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Release published 02/10/2026 · Version and source files

Approved evidence release lens-2026-10-02-3d9ceed6e4d1

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THE ACTUARY LENS

What changes the insurance decision?

Start with a visual explanation of each topic. Then explore the evidence, insurance implications and what would change the assessment.

START HERE

The Pricing Actuary’s Lens

Eight tests. Five conclusions. A clear choice to monitor, test or act.

Read the framework →

Vehicle technology

Autonomous Mobility

From driving risk to operating riskView infographic →

When does driverless deployment change insured exposure?

Latest update: Map, timeline, developments, evidence and headline metrics moved to one approved event ledger. Coverage expanded to 21 visible locations and the full chronology is now shown.

Infographic update: Not separately recorded
Evidence date: 2026-09-20
Assessment change: 2026-09-03

Pricing & exposure

Fraud & validation

Distribution & markets

HOW TO READ AN UPDATE

New evidence and a changed conclusion are separate events.

A new source can change a fact or observation without changing the insurance decision. Each topic separates the data period, source checks, assessment changes and release publication. Explore the detailed analysis in Data Lab.

THE EXPONENTIAL INSURANCE BRIEF

Get the Brief each week.

One technology development each week, with its implications for pricing, claims and insurance products.

Subscribe free Free on Substack, with links to the underlying sources.