242,
      -0.002394156208060618,
      -0.09553070179016224,
      0.04615421101855554,
      0.4319712192276137,
      0.1292761070111043,
      -0.08970969323885229,
      0.10472755773335432,
      0.11995265808872659,
      0.027154046490441616,
      -1.3971400732806174,
      -0.13043514781366472,
      0.22028839220966515,
      -0.0025308392348010076,
      -0.10119718853786792,
      -0.1046885929824074
    ],
    "alpha": 0.012947127981808932,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0036958971476121023,
    "iterations": 157,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 932.9345288576411
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.239232684260009,
        0.29876147301589995,
        0.17066584650831704,
        0.7551800798940262,
        13.751715044286415,
        2021.2,
        -3.251887480388385,
        0.12467264643295521,
        0.10069573772773063,
        1.9113843648587368
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9595928997486024,
        0.02900815626660355,
        0.022484961657722763,
        0.029681944022319252,
        0.32533448160915757,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.23465919518804834,
        0.03640467814239018,
        0.029813458149388662,
        0.43904203744249753
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04042678965170775,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.225115394093495,
      0.13717836497659183,
      -0.5595374593624818,
      -0.2955558960212919,
      -0.018164862660883182,
      -0.09032385538841171,
      0.05091708305574788,
      0.4197061673675084,
      0.20682431895348885,
      -0.09346367426863031,
      0.1040647101638431,
      0.0015692861420525384,
      -1.4075809494569484,
      -0.18690624505380657,
      0.14011367485548354,
      -0.059121494033751776,
      -0.13695543556157092,
      -0.11015320662942511
    ],
    "alpha": 0.013114105991260882,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0007514910426639705,
    "iterations": 165,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 934.0099122328559
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-North East",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.239232684260009,
        0.29876147301589995,
        0.17066584650831704,
        0.7551800798940262,
        13.751715044286415,
        2021.2,
        -3.251887480388385,
        0.12467264643295521,
        0.10069573772773063
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9595928997486024,
        0.02900815626660355,
        0.022484961657722763,
        0.029681944022319252,
        0.32533448160915757,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.23465919518804834,
        0.03640467814239018,
        0.029813458149388662
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04042678965170775,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.215251442015946,
      0.11924020833184942,
      -0.6698187661235184,
      -0.3827660668471449,
      -0.014432371310968844,
      -0.09133566417555403,
      0.009924994923057033,
      0.3955055200358168,
      0.3585456574748704,
      -0.17170026842436611,
      -0.021890704578983095,
      -1.4571720976570612,
      -0.21264258085870644,
      0.1712287472674626,
      -0.08646860307683979,
      -0.1388339975589171,
      -0.09731627169015385
    ],
    "alpha": 0.014521563667860744,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0007018738030177648,
    "iterations": 153,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 940.261141945985
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.13096100267525,
        0.2978295749238679,
        0.1712401415005677,
        0.7529360878769937,
        13.728520162938535,
        2021.2,
        -3.235506456991149
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9240579711305885,
        0.029598991089463983,
        0.02280296398672819,
        0.029605005048120407,
        0.33881212162701607,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.24043150765683366
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041622909046689985,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58631.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1481032205457615,
      0.321178074960514,
      -0.6102096110815866,
      -0.34392473502443355,
      -0.024476987251133547,
      -0.17907659588456548,
      -0.019494926281654473,
      0.44165887551157074,
      -0.0822884595532432,
      -1.8066015120741954,
      -0.4439557638023289,
      -0.025975986179817355,
      -0.1403317623106459,
      -0.12480060026497755,
      -0.04862735401556028
    ],
    "alpha": 0.01365806354413833,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0009683143772111045,
    "iterations": 90,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 853.1153740333341
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.13096100267525,
        0.2978295749238679,
        0.1712401415005677,
        0.7529360878769937,
        13.728520162938535,
        2021.2,
        0.12346010110439493,
        0.09956083421091556
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9240579711305885,
        0.029598991089463983,
        0.02280296398672819,
        0.029605005048120407,
        0.33881212162701607,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.0366187774829692,
        0.03041640413656725
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041622909046689985,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58631.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.40129809140022,
      0.1936152650815454,
      -0.45153917236806623,
      -0.3168976104875974,
      0.016092880599542114,
      -0.18338498435084707,
      -0.0003026294156990312,
      0.19458311741251505,
      0.13290932798253627,
      0.10213545158333993,
      0.34946346484307866,
      -0.9777332498089758,
      0.4973530796114688,
      -0.01674005736530463,
      -0.19266895217366672,
      -0.053189378923059284
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02411609250656589,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0003897356163490928,
    "iterations": 123,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 887.6079585256072
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.13096100267525,
        0.2978295749238679,
        0.1712401415005677,
        0.7529360878769937,
        13.728520162938535,
        2021.2,
        0.12346010110439493,
        0.09956083421091556,
        1.9144387541376802
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9240579711305885,
        0.029598991089463983,
        0.02280296398672819,
        0.029605005048120407,
        0.33881212162701607,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.0366187774829692,
        0.03041640413656725,
        0.44340479597186766
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041622909046689985,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58631.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3868376956961335,
      0.19403073033823975,
      -0.5161217950067015,
      -0.3623740479899801,
      0.016510881660124113,
      -0.1842744482921665,
      -0.019591502763610553,
      0.2571989403591837,
      0.10207306329745933,
      -0.053164237726172126,
      0.08685604713235376,
      0.25274823677658126,
      -1.0015028538576378,
      0.4967186644127705,
      -0.03113990326982315,
      -0.19369815686059885,
      -0.05300820926125232
    ],
    "alpha": 0.023835403504909324,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.000390041267600606,
    "iterations": 116,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 886.8483174617858
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.13096100267525,
        0.2978295749238679,
        0.1712401415005677,
        0.7529360878769937,
        13.728520162938535,
        2021.2,
        0.12346010110439493,
        0.09956083421091556,
        1.9144387541376802,
        0.22317509971402488
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9240579711305885,
        0.029598991089463983,
        0.02280296398672819,
        0.029605005048120407,
        0.33881212162701607,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.0366187774829692,
        0.03041640413656725,
        0.44340479597186766,
        0.04700562409540109
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041622909046689985,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58631.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3638927322062924,
      0.19606727075934577,
      -0.4801859375005142,
      -0.31771151550540444,
      0.0034277652545549016,
      -0.18076603217088705,
      -0.017256582286839593,
      0.2947301104971248,
      0.1116091599988214,
      -0.057321905929069696,
      -0.08014909557031077,
      0.06991442903203281,
      0.21185536527333912,
      -1.0245649453123475,
      0.4423307712558207,
      -0.06458790498117911,
      -0.21070520323631187,
      -0.05781379843902506
    ],
    "alpha": 0.023695237272548627,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.002430108011202621,
    "iterations": 146,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 886.5823162955754
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.13096100267525,
        0.2978295749238679,
        0.1712401415005677,
        0.7529360878769937,
        13.728520162938535,
        2021.2,
        -3.235506456991149,
        0.12346010110439493,
        0.09956083421091556,
        1.9144387541376802,
        0.22317509971402488
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9240579711305885,
        0.029598991089463983,
        0.02280296398672819,
        0.029605005048120407,
        0.33881212162701607,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.24043150765683366,
        0.0366187774829692,
        0.03041640413656725,
        0.44340479597186766,
        0.04700562409540109
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041622909046689985,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58631.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2322296133466533,
      0.19477838489933808,
      -0.6660631542523255,
      -0.4156673212965262,
      -0.005704732736664927,
      -0.14001341869249034,
      0.032666496996745224,
      0.3895589438904083,
      0.1074706579380236,
      0.03967288907478301,
      0.03730575039457359,
      0.054910773507144336,
      0.030373895711225167,
      -1.438192030164217,
      -0.6884713032479393,
      0.22719091661314877,
      -0.014014398623211018,
      -0.10911123190674721,
      -0.13439919691332902
    ],
    "alpha": 0.009383249324428473,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.001034191778550225,
    "iterations": 188,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 831.9699143249084
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.13096100267525,
        0.2978295749238679,
        0.1712401415005677,
        0.7529360878769937,
        13.728520162938535,
        2021.2,
        -3.235506456991149,
        0.12346010110439493,
        0.09956083421091556,
        1.9144387541376802
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9240579711305885,
        0.029598991089463983,
        0.02280296398672819,
        0.029605005048120407,
        0.33881212162701607,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.24043150765683366,
        0.0366187774829692,
        0.03041640413656725,
        0.44340479597186766
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041622909046689985,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58631.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2179208411233495,
      0.19604732651207873,
      -0.640111723451344,
      -0.38458289338860735,
      -0.014374935512753767,
      -0.13795855404933258,
      0.03411601614348427,
      0.38588459768705546,
      0.13403556508705247,
      0.04735206574752623,
      0.03395939457660622,
      0.01954343582759343,
      -1.45007799891402,
      -0.7087800370462592,
      0.19323521788881182,
      -0.03712145287574626,
      -0.1220822828825156,
      -0.1373911956853847
    ],
    "alpha": 0.009401971927585816,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0019219920984377727,
    "iterations": 159,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 832.2678311265456
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-North West",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.13096100267525,
        0.2978295749238679,
        0.1712401415005677,
        0.7529360878769937,
        13.728520162938535,
        2021.2,
        -3.235506456991149,
        0.12346010110439493,
        0.09956083421091556
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9240579711305885,
        0.029598991089463983,
        0.02280296398672819,
        0.029605005048120407,
        0.33881212162701607,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.24043150765683366,
        0.0366187774829692,
        0.03041640413656725
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "South East": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041622909046689985,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58631.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2132402669077194,
      0.19605757393893067,
      -0.6765195704333331,
      -0.41155270013469064,
      -0.013395928324522096,
      -0.1392239495706857,
      0.021214971575596195,
      0.3776720098291354,
      0.17567977908393703,
      0.028516638989004136,
      0.011898240649262948,
      -1.4729738993852677,
      -0.7279174429905486,
      0.20027638440308465,
      -0.044669756265470394,
      -0.12422960059629233,
      -0.13449614954176933
    ],
    "alpha": 0.00954962380494582,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.002049725078562693,
    "iterations": 169,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 832.974473388391
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.2401403701988984,
        0.2994213432476395,
        0.16925477139005068,
        0.7543815528045443,
        13.724831226809352,
        2021.2,
        -3.2691116753653686
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.011302326388353,
        0.030056180157786716,
        0.02260040552893389,
        0.03022118633891908,
        0.3304514787796193,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.2506068987911973
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.040552114926564506,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 55362.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1538373778297393,
      0.2811838382849609,
      -0.6214329729996528,
      -0.3379011003017657,
      -0.014944787815711002,
      -0.13124438985070597,
      -0.00872362823915868,
      0.47822914085476315,
      -0.08840746074733365,
      -1.75886859349627,
      -0.4091750262325576,
      -0.20380651585679774,
      -0.15156012947541225,
      -0.11061219983365546,
      -0.03824107752246325
    ],
    "alpha": 0.018420121635426234,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0003017980732816405,
    "iterations": 93,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 863.2316229559714
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.2401403701988984,
        0.2994213432476395,
        0.16925477139005068,
        0.7543815528045443,
        13.724831226809352,
        2021.2,
        0.1339068018213965,
        0.10878773243244998
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.011302326388353,
        0.030056180157786716,
        0.02260040552893389,
        0.03022118633891908,
        0.3304514787796193,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.03886791925960898,
        0.03312172399306886
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.040552114926564506,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 55362.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3639549728459475,
      0.03533746356134107,
      -0.3509490205777725,
      -0.2728936302339098,
      -0.04922011794318278,
      -0.09259152811689414,
      -0.0005070928382790551,
      0.18784848588471603,
      0.23902292181975088,
      0.1416856000868494,
      0.9141036238989387,
      -0.9903138558972103,
      -0.3227263734103804,
      0.061649391403860415,
      -0.1343796930609034,
      -0.04119869823962241
    ],
    "alpha": 0.03222784153038495,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0010722069123832944,
    "iterations": 113,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 897.6289354619248
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.2401403701988984,
        0.2994213432476395,
        0.16925477139005068,
        0.7543815528045443,
        13.724831226809352,
        2021.2,
        0.1339068018213965,
        0.10878773243244998,
        1.9607093232394661
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.011302326388353,
        0.030056180157786716,
        0.02260040552893389,
        0.03022118633891908,
        0.3304514787796193,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.03886791925960898,
        0.03312172399306886,
        0.4436460238243784
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.040552114926564506,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 55362.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3775148977270595,
      0.04302099470806362,
      -0.29250711235417753,
      -0.23534420624586783,
      -0.05053187613935499,
      -0.09466185838318332,
      0.01706016688289646,
      0.10512771909116031,
      0.2911257073942284,
      0.045337699919908846,
      0.15501628561312347,
      0.9905625474225103,
      -0.9741235139506209,
      -0.31275860748230816,
      0.07459305149790542,
      -0.13173015635985927,
      -0.04235391994711761
    ],
    "alpha": 0.03193431945364095,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0008349302661922849,
    "iterations": 121,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 897.1144267718316
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.2401403701988984,
        0.2994213432476395,
        0.16925477139005068,
        0.7543815528045443,
        13.724831226809352,
        2021.2,
        0.1339068018213965,
        0.10878773243244998,
        1.9607093232394661,
        0.2312083189056345
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.011302326388353,
        0.030056180157786716,
        0.02260040552893389,
        0.03022118633891908,
        0.3304514787796193,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.03886791925960898,
        0.03312172399306886,
        0.4436460238243784,
        0.0457119371399737
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.040552114926564506,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 55362.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.4027202116774657,
      0.04037987343006494,
      -0.329328375903468,
      -0.2869775760803082,
      -0.041107188897998824,
      -0.09712803702530362,
      0.014215774532619088,
      0.040437329325897796,
      0.303635631629796,
      0.04894236021874651,
      0.08966520012001601,
      0.1788383309589672,
      1.051912022395702,
      -0.954747413563123,
      -0.27437694043176597,
      0.12244324884145037,
      -0.10847531810889469,
      -0.039969754231939984
    ],
    "alpha": 0.031832765187478775,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.001234449096301803,
    "iterations": 139,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 896.8664707213104
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.2401403701988984,
        0.2994213432476395,
        0.16925477139005068,
        0.7543815528045443,
        13.724831226809352,
        2021.2,
        -3.2691116753653686,
        0.1339068018213965,
        0.10878773243244998,
        1.9607093232394661,
        0.2312083189056345
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.011302326388353,
        0.030056180157786716,
        0.02260040552893389,
        0.03022118633891908,
        0.3304514787796193,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.2506068987911973,
        0.03886791925960898,
        0.03312172399306886,
        0.4436460238243784,
        0.0457119371399737
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.040552114926564506,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 55362.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.250300931863349,
      0.15111972132759655,
      -0.5942863774902784,
      -0.371705204088395,
      -0.026248430571452982,
      -0.08884580368901528,
      0.04006952623886569,
      0.4384011127891285,
      -0.03359838405813743,
      0.06012073418723563,
      0.10573219004586179,
      0.14770961036852928,
      0.04748826166163898,
      -1.2148092346571835,
      -0.5217351395208122,
      -0.1303910302246766,
      0.05644358917619483,
      -0.07002028558667207,
      -0.1086435157469659
    ],
    "alpha": 0.014308078834823728,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0009740137560578617,
    "iterations": 184,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 848.3713341117406
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.2401403701988984,
        0.2994213432476395,
        0.16925477139005068,
        0.7543815528045443,
        13.724831226809352,
        2021.2,
        -3.2691116753653686,
        0.1339068018213965,
        0.10878773243244998,
        1.9607093232394661
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.011302326388353,
        0.030056180157786716,
        0.02260040552893389,
        0.03022118633891908,
        0.3304514787796193,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.2506068987911973,
        0.03886791925960898,
        0.03312172399306886,
        0.4436460238243784
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.040552114926564506,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 55362.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2089428390095107,
      0.15590743501839363,
      -0.5315622965118929,
      -0.28549615142741275,
      -0.041044498485657034,
      -0.08540373696990435,
      0.04477766721932389,
      0.43424963579263554,
      0.07353496901883663,
      0.040101895692493006,
      0.09997440321830137,
      0.009213411184062647,
      -1.3001881849273234,
      -0.5587694311306871,
      -0.19523840475449955,
      -0.02445229026670226,
      -0.11143550964667559,
      -0.11236093763958653
    ],
    "alpha": 0.014624199231712447,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0013531072207225929,
    "iterations": 182,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 849.8237226524207
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-South East",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 125,
    "testRows": 4,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.2401403701988984,
        0.2994213432476395,
        0.16925477139005068,
        0.7543815528045443,
        13.724831226809352,
        2021.2,
        -3.2691116753653686,
        0.1339068018213965,
        0.10878773243244998
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.011302326388353,
        0.030056180157786716,
        0.02260040552893389,
        0.03022118633891908,
        0.3304514787796193,
        2.3151673805580426,
        0.2506068987911973,
        0.03886791925960898,
        0.03312172399306886
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.16,
        "East of England": 0.24,
        "London": 0.08,
        "North East": 0.08,
        "North West": 0.16,
        "South West": 0.08,
        "West Midlands": 0.12,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.08
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.040552114926564506,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 55362.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1862083367763527,
      0.13677916523802902,
      -0.6493581744201826,
      -0.3652653208461761,
      -0.03761796258850332,
      -0.08148683880155819,
      0.005535670185853825,
      0.41681367166602257,
      0.25380741349597286,
      -0.06509218977142578,
      -0.01429522923233583,
      -1.383888872292412,
      -0.6065240432075377,
      -0.22033179913478762,
      -0.04718729360618022,
      -0.11915180435078028,
      -0.10444112683214336
    ],
    "alpha": 0.015966743833184832,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0012042711268941267,
    "iterations": 138,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 854.7453472654478
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.301910658584013,
        0.2996788728979855,
        0.17030915919733955,
        0.7553987131852029,
        13.756155803430289,
        2021.2,
        -3.24304798376136
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9426510851242589,
        0.029124484336128683,
        0.022344719305925836,
        0.030281281487014807,
        0.32536186299029013,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.23149880593631295
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0406582608708872,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.151885024777575,
      0.28411748923441466,
      -0.5679546062435025,
      -0.3133895211275953,
      -0.02964671655605172,
      -0.1495850858585293,
      -0.027088942076402854,
      0.42716159448338503,
      -0.08281062414132127,
      -1.609740405978621,
      -0.4155984738250182,
      -0.19703437623694509,
      -0.01841560022199145,
      -0.11886011775313003,
      -0.022557647364404184
    ],
    "alpha": 0.0186191652765358,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0011754818004872103,
    "iterations": 103,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 951.2668490967483
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.301910658584013,
        0.2996788728979855,
        0.17030915919733955,
        0.7553987131852029,
        13.756155803430289,
        2021.2,
        0.1315424887398871,
        0.10685005851042816
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9426510851242589,
        0.029124484336128683,
        0.022344719305925836,
        0.030281281487014807,
        0.32536186299029013,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.03921127246922157,
        0.0332973296623717
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0406582608708872,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3728691324391655,
      0.11391125875072623,
      -0.34501860183956057,
      -0.18038000608418875,
      -0.011111036474477419,
      -0.088457346082037,
      -0.026643177363175473,
      0.27925364143082965,
      0.05183811494928161,
      0.08398443807091492,
      0.7955939025147665,
      -0.8628366167701639,
      -0.32645754838064767,
      0.46086153089394405,
      -0.20451943975714323,
      0.018345884801763964
    ],
    "alpha": 0.0304068096733317,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00032041639228308266,
    "iterations": 117,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 983.6235586611872
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.301910658584013,
        0.2996788728979855,
        0.17030915919733955,
        0.7553987131852029,
        13.756155803430289,
        2021.2,
        0.1315424887398871,
        0.10685005851042816,
        1.9397760735489453
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9426510851242589,
        0.029124484336128683,
        0.022344719305925836,
        0.030281281487014807,
        0.32536186299029013,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.03921127246922157,
        0.0332973296623717,
        0.43445791746672596
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0406582608708872,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.388208199081563,
      0.12912600295690563,
      -0.2586216301652614,
      -0.11052946751504232,
      -0.016931588115209072,
      -0.08562081264168894,
      -0.004095011185914862,
      0.17287814534341925,
      0.11333580922336864,
      0.06459044804836146,
      0.10262244762382866,
      0.9165651907055468,
      -0.8341155514364017,
      -0.31274524764660866,
      0.45018788604900406,
      -0.20904789796519743,
      0.01805823154706068
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02990147032521909,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0005630252857679881,
    "iterations": 109,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 982.5527010243384
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.301910658584013,
        0.2996788728979855,
        0.17030915919733955,
        0.7553987131852029,
        13.756155803430289,
        2021.2,
        0.1315424887398871,
        0.10685005851042816,
        1.9397760735489453,
        0.22866385493841132
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9426510851242589,
        0.029124484336128683,
        0.022344719305925836,
        0.030281281487014807,
        0.32536186299029013,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.03921127246922157,
        0.0332973296623717,
        0.43445791746672596,
        0.045811290572570475
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0406582608708872,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.328806430009908,
      0.14018988154907944,
      -0.14655180804599502,
      0.021950098744950523,
      -0.05267200105626359,
      -0.07719128846394878,
      0.004680726749002294,
      0.269233053984196,
      0.1275003552425826,
      0.07149536365781098,
      -0.19830045218111225,
      0.05748422347175199,
      0.8291453007605631,
      -0.8724998480331585,
      -0.3933707626472988,
      0.3018622082488348,
      -0.25933536902877546,
      0.006864780980847976
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02921308271400188,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0006211757645160437,
    "iterations": 147,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 981.1769600977814
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.301910658584013,
        0.2996788728979855,
        0.17030915919733955,
        0.7553987131852029,
        13.756155803430289,
        2021.2,
        -3.24304798376136,
        0.1315424887398871,
        0.10685005851042816,
        1.9397760735489453,
        0.22866385493841132
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9426510851242589,
        0.029124484336128683,
        0.022344719305925836,
        0.030281281487014807,
        0.32536186299029013,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.23149880593631295,
        0.03921127246922157,
        0.0332973296623717,
        0.43445791746672596,
        0.045811290572570475
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0406582608708872,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2194914826812844,
      0.1659385956018993,
      -0.4938200970110891,
      -0.24487050095887658,
      -0.033834138842944665,
      -0.08704590646032538,
      0.04334604912924267,
      0.4015640996484192,
      0.06948477576070432,
      0.008622613056062635,
      0.13004633345637884,
      0.03002940605859719,
      0.022373508799894637,
      -1.1984381366246968,
      -0.5463134850589136,
      -0.18250204561336372,
      0.15708798128747728,
      -0.13084483834366742,
      -0.09923162502316772
    ],
    "alpha": 0.012923791062732703,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.001944363248187674,
    "iterations": 179,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 927.9833297151721
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.301910658584013,
        0.2996788728979855,
        0.17030915919733955,
        0.7553987131852029,
        13.756155803430289,
        2021.2,
        -3.24304798376136,
        0.1315424887398871,
        0.10685005851042816,
        1.9397760735489453
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9426510851242589,
        0.029124484336128683,
        0.022344719305925836,
        0.030281281487014807,
        0.32536186299029013,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.23149880593631295,
        0.03921127246922157,
        0.0332973296623717,
        0.43445791746672596
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0406582608708872,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2116107687542303,
      0.1673950081731947,
      -0.4752589148450667,
      -0.22383699647225266,
      -0.0391146038952142,
      -0.08579524546658686,
      0.04447421854278595,
      0.39885156965402935,
      0.08452027042988225,
      0.011651570124944763,
      0.13083759453390237,
      0.016234767977902208,
      -1.1974305928964146,
      -0.5547934904547303,
      -0.19560135027830858,
      0.13691960746794804,
      -0.13922030245630126,
      -0.10034244568224561
    ],
    "alpha": 0.01292485995480537,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00155265293805361,
    "iterations": 150,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 928.0503712150339
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-South West",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.301910658584013,
        0.2996788728979855,
        0.17030915919733955,
        0.7553987131852029,
        13.756155803430289,
        2021.2,
        -3.24304798376136,
        0.1315424887398871,
        0.10685005851042816
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9426510851242589,
        0.029124484336128683,
        0.022344719305925836,
        0.030281281487014807,
        0.32536186299029013,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.23149880593631295,
        0.03921127246922157,
        0.0332973296623717
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07407407407407407
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.0406582608708872,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63572.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.192746815163332,
      0.13560140577272256,
      -0.6339459702398468,
      -0.35520997347664085,
      -0.02558827303446124,
      -0.09076007977778101,
      -0.0026419196455219588,
      0.3752253831371709,
      0.30336717964640736,
      -0.1080027894445134,
      -0.0132186492500775,
      -1.3183893261916324,
      -0.6239246604949775,
      -0.22839497887481142,
      0.1789056671927087,
      -0.13597306621168279,
      -0.0897416424974804
    ],
    "alpha": 0.014930124823914879,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0018276225842363632,
    "iterations": 142,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 936.9135043233139
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.234474696102529,
        0.29845179515666637,
        0.17025019121044183,
        0.7563319385054487,
        13.737067222593048,
        2021.2,
        -3.238648596379402
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.8960829500759895,
        0.02813864409412747,
        0.022164284814485055,
        0.030068668058006304,
        0.31097648809941375,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.2303599624950966
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041192120548474306,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58683.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1986149061028017,
      0.15924234285855474,
      -0.5522430912725402,
      -0.3753771889122717,
      0.019882089736205946,
      -0.16965529465628973,
      -0.013385332503980139,
      0.36462214537207155,
      -0.07273316627578466,
      -1.2091421090742287,
      -0.4039158496296507,
      -0.10542103102974033,
      0.06468641155727647,
      -0.2448484012383658,
      0.045455637255705554
    ],
    "alpha": 0.01513562337657537,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0010550056258825497,
    "iterations": 95,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 896.8136179624609
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.234474696102529,
        0.29845179515666637,
        0.17025019121044183,
        0.7563319385054487,
        13.737067222593048,
        2021.2,
        0.12811940017311418,
        0.10466983019990293
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.8960829500759895,
        0.02813864409412747,
        0.022164284814485055,
        0.030068668058006304,
        0.31097648809941375,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.03778195086882483,
        0.03315877160271982
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041192120548474306,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58683.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.44084355330091,
      -0.030499381683107202,
      -0.3806758358511025,
      -0.3875823807396741,
      0.09423118694615998,
      -0.1852006825665943,
      0.03528719684356172,
      -0.1286359472644966,
      0.40320380578408205,
      0.1115633363281144,
      1.0473008472781262,
      -0.8580453160675675,
      -0.21435625997500637,
      0.5443140686442517,
      -0.2225463687544861,
      0.13412695793770915
    ],
    "alpha": 0.022932614120057742,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0010387265077985764,
    "iterations": 118,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 923.110280923211
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.234474696102529,
        0.29845179515666637,
        0.17025019121044183,
        0.7563319385054487,
        13.737067222593048,
        2021.2,
        0.12811940017311418,
        0.10466983019990293,
        1.922250491098188
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.8960829500759895,
        0.02813864409412747,
        0.022164284814485055,
        0.030068668058006304,
        0.31097648809941375,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.03778195086882483,
        0.03315877160271982,
        0.444328781578064
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041192120548474306,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58683.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.437559072194742,
      -0.032398511361807755,
      -0.3956892597175377,
      -0.3995204333252395,
      0.09474633464739161,
      -0.18574736309568748,
      0.030482673379484453,
      -0.11046489345633649,
      0.39209106238720304,
      -0.012625420149549555,
      0.10782016507235025,
      1.0252793441720334,
      -0.8619149155786288,
      -0.216545893716583,
      0.5453857319407919,
      -0.22697732619729818,
      0.13483628347762086
    ],
    "alpha": 0.02291450843302291,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0007109081609287887,
    "iterations": 129,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 923.0524883925522
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.234474696102529,
        0.29845179515666637,
        0.17025019121044183,
        0.7563319385054487,
        13.737067222593048,
        2021.2,
        0.12811940017311418,
        0.10466983019990293,
        1.922250491098188,
        0.22400905407848393
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.8960829500759895,
        0.02813864409412747,
        0.022164284814485055,
        0.030068668058006304,
        0.31097648809941375,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.03778195086882483,
        0.03315877160271982,
        0.444328781578064,
        0.0457682300839296
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041192120548474306,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58683.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3726237232986693,
      -0.03380652963740763,
      -0.2981662036510567,
      -0.2841293869950019,
      0.060116870779515476,
      -0.17909372699220866,
      0.03758901357784233,
      -0.008528952619713022,
      0.41137464996065304,
      -0.016541545292047675,
      -0.2079918517667722,
      0.06152949976844558,
      0.9237066426352736,
      -0.9131795551957569,
      -0.2967016223763448,
      0.4005957969949228,
      -0.32493196999607354,
      0.12608609404589016
    ],
    "alpha": 0.022065637270707695,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0009197103784383745,
    "iterations": 133,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 920.8825098291406
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.234474696102529,
        0.29845179515666637,
        0.17025019121044183,
        0.7563319385054487,
        13.737067222593048,
        2021.2,
        -3.238648596379402,
        0.12811940017311418,
        0.10466983019990293,
        1.922250491098188,
        0.22400905407848393
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.8960829500759895,
        0.02813864409412747,
        0.022164284814485055,
        0.030068668058006304,
        0.31097648809941375,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.2303599624950966,
        0.03778195086882483,
        0.03315877160271982,
        0.444328781578064,
        0.0457682300839296
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041192120548474306,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58683.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2577390862868403,
      0.07544973115722975,
      -0.506977217177305,
      -0.3567226752627592,
      0.010568813842998334,
      -0.1229235769499725,
      0.04745717707630975,
      0.3431886419470048,
      -0.04381930854863033,
      0.15217153128117364,
      0.0757347974333986,
      0.01751742281625089,
      0.025768103452801314,
      -0.8644223457099849,
      -0.5864858001118415,
      -0.1477108632170446,
      0.22767801576335864,
      -0.11826890777240893,
      -0.027471788309682704
    ],
    "alpha": 0.011703035899785911,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0015775068199976683,
    "iterations": 170,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 881.3940167825504
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.234474696102529,
        0.29845179515666637,
        0.17025019121044183,
        0.7563319385054487,
        13.737067222593048,
        2021.2,
        -3.238648596379402,
        0.12811940017311418,
        0.10466983019990293,
        1.922250491098188
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.8960829500759895,
        0.02813864409412747,
        0.022164284814485055,
        0.030068668058006304,
        0.31097648809941375,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.2303599624950966,
        0.03778195086882483,
        0.03315877160271982,
        0.444328781578064
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041192120548474306,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58683.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.253365864757415,
      0.0746517786044874,
      -0.4982481712663822,
      -0.3475328514338428,
      0.00837221797491703,
      -0.12295522880952439,
      0.0480427002172929,
      0.34094832291169225,
      -0.035765671026323026,
      0.15543605618176803,
      0.07488178374683717,
      0.022416725026156464,
      -0.861088188391044,
      -0.5929118705684913,
      -0.15503580994108604,
      0.21772241968165054,
      -0.12738505900455033,
      -0.02729566453340108
    ],
    "alpha": 0.011701481311258245,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00150148750856971,
    "iterations": 167,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 881.4204368125341
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-West Midlands",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 130,
    "testRows": 3,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.234474696102529,
        0.29845179515666637,
        0.17025019121044183,
        0.7563319385054487,
        13.737067222593048,
        2021.2,
        -3.238648596379402,
        0.12811940017311418,
        0.10466983019990293
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.8960829500759895,
        0.02813864409412747,
        0.022164284814485055,
        0.030068668058006304,
        0.31097648809941375,
        2.315167380558042,
        0.2303599624950966,
        0.03778195086882483,
        0.03315877160271982
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.15384615384615385,
        "East of England": 0.23076923076923078,
        "London": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North East": 0.07692307692307693,
        "North West": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South East": 0.15384615384615385,
        "South West": 0.07692307692307693,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.07692307692307693
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.041192120548474306,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 58683.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.24880640735555,
      0.05731987367150516,
      -0.5737310525462629,
      -0.41683223643462064,
      0.017571299080171052,
      -0.13061641516167324,
      0.02070457773140102,
      0.3169606580736522,
      0.06105013186884125,
      0.10873539307840743,
      0.00869806852033598,
      -0.8529024999539455,
      -0.6327379299176488,
      -0.17112957654840896,
      0.2485577357127466,
      -0.1568081414451524,
      -0.01151882239321142
    ],
    "alpha": 0.012417853412333918,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.005277207793622729,
    "iterations": 127,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 884.8390856526696
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.232479910609216,
        0.2981705487156447,
        0.17126089745655876,
        0.75687512598225,
        13.749055695500136,
        2021.2,
        -3.2724703222529823
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.955909144311704,
        0.028613094815626485,
        0.022069766291497116,
        0.030268624364714284,
        0.32619891482927155,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.23842990383356277
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03982699489582965,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.173630999758353,
      0.2737481417555227,
      -0.5869546541417655,
      -0.34234265675412406,
      -0.01790068724508214,
      -0.1519177064350304,
      -0.01747203403136558,
      0.4500956039691852,
      -0.08465228752397787,
      -1.7253791977438893,
      -0.4107053932023578,
      -0.20102145567790874,
      -0.031161781596377128,
      -0.15681717279119992,
      -0.1095327929686202
    ],
    "alpha": 0.018095756927388247,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.003135809184160173,
    "iterations": 93,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 939.8725869388231
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.232479910609216,
        0.2981705487156447,
        0.17126089745655876,
        0.75687512598225,
        13.749055695500136,
        2021.2,
        0.12656940616172985,
        0.10301852675163307
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.955909144311704,
        0.028613094815626485,
        0.022069766291497116,
        0.030268624364714284,
        0.32619891482927155,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.03923543523961271,
        0.03324164302751136
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03982699489582965,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.419095987486867,
      0.09541152716148407,
      -0.34616894343618165,
      -0.22711786525401226,
      0.0014876731820959036,
      -0.10156524100861694,
      -0.007218291016539867,
      0.17652990771760735,
      0.17020927156514062,
      0.10082464681950663,
      0.8203908582018051,
      -0.9125864249951204,
      -0.34298484793812195,
      0.4951768690834508,
      -0.019868493152942646,
      -0.1671157069949352
    ],
    "alpha": 0.03250222649934049,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0015933914698286335,
    "iterations": 116,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 978.5001937663301
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.232479910609216,
        0.2981705487156447,
        0.17126089745655876,
        0.75687512598225,
        13.749055695500136,
        2021.2,
        0.12656940616172985,
        0.10301852675163307,
        1.9049256377297268
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.955909144311704,
        0.028613094815626485,
        0.022069766291497116,
        0.030268624364714284,
        0.32619891482927155,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.03923543523961271,
        0.03324164302751136,
        0.43465321650216465
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03982699489582965,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.426542270469646,
      0.10377113291822691,
      -0.3080393567044241,
      -0.20177356319056328,
      0.0007706238327958583,
      -0.10372833437332403,
      0.003986755791631541,
      0.11260593493729604,
      0.21233740134661996,
      0.02899117522677384,
      0.1099020877150059,
      0.8717500306275157,
      -0.902660396983109,
      -0.33934697820075277,
      0.49124115774031507,
      -0.010551485858984076,
      -0.1651879760126415
    ],
    "alpha": 0.03238078676930285,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0005469656469702194,
    "iterations": 113,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 978.2754904090559
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.232479910609216,
        0.2981705487156447,
        0.17126089745655876,
        0.75687512598225,
        13.749055695500136,
        2021.2,
        0.12656940616172985,
        0.10301852675163307,
        1.9049256377297268,
        0.22336455886825457
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.955909144311704,
        0.028613094815626485,
        0.022069766291497116,
        0.030268624364714284,
        0.32619891482927155,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.03923543523961271,
        0.03324164302751136,
        0.43465321650216465,
        0.04534367372233267
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03982699489582965,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.4012237931601166,
      0.10244568901880029,
      -0.2732464745165189,
      -0.15806072157113477,
      -0.011935980054669523,
      -0.09978986651636838,
      0.006278166689955111,
      0.1642398806718882,
      0.20945776790904466,
      0.027624974684050143,
      -0.07639265900910469,
      0.09223795624635753,
      0.8304251182118458,
      -0.9217076368657565,
      -0.36992391705968686,
      0.43798778231416224,
      -0.04470190283134522,
      -0.18329970886571448
    ],
    "alpha": 0.032252837159525115,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0012227543524826795,
    "iterations": 137,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 978.0649027919637
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.232479910609216,
        0.2981705487156447,
        0.17126089745655876,
        0.75687512598225,
        13.749055695500136,
        2021.2,
        -3.2724703222529823,
        0.12656940616172985,
        0.10301852675163307,
        1.9049256377297268,
        0.22336455886825457
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.955909144311704,
        0.028613094815626485,
        0.022069766291497116,
        0.030268624364714284,
        0.32619891482927155,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.23842990383356277,
        0.03923543523961271,
        0.03324164302751136,
        0.43465321650216465,
        0.04534367372233267
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03982699489582965,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2763072760467287,
      0.12701516880086525,
      -0.577362343463316,
      -0.34221596793067194,
      -0.015846659123494315,
      -0.08497131783386917,
      0.048701567343198554,
      0.4371512352642752,
      0.054361235758335444,
      0.01781756387453597,
      0.10949843267714097,
      0.08756115011421166,
      0.035797104093243146,
      -1.3382371124824186,
      -0.5503670996282813,
      -0.16000280072312079,
      0.20475919235723505,
      0.008975359492666257,
      -0.09130140580104729
    ],
    "alpha": 0.01258817452384484,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.002510901686014781,
    "iterations": 182,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 916.8602658112042
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.232479910609216,
        0.2981705487156447,
        0.17126089745655876,
        0.75687512598225,
        13.749055695500136,
        2021.2,
        -3.2724703222529823,
        0.12656940616172985,
        0.10301852675163307,
        1.9049256377297268
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.955909144311704,
        0.028613094815626485,
        0.022069766291497116,
        0.030268624364714284,
        0.32619891482927155,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.23842990383356277,
        0.03923543523961271,
        0.03324164302751136,
        0.43465321650216465
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03982699489582965,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2493296059801047,
      0.12489179662421383,
      -0.5346997840375345,
      -0.29091187739435986,
      -0.02978377412699257,
      -0.08087719158786122,
      0.05113862737177005,
      0.4311214194553812,
      0.11430510256514771,
      0.01698863108565918,
      0.10725276437929153,
      0.017168563592277492,
      -1.3560732392421584,
      -0.5793553469429119,
      -0.19741759423489205,
      0.14926531323933606,
      -0.0309939296576877,
      -0.11401810042785401
    ],
    "alpha": 0.012690754192689212,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.004012375168906512,
    "iterations": 165,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 917.5367726569704
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "spatial-Yorkshire and The Humber",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 135,
    "testRows": 2,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.232479910609216,
        0.2981705487156447,
        0.17126089745655876,
        0.75687512598225,
        13.749055695500136,
        2021.2,
        -3.2724703222529823,
        0.12656940616172985,
        0.10301852675163307
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.955909144311704,
        0.028613094815626485,
        0.022069766291497116,
        0.030268624364714284,
        0.32619891482927155,
        2.3151673805580417,
        0.23842990383356277,
        0.03923543523961271,
        0.03324164302751136
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.14814814814814814,
        "East of England": 0.2222222222222222,
        "London": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North East": 0.07407407407407407,
        "North West": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South East": 0.14814814814814814,
        "South West": 0.07407407407407407,
        "West Midlands": 0.1111111111111111
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03982699489582965,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 60928.0
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.233265763678267,
      0.09450642386387267,
      -0.6599947569519103,
      -0.37769777864439197,
      -0.024493124217048273,
      -0.07467541507848673,
      0.008961377674532417,
      0.4078194734941692,
      0.34512177139729994,
      -0.1263295207005326,
      -0.00897555628082852,
      -1.4265747157943345,
      -0.6288110279511262,
      -0.2168226645164362,
      0.18465622480250415,
      -0.059215990720976566,
      -0.12403926203039545
    ],
    "alpha": 0.014214161084666622,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0031636231508065057,
    "iterations": 158,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 924.2990255509893
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 58,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044692,
        0.29920391808932534,
        0.1707928522444735,
        0.7741555716361768,
        13.810043024035567,
        2018.5,
        -3.1874108393432294
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516749,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02385273694872915,
        0.3164337012358193,
        0.5,
        0.21912840920548468
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04239016767690787,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63504.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.151517275876221,
      0.3068708917825521,
      -0.529637721137072,
      -0.31534460256056523,
      -0.09825231277575025,
      -0.172337003632239,
      0.001978870291472459,
      0.40326843844193183,
      -0.061778901844426234,
      -1.6624053929745242,
      -0.2894143430413313,
      -0.10308632688036856,
      0.0783237265484813,
      -0.1232503851106127,
      -0.06777999585752631,
      -0.11116296188452661
    ],
    "alpha": 0.013368544506331289,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00037098151598143357,
    "iterations": 79,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 401.5052851781707
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 58,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044692,
        0.29920391808932534,
        0.1707928522444735,
        0.7741555716361768,
        13.810043024035567,
        2018.5,
        0.13772426126998882,
        0.11554090963206394
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516749,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02385273694872915,
        0.3164337012358193,
        0.5,
        0.03997033278388056,
        0.03443034002847891
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04239016767690787,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63504.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3741839163108573,
      0.09894949713307162,
      -0.30578043887001877,
      -0.22041671485731051,
      -0.08929849739968675,
      -0.08862827670889585,
      -0.02817509629133752,
      0.08990904765968637,
      0.23914578090991576,
      0.12154603490714526,
      0.7929549110184188,
      -0.7489159163038154,
      -0.21202077653291862,
      0.5728658329700883,
      -0.08984145392161333,
      -0.09983912374053167,
      -0.07304687078795473
    ],
    "alpha": 0.0280571272446207,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0006089869597576315,
    "iterations": 127,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 422.5755188400153
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 58,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044692,
        0.29920391808932534,
        0.1707928522444735,
        0.7741555716361768,
        13.810043024035567,
        2018.5,
        0.13772426126998882,
        0.11554090963206394,
        2.1624052160205762
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516749,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02385273694872915,
        0.3164337012358193,
        0.5,
        0.03997033278388056,
        0.03443034002847891,
        0.34282485184158945
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04239016767690787,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63504.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3952189944937117,
      0.08980668822011761,
      -0.23384021900764382,
      -0.1686417140978637,
      -0.07519625997057441,
      -0.08155379860927846,
      -0.03422234751211239,
      -0.03227736093692172,
      0.33754957267627594,
      0.05501247720496818,
      0.15217269597396793,
      0.9934151988887875,
      -0.7593355741397183,
      -0.21806685423553912,
      0.5833286718427105,
      -0.07764298909053718,
      -0.08890129335074522,
      -0.0893727362497175
    ],
    "alpha": 0.027679096146880793,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00019480700420148548,
    "iterations": 144,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 422.192046553198
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 58,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044692,
        0.29920391808932534,
        0.1707928522444735,
        0.7741555716361768,
        13.810043024035567,
        2018.5,
        0.13772426126998882,
        0.11554090963206394,
        2.1624052160205762,
        0.22627113279178648
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516749,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02385273694872915,
        0.3164337012358193,
        0.5,
        0.03997033278388056,
        0.03443034002847891,
        0.34282485184158945,
        0.04507193885155492
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04239016767690787,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63504.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3423359579974115,
      0.09656251161933894,
      -0.10228291972997378,
      -0.03718429649818403,
      -0.11273974725838089,
      -0.06973647747618385,
      -0.0368163844003343,
      -0.03940494341419823,
      0.46487602836736697,
      0.0678925941264086,
      -0.21068370213504023,
      0.12149881554111645,
      0.9461601437435021,
      -0.823878532879325,
      -0.30377680610012353,
      0.4516893241763198,
      -0.1470117559721653,
      -0.11467485686487149,
      -0.11323498433072496
    ],
    "alpha": 0.027095199050433172,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00037565421311486376,
    "iterations": 163,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 421.6161050420032
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 58,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044692,
        0.29920391808932534,
        0.1707928522444735,
        0.7741555716361768,
        13.810043024035567,
        2018.5,
        -3.1874108393432294,
        0.13772426126998882,
        0.11554090963206394,
        2.1624052160205762,
        0.22627113279178648
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516749,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02385273694872915,
        0.3164337012358193,
        0.5,
        0.21912840920548468,
        0.03997033278388056,
        0.03443034002847891,
        0.34282485184158945,
        0.04507193885155492
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04239016767690787,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63504.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2362312373434583,
      0.10559263882244815,
      -0.6605234808702632,
      -0.4120821743286057,
      0.020525491494295264,
      -0.10451096310518211,
      -0.008897244733813916,
      0.42187823751965464,
      0.10897088625055838,
      -0.10258653562573836,
      0.11488675933443697,
      0.19742292037623657,
      0.06167615909329446,
      -1.31447007401952,
      -0.411779623391362,
      -0.053867476890813844,
      0.31523726738504054,
      -0.03897216531473476,
      -0.042906638306583075,
      -0.2025632765872739
    ],
    "alpha": 0.008716822867835596,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0008231180268081555,
    "iterations": 179,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 389.58804861385795
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 58,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044692,
        0.29920391808932534,
        0.1707928522444735,
        0.7741555716361768,
        13.810043024035567,
        2018.5,
        -3.1874108393432294,
        0.13772426126998882,
        0.11554090963206394,
        2.1624052160205762
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516749,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02385273694872915,
        0.3164337012358193,
        0.5,
        0.21912840920548468,
        0.03997033278388056,
        0.03443034002847891,
        0.34282485184158945
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04239016767690787,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63504.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1953781568698485,
      0.10985134746505346,
      -0.5236066955307014,
      -0.28262001557798244,
      -0.01680173143194029,
      -0.09227846446694973,
      -0.012482724140312791,
      0.3996182045231531,
      0.10171874221106952,
      0.028390011975467443,
      0.12310943665570778,
      0.038223309292747636,
      -1.2395633052312593,
      -0.4911306301237577,
      -0.14048436864215313,
      0.21112936033965016,
      -0.10887091598003454,
      -0.07258115230637159,
      -0.21937012230407404
    ],
    "alpha": 0.00912426056133213,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0006403681835872279,
    "iterations": 180,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 390.9629297929802
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "stress-2020",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 58,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044692,
        0.29920391808932534,
        0.1707928522444735,
        0.7741555716361768,
        13.810043024035567,
        2018.5,
        -3.1874108393432294,
        0.13772426126998882,
        0.11554090963206394
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516749,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02385273694872915,
        0.3164337012358193,
        0.5,
        0.21912840920548468,
        0.03997033278388056,
        0.03443034002847891
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04239016767690787,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63504.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.161604246580916,
      0.1334422779781514,
      -0.6621478975490204,
      -0.38598291728571854,
      -0.05210676129493483,
      -0.10752404589928038,
      -0.0006830168159558848,
      0.37788803426795453,
      0.35943959181012947,
      -0.17064223275680623,
      -0.02040722236637014,
      -1.559823019120878,
      -0.47667335672902317,
      -0.13393850245201377,
      0.20939858429037275,
      -0.1277770026393817,
      -0.09729028612794278,
      -0.17232464446834003
    ],
    "alpha": 0.01090666141323899,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00454750103122975,
    "iterations": 153,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 395.80718665442345
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "BH",
    "trainingRows": 58,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044692,
        0.29920391808932534,
        0.1707928522444735,
        0.7741555716361768,
        13.810043024035567,
        2018.5,
        -3.1874108393432294
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516749,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02385273694872915,
        0.3164337012358193,
        0.5,
        0.21912840920548468
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04239016767690787,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63504.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.151517275876221,
      0.3068708917825521,
      -0.529637721137072,
      -0.31534460256056523,
      -0.09825231277575025,
      -0.172337003632239,
      0.001978870291472459,
      0.40326843844193183,
      -0.061778901844426234,
      -1.6624053929745242,
      -0.2894143430413313,
      -0.10308632688036856,
      0.0783237265484813,
      -0.1232503851106127,
      -0.06777999585752631,
      -0.11116296188452661
    ],
    "alpha": 0.013368544506331289,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00037098151598143357,
    "iterations": 79,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 401.5052851781707
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "D",
    "trainingRows": 58,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044692,
        0.29920391808932534,
        0.1707928522444735,
        0.7741555716361768,
        13.810043024035567,
        2018.5,
        0.13772426126998882,
        0.11554090963206394
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516749,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02385273694872915,
        0.3164337012358193,
        0.5,
        0.03997033278388056,
        0.03443034002847891
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04239016767690787,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63504.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3741839163108573,
      0.09894949713307162,
      -0.30578043887001877,
      -0.22041671485731051,
      -0.08929849739968675,
      -0.08862827670889585,
      -0.02817509629133752,
      0.08990904765968637,
      0.23914578090991576,
      0.12154603490714526,
      0.7929549110184188,
      -0.7489159163038154,
      -0.21202077653291862,
      0.5728658329700883,
      -0.08984145392161333,
      -0.09983912374053167,
      -0.07304687078795473
    ],
    "alpha": 0.0280571272446207,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0006089869597576315,
    "iterations": 127,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 422.5755188400153
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "DC",
    "trainingRows": 58,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044692,
        0.29920391808932534,
        0.1707928522444735,
        0.7741555716361768,
        13.810043024035567,
        2018.5,
        0.13772426126998882,
        0.11554090963206394,
        2.1624052160205762
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516749,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02385273694872915,
        0.3164337012358193,
        0.5,
        0.03997033278388056,
        0.03443034002847891,
        0.34282485184158945
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04239016767690787,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63504.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3952189944937117,
      0.08980668822011761,
      -0.23384021900764382,
      -0.1686417140978637,
      -0.07519625997057441,
      -0.08155379860927846,
      -0.03422234751211239,
      -0.03227736093692172,
      0.33754957267627594,
      0.05501247720496818,
      0.15217269597396793,
      0.9934151988887875,
      -0.7593355741397183,
      -0.21806685423553912,
      0.5833286718427105,
      -0.07764298909053718,
      -0.08890129335074522,
      -0.0893727362497175
    ],
    "alpha": 0.027679096146880793,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00019480700420148548,
    "iterations": 144,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 422.192046553198
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "DCE",
    "trainingRows": 58,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044692,
        0.29920391808932534,
        0.1707928522444735,
        0.7741555716361768,
        13.810043024035567,
        2018.5,
        0.13772426126998882,
        0.11554090963206394,
        2.1624052160205762,
        0.22627113279178648
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516749,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02385273694872915,
        0.3164337012358193,
        0.5,
        0.03997033278388056,
        0.03443034002847891,
        0.34282485184158945,
        0.04507193885155492
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04239016767690787,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63504.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.3423359579974115,
      0.09656251161933894,
      -0.10228291972997378,
      -0.03718429649818403,
      -0.11273974725838089,
      -0.06973647747618385,
      -0.0368163844003343,
      -0.03940494341419823,
      0.46487602836736697,
      0.0678925941264086,
      -0.21068370213504023,
      0.12149881554111645,
      0.9461601437435021,
      -0.823878532879325,
      -0.30377680610012353,
      0.4516893241763198,
      -0.1470117559721653,
      -0.11467485686487149,
      -0.11323498433072496
    ],
    "alpha": 0.027095199050433172,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00037565421311486376,
    "iterations": 163,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 421.6161050420032
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "DCEH",
    "trainingRows": 58,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "noQualificationsShare2011",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044692,
        0.29920391808932534,
        0.1707928522444735,
        0.7741555716361768,
        13.810043024035567,
        2018.5,
        -3.1874108393432294,
        0.13772426126998882,
        0.11554090963206394,
        2.1624052160205762,
        0.22627113279178648
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516749,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02385273694872915,
        0.3164337012358193,
        0.5,
        0.21912840920548468,
        0.03997033278388056,
        0.03443034002847891,
        0.34282485184158945,
        0.04507193885155492
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04239016767690787,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63504.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.2362312373434583,
      0.10559263882244815,
      -0.6605234808702632,
      -0.4120821743286057,
      0.020525491494295264,
      -0.10451096310518211,
      -0.008897244733813916,
      0.42187823751965464,
      0.10897088625055838,
      -0.10258653562573836,
      0.11488675933443697,
      0.19742292037623657,
      0.06167615909329446,
      -1.31447007401952,
      -0.411779623391362,
      -0.053867476890813844,
      0.31523726738504054,
      -0.03897216531473476,
      -0.042906638306583075,
      -0.2025632765872739
    ],
    "alpha": 0.008716822867835596,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0008231180268081555,
    "iterations": 179,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 389.58804861385795
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "DCH",
    "trainingRows": 58,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "logBurglaryIntensity",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044692,
        0.29920391808932534,
        0.1707928522444735,
        0.7741555716361768,
        13.810043024035567,
        2018.5,
        -3.1874108393432294,
        0.13772426126998882,
        0.11554090963206394,
        2.1624052160205762
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516749,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02385273694872915,
        0.3164337012358193,
        0.5,
        0.21912840920548468,
        0.03997033278388056,
        0.03443034002847891,
        0.34282485184158945
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04239016767690787,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63504.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.1953781568698485,
      0.10985134746505346,
      -0.5236066955307014,
      -0.28262001557798244,
      -0.01680173143194029,
      -0.09227846446694973,
      -0.012482724140312791,
      0.3996182045231531,
      0.10171874221106952,
      0.028390011975467443,
      0.12310943665570778,
      0.038223309292747636,
      -1.2395633052312593,
      -0.4911306301237577,
      -0.14048436864215313,
      0.21112936033965016,
      -0.10887091598003454,
      -0.07258115230637159,
      -0.21937012230407404
    ],
    "alpha": 0.00912426056133213,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.0006403681835872279,
    "iterations": 180,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 390.9629297929802
  },
  {
    "study": "crime-recording-sensitivity",
    "fold": "stress-2021",
    "model": "DH",
    "trainingRows": 58,
    "testRows": 29,
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "incomeScore",
        "employmentScore",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        6.235910055044692,
        0.29920391808932534,
        0.1707928522444735,
        0.7741555716361768,
        13.810043024035567,
        2018.5,
        -3.1874108393432294,
        0.13772426126998882,
        0.11554090963206394
      ],
      "scale": [
        0.9415230482516749,
        0.028192571222679364,
        0.021768255996955005,
        0.02385273694872915,
        0.3164337012358193,
        0.5,
        0.21912840920548468,
        0.03997033278388056,
        0.03443034002847891
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.13793103448275862,
        "East of England": 0.20689655172413793,
        "London": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North East": 0.06896551724137931,
        "North West": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South East": 0.13793103448275862,
        "South West": 0.06896551724137931,
        "West Midlands": 0.10344827586206896,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.06896551724137931
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04239016767690787,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 63504.5
    },
    "coefficients": [
      -3.161604246580916,
      0.1334422779781514,
      -0.6621478975490204,
      -0.38598291728571854,
      -0.05210676129493483,
      -0.10752404589928038,
      -0.0006830168159558848,
      0.37788803426795453,
      0.35943959181012947,
      -0.17064223275680623,
      -0.02040722236637014,
      -1.559823019120878,
      -0.47667335672902317,
      -0.13393850245201377,
      0.20939858429037275,
      -0.1277770026393817,
      -0.09729028612794278,
      -0.17232464446834003
    ],
    "alpha": 0.01090666141323899,
    "converged": true,
    "gradientMax": 0.00454750103122975,
    "iterations": 153,
    "negativeLogLikelihood": 395.80718665442345
  }
]
