{ "feature": "heavy_rain", "metadata": { "id": "heavy_rain", "label": "Road-weighted heavy-rain days", "family": "Weather", "source": "f5-source", "numerator": [], "denominator": [], "definition": "Annual count rainfall >=10mm; 1991-2020 mean", "unit": "days/year", "role": "candidate", "note": "Station-interpolated 1991\u20132020 climate normal, road-length weighted. This is estimated long-run context, not annual post-pandemic weather. F6 source and national band gates passed; 307 LSOAs fail the 99% road-coverage requirement and remain unavailable.", "status": "provisional", "zeroBand": false, "comparability": "See source audit and F6 gate decisions; fixed common definition with explicit limitations.", "observationPeriod": "1991-2020", "direction": "Higher band means higher feature value; collision-risk direction is untested.", "geographicResolution": "LSOA2021, England and Wales", "licence": "Expected public-data licence; exact extract terms not yet verified", "sourceStatus": "acquired_exact_publisher_normal", "sourceUrl": "https://services.arcgis.com/Lq3V5RFuTBC9I7kv/arcgis/rest/services/Annual_Count_of_10mm_Rain_Days_1991_2020/FeatureServer/0", "releasedAt": null, "validCount": 35365, "missingCount": 307, "bandScheme": "Combined E&W deciles", "sourceVersion": "ew-f6-v1", "phase": "F5", "mileageAllocationUse": "No direct use identified in current pilot; nationwide allocation audit pending", "bandedCount": 35365, "bandsWithheld": false, "releaseDecision": "banded", "denominatorDefinition": "Covered mapped road metres; >=99% of all frozen mapped physical road length per LSOA required. Climate counts per year; rainfall intensity per wet day >=1mm within grid before road weighting.", "qualityFlags": [ "banded", "not_collision_tested_in_F7", "not_claims_validated", "retrospective_source_vintage" ], "featureFreezeVersion": "ew-f6-v1", "frozenBandsAvailableFrom": "2026-10-13T08:44:00.646694+00:00", "historicalAsOf2022Eligible": false, "claimsValidation": false, "predictiveValidation": false, "sourceRegisterUrl": "/research/ew-deciles/f6-v1/f5-audit.json", "readiness": "Ready for F7 collision screening; not yet tested", "historicalForecastEligibility": "This source edition and band definition were frozen in October 2026. Historical forecast-origin availability is not established.", "measurementType": "estimated_grid_normal" }, "tested": true, "screeningFamily": "F7 eleven-candidate family", "nationalLSOAs": 35672, "nationalNumericLSOAs": 35365, "nationalBandedLSOAs": 35365, "metrics": [ { "feature": "heavy_rain", "form": "linear", "scenario": "fitted", "sample": "temporal_2023", "rows": 32811, "lsoas": 32811, "zeroRows": 7530, "observed": 91868, "expected": 96672.39556825874, "baseExpected": 96678.04915697817, "oe": 0.9503023014996412, "baseDeviance": 70337.94842780581, "featureDeviance": 70321.70550539748, "gain": 0.00023092687192893813, "lower95": -0.000874142214472573, "upper95": 0.0014198594998221874, "blocks": 162, "unsupportedRows": 0, "conditionalFixedPredictions": true }, { "feature": "heavy_rain", "form": "linear", "scenario": "fitted", "sample": "region_East Midlands", "rows": 5692, "lsoas": 2846, "zeroRows": 1329, "observed": 15412, "expected": 16730.518308857434, "baseExpected": 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