[
  {
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "B",
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929138,
        0.3116795160835883,
        0.15265394789134046,
        0.771651042952108,
        13.826996702477931,
        2019.6666666666667,
        -3.1048229967900762
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563752,
        0.0319473435068061,
        0.03763153084119205,
        0.03508704488007897,
        0.3427830174011323,
        1.6996731711976005,
        0.38216201697897684
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04000326658425112,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9221.0,
      "socialTransforms": {},
      "referenceDecile": 5
    },
    "columns": 16,
    "rank": 16,
    "conditionNumber": 23.47180342028327
  },
  {
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "C-linear",
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber",
        "income:linear",
        "employment:linear",
        "education:linear"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929138,
        0.3116795160835883,
        0.15265394789134046,
        0.771651042952108,
        13.826996702477931,
        2019.6666666666667,
        -3.1048229967900762
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563752,
        0.0319473435068061,
        0.03763153084119205,
        0.03508704488007897,
        0.3427830174011323,
        1.6996731711976005,
        0.38216201697897684
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04000326658425112,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9221.0,
      "socialTransforms": {
        "income": {
          "mean": [
            0.1523659147869674
          ],
          "scale": [
            0.050393304654365804
          ]
        },
        "employment": {
          "mean": [
            0.11907017543859649
          ],
          "scale": [
            0.04033040343614982
          ]
        },
        "education": {
          "mean": [
            0.22382032956566408
          ],
          "scale": [
            0.0541858402119016
          ]
        }
      },
      "referenceDecile": 5
    },
    "columns": 19,
    "rank": 19,
    "conditionNumber": 25.197873004744693
  },
  {
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "C-smooth",
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber",
        "income:spline1",
        "income:spline2",
        "income:spline3",
        "employment:spline1",
        "employment:spline2",
        "employment:spline3",
        "education:spline1",
        "education:spline2",
        "education:spline3"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929138,
        0.3116795160835883,
        0.15265394789134046,
        0.771651042952108,
        13.826996702477931,
        2019.6666666666667,
        -3.1048229967900762
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563752,
        0.0319473435068061,
        0.03763153084119205,
        0.03508704488007897,
        0.3427830174011323,
        1.6996731711976005,
        0.38216201697897684
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04000326658425112,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9221.0,
      "socialTransforms": {
        "income": {
          "knots": [
            0.044,
            0.12233333333333332,
            0.17,
            0.276
          ],
          "degreesOfFreedom": 3,
          "linearTails": true,
          "mean": [
            0.15236591478696745,
            0.16102508693049947,
            0.026966527999082487
          ],
          "scale": [
            0.050393304654365804,
            0.1738958405834897,
            0.046216856877886354
          ]
        },
        "employment": {
          "knots": [
            0.038,
            0.094,
            0.13166666666666665,
            0.233
          ],
          "degreesOfFreedom": 3,
          "linearTails": true,
          "mean": [
            0.11907017543859644,
            0.11967873358633908,
            0.023175814329036214
          ],
          "scale": [
            0.04033040343614983,
            0.14301876235980313,
            0.042384865822029286
          ]
        },
        "education": {
          "knots": [
            0.06720947446336048,
            0.19964893872607906,
            0.246239806704923,
            0.351653441067862
          ],
          "degreesOfFreedom": 3,
          "linearTails": true,
          "mean": [
            0.22382032956566433,
            0.22070949721136285,
            0.01606736252137282
          ],
          "scale": [
            0.0541858402119016,
            0.18667933945837356,
            0.02847822791707736
          ]
        }
      },
      "referenceDecile": 5
    },
    "columns": 25,
    "rank": 25,
    "conditionNumber": 171.80626162073037
  },
  {
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "D",
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber",
        "income:decile1",
        "income:decile2",
        "income:decile3",
        "income:decile4",
        "income:decile6",
        "income:decile7",
        "income:decile8",
        "income:decile9",
        "income:decile10",
        "employment:decile1",
        "employment:decile2",
        "employment:decile3",
        "employment:decile4",
        "employment:decile6",
        "employment:decile7",
        "employment:decile8",
        "employment:decile9",
        "employment:decile10"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929138,
        0.3116795160835883,
        0.15265394789134046,
        0.771651042952108,
        13.826996702477931,
        2019.6666666666667,
        -3.1048229967900762
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563752,
        0.0319473435068061,
        0.03763153084119205,
        0.03508704488007897,
        0.3427830174011323,
        1.6996731711976005,
        0.38216201697897684
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04000326658425112,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9221.0,
      "socialTransforms": {},
      "referenceDecile": 5
    },
    "columns": 34,
    "rank": 34,
    "conditionNumber": 44.21123094630651
  },
  {
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "E",
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber",
        "education:decile1",
        "education:decile2",
        "education:decile3",
        "education:decile4",
        "education:decile6",
        "education:decile7",
        "education:decile8",
        "education:decile9",
        "education:decile10"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929138,
        0.3116795160835883,
        0.15265394789134046,
        0.771651042952108,
        13.826996702477931,
        2019.6666666666667,
        -3.1048229967900762
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563752,
        0.0319473435068061,
        0.03763153084119205,
        0.03508704488007897,
        0.3427830174011323,
        1.6996731711976005,
        0.38216201697897684
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04000326658425112,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9221.0,
      "socialTransforms": {},
      "referenceDecile": 5
    },
    "columns": 25,
    "rank": 25,
    "conditionNumber": 26.59427175756534
  },
  {
    "fold": "temporal-2023",
    "model": "DE",
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber",
        "income:decile1",
        "income:decile2",
        "income:decile3",
        "income:decile4",
        "income:decile6",
        "income:decile7",
        "income:decile8",
        "income:decile9",
        "income:decile10",
        "employment:decile1",
        "employment:decile2",
        "employment:decile3",
        "employment:decile4",
        "employment:decile6",
        "employment:decile7",
        "employment:decile8",
        "employment:decile9",
        "employment:decile10",
        "education:decile1",
        "education:decile2",
        "education:decile3",
        "education:decile4",
        "education:decile6",
        "education:decile7",
        "education:decile8",
        "education:decile9",
        "education:decile10"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929138,
        0.3116795160835883,
        0.15265394789134046,
        0.771651042952108,
        13.826996702477931,
        2019.6666666666667,
        -3.1048229967900762
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563752,
        0.0319473435068061,
        0.03763153084119205,
        0.03508704488007897,
        0.3427830174011323,
        1.6996731711976005,
        0.38216201697897684
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.04000326658425112,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9221.0,
      "socialTransforms": {},
      "referenceDecile": 5
    },
    "columns": 43,
    "rank": 43,
    "conditionNumber": 45.64967661924453
  },
  {
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "B",
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929136,
        0.31167951608358846,
        0.15265394789134062,
        0.7679995491930341,
        13.817219378193252,
        2020.5,
        -3.126531771555284
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563765,
        0.03194734350680605,
        0.03763153084119203,
        0.03585536732937982,
        0.338282359294853,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.3874494390202888
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916585510696996,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9211.5,
      "socialTransforms": {},
      "referenceDecile": 5
    },
    "columns": 16,
    "rank": 16,
    "conditionNumber": 23.531609898412604
  },
  {
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "C-linear",
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber",
        "income:linear",
        "employment:linear",
        "education:linear"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929136,
        0.31167951608358846,
        0.15265394789134062,
        0.7679995491930341,
        13.817219378193252,
        2020.5,
        -3.126531771555284
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563765,
        0.03194734350680605,
        0.03763153084119203,
        0.03585536732937982,
        0.338282359294853,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.3874494390202888
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916585510696996,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9211.5,
      "socialTransforms": {
        "income": {
          "mean": [
            0.149203007518797
          ],
          "scale": [
            0.04978249826808588
          ]
        },
        "employment": {
          "mean": [
            0.11562781954887218
          ],
          "scale": [
            0.039769928287558085
          ]
        },
        "education": {
          "mean": [
            0.22382032956566406
          ],
          "scale": [
            0.05418584021190159
          ]
        }
      },
      "referenceDecile": 5
    },
    "columns": 19,
    "rank": 19,
    "conditionNumber": 25.164288167396172
  },
  {
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "C-smooth",
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber",
        "income:spline1",
        "income:spline2",
        "income:spline3",
        "employment:spline1",
        "employment:spline2",
        "employment:spline3",
        "education:spline1",
        "education:spline2",
        "education:spline3"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929136,
        0.31167951608358846,
        0.15265394789134062,
        0.7679995491930341,
        13.817219378193252,
        2020.5,
        -3.126531771555284
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563765,
        0.03194734350680605,
        0.03763153084119203,
        0.03585536732937982,
        0.338282359294853,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.3874494390202888
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916585510696996,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9211.5,
      "socialTransforms": {
        "income": {
          "knots": [
            0.044,
            0.12233333333333332,
            0.17,
            0.276
          ],
          "degreesOfFreedom": 3,
          "linearTails": true,
          "mean": [
            0.14920300751879695,
            0.15036097892742975,
            0.024339129974267633
          ],
          "scale": [
            0.049782498268085874,
            0.16673010637037208,
            0.04358665816859499
          ]
        },
        "employment": {
          "knots": [
            0.038,
            0.094,
            0.13166666666666665,
            0.233
          ],
          "degreesOfFreedom": 3,
          "linearTails": true,
          "mean": [
            0.11562781954887211,
            0.10898055915058463,
            0.020419136678266794
          ],
          "scale": [
            0.0397699282875581,
            0.1356560283741583,
            0.039477202516020826
          ]
        },
        "education": {
          "knots": [
            0.06720947446336048,
            0.19964893872607906,
            0.246239806704923,
            0.351653441067862
          ],
          "degreesOfFreedom": 3,
          "linearTails": true,
          "mean": [
            0.2238203295656641,
            0.2207094972113626,
            0.016067362521372808
          ],
          "scale": [
            0.0541858402119016,
            0.18667933945837362,
            0.028478227917077374
          ]
        }
      },
      "referenceDecile": 5
    },
    "columns": 25,
    "rank": 25,
    "conditionNumber": 156.0364674114384
  },
  {
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "D",
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber",
        "income:decile1",
        "income:decile2",
        "income:decile3",
        "income:decile4",
        "income:decile6",
        "income:decile7",
        "income:decile8",
        "income:decile9",
        "income:decile10",
        "employment:decile1",
        "employment:decile2",
        "employment:decile3",
        "employment:decile4",
        "employment:decile6",
        "employment:decile7",
        "employment:decile8",
        "employment:decile9",
        "employment:decile10"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929136,
        0.31167951608358846,
        0.15265394789134062,
        0.7679995491930341,
        13.817219378193252,
        2020.5,
        -3.126531771555284
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563765,
        0.03194734350680605,
        0.03763153084119203,
        0.03585536732937982,
        0.338282359294853,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.3874494390202888
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916585510696996,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9211.5,
      "socialTransforms": {},
      "referenceDecile": 5
    },
    "columns": 34,
    "rank": 34,
    "conditionNumber": 45.216751759211085
  },
  {
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "E",
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber",
        "education:decile1",
        "education:decile2",
        "education:decile3",
        "education:decile4",
        "education:decile6",
        "education:decile7",
        "education:decile8",
        "education:decile9",
        "education:decile10"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929136,
        0.31167951608358846,
        0.15265394789134062,
        0.7679995491930341,
        13.817219378193252,
        2020.5,
        -3.126531771555284
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563765,
        0.03194734350680605,
        0.03763153084119203,
        0.03585536732937982,
        0.338282359294853,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.3874494390202888
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916585510696996,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9211.5,
      "socialTransforms": {},
      "referenceDecile": 5
    },
    "columns": 25,
    "rank": 25,
    "conditionNumber": 26.65619281378303
  },
  {
    "fold": "temporal-2024",
    "model": "DE",
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber",
        "income:decile1",
        "income:decile2",
        "income:decile3",
        "income:decile4",
        "income:decile6",
        "income:decile7",
        "income:decile8",
        "income:decile9",
        "income:decile10",
        "employment:decile1",
        "employment:decile2",
        "employment:decile3",
        "employment:decile4",
        "employment:decile6",
        "employment:decile7",
        "employment:decile8",
        "employment:decile9",
        "employment:decile10",
        "education:decile1",
        "education:decile2",
        "education:decile3",
        "education:decile4",
        "education:decile6",
        "education:decile7",
        "education:decile8",
        "education:decile9",
        "education:decile10"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929136,
        0.31167951608358846,
        0.15265394789134062,
        0.7679995491930341,
        13.817219378193252,
        2020.5,
        -3.126531771555284
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563765,
        0.03194734350680605,
        0.03763153084119203,
        0.03585536732937982,
        0.338282359294853,
        2.0615528128088303,
        0.3874494390202888
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.03916585510696996,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9211.5,
      "socialTransforms": {},
      "referenceDecile": 5
    },
    "columns": 43,
    "rank": 43,
    "conditionNumber": 46.413673974642194
  },
  {
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "B",
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929147,
        0.3116795160835884,
        0.1526539478913407,
        0.7673111389658688,
        13.827968314848516,
        2021.2,
        -3.148263341184053
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563763,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.037631530841192015,
        0.03601945389813692,
        0.33537570446913945,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.39115560021582974
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.038252981379281084,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9347.0,
      "socialTransforms": {},
      "referenceDecile": 5
    },
    "columns": 16,
    "rank": 16,
    "conditionNumber": 23.465299272190947
  },
  {
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "C-linear",
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber",
        "income:linear",
        "employment:linear",
        "education:linear"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929147,
        0.3116795160835884,
        0.1526539478913407,
        0.7673111389658688,
        13.827968314848516,
        2021.2,
        -3.148263341184053
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563763,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.037631530841192015,
        0.03601945389813692,
        0.33537570446913945,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.39115560021582974
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.038252981379281084,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9347.0,
      "socialTransforms": {
        "income": {
          "mean": [
            0.14730526315789474
          ],
          "scale": [
            0.04931511430195573
          ]
        },
        "employment": {
          "mean": [
            0.1135624060150376
          ],
          "scale": [
            0.03928530039714344
          ]
        },
        "education": {
          "mean": [
            0.22382032956566403
          ],
          "scale": [
            0.05418584021190159
          ]
        }
      },
      "referenceDecile": 5
    },
    "columns": 19,
    "rank": 19,
    "conditionNumber": 25.002192519464145
  },
  {
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "C-smooth",
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber",
        "income:spline1",
        "income:spline2",
        "income:spline3",
        "employment:spline1",
        "employment:spline2",
        "employment:spline3",
        "education:spline1",
        "education:spline2",
        "education:spline3"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929147,
        0.3116795160835884,
        0.1526539478913407,
        0.7673111389658688,
        13.827968314848516,
        2021.2,
        -3.148263341184053
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563763,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.037631530841192015,
        0.03601945389813692,
        0.33537570446913945,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.39115560021582974
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.038252981379281084,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9347.0,
      "socialTransforms": {
        "income": {
          "knots": [
            0.044,
            0.12233333333333332,
            0.17,
            0.276
          ],
          "degreesOfFreedom": 3,
          "linearTails": true,
          "mean": [
            0.1473052631578947,
            0.14396251412558772,
            0.022762691159378692
          ],
          "scale": [
            0.04931511430195569,
            0.1619421288534172,
            0.04185031690586494
          ]
        },
        "employment": {
          "knots": [
            0.038,
            0.094,
            0.13166666666666665,
            0.233
          ],
          "degreesOfFreedom": 3,
          "linearTails": true,
          "mean": [
            0.11356240601503717,
            0.10256165448913188,
            0.018765130087805143
          ],
          "scale": [
            0.039285300397143445,
            0.13062006018921912,
            0.03752782725300204
          ]
        },
        "education": {
          "knots": [
            0.06720947446336048,
            0.19964893872607906,
            0.246239806704923,
            0.351653441067862
          ],
          "degreesOfFreedom": 3,
          "linearTails": true,
          "mean": [
            0.22382032956566403,
            0.22070949721136274,
            0.016067362521372804
          ],
          "scale": [
            0.05418584021190158,
            0.18667933945837364,
            0.02847822791707737
          ]
        }
      },
      "referenceDecile": 5
    },
    "columns": 25,
    "rank": 25,
    "conditionNumber": 147.71179547493043
  },
  {
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "D",
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber",
        "income:decile1",
        "income:decile2",
        "income:decile3",
        "income:decile4",
        "income:decile6",
        "income:decile7",
        "income:decile8",
        "income:decile9",
        "income:decile10",
        "employment:decile1",
        "employment:decile2",
        "employment:decile3",
        "employment:decile4",
        "employment:decile6",
        "employment:decile7",
        "employment:decile8",
        "employment:decile9",
        "employment:decile10"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929147,
        0.3116795160835884,
        0.1526539478913407,
        0.7673111389658688,
        13.827968314848516,
        2021.2,
        -3.148263341184053
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563763,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.037631530841192015,
        0.03601945389813692,
        0.33537570446913945,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.39115560021582974
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.038252981379281084,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9347.0,
      "socialTransforms": {},
      "referenceDecile": 5
    },
    "columns": 34,
    "rank": 34,
    "conditionNumber": 45.93877832454854
  },
  {
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "E",
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber",
        "education:decile1",
        "education:decile2",
        "education:decile3",
        "education:decile4",
        "education:decile6",
        "education:decile7",
        "education:decile8",
        "education:decile9",
        "education:decile10"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929147,
        0.3116795160835884,
        0.1526539478913407,
        0.7673111389658688,
        13.827968314848516,
        2021.2,
        -3.148263341184053
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563763,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.037631530841192015,
        0.03601945389813692,
        0.33537570446913945,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.39115560021582974
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.038252981379281084,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9347.0,
      "socialTransforms": {},
      "referenceDecile": 5
    },
    "columns": 25,
    "rank": 25,
    "conditionNumber": 26.575248290266074
  },
  {
    "fold": "temporal-2025",
    "model": "DE",
    "transform": {
      "featureNames": [
        "intercept",
        "logDensity2011",
        "ageUnder25Share2011",
        "age65PlusShare2011",
        "lagCarTaxiShare",
        "lagLogMilesPerRoadKm",
        "year",
        "logHistoryRate",
        "region:East of England",
        "region:London",
        "region:North East",
        "region:North West",
        "region:South East",
        "region:South West",
        "region:West Midlands",
        "region:Yorkshire and The Humber",
        "income:decile1",
        "income:decile2",
        "income:decile3",
        "income:decile4",
        "income:decile6",
        "income:decile7",
        "income:decile8",
        "income:decile9",
        "income:decile10",
        "employment:decile1",
        "employment:decile2",
        "employment:decile3",
        "employment:decile4",
        "employment:decile6",
        "employment:decile7",
        "employment:decile8",
        "employment:decile9",
        "employment:decile10",
        "education:decile1",
        "education:decile2",
        "education:decile3",
        "education:decile4",
        "education:decile6",
        "education:decile7",
        "education:decile8",
        "education:decile9",
        "education:decile10"
      ],
      "mean": [
        7.277628112929147,
        0.3116795160835884,
        0.1526539478913407,
        0.7673111389658688,
        13.827968314848516,
        2021.2,
        -3.148263341184053
      ],
      "scale": [
        1.2958608381563763,
        0.03194734350680609,
        0.037631530841192015,
        0.03601945389813692,
        0.33537570446913945,
        2.315167380558035,
        0.39115560021582974
      ],
      "referenceRegion": "East Midlands",
      "trainingRegionShares": {
        "East Midlands": 0.06015037593984962,
        "East of England": 0.08270676691729323,
        "London": 0.24812030075187969,
        "North East": 0.07518796992481203,
        "North West": 0.16541353383458646,
        "South East": 0.13533834586466165,
        "South West": 0.05263157894736842,
        "West Midlands": 0.09022556390977443,
        "Yorkshire and The Humber": 0.09022556390977443
      },
      "unseenRegion": "Training-row-weighted average regional effect",
      "historyPriorRatePer100k": 0.038252981379281084,
      "historyPriorExposureIn100kMiles": 9347.0,
      "socialTransforms": {},
      "referenceDecile": 5
    },
    "columns": 43,
    "rank": 43,
    "conditionNumber": 47.09100836970075
  }
]
